Two caveats: this report is from PuffHo, and the original study hasn’t yet been published, so I haven’t seen it; the data come from a report at a meeting. Nevertheless, I expect that data, reported by David Briggs in his piece “Belief in miracles is on the rise,” are correct. (Briggs’s PuffHo bio notes that he is “a former national writer for The Associated Press who holds a master’s degree from Yale Divinity School”).
. . . as more people appear to be turning away from organized religion, a new study finds that the number of Americans who definitely believe in religious miracles increased 22 percent in the past two decades, with 55 percent now certain of this supernatural phenomenon.
Overall, some four in five Americans believe miracles definitely or probably occur, researcher Robert Martin of Pennsylvania State University reported at the recent meeting of the American Sociological Association in Denver.
While beliefs in heaven and hell have remained steady in recent decades, the increased belief in miracles crosses all religious traditions, with the strongest gains reported by those who attend services infrequently, Martin reported.
. . . Penn State’s Martin analyzed General Social Survey data from 1991 to 2008. He found the belief in miracles is growing in recent years. Nearly 73 percent of American adults in 1991 believed that miracles definitely or probably existed, compared to 78 percent in 2008. The percentage who “definitely” believed in miracles rose from 45 percent in 1991 to 55 percent in 2008.
Well, a 5% increase isn’t that much, and better be statistically significant if the results are to mean anything (the 10% increase in the “definite” is more credible). But what’s disturbing is that 78% of Americans believe in miracles at all, and more than half “definitely” do. And this in an age of science, with no miracle ever substantiated!
But the observation that strongest gains occur in those who go to church less frequently gives a clue to this puzzling result, which doesn’t seem to comport with the increase in “nones” (people with no religious affiliation) over the U.S. in the last decade. What’s the cause? According to Briggs, it may be the rise of “spirituality”:
One potential explanation, according to Martin, is the cultural preoccupation with miracles promoted in non-dogmatic ways by a series of popular television programs such as “Touched by an Angel” and best-selling books such as the “Left Behind” and “Chicken Soup for the Soul” series.
No one, Martin and other researchers point out, may have done more for this spiritual phenomenon than Oprah Winfrey, who with her extraordinarily popular television show and other ventures made accounts of the miraculous a regular part of the lives of millions of Americans.
Whatever the cause, what the evidence on miracles and other research on personal spirituality also indicates to researchers is the persistence of transcendent beliefs even as fewer Americans identify with a particular religious group.
To me this explanation isn’t credible (and we must assume the trend is real, though I’m dubious). Why would Americans who either flee the church to become “nones,” or those who simply grow up lacking faith, show more belief in miracles than people 17 years ago? Yes, being a “none” is no guarantee that you don’t believe in woo; that’s a fallacy. But certainly some of the “nones” are skeptics and would be expected to abjure miracles.
Anyway, it’s still dispiriting, and a reminder that lack of religion doesn’t mean lack of belief in woo or an increase in criticality. We still need ways to teach children critical thinking, and some way to discourage religious brainwashing of kids, so that we can avoid outcomes like this:
In the 2007 Baylor Religion Survey, 23 percent of respondents said they witnessed a miraculous physical healing and 16 percent said they received a miraculous healing.
And in the 2010 Baylor Religion Survey, three-quarters of respondents said they prayed to God to receive healing from an illness or injury; more than five in six respondents prayed for someone else’s healing.
What is most telling about this unceasing belief in miracles, Dougherty said, is that it is another indicator that “as a society, as Americans in general. [We] are not in this uniform march toward secularism.”
One in six people say they received a miraculous healing! Do they not consider spontaneous remission or cure of disease that doesn’t have a goddy cause? And, of course, why don’t those praying amputees get their legs, or the eyeless their eyes?
In the end, though, I am convinced that Americans are on a uniform march toward secularism. It will just be a slow march.