Nathaniel Comfort’s misguided take on The Selfish Gene at 50

October 27, 2026 • 9:51 am

Nathaniel Comfort is identified by Wikipedia as “an American historian specializing in the history of biology. He is an associate professor in the Institute of the History of Medicine at Johns Hopkins University”. Comfort has written several books on the history of genetics, including a biography of Barbara McClintock, and I’ve heard he’s nearly finished what is likely to be the definitive biography of J. D. Watson. I have a great deal of respect for him.

Thus I was baffled by Comfort’s new piece in Nature discussing (or rather, dissing) Richard Dawkins’s The Selfish Gene. Despite that book’s influence and renown, Comfort claims that it’s outdated: indeed, not worth reading at all compared to books that discuss the view of evolution favored by Comfort. And Comfort’s favored view is that of the “Extended Evolutionary Synthesis” (“EES”), which argues that the “neo-Darwinian view of evolution” that fused natural selection and Mendelian genetics, is wrong and needs replacement with a new theory. I’ve discussed this view at length over the years (see my posts collected here), and, along with Doug Futuyma (see his article below), I note that while new discoveries have created add-ons to evolutionary theory (and dispelled some of Darwin’s own tenets, like the widespread inheritance of acquired traits), they don’t call for a new theory of evolution. The Selfish Gene is not outmoded—far from it.

In his essay, Comfort says that Dawkins’s view of evolution by natural selection as a process you can think of as driven by “selfish genes” is wrong: it’s too narrow and best left on the shelf. You can read Comfort’s piece here or by clicking on the title below:

As you may recall, Dawkins’s main point was that the unit of evolution by natural selection was the gene, or “replicator”: a bit of DNA that can reproduce itself from one generation to the next.  The unit is not the individual, the group, or the species, but the replicator, which can be seen as “selfish” because those genes that replicate faster than their alternative forms will be the ones most represented in the the future. Faster replication can, for example, be effected by building bodies (“vehicles”) that last longer and leave more offspring than others. This is the main way we think of evolution by natural selection, but Dawkins’s “gene’s-eye view” is broader than this.  Transposable genetic elements, for example, facilitate their own reproduction and survival by replicating quickly and infesting other parts of the genome.  They spread through a species not by enhancing an organism’s adaptation, survival, or reproduction, but their own reproduction.

Further, as the book points out, a gene can spread by selection even if it reduces the survival or number of offspring of the bearer itself, but enhances the number of copies present in relatives or groupmates—via kin selection or reciprocal altruism.  This view of natural selection can be thought of as the spread of “selfish” genes, but, as Dawkins asserts repeatedly, it need not lead to selfish or aggressive behavior of individuals—one of the most common misunderstandings of the book.

The gene’s-eye view influenced not just the public, but many biologists, including me, and it clarifies a number of points that were murky (e.g., kin selection). But Comfort says it’s narrow and outmoded. Take a look at Comfort’s second paragraph:

Re-reading it now, with decades of scholarship in the history of biology under my belt, it seems less benign. The determinism baked into the “gene’s-eye view” in the book troubles me, as does the passivity of the organism in Dawkins’s telling — a “vehicle”, a mere “replicator”. The implication: that traits such as aggression are hard-wired into people. Fortunately, over the past couple of decades, new tools, fresh models and scholars in many disciplines have begun to embrace the complex reality of biology. Readers in search of an understanding of life on Earth today would do better to reach for books that take a broader view.

Yes, in fact organisms are passive, for although they can influence the spread of replicators via their own behavior, those behavioral features are themselves the product of “selfish genes” (an example is “extended phenotypes”, like the beaver dam—one subject of Dawkins’s eponymous book). This is truly a deterministic, naturalistic process that has no room for “agency,” “will”, or teleology, though I’ve suggested that truly nondeterministic processes like quantum mechanics might influence evolution by producing mutations. Absent quantum effects, evolution is indeed deterministic, and organisms are vehicles that express the products of replicators. (Yes, I know that some physicists think quantum mechanics is deterministic in ways we don’t understand.)

As for the implication that selfish genes imply the evolution of aggression or other such behaviors, Comfort apparently hasn’t got Dawkins’s message.

So what is the “broader” view of biology that, Comfort argues, should replace that of the selfish gene? It is the “Extended Evolutionary Synthesis,” which calls for a wholesale rebuild of neo-Darwinian evolution because of things like epigenetic modification, “niche construction” (e.g., the beaver dam cited above), behavioral and morphological plasticity, and what is called “natural genetic engineering”, a quasi-teleological view, largely touted by James Shapiro, which claims that organisms engineer their own fates by some “intelligent” process that did not evolve in the Dawkinsian way.

As Doug Futuyma explains in his paper below, all the phenomena mentioned above, save “natural genetic engineering,” fit comfortably within the modern synthesis, even though some discoveries, like epigenetic modification of DNA, have been made in recent decades. (I’ll point out here that DNA modified by the environment can cause evolutionary change only insofar as it produces “selfish [modified] DNA that replicates faster than unmodified DNA. And we have almost no cases of epigenetic modification not themselves coded in the DNA forming the basis of evolutionary change.)

I’ll make just two more points; the first involving the “directionality” of evolution. Here’s more from Comfort’s piece:

For instance, neo-Darwinism teaches that evolution is a random walk through changing environments, with selection favouring whatever traits help an organism to survive. Today, many scholars argue that there has to be direction to evolution. In How Life Works (2023), for instance, journalist Philip Ball points out that in a single cell, there is an unfathomably large number of possible interactions between different kinds of molecule — and there are about 37 trillion cells in one human body. “Such a system,” Ball writes, “can only hope to be stable if, out of all this complexity, only a limited number of collective ways of being may emerge”. Living organisms are forced to evolve in those few directions.

And the neo-Darwinian idea of evolution as a random process seems to run counter to the unavoidable observation that life has evolved towards ever-greater complexity. Biochemist Nick Lane has argued that, right back to life’s origin, the main driver of this complexity is the second law of thermodynamics — entropy, the tendency toward disorder. “Energy-releasing chemical reactions are at the core of the living process of all organisms,” wrote he and others (W. F. Martin et al. Science 344, 1092–1093; 2014). The detailed chemistry behind this idea is outlined in depth in Lane’s brilliant 2015 book, The Vital Question. The overall idea is that complex life forms dissipate more heat than do their simpler counterparts. Life on Earth is pushed towards greater complexity and abundance because, given the composition of the planet, it is energetically favourable.

The first paragraph is in fact not a refutation of the selfish gene view.  The only direction to evolution—and one that Dawkins notes—is that replicators get better and better at replicating over time.  This in general leads to an increase in survival and reproduction of the “vehicles”—organisms—but it need not.  The spread of transposable genetic elements, which account for a great deal of “genetic junk” that dominates our own genome, is one example. And nobody I know of thinks that organisms are unconstrained, either by their own nature or by the environment, in the way they can evolve. There are guardrails.

Second, the discussion of why life was once simple but has become more complex is not new. For one thing, life started out simple and thus if it was to go anywhere, it had to become at least a bit more complex. But the view of unidirectional complexity is simply not true. What is true is that life is a cumulative process, with new “adaptations” evolving from old ones, so a great deal of adaptive residue remains in our genome. But you’d be hard pressed to show that “complexity” has increased unidirectionally after we had multicellar organisms inhabiting many of the world’s niches. (By the way, each organism becomes or makes niches for other organisms, so evolution creates new ways of life, but that doesn’t mean that “life is more complex”).

Finally, there are many organisms that have evolved to become less complex, as replicators that “de-evolve” some features may be favored in some environments. Parasites are a common example. Tapeworms, for example, used to be free-living flatworms, but when they invaded the guts of organisms they lost most of their nervous and sensory systems, their digestive system, and their genomes became much simpler.  Cave-dwelling organisms often lose their eyes: a decrease in complexity. Snakes used to be lizard-like organisms but have lost their limbs. Whales also lost their limbs. These examples are rife, and I won’t go on.  The point is that Comfort is either distorting what Dawkins says, distorting what the Modern Synthesis says or implies, or distorting what’s happened in evolution.

Touting the EES, Comfort tells us above that there are better books to reach for than The Selfish Gene if you wish to understand where the theory of evolution stands.  I would simply recommend Doug Futuyma and Mark Kirkpatrick’s high-level evolution textbook, simply called Evolution (Fifth Edition), published in 2022. To deal specifically with claims that the EES dismantles or greatly modifies the view of evolution in that textbook, you should read Doug Futuyma’s article below (click on the link). I’ve put its abstract below the title:

Abstract:

Evolutionary theory has been extended almost continually since the evolutionary synthesis (ES), but except for the much greater importance afforded genetic drift, the principal tenets of the ES have been strongly supported. Adaptations are attributable to the sorting of genetic variation by natural selection, which remains the only known cause of increase in fitness. Mutations are not adaptively directed, but as principal authors of the ES recognized, the material (structural) bases of biochemistry and development affect the variety of phenotypic variations that arise by mutation and recombination. Against this historical background, I analyse major propositions in the movement for an ‘extended evolutionary synthesis’. ‘Niche construction’ is a new label for a wide variety of well-known phenomena, many of which have been extensively studied, but (as with every topic in evolutionary biology) some aspects may have been understudied. There is no reason to consider it a neglected ‘process’ of evolution. The proposition that phenotypic plasticity may engender new adaptive phenotypes that are later genetically assimilated or accommodated is theoretically plausible; it may be most likely when the new phenotype is not truly novel, but is instead a slight extension of a reaction norm already shaped by natural selection in similar environments. However, evolution in new environments often compensates for maladaptive plastic phenotypic responses. The union of population genetic theory with mechanistic understanding of developmental processes enables more complete understanding by joining ultimate and proximate causation; but the latter does not replace or invalidate the former. Newly discovered molecular phenomena have been easily accommodated in the past by elaborating orthodox evolutionary theory, and it appears that the same holds today for phenomena such as epigenetic inheritance. In several of these areas, empirical evidence is needed to evaluate enthusiastic speculation. Evolutionary theory will continue to be extended, but there is no sign that it requires emendation.

No, evolution does not need a rebuild, and The Selfish Gene is not outmoded. It remains, for those who haven’t read it, a page-turner.

h/t reader John, who called my attention to Comfort’s article

Tuesday: Hili dialogue

October 27, 2026 • 6:45 am

Welcome to The Cruelest Day: Tuesday, October 27, 2026 and National American Beer Day. Here are the 10 top-rated American beers from the reliable Beer Advocate. The rankings are from the top down. You can go to the description of each beer by clicking on the links. (The taste of beer #1 is described as “Chocolate chip pancakes drenched with maple syrup served with espresso and a shot of bourbon, all in one sip. Our award-winning KBBS is decadence in a bottle.”   What do you think a bottle costs? Yep, around $700 for ONE BOTTLE OF BEER! (That’s in Europe; I can’t find an American price because there isn’t any left for sale.)

Note that nearly all are very high in alcohol. I haven’t had any of these.


Kentucky Brunch Brand Stout

Toppling Goliath Brewing Company
Imperial Pastry Stout | 12%

M.J.K.
Side Project Brewing
English Barleywine | 20%

Dark Lord – Marshmallow Handjee
3 Floyds Brewing Co.
Imperial Pastry Stout | 15.5%

Abraxas – Barrel-Aged
Perennial Artisan Ales
Imperial Pastry Stout | 12.8%


Hunahpu’s Imperial Stout – Double Barrel Aged

Cigar City Brewing
Imperial Pastry Stout | 11%

Blessed
Anchorage Brewing Company
Imperial Pastry Stout | 15.5%


Heady Topper

The Alchemist
Imperial IPA | 8%

A Deal With The Devil – Triple Oak-Aged
Anchorage Brewing Company
American Barleywine | 20.86%


Assassin – Double Barrel-Aged

Toppling Goliath Brewing Company
American Imperial Stout | 14.89%

Mornin’ Delight
Toppling Goliath Brewing Company
Imperial Pastry Stout | 12.8%

It’s also Boxer Shorts Day, National Black Cat Day (in the UK), National Parmigiano Reggiano Day, National Potato Day, and Sylvia Plath Day, celebrating the poet’s birthday. Here’s an interview with Plath in 1962 on her influences.  She killed herself the next year. It’s interesting that she seems to have a bit of a British accent (she lived in England for five years).  To me her finest work is “Daddy,” a superb poem.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the October 26 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*The elections in Israel are taking place at this moment, but it may be weeks before we know who the Prime Minister will be (the voting is for the Knesset, not the PM, who is selected after discussion and coalition-forming.) From It’s Noon in Israel:

It’s Tuesday, October 27, and election day has finally arrived. As some five million Israelis enter the voting booth today and survey their three dozen options, they will be thinking about one thing: October 7.

Polls opened at 7 a.m., but, like so much of contemporary Israel, it began at 6:29 a.m. three years ago. Roughly half the country will cast its ballot on the conviction that such an event must never happen again, and they see the hawkish national camp as the best guarantor. The other half remembers who was in power on October 7 and cannot tolerate them staying in office. Those two approaches have defined the last three years of Israeli public discourse and are likely to continue to define the next four years as well.

From Umm al-Fahm in the north to Be’er Sheva in the south, from Tel Aviv to Bnei Brak, an energy has taken hold of the country. We are already seeing the highest turnout in 45 years: 16.68 percent as of 10 a.m. The last time the numbers were this high, the choice was Menachem Begin or Shimon Peres, and Israel still used the old shekel.

The closest comparison I can draw to this moment is the feeling of waiting for an Iranian retaliation: the calm before the storm, the sense that something momentous, terrible or miraculous is on the horizon.

Yet if Israelis weather attacks as one, they face this day nestled in their respective camps.

In all my years covering elections this millennium, I have never seen the center-left so organized or so energized. “The most important election in Israel’s history” is a recycled phrase, but for this camp it may well be true. After taking to the streets regularly for nearly four years to little effect, they finally have the opportunity to topple a coalition they despise. Yet if Gadi Eisenkot, falls short, one has to wonder whether the camp can easily bounce back, swap one general for another and rally behind him for 2030. Depending on the outcome, this may well be the last gasp of what was once Israel’s dominant political force.

It may take weeks before we know who the PM will be.

Below is the radiant Gal casting her ballot today, apparently taken from an Instagram video I can’t find. The caption at the Times of Israel is, “Gal Gadot posts a recording of herself as she casts a vote on Israel’s election day, October 27, 2026 (Courtesy).”.  h/t Bat

She’s apparently not a fan of the present government:

“I’m voting for change, and I hope that today, Tuesday, pa’amayim ki tov (Tuesdays are traditionally viewed in Jewish culture as a lucky day) that it will only be good for us all,” said Gadot, blowing a kiss at the camera.

*Incumbent left-wing President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva apparently beat his conservative opponent Flávio Bolsonaro in the new election, but Bolsonaro rejects the outcome (article archived here).

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of Brazil surged to a remarkable re-election on Sunday, according to official preliminary results, but his opponent, Flávio Bolsonaro, said he would not accept the results after a chaotic Election Day.

Mr. Lula’s victory, which ended a string of conservative wins in Latin America cheered on by President Trump, came after a judge ordered polls to remain open an additional two hours — a move requested by both campaigns after transportation delays and bad weather disrupted voting. At a news conference, Mr. Bolsonaro called for the election to be annulled, saying the decision to keep the polls open “changed the rules in the middle of the game.”

“There’s a lot that needs to be cleared up before Brazil simply accepts this foul play that took place in these elections,” he said.

Mr. Lula received 51.8 percent of the vote, versus 48.2 percent for Flávio Bolsonaro, with 99.9 percent of the ballots counted, according to official preliminary results.

The leftist’s margin of victory was wider than four years ago, and was predicted by few pollsters. Even more stunning was that he achieved the comeback after placing second in the first round of voting earlier this month, a first in Brazilian history.

“I would like to thank the Brazilian people for the generosity they have shown me for a long time,” Mr. Lula said in a victory speech in São Paulo.

Mr. Lula, 80, had framed his candidacy as a vote for democracy and the only way to bar the return of the Bolsonaro family to power. He has frequently and defiantly clashed with Mr. Trump, who attempted to use tariffs and sanctions to keep Mr. Bolsonaro’s father, Jair, out of prison for his attempted coup four years ago.

I’ve heard that both candidates are corrupt, but I can’t vouch for that. What puzzles me is that both candidates agreed to keep the polls open, but Bolsonaro subsequently beefed about the longer period of voting when he lost.  What is better known is the Lula is more anti-Israel then Bolsonaro—a connection to the Left that seems to hold most everywhere.

*María Corina Machado, Venezuelan opposition leader, Nobel Peace Laureate, and one of my heroes, has returned openly to her country after a long period of hiding followed by sneaking away to Europe to get her Prize, something she had to do lest she be killed.

Venezuela’s most popular opposition leader, María Corina Machado, returned home on Sunday after nearly a year in exile, increasing pressure on the country’s authoritarian government — and its new chief authority, the United States — to move quickly toward a democratic transition.

At 11:31 a.m. Venezuela time, Ms. Machado wrote on X: “I am here. With you all.”

Ms. Machado entered Venezuela from neighboring Colombia, according to two government officials who asked not to be named to be able to discuss sensitive matters.

In the past, the Trump administration had made clear in private exchanges to foreign officials that it did not support Ms. Machado’s return, according to U.S. officials, and her travel was blocked. But on this occasion U.S. officials decided not to intervene.

As critical U.S. midterm elections near, some voters in Florida have maintained that the United States is not pushing hard enough for democratic change in Venezuela.

Ms. Machado has called for elections in Venezuela by next July, and has expressed her interest in running for president. She would be an extremely competitive challenger to the interim leader, Delcy Rodríguez, who is part of the repressive government that has run the country for a generation.

Here’s Machado’s tweet and

and a tweet from her party (English translation): “#NOW | @MariaCorinaYA arrives at the Church of Santa Rosa, in #Lara, to thank the Divine Shepherdess for her return to Venezuela, after ten months out of the country. With faith and hand in hand with God, she reunites with the Venezuelans and her land! Welcome, your place and your task is here, with your people.”

There’s too much God in there, but that doesn’t bother me too much. She’d be a much better leader than Rodriguez, who is basically a female equivalent for Maduro who was elevated to power by Trump in a deal for oil.

*It’s a movement among “progressives,” and even liberal Democrats, to call for a tax on billionaires (we have one on the Illinois ballot).  But Democrats are actually divided on this tax, at least in California.

The idea seemed simple at first: a one-time tax on California’s billionaires to counter looming cuts to Medicaid.

Instead, the proposed wealth tax has exposed deep divisions among Democrats and created strange bedfellows on both sides working to defeat or pass the proposal.

Drama surrounding the measure includes a fight among labor unions worried their own priorities will suffer, tech elites putting down hundreds of millions to defeat it and allegations of extortion and harassment by the tax’s architect.

The messy fight has gripped California for the past year and shows how enacting a long-heralded concept on the left—taxing billionaires’ stratospheric wealth—is far from easy, even in one of the nation’s bluest states. It has been one of the costliest ballot fights in California’s history.

Voters will decide on Nov. 3 whether to approve the nation’s first-ever wealth tax targeting billionaires. The latest independent polls show slightly more voters support than oppose the tax, with large numbers undecided. Democratic voters show much stronger support—despite opposition by many of their leaders.

. . .The one-time, 5% tax would apply to the net assets of California residents worth $1 billion or more at the end of 2026. Rather than income or real estate, it would be levied on assets such as publicly traded stocks, bonds, private business interests, intellectual property and art. A person taxed on $10 billion in assets would owe $500 million.

The tax would apply to people who were California residents on Jan. 1, 2026, making it tougher for billionaires to skirt it by moving elsewhere. If the initiative passes, that retroactivity and other aspects of the law are expected to be tested in court.

Proponents estimate the tax will raise around $100 billion from between 200 and 300 California billionaires and argue it is necessary to prevent hospitals from closing, millions of residents from losing health coverage and insurance costs from spiking.

. . .The initiative set off a reordering of traditional political allies. A main concern: It might push wealthy people to leave the state, which over time could cause a painful hit to the state’s tax receipts. Gov. Gavin Newsom is against the measure, saying it could undermine California’s competitiveness.

Newsom has argued for a national wealth tax instead—the state’s top Democrat is finishing his final term in California and is discussing running for president in 2028. The Democratic candidate on the ballot to replace him as governor, Xavier Becerra, also opposes the measure.

But the state’s Democratic Party endorsed it—in a high-stakes weekend vote in August. Some progressives are in favor, including Rep. Ro Khanna, a Democrat representing Silicon Valley, as well as Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont independent, who has held rallies in Los Angeles and San Francisco backing the tax plan.

The tax will probably be instituted as there are more Democrats than billionaires in California, and it sounds like a no-brainer, though there could be long-term consequences.  All I can say is that taxing billionaires beats killing them, something that blogger P. Z. Myers and his acolytes apparently favor.

*Also at It’s Noon in Israel, Amit Segal recounts an altercation between PM Netanyahu and the head of the IDF.

It’s Monday, October 26, 18 hours before the election, and “history will not forget the role Zamir played in the last few days,” a senior security source told Channel 12’s Yaron Avraham, as an unprecedented confrontation between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir came to a head.

According to the report, Zamir received a directive from the political echelon. Rather than carry it out, he asked for an in-depth discussion first, along with legal authorization signed by the political leadership. “This is an action that could lead to a lightning confrontation with Iran at a sensitive and dramatic moment, and create a miscalculation,” a senior security official told the channel. Two sources described a discussion between the prime minister and the chief of staff on Sunday as very tense.

Sources familiar with the details said the military fears an attempt “to exploit the Iranian issue for political momentum.” That is how many will read the story: Zamir as Vasili Arkhipov, the Soviet officer refusing to sign off on firing a nuclear torpedo. The reality is closer to an officer demanding final confirmation before turning the final key.

The dispute does not appear to be over a yes-or-no decision on striking Iran. It is over the moves short of a strike, and how Tehran might read them. Israel is already taking actions that could easily spiral into war. Last week, dozens of Israeli fighter jets and refueling planes flew across Syrian and Iraqi airspace to the edge of Iran, some 1,300 kilometers from home, and turned back. Israel notified Washington in advance and called the flight a “power projection” exercise meant to deter Iran from attacking before the election. But it could easily have been mistaken for something else. Even American officials were suspicious, telling Axios that Israel may have hoped Iranian air defenses would open fire and hand it a pretext to strike.

*Reader Barry sent me the “Headline of the week from the Sunday Times,” which you can see below and read here (if you subcribe). The title is definitely clickbait. And yes, that’s subject Juliana Glasse, erstwhile Christian pop singer, in the photo.

A short excerpt:

Julianna Glasse had been caught red-handed.

Glasse and Ben Zobrist, then a professional baseball player, had three children together and were muscling through a difficult patch in their 13-year marriage. Zobrist gestured towards the piles of books that Glasse had hidden around the house: in the linen closet, beneath her hairdryer, under the kitchen sink with the cleaning supplies. The works of Plato, Simone de Beauvoir, Toni Morrison and Ralph Waldo Emerson all stared back at her.

“You see?” she recalled him saying. “This is what happens when you read!”

Glasse, originally from Iowa City, had grown up in an evangelical household and gone on to become a successful Christian pop star. Until that moment, at the age of 34, she had fully embraced her fundamentalist lifestyle. But the suggestion that books were making her unhappy and hurting her marriage stuck with her.

“This is what happens when women read”, Glasse typed into her phone’s notes app after the fight was over. For a long time, she had been able to keep up appearances as a “godly woman and submissive wife”, where she felt her voice, needs and desires were all secondary to her husband’s. “When he spoke those words … it was like the runway of my life lit up, and the exit sign of my life lit up at the same time,” Glasse, now 42, told The Times over Zoom recently.

The phrase became her personal mantra, a rallying cry, and the name of her eventual foundation, which aims to liberate women from fundamentalist backgrounds. From evangelical wife to chief executive and gay rights advocate, Glasse has shared her journey to fight back against the book-banning movement across the US: “Under a second Trump administration, as books are being pulled from shelves, Plato is policed in American classrooms, and religion is wielded around the world to control women’s bodies, minds, and votes.”

Glasse said her ex-husband was right. “This is what happens when women read. We notice the systems that we’re in, we can begin to articulate what feels repressive or suppressive within those systems, we begin to challenge them … [and] we can actually leave them.”

This is why literacy and free availability of books is so important, as you can’t change oppressive systems unless you are literate. Glass, of course, was literate, but she was forbidden to read. The piece is an excerpt from her new book, This is What Happens When Women Read—also the title of her foundation to promote women’s literacy.

*The video below is an antisemitic ad for Abdul el-Sayed, though it wasn’t produced by the Michigan senatorial candidate but by, of all people, the odious Cenk Uygur. From JFeed (their bolding):

A new ad from a political action committee founded by Cenk Uygur, the host of The Young Turks, tells Michigan voters that their struggles to afford groceries and health care are Israel’s fault, days before the state’s tight Senate race.

The spot, paid for by Rebellion PAC, backs Democrat Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers. It shows a family in a grocery store worrying over food prices and denied health care, and ties their hardship to American support for Israel. Uygur promoted the ad on X on October 24, writing: “We have to suffer here at home, so Israel can get all its wars. That’s why they buy politicians like Mike Rogers.” He added that Rogers had promised to serve Israel “unconditionally,” but never made that promise to Michigan voters.

The ad is an independent expenditure, and its disclaimer states that it was not authorized by any candidate.

Critics say the ad repackages an old antisemitic trope for a modern campaign: ordinary people are suffering, and the Jews are to blame. Simone Rodan-Benzaquen said it was one of the most antisemitic political ads she had ever seen, summarizing its message as: your life is hard, groceries are expensive, and the Jewish state is why.

The ad’s economic claims also fall apart on inspection. US military aid to Israel can by law only be spent on American-made weapons, meaning the money flows back into the US defense industry rather than coming out of Michigan families’ grocery or health care budgets. Critics pointed out that Israel has also bought more than $1 billion in additional American arms since October 7.

Uygur responded to the backlash with derision. He dismissed the criticism as the reflexive “antisemite” charge, and claimed people were being called antisemites simply for refusing to fund Israel’s “genocide.” In another post, he asked supporters to donate so the ad could run more, writing that doing so would “drive the radical Zionists crazy.”

It is not the first time Uygur has framed the race around Israel. Appearing on Piers Morgan in September, he declared that Rogers “works for Israel” and urged voters: “Do not let Israel buy that seat.”

Here’s the commercial, straight from the Cenk’s mouth:

(If it disappears, you can see it here.)

I wonder if el-Sayed will disown this ad and call it what it is: antisemitic. For sure he’ll be asked.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili learns about the transitive in logic:

Hili: If A equals B…
Andrzej: That still tells us nothing about C.
Hili: You might be right.

In Polish:

Hili: Jeśli A równa się B…
Ja: To jeszcze nic nam nie mówi o C.
Hili: Możesz mieć rację.

*******************

From Stacy:

From My Cat is an Asshole:

From Darwin Awards Epics [sic] Fails.  It’s a true story!

In a 12-minute speech in Poland, Masih compares the victims of Islamist Iran to the victims of Auschwitz (which is in Poland).

From Luana; one of the French protestors gives his reasons for participating:

The Number Ten Cat compares game-bird shooting of the British aristocracy to Marie Antoinette’s dismissal of the French poor:

From Barry; things go south pretty quickly:

Thats the way it goes sometimes 🤷‍♀️

— Kristin Myrtle (@kristinmyrtle.bsky.social) 2026-10-25T20:58:53.902Z

Two from my feed. First, the rescue of Churchill, a very “spicy” kitten:

. . and then a d*g helps rescue a white kitten:

One I reposted from The Auschwitz Memorial

And one from Dr. Cobb, getting more famous at Cold Spring Harbor. There are seven photos here, and also a followup thread on Bluehair:

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory at dawn. Prints from a family of raccoons, a heron, a squirrel with a nut, moonset and other things.

— Matthew Cobb (@matthewcobb.bsky.social) 2026-10-26T12:04:20.311Z

The daily scam

October 26, 2026 • 1:36 pm

There are a number of signs that the email below is a scam, including this one:

. . . but the funniest one is the name. “Mira Beee” couldn’t be arsed to cut the period in the signature or capitalize her last name. (It also came from a Protonmail address.)

Hello Jerry Coyne,

I hope you’re doing well.

I recently came across your book Why Evolution Is True and was impressed by its clear, evidence-based exploration of one of science’s most fascinating subjects. By bringing together discoveries from genetics, paleontology, geology, molecular biology, and anatomy, the book makes complex scientific concepts accessible while helping readers understand the remarkable evidence supporting evolution.

Books that make scientific knowledge engaging and approachable have the potential to reach far beyond traditional academic audiences. I believe Why Evolution Is True could connect with science enthusiasts, educators, students, nonfiction readers, and curious minds interested in understanding the natural world through evidence and scientific discovery.

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Colossal & Co. at it again, trying to create “War Dogs”

October 26, 2026 • 10:25 am

Dogs are used by first responders and the military for a number of tasks.  Their keen sense of smell, speed, and keen hearing give them advantages over even drones or robots, and, according to Grok, trained dogs are used for a variety of tasks, including detecting explosives, providing security, locating enemies, doing sentry and perimeter work, and performing search and rescue.  Two other duties mentioned by Grok are these.

  • “Special operations support: High-risk missions (e.g., the dog Cairo on the 2011 bin Laden raid), including some aerial insertion (parachute or rappel with specialized gear).”
  • “Israel has used MWDs heavily for detection and assault in Gaza (with high attrition).”

Note the “high attrition”: this means that the dogs die, even though they don’t choose to go into service. This is all I’m using from Grok; the rest of the writing here is mine or comes from the three sources below.

The breeds of dogs used in service are mainly German shepherds, Belgian Malinois, and Labradors, and of course undergo a period of intensive training.  But, according to the Fortune article below, there’s a shortage of good “war dogs” (most of the mention of dogs in these articles involves military use):

The Army set up the K-9 Corps in 1942. Today the Department of War’s Military Working Dog Program has more than 2,200 dog teams, according to the company, and more than 80% of U.S. military working dogs are bought from Europe. Lamm cited a Senate Armed Services Committee warning that “due to the finite number of breeders overseas, as well as rising market demand, the cost… to procure whelped military working dogs from Europe is skyrocketing.” He also cited the American Kennel Club’s assessment that “there is now a shortage of even mediocre quality foreign dogs available.”

The U.S. is “competing against other country governments” for the same animals, Lamm said, China and Russia among them.

The losses after purchase are expensive, too. According to the company, fewer than half of the dogs bought are judged fit for service after a roughly three-year acquisition and training pipeline. That means the U.S. has to buy and train about 200 dogs today to field 100 working animals later.

But Mammon to the rescue! In stepped entrepreneurs and geneticists, in the form of Palmer Luckey (“an American entrepreneur and co-founder of defense technology company Anduril Industries“), Ben Lamm, billionaire entrepreneur and founder of our old friend Colossal Biosciences, the “de-extinction company,” and Dave Spirk, who will be the CEO of Warhound Corporation.

Warhound received over $200 million in seed funding, with investors including, according to Fortune, “In-Q-Tel, Sequoia Capital, ARK Invest, Franklin Templeton, 8VC, USIT, Bob Nelsen, Breyer Capital, CAZ Investments, Neogenesis, Builders VC and Lux Capital, among others.” Colossal also benefits: to quote Fortune again:

 Colossal licenses technology to Warhound and has an economic interest in it. Spinning companies out of Colossal’s research is “an intentional part of our model,” Lamm said.

How it’s being done (they’ve already started cloning trained dogs), and what will happen to the puppies, are described in the following three articles, though the archived Fortune article is the most informative. Scientific American is okay, but they still fall for Colossal’s hype. They say this:

Colossal Biosciences, which has a stake in Warhound and is providing much of the science, is no stranger to genetic engineering: last year the firm cloned and edited a gray wolf to create an animal that was genetically similar to the extinct dire wolf. The process for Warhound will look similar, Lamm says, but with modern dogs.

Nope. As I’ve pointed out, the “de-extincted dire wolf” is really a gray wolf with 20 DNA edits in 14 genes, producing an animal that is not “genetically similar to the extinct dire wolf”. [I corrected the earlier figures.] As I wrote on October 5, “Since gray wolves and dire wolves differ by 12 million DNA bases, the edits comprise only 0.0002% of the dire wolf genome. In other words, what Colossal produced, as anyone with neurons knows, is a grey wolf with a few morphological changes.”  I wouldn’t say that .0002% is a great deal of added similarity!

But I digress in my animus towards the crumbling Scientific American. Here are the three articles; click on the screenshot to read any.

From Scientific American:

From Fortune (archived):

From engadget:

The process will involve cloning service dogs that have proven to be great at their jobs, a process that first involves replacing the nucleus of an oocyte with the nucleus from a somatic (b0dy) cell of the chosen service dog. This nucleus-replaced egg cell is then genetically tweaked to make a number of edits; these edits are designed to remove genes causing defects like hip problems and cancer, as well as to add in bits of DNA that make dogs faster or better able to smell. Only a limited number of edits are possible (the faux “dire wolves” used 20), and you better know what the DNA bits you’re adding will do. This is a problem, as we don’t often know what genes are the ones causing problems.

The edited cells—you can make multiple clones by using different body cells from the same service dog—are then artificially fertilized using chemical stimulants, and these “fertilized” eggs are placed in a receptive surrogate mother dog.  The pregnant mom’s embryos are checked genetically to see if they indeed correspond to the cloned service dog, and are usually removed by Caesarian section, as were the faux “dire wolves”. This poses an ethical issue, as it involves making dogs pregnant who never get to see their pups.

Now cloning body cells without editing has been going on for some time as rich people have sought to replace their dead or aging pets with ones that are largely genetically similar. This runs about $50,000 to $100,000 per animal, and has a pretty high failure rate, as things can go wrong at any step. I quote Sci. Am.:

Cloning dogs is not a new science. Research has shown that cloning service dogs produces puppies that have many of the same desirable traits. But the process can be harmful, says Lisa Moses, a veterinarian and bioethicist at Harvard University. The rate of successful live offspring remains low among the cloned dogs, and the process can put the surrogate mother in danger.

Another ethical problem to ponder!  Once the cloned service dogs are removed from the surrogates and raised, they undergo training—after all, training is a behavioral and not a genetic modification—in the hopes that once you have puppies, not many of them will wash out.  In addition, they will be EQUIPPED WITH WAR STUFF. As Fortune says, quoting Lamm:

Anduril is supplying equipment including eye and ear protection, body armor, and integration with its Eagle Eye system, so that “dogs, handlers, and autonomous systems operate as one team.”

Now the first thing I asked myself when I read about this is, “Why not just artifically select service dogs with the desired traits and not breed from ones with defects?”  That’s a good question, as it might, in the end, be cheaper and easier.  On the other hand, if you have a great service dog, cloning will enable you to get many copies of the dog at once via multiple surrogates. But that itself leads to another problem: since the multiple surrogates are pretty much genetically identical (that’s what clones are), perpetuating the line might lead to serious problem with inbreeding.

The upside of cloning is, of course, pecuniary. If you can get great service dogs this way, you could secure a government contract to keep providing dogs to the military, and that could be very profitable. I suspect this, and not scientific advance, is the main motivation for the effort. After all, you could take the aggressive genes out of pit bulls, but that wouldn’t be profitable.

Another problem, which I’ve noted above, is figuring out the limited array of genes you want to edit. Sci Am. quotes another geneticist:

Both scientists and private companies have genetically edited dogs before, and the research can “accelerate really fast because genomics in dog breeds already has a lot of data,” says Ben Novak, chief scientist at Revive and Restore, who works on wildlife cloning for conservation. Researchers have edited dogs to tweak genes for hip dysplasia, make them hypoallergenic and treat muscle disease, although the long-term health effects of these changes remain unclear.

But optimizing traits at scale and across service dogs could take time—and leave room for unintended consequences, Novak adds.

“It can be hard to figure out exactly what genetic element is creating a trait,” he says, “and some traits can be the combinations of hundreds or thousands of mutations across genes.”

Traits like smelling ability and running speed are, no doubt, “polygenic,” involving several to many genes, and changing just a couple may not effect much change in the War Dogs.

Finally, I’ve mentioned some ethical problems. Although the project is touted as being “certified by the American Humane Society,” I’m not sure what kind of certification will prevent problems like this (from Sci Am):

“It is by no means a perfect science, and by that, I mean it’s still a fairly inefficient process,” Moses says. “It requires a lot of dogs to have invasive things done to them and to be killed in order to produce one cloned puppy.”

Finally (again from Sci. Am.), cloning can have unintended detrimental effects that aren’t known until later, as Ben Novak notes above.

I don’t know any way this can be done without either producing unwanted dogs, killing or harming the surrogates, or producing genetically defective dogs when the cloning goes wrong. In my view, the Humane Society’s certification is premature.

Will the War Dogs program produce what’s intended? Who knows? It’s more likely to succeed than the ludicrous efforts to “de-exinct” Woolly Mammoths, Thylacines, or Dodos, projects that in the end won’t produce any de-extinction nor make Colossal any money.

Monday: Hili dialogue

October 26, 2026 • 6:45 am

Welcome to another “work” week: it’s Monday, October 26, 2026, and National Pumpkin Day.

Pumpkins are not all of one species, though they’re all in the winter squash genus Cucurbita. This photo from Wikipedia shows two species: it’s labeled, “A variety of pumpkin cultivars. The central and rightmost orange fruits are Cucurbita pepo, all others are Cucurbita maxima.”

It’s also National Mincemeat Day, National Mule Day, and Texas Chicken Fried Steak Day.  Here’s one I had—yes, in Texas— in 2005; my hand is for scale to show the size of this behemoth. Note the side of white bread and the mason jar of sweet tea:

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the October 26 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Tomorrow is a big and consequential election in Israel.  But don’t worry: the New York Times tells us what we need to know about it.

What happens on election day?

Election Day is a public holiday in Israel, with schools, government offices and many public services closed. In most of the country, polls are scheduled to open at 7 a.m. local time and close at 10 p.m., with hours slightly reduced in some small communities, hospitals and prisons.

Voters are assigned to a polling station near their registered residence and may vote only at that location. There are exceptions for soldiers, people with limited mobility and prisoners, among others.

All Israeli citizens 18 or older who are registered to vote may do so with a valid identification, such as a passport, driver’s license or Israeli identification card. Israel’s Arab citizens, who make up about 20 percent of the population, could play a significant role in the vote, depending on turnout.

What’s on the ballot?

Israel’s electoral system uses nationwide proportional representation. Elections to the Knesset, Israel’s 120-seat Parliament, are held at least every four years, though they can happen more often. In 2022, Israeli elections were held for the fifth time in three years after the Knesset dissolved itself.

Israelis cast a single ballot for a list of candidates affiliated with a party. A party receives a number of seats proportional to the national vote it got. To gain a place in Parliament, however, a party or must receive at least 3.25 percent of the valid votes. About 10 parties are expected to clear that electoral threshold.

How is a government formed?

No single party has ever won a majority of votes, which means parties must form factions and party leaders try to forge a governing coalition of at least 61 lawmakers.

Within seven days of the official election results being announced, Israel’s president, who plays a mostly symbolic role, meets with elected representatives of the parliamentary factions.

Israel’s president, Isaac Herzog, will assign a member of the Knesset — usually the leader of the party or faction that has won the most seats — to form a government. That candidate then has 28 days to negotiate with other factions and forge alliances to form a government, which must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence. That person can request a 14-day extension to the deadline.

If this fails, they keep trying, and if failure continues, they have new elections. More:

Who are the top contenders?

Different polls in the week ahead of the election have suggested different outcomes, which is “very problematic for political scientists,” said Assaf Shapira, who heads political research at the Israel Democracy Institute, a nonpartisan think tank in Israel.

Many Israelis consider this election to be a referendum on Mr. Netanyahu’s leadership. Mr. Netanyahu and his Likud party, and their hard-right allies, are in a close race with Gadi Eisenkot, a former military chief of staff who heads the opposition coalition led by the Yashar party and has emerged as Mr. Netanyahu’s top challenger.

I have no predictions here, as I don’t follow Israel’s internal politics that closely. My only prediction is that whoever becomes Prime Minister, it won’t reduce the world’s hatred of Israel. Israel-dissing based on Netanyahu is, in my view, largely bogus: a mask for antisemitism (= anti-Zionism). Netanyahu despite his flaws, is simply an excuse.

*WaPo foreign affairs columnist David Ignatius dilates on whether the U.S. has to gain by restarting our war with Iran, and what tactics are more likely to win if we do fight?

The U.S.-Iran conflict has been going on for so long that it sometimes seems stuck on replay. But the chapter that began in February changed the Middle East battlespace, likely forever. Deterrence failed. U.S. military bases in the region were ravaged. So were Gulf nations that had relied on American power. The old regime in Tehran was decapitated, but it was replaced by cocky hard-liners who seem convinced they can outlast a war-weary superpower.

What’s next? For now, the region is holding its breath, awaiting the outcome of Israel’s election Tuesday and the U.S. midterms a week later. But U.S. forces are surging into the region, and commanders are said to be preparing military options for President Donald Trump. One ominous sign is that the U.S. Embassy in Riyadh ordered some employees to leave, and other U.S. embassies in the region are reportedly making similar moves.

. . . Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu still wants regime change. “There is only one way to remove this threat once and for all: overthrow the regime in Iran,” he said Wednesday. Trump hasn’t gone that far, but he said Sunday that “we will soon finish the job” if Iran’s leaders don’t “change their ways, rapidly.”

. . . After that failure [the “memorandum of understandibng], Trump settled on a policy that combined armed escorts of Western oil tankers through the strait with economic strangulation of Iran. That combination, to me, has been the president’s most successful approach to date. But it hasn’t guaranteed his red line: Iran can never have a nuclear weapon. So, after nearly eight months of war, Trump is weighing whether to resume combat.

. , .If America goes back to war, how will it organize its forces? That’s the second question planners need to assess.

. . . “This is the moment to rethink the shape of the American military presence in the Middle East,” argued Richard Fontaine, who heads the Center for a New American Security. “The archipelago of U.S. military bases has been shown to be vulnerable.”

For now, with the bases damaged and vulnerable to drones and missiles, Centcom will have to rely on stand-off forces at sea and distant air bases. That may be a better architecture for the future, too. These forces can be surged into the Middle East when there’s a crisis, and they can spend most of their time in Asia, to which successive administrations have tried to “pivot.”

But H.R. McMaster, a veteran of two decades of war in the Middle East and former national security adviser, cautions that “you can’t accomplish political goals with stand-off forces.” To reassure local partners, Centcom will need layered air defenses and some hardened underground military bases. The Middle East isn’t about to disappear, and the long-term need to contain Iran will probably continue.

The Iran war is unpopular because it lacks a coherent endgame. Rolling the dice once again on regime change, as Netanyahu urges, isn’t a wise bet.

*In a news piece, the WSJ describes how AOC, ridden with ambition but typed as a “progressive”, has tried to broaden her outlook by becoming more centrist, perhaps hoping to run for President (Ceiling Cat help us) in 2028.

n the eight years since [she was elected to the House], Ocasio-Cortez has been the one to shift tactics—in ways that would have once seemed unthinkable for the firebrand leftist. The result is a political transformation reflecting real-world lessons about how to win in Washington.

The 37-year-old lawmaker has tempered her combative style, cozied up to establishment Democrats and distanced herself from some extreme positions pushed by other Democratic socialists—such as abolishing prisons and the police.

Whether or not Ocasio-Cortez decides to run for president in 2028—a much-talked-about possibility she says she is considering—she has tried to broaden the progressive base to include voters whose views don’t traditionally align with the far left, including Black voters and segments of MAHA.

. . .Yet her evolving strategy risks alienating progressive and far-left voters she needs in any bid for higher office, whether the Senate or the White House.

Ocasio-Cortez’s more inclusive approach, viewed skeptically by colleagues wary of her Democratic socialist credentials, coincides with a growing embrace of a populist economic agenda among Americans in both parties, according to a Wall Street Journal poll in September.

“I personally don’t think that we need to water down on our policy and our agenda and our principles,” Ocasio-Cortez said in an interview. “But I do think that we can expand and evolve in the way that we talk to people, and the way that we include people and shift away from a culture of exclusion.”

To that end, Ocasio-Cortez has sought to become a team player. In the past, she backed primary challenges to Democratic incumbents. She now contributes to the party committee that boosts campaigns of vulnerable lawmakers, including those who in the past have criticized her far-left ideas. Ahead of the midterm election, she has so far brought in more than $37 million, making her a top Democratic fundraiser, Federal Election Commission filings show.

I am wary of any candidate who changes their philosophy just to get elected: it’s as if they’re duping the public and have a real agenda that is secret. In addition, although she is savvy, particularly with respect to social media, I don’t think AOC is particularly smart, accomplished in terms of having done much in Congress, or, especially, experienced. She attracts media attention, and that’s what she’s good at. In my book, that’s not enough to be a Senator, much less President.

*After I recently wrote about the downside of “land acknowledgments,” reader Cate sent me a post about them that I’d missed. It’s at the Substack site of economist and writer Noah Smith, and is called “No, you are not on indigenous land,” with the subtitle, “Pieces of territory belong to institutions, not to racial groups.” It makes a number of good arguments against LAs, and is good further reading as well as more corrective to John McWhorter’s slanted argument.

If you go back far enough in time, of course, at some point this is no longer true. Humanity didn’t always exist; therefore for every piece of land, there was a first human to lay eyes on it, and a first human to say “This land is mine.” But by what right did this first human claim exclusive ownership of this land? Why does being the first person to see a natural object make you the rightful owner of that object? And why does being the first human to set foot on a piece of land give your blood descendants the right to dispose of that land as they see fit in perpetuity, and to exclude any and all others from that land? What about all the peoples of the world who were never lucky enough to be the first to lay eyes on any plot of dirt? Are they simply to be dispossessed forever?

I have never seen a satisfactory answer to these questions. Nor have I seen a satisfactory explanation of why ownership of land should be allocated collectively, in terms of racial or ethnic groups. In general, the first people who arrived on a piece of land did so in dribs and drabs, in small family units and tiny micro-tribes that met and married and fought and mixed and formed into larger identities and ethnicities and tribes over long periods of time. In most cases, the ethnic groups who now claim pieces of land as their own did not even exist when the first humans discovered or settled that land.

. . .But even in those cases when it did exist, why should land ownership be assigned to a race at all? Why should my notional blood relation to the discoverers or the conquerors of a piece of land determine whether I can truly belong on that land? Why should a section of the map be the land of the Franks, or the Russkiy, or the Cherokee, or the Han, or the Ramaytush Ohlone, or the Britons? Of course you can assign land ownership this way — it’s called an “ethnostate”. But if you do this, it means that the descendants of immigrants can never truly be full and equal citizens of the land they were born in. If Britain is defined as the land of the Britons, then a Han person whose great-great-great-grandparents moved there from China will exist as a contingent citizen — a perpetual foreigner whose continued life in the land of their birth exists only upon the sufferance of a different race. This is the price of ethnonationalism.

The downsides of ethnonationalism have been exhaustively laid out in the decades since World War 2, and I’m not going to reiterate them all now. Suffice it to say that most nations of the world have moved away from ethnonationalism — there is an informal sense in which some people still think of France as the land of the Franks and so on, but almost all nations define citizenship and belonging through institutions rather than race. Israel, one of the few exceptions to this rule, receives a large amount of international criticism for defining itself as an ethnostate.

And yet these days I am subjected to a constant stream of ethnonationalist claims from progressives in the country of my birth. Here’s one from the ACLU of Nebraska:

. . . Once the logic of land acknowledgements and “decolonization” is followed, it leads very quickly to some very dark futures. Assigning each person a homeland based on their ethnic ancestry, and then declaring that that homeland is the only place they or their descendants can ever truly belong, would not be an act of justice; it would be a global nightmare made real, surpassing even the horrors of previous centuries.

And in practice, any attempt to create such a world would inevitably lead to violent resistance by the groups in danger of being “decolonized”. The orderly world of nation-states would dissolve into a chaotic free-for-all of competing irredentist claims, backed by genocides and expulsions. Ten thousand October 7th-style attacks would be followed by ten thousand Gaza-style wars.

I do not want that, and you should not want it either. The American people certainly don’t want it, and the insistence of progressives on intoning land acknowledgements has probably tanked the movement’s cachet in wider society. I agree with Wayne Burkett when he says that land acknowledgements have probably hurt the Democratic party:

There’s a lot more to the longish piece, but I think most readers already want little to do with land acknowledgments.

*Over at the Free Press, NYU law professor Max Raskin ponders whether the rise of AI, which produces text even professional writers can’t distinguish from human writing, spells the death of the latter.

I spoke to George Will, one of this country’s most prominent columnists, who simply “rejects the premise” that AI will ever write better than the best human prose stylists. “If you want AI to mimic Hemingway, that’s easy. To mimic George Eliot is not easy,” Will said.

Other writers and editors I’ve spoken with over the past month aren’t as sure. What they’re quietly asking one another is whether they’ve already written their last essay, the way you may have watched your last DVD or mailed your last letter without knowing it. Why would anyone pay to read them when a machine can mimic their voice, faster and cheaper?

. . .Most people initially reject this premise because they think they can tell whether an essay was written by a human. Enough data and anecdotes are pouring in to show this confidence is an illusion. In a study published in August by Villanova University researchers, 1,682 adults read short fiction written either by AI or human beings. They not only preferred the stories written by AI, but in follow-up experiments, they did no better than a coin flip in determining authenticity.

The educated literary elite performed no better—in a separate study, researchers at Columbia, Michigan, and Stony Brook universities had readers with MFAs try to distinguish between passages written by AI and passages written by writers with MFAs. When the models were trained on a writer’s body of work, the MFA readers preferred the AI-generated passages to MFA-generated passages, and the best detection tools only flagged the AI text 3 percent of the time.

You can take your own test in the article (if you can access it), Raskin then asks that what follows if we admit that AI can write better than humans. After all, computers can beat all human chess players, but chess hasn’t disappeared. Will writers? There’s a way to say “no”:

Take two of the most famous political writers of the 20th century: William F. Buckley Jr. and Gore Vidal. It is impossible to think of them just as writers. They had distinct public personas that they cultivated through television, public appearances, and profiles. We are still watching documentaries about them. Their writing was always going to be secondary to developing and promoting their personas. Even if a machine is able to generate prose as well as Buckley or Vidal, it can’t replace the social capital they accumulated to get them to where they were. They traded favors with friends, schmoozed opinion makers, and knocked their tribe’s enemies. Would anyone really have cared if someone found out they had a team of ghostwriters working for them?

. . .So what matters for publishing houses is not so much how the writing got done; it is the social or political capital writers have earned. Writers write stories that flatter their friends, advance their ideals, and attack their enemies. And fiction does not escape these considerations. As for the news business, it has always involved commercial decisions. Reporters aren’t going away—newsmakers don’t want to trade their valuable scoops with robots. But as for columnists, part of that commercial calculation is that tribal affiliation and status matter. We like our favorite writers and probably won’t feel the same way about our favorite robots. A perfect case is chess. Everyone knows that Magnus Carlsen can be beat by the processing power in an old iPhone. That doesn’t stop people from both playing and watching him.

Readers will still want a face to a name: George Will isn’t going anywhere. The writer of the future, much like the writer of today, will be much more a persona and brand than a craftsman or laborer.

I’m not sure I buy this argument, but it does have some force. What do you think?

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili has a question:

Hili: Do you know the answer to my question?
Andrzej: Probably not, but we can try.

In Polish:

Hili: Czy znasz odpowiedź na moje pytanie?
Ja: Prawdopodobnie nie, ale możemy spróbować.

*******************

From Meow Incorporated:

From Bad Spelling or Grammar on Signs and Notices; note the cattle horns on the hood:

From Cheryl’s Amazingly Positive, No Politics Allowed, Interesting People Group:

This woman, who’s in Poland with Masih, had a hard row to hoe, but she’s brave. Look at the story of the monster she was married to in Iran:

From Luana; “women are the first victims of immigration”:

From Malcolm; a compendium of cute, awkward, or funny cats. Some might well be fake:

From the Number Ten Cat, making a funny:

Two from my feed. First, watch the four-minute video on how squirrels live in boxes built by a nice man:

A musical tribute to performative hatred, shared properly:

One I reposted from The Auschwitz Memorial:

And one from Doctor Cobb: look at the size of this behemoth!

This footage shot by a tourist aboard Jacksonville Boat Charters near Amelia Island, Florida shows a leatherback sea turtle (Dermochelys coriacea).At 2000 lbs (900 kg) & 7 ft long (2.1 m) they're the largest turtles & indeed one of the heaviest extant reptiles on Earth.Here There Be Monsters!

— c0nc0rdance (@c0nc0rdance.bsky.social) 2026-10-24T17:06:55.051Z

Another literary scam

October 25, 2026 • 10:15 am

This keeps happening to me and, I suspect, to anyone who’s written a book that’s gotten some notice.  This email that I received last week is about the fifth one of its type I got, all touting a “book club” that authors are invited to participate in. The author is first flattered by a description of the wonders if his/her book, and then invited to find out “details” or participate in an international discussion of the book.

The first time I got one of these I was flattered, sap that I am, and told them to go ahead and read Why Evolution is True as a group. I even volunteered to proffer a list of questions for the readers to ponder. At that point they asked me for $210 to cover “fees and expenses,” and then I realized that I had been hooked into a scam. I wrote back saying I had no intention of paying to help out readers, and I never heard back.  Now I either ignore these hooks or write back and tell them to leave me alone.

Here’s what I got (they always use your first name, I suppose to instill familiarity into the exchange):

Hello Jerry,

I came across Speciation and was drawn to its exploration of how new species arise and how scientists study that process. Discussing these ideas with readers would make a thoughtful conversation.

My name is Elowen, and I’m reaching out from the Australian Literary Network. We would love to invite you to an online author conversation about the book, your writing journey, and your approach to explaining research on evolution and the natural world.

Would you be interested in receiving the session details?

Warm regards,
Elowen Hartley
Australian Literary Network

One key to this being bogus is that they are trying to get general readers to connect with my technical book Speciation rather than my two trade books. I don’t recommend Speciation to readers who don’t have training in organismal or evolutionary biology as it presumes some in-depth knowledge of those fields. The book is aimed largely at graduate students and faculty in evolutionary biology.

The Australian Literary Network has a respectable-looking website, and there is an Elowen Hartley who does “international market expansion,” but no Elowen Hartley connected with the Australian Literary Network.  Did that network hire her to expand their business?

And is the Australian Literary Network even a reputable organization?  I asked Grok, “Australian Literary Network: is it a reputable organization?”, and this is what the bot told me:

No, the Australian Literary Network (australianliterarynetwork.org) is not a reputable organization. It is widely regarded as a scam targeting authors.

Key Evidence

  • Domain age vs. claims: The site claims to have operated for 7+ years (since ~2017) with 12,000+ members, hundreds of events, book clubs, and author spotlights. In reality, the domain was registered on 22 May 2026 via Hostinger (privacy-protected) and is only a few months old. It is hosted on Amazon infrastructure and has a low trust score (~55/100) from reputation checkers due to its newness and limited independent history.
  • Author reports of the same pattern: Multiple authors (on Threads, X, and elsewhere) describe nearly identical outreach: polished emails offering to “feature” or spotlight their book (often with AI-generated flattery calling the work “profound”), followed by a request for a digital copy and a $150 “coordination” or “time” fee. The group does not appear to buy copies, and it pushes for video calls with “members.” Authors who investigated noted mismatched team photos/names and other red flags.
  • Team and legitimacy issues: Named “team” members (e.g., Steven Crandell, Christine Kessides) match real independent authors, but there is no evidence they are affiliated with any Australian literary network of this kind—another common scam tactic of borrowing real names. No ABN, Australian company registration, physical address, or established presence in the Australian literary community (e.g., links to AustLit, the Small Press Network, or other known bodies) appears to exist.
  • Website style: It presents a slick, professional-looking site with generic stats, mission statements, book recommendations (often linking to Amazon), and community claims. This fits the pattern of recent AI-assisted publishing and “literary network” scams that have targeted Australian and other authors.

Legitimate Australian literary infrastructure exists (AustLit for bibliographic data, the Small Press Network for independent publishers, established journals and festivals, etc.), but this entity is not part of it.Recommendation: Treat any unsolicited contact from them as a scam. Do not pay fees, send manuscripts, or engage further. Report it via Australia’s Scamwatch if relevant, and warn other authors. Similar schemes are common in the current wave of AI-assisted literary scams.

That was enough for me. I wrote “Elowen” a somewhat testy response, but of course it’s more productive for me to publicize what they do and what Grok says about them (Google AI. Authors should know about these scams and avoid the baited hooks they dangle before you.

John McWhorter goes back to antiwoke

October 25, 2026 • 8:30 am

The other day I expressed dismay that NYT writer John McWhorter produced a piece heartily endorsing land acknowledgments (“LA”s). That was out of character for a man who got a lot of attention for his “antiprogressive” stands, encapsulated in his book Woke Racism: How a New Religion Has Betrayed Black America. My objection to the LA piece was not just that LAs are truly woke—in the sense of being a performative act that nearly always accomplishes nothing but signaling virtue—but that McWhorter neglected the problems with them. These problems included determining who should acknowledge whom (and when) as well as the objections that many indigenous object to LAs.  In other words, his column was slanted.

But McWhorter somewhat redeemed himself with a recent column on “lived experience”, also in the NYT.  To read it, click on the headline below or find the piece archived here.

His point is about literature: whether writers should be chastised for adopting points of view that don’t come from their own ethnicity or sex. That is, is it kosher to write about the “lived experience” of people who are Hispanic, black, or Asian if you’re white, or about a woman if you’re a man?

As we know, the “progressive” answer is “no.”  I’ve attacked this viewpoint many times, arguing that one of the purposes of literature is to give the reader other points of view, and there’s no necessity that a writer can do that only by writing from the viewpoint of his sex and ethnicity, much less lived experience.  Tolstoy’s Anna Karenina, my favorite novel, describes in detail the emotions of a woman, although of course Tolstoy had a Y chromosome. Likewise, his The Death of Ivan Ilych recounts what it’s like to be dying, though Tolstoy himself died 24 years later. It is so realistic, and so moving, that it was used in medical schools to teach doctors what terminal patients might experience.  You don’t have to be a woman to portray what it’s like to be a woman, nor terminally ill to imagine what it’s like.

The presumption that only members of a group can write from the “group’s viewpoint” is doubly wrong. It assumes not only that “authenticity” requires a writer to write from his own “lived experience”, but also that every member of a group shares a similar viewpoint.  Did all white men share the view of Mark Twain when he wrote the novel Huckleberry Finn, featuring an empathic view of Jim, a black man? Was it improper for Kazuo Ishiguro to write about upper-class British life in Remains of the Day?  The answer to both questions is “of course not!”

In fact, imagination can stand in for lived experience, and imagination comes from the “lived experience” of encountering or studying people not of your type. But that’s not the progressive view, which has led to recent novels being demonized or canceled simply because the writer was of the “wrong” ethnicity.  McWhorter gives some examples, beginning with Allan Gurganus, a white author who wrote about women and blacks.

[Gurganus’s] command of the Black characters was equally authoritative. He especially got behind the eyes of a woman taken to Charleston via the horrific Middle Passage and how she perceived whites on seeing them for the first time, throughout her childhood as a slave, and then living long past the Civil War.

Today, however, a fashion among certain influential people is to dismiss it as “problematic” that someone would approach those characters without having had their “lived experience.” Under this analysis Gurganus was being a kind of puppeteer, speaking for characters he couldn’t hope to portray as accurately and fully as someone of their sex or race.

Accusations of this kind have been standard since the late 2010s. Jeanine Cummins’s 2020 novel, “American Dirt,” sold over four million copies and was chosen for Oprah’s Book Club amid glowing reviews from many important voices, including the Mexican American writer Sandra Cisneros. Suddenly, however, a chorus of detractors dismissed the book as poorly written, especially aggrieved that Cummins was a white woman writing about Mexican immigrants.

The major publishers rejected Rebecca Bruff’s “Trouble the Water” because she is white and wrote from the perspective of a Black Civil War veteran. In 2018 The Nation published a poem by Anders Carlson-Wee written as a statement from a homeless Black narrator. The poem was written with care and empathy, but the predictable response from certain quarters led The Nation to publish an apology for printing it.

The Own Voices movement in the late 2010s elevated children’s books written by authors sharing the protagonists’ identities. Of late, Rachel Reid has been criticized for writing “Heated Rivalry,” a novel about gay male hockey players, when she is obviously not a gay man and has not specified whether she is a gay woman.

If you have any acquaintance with literature, you’ll be able to come up with similar examples.  My own children’s book, Mr. Das and his Fifty Cats (still unpublished), was received and read with enthusiasm by a British agent and an illustrator, but it was never shown to any publishers? Why? Because, as they told me, I wrote about India and am not Indian but “white”. If you read the book (and if you’re a publisher, please do!), you’ll see how dumb that judgment was.

Now McWhorter makes no points in this article that haven’t been made by others. But the article is valuable because the ludicrous view that authors must write from their experience as a member of the target group is a view still with us. These points must be made over and over again so long as “progressive” attitudes persist, passed on from one generation to the next.  Also, McWhorter is a superb writer himself , having a lot of experience with novels and musicals, and so makes a trenchant and compelling argument:

Broadway musicals, for example, are the product of people who created beyond their lived experiences, as the forthcoming book “Broadway in Black and White,” written by the conductor John Mauceri with interpolations by yours truly, describes. The score of “Show Boat” is a vast, plangent and achingly beautiful surge of musical and lyrical creativity, much of it channeling Black spirituals, blues and ragtime music as well as the Black characters’ speech patterns and perspective on their lives (“Ol’ Man River”). None of this was the “lived experience” of the two white, educated, affluent men who made “Show Boat,” Jerome Kern and Oscar Hammerstein. But they created something so powerful that after the first performance, audience members were so stunned that they at first forgot to applaud.

Kern was of course Jewish, and Hammerstein was of part-Jewish ancestry, but the musical has nary a Jew in it.  A huge portion of Broadway musicals were in fact written by Jews, but none before Fiddler on the Roof starred explicitly Jewish characters. Did anyone object to all those other musicals being “inauthentic”? I don’t think so.

The one original point in the essay is in fact made by Garganus:

Gurganus has said: “It’s extraordinary that it is considered a feat for a male human to actually imagine a female one. Fifty-one percent of human beings on earth are women, right? We’ve all spent nine months riding around in the belly of one, and yet when it comes to writing I and thinking she — impossibility looms.”

Of course I’m not trying to justify the hegemony of whites or men as authors. Far from it. There was a time, though, when members of minority groups were barred from writing nearly anything—a product of bigotry. Those days are thankfully passing, and my view is that anybody can write about anything or any characters, and the product should be judged not by whether the “lived experience” comes from real life, but by whether the writing is engaging, resonating with the viewer, listener, or reader. As I wrote in Quillette:

The real value of art, then, is not that it conveys knowledge that can’t be acquired in other ways, but that it produces emotional and cognitive effects on the receiver, usually conferring an experience of beauty. Art can enrich how we think about ourselves and other people, and, crucially, allow us to view the world through eyes other than our own. Through reflection, this expansion of experience can enhance our knowledge of ourselves. But that is subjective rather than propositional knowledge.

Or, as McWhorter says at the end:

. . . But the idea that one should write from only one’s own experience is a willfully narrow-minded attack on creativity, empathy and even reason. It is cherished most by a vocal and generally younger minority, to whom the literary world caters out of fear of being called dirty names on social media, as well as mere expedience. Best not to poke the bear, you know.

The lived experience notion has certainly elicited pushback. This should continue, increase and ultimately render the whole idea an obsolete curiosity. This needlessly Balkanizing fashion, presented as enlightenment, is simply jejune. The literary world needs to get over it and get back to publishing writers for being the uniquely imaginative and empathetic humans they are.

Perhaps some day before I die an agent will read Mr. Das and His Fifty Cats and not devalue it because I am “white”.