Why Evolution is True is a blog written by Jerry Coyne, centered on evolution and biology but also dealing with diverse topics like politics, culture, and cats.
The Gifford Lectures, first given in 1898, were established by a bequest of Lord Adam Gifford, and were intended to “promote and diffuse the study of natural theology in the widest sense of the term — in other words, the knowledge of God.” In other words, they were supposed to use evidence from nature to give evidence for God (“natural theology”). And that was how they began, with lecturers like Paul Tillich, Ian Barbour, and Alfred North Whitehead. But then the organizers decided to throw in some atheists as well, and those, including Carl Sagan, Steven Pinker, and now our own Official Website Physicist, Sean Carroll™, have given some of the best talks. Nevertheless, the emphasis is still on the evidence for theism, promoted by speakers like Alvin Plantinga, Simon Conway Morris, and Roger Scruton.
The Giffords are some of the most prestigious lectures around, and I’m pleased that Sean was able to deliver them. His were given in Glasgow: the lectures are alternated among Glasgow, St Andrews, and Edinburgh. (Wikipedia lists all the luminaries who have spoken.) The topics were drawn from his recent book: The Big Picture, which I recommend highly. He’s also a great speaker, and though I haven’t yet listened to all of these (though I have read the book), I certainly will. I present four of the five of the talks, put on YouTube, below. Sadly, for some reason the first lecture wasn’t recorded: a huge cock-up on the part of the organizers. But you can at least see the slides.
Sometimes the speakers turn their lectures into short published books; in my case, I had just written a book that fit well into the topic, so I spoke about the ideas in The Big Picture. Unfortunately the first of the five lectures was not recorded, but the subsequent four were. Here are those recordings, along with a copy of my slides for the first talk. It’s not a huge loss, as many of the ideas in the first lecture can be found in previous talks I’ve given on the arrow of time; it’s about the evolution of our universe, how that leads to an arrow of time, and how that helps explain things like memory and cause/effect relations. The second lecture was on the Core Theory and why we think it will remain accurate in the face of new discoveries. The third lecture was on emergence and how different ways of talking about the world fit together, including discussions of effective field theory and why the universe itself exists. Lecture four dealt with the evolution of complexity, the origin of life, and the nature of consciousness. (I might have had to skip some details during that one.) And the final lecture was on what it all means, why we are here, and how to live in a universe that doesn’t come with any instructions. Enjoy!
Lecture #1 has no video yet, just slides, and you can see them by clicking on the screenshot:
Our Official Website Videographer™, Tara Tanaka, has been back after a journey out West to do more filming. She’s given us a peek at four videos that will soon be on her Vimeo page but are now on her Flickr page. To see these best, go to the Flickr page (click on the video to see the arrow and title appear, and then click on the title to go to the video on Flickr, where you can see it much enlarged).
Tara’s introduction:
We just spent a month at Bosque del Apache National Wildlife Reserve in New Mexico, and I’ve uploaded 4 videos from there, plus one that is about 20 stills transitioned together – all on Flickr. When I get home and I have the bandwidth I will also upload them on Vimeo, but if you want to link to them on Flickr you are welcome to. It’s a fantastic place, and I have a lot more photos to post when I have time!
Here are the videos with information:
2016-10-31. Flock of twenty-two turkey gobblers eating grass seed (and one with a fear of frogs)
We were fortunate to come across a large flock of gobblers yesterday in perfect light, and with the 1000mm of my digiscoping system I was able to stay far enough away from them to keep from spooking them. I had no idea that this was how they eat seed – it was fascinating to watch and film. When they went down to the water for a drink, it made me laugh when the gobbler jumped when a big frog jumped from in front of him.
I only shoot photos and video using manual focus, and this video of the birds in the tall grass would not have been possible using AF, as the camera would have constantly been trying to focus on the grass in front of the birds.
A windy morning dawns at Bosque del Apache NWR. Dancing on the wind,
Dancing in high winds must be a lot of fun when you have wings.
2016-11-08. Sandhill Cranes—A Time to Dance [a sequence of stills]
I was photographing Sandhill Cranes in flight when I glanced down to see a dance starting right below where I was following a pair of cranes. I quickly focused on the dancing pair and shot a burst of 20 raw photos. I wanted to share more than one, so I combined them into this short video. I’ve never seen Sandhills dance this high in the air.
Digiscoped using manual focus.
2016-11-11 Sandhill Cranes stream across a New Mexico sky
This is but a small taste of what it’s like to be surrounded by Sandhill Cranes arriving at Bosque del Apache NWR, just after sunset. The sounds are as much a part of the experience as the sights. Most of the calling is from birds on the ground, “talking” to and calling in the new arrivals. It’s a truly magical experience.
2016-11-12. There’s always one that stands out from the crowd
Last night I videoed hundreds of Sandhill Cranes arrive on their wintering grounds at Bosque del Apache NWR. When it was almost completely dark and I was photographing silhoutted cranes in the water, I noticed a leucistic Sandhill that looked different from the one I’ve seen a few times at the refuge. This morning when I arrived before sunrise the beautiful crane was among the many gray Sandhills, getting ready to leave to feed for the day. This is definitely a different bird, distinguished by the nude colored skin patches on the legs and face, and by the gray patch on the back of its head.
Digiscoped in 4K using a GH4 + 20mm/1.7 + Digidapter + Swarovski STX85 scope using manual focus.
The Flickr page is also loaded with great photos. Here are but two:
Sandhills at sunrise. Digiscoped before sunrise using manual focus, 1/5s.
Good morning! It’s November 28, 2016, and it’s National French Toast Day. Now there’s something I can get behind: when I was a lad, even into college age, my mom would sometimes make me French Toast (probably unknown in France) as a special treat. I remember pouring Mrs. Butterworth’s syrup over it from the lady-shaped bottle. It’s also the Feast Day of St. Herman of Alaska (!), a Russian Orthodox monk who ministered in what was then Russian territory. I know of no other saint from Alaska, but I’m probably wrong.
On this day in 1520, Ferdinand Magellan’s fleet sailed through the passage at South America’s tip now known as the Strait of Magellan. In 1582, William Shakespeare and Anne Hathaway paid a a £40 bond for their marriage license. The Royal Society of London was founded i 1660 was founded on this day, and, in 1967, astronomers Jocelyn Bell Burnell and Antony Hewish.discovered the first pulsar. Burnell, though she later accrued many honors, failed to receive the 1974 Nobel Prize along with Hewish, widely seen as an injustice (I agree).
Notables born on this day include Alberto Moravia (1907), Motown Founder Berry Gordy, Jr. (1929, and still with us at 87), Ed Harris (1950), and Jon Stewart (1962). Those who died on this day include Richard Wright (1960), Rosalind Russell (1976 ♥), and Leslie Nielsen (2010). Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili and Cyrus are feeling neglected:
Hili: It’s very symptomatic.
Cyrus: What’s symptomatic?
Hili: That nobody pays any attention to us.
In Polish:
Hili: To jest bardzo symptomatyczne.
Cyrus: Co jest symptomatyczne?
Hili: To, że nikt na nas nie zwraca uwagi.
We have another Hili shot taken this morning, which is on Andrzej’s Facebook page. It snowed last night in Dobrzyn, and Hili was of course affronted when she went to the front door. When I asked why this photo wasn’t the basis of a Hili dialogue, Malogorzata responded, “She was speechless.”
And in Wloclawek, Leon, a bit of a narcissist, is checking out his fans (many of them here), and makes an enigmatic statement. The explanation is below the picture.
Leon: Which one here is my fan? I will give him nice results on the mock exam.
I asked Malgorzata what this was about, and she answered this way:
Oh, at the end of junior high in Poland, kids get a very difficult exam which is important for their further education. Teachers show the kids what’s waiting them and at the same time can check who needs more work in which field by giving them a mock exam structured exactly like the final exam, but just for the teacher and pupils— it has no bearing on their access to other schools (like the final, real exam does).
Leon is at Elzbieta’s laptop and fully intends to give his fans better results than the real ones they achieved on the test. Leon likes to have fans.
And from BBC Radio 4, courtesy of reader Laurie, we have “16 things you never knew about cats.” Hint #4 could be useful if you own a cat. I knew 8 of these “facts” (some of which may be doubtful).
1. When night falls in the Disneyland theme park, 200 cats are released to catch all the mice.
2. A group of cats is called a clowder.
3. Cats sweat through their paws.
4. Cats will normally eat something confidently on the fourth go after tasting it uncertainly three times. So stick the antibiotic in the fourth bit of ham…
5. Cat nap. On average, cats sleep for 70% of the day.
6. Unbelievably their urine glows in the dark.
7. Every single domesticated cat can be traced back to one of five African wild cats. [I think it’s only one subspecies, but I’m not sure.]
8. Cats can’t taste sweet things.
9. Female cats are more likely to be right-pawed, and male cats left.
10. A cat has no collarbone.
11. Isaac Newton invented the cat flap.
12. The technical name for a hairball is a bezoar.
13. A female cat is called a molly or a queen.
14. Cats can drink sea water. Their kidneys do something complicated to filter out the salt.
15. In the Dutch embassy in Moscow, the embassy’s cats kept clawing at the walls. Investigation revealed microphones hidden by spies.
16. Cats are responsible for the extinction of 33 different species, including mammals and birds. They are listed among the top 100 most invasive species.
Reader John O’Neall called my attention to a new article in The Independent about the continuing slaughter of African elephants for their ivory tusks. This is a form of artificial selection—the elephants targeted are those with the largest tusks—that has a predictable result given that artificial selection on a trait almost never fails:
An increasing number of African elephants are now born tuskless because poachers have consistently targetted animals with the best ivory over decades, fundamentally altering the gene pool.
In some areas 98 per cent of female elephants now have no tusks, researchers have said, compared to between two and six per cent born tuskless on average in the past.
. . . About 144,000 elephants were killed between 2007 and 2014, leaving the species at risk of extinction in some areas. Meanwhile those African elephant populations that do survive could become virtually tuskless, like their Asian cousins, researchers have warned.
Joyce Poole is head of the charity Elephant Voices and has been tracking developments in the species for more than 30 years. She toldThe Times she had seen a direct correlation between the intensity of poaching and the percentage of females born without tusks in some of the herds she monitored.
In Gorongosa National Park in Mozambique, 90 per cent of elephants were slaughtered between 1977 and 1992, during the country’s civil war. Dr Poole said that because poachers disproportionately targetted tusked animals, almost half the females over 35 years of age have no tusks, and although poaching is now under control and the population is recovering well, they are passing the tuskless gene down to their daughters: 30 per cent of female elephants born since the end of the war also do not have tusks.
You can read a longer and more scientific article about this at the African Wildlife Foundation. When I read about a “tuskless gene” in the bit above, I was dubious, for such selection will work regardless of its genetic basis, and traits like tusk size are usually influenced by many genes of smaller effect. But it turns out that, according to Poole, there is such a gene:
“Elephants carry a sex-linked gene for tusklessness, so in most populations there are always some tuskless elephants,” says Poole. “Because males require tusks for fighting, tusklessness has been selected against in males and very few males are tuskless. For African elephants, tuskless males have a much harder time breeding and do not pass on their genes as often as tusked males.”
I don’t know much about that gene, but it would seem to be recessive, so that tuskless males will always pass on the gene to their daughters, but not their sons (the gene is on the X, not the Y). Tuskless females would have to carry two copies of the recessive gene, and all their sons would be tuskless. But regardless of the genetics, selective poaching of elephants with bigger tusks will cause tusklessness to spread in the population.
An adult female elephant without tusks, perhaps homozygous for the “tuskless” gene. Source.
You might think that this is fine: that once all the elephants are virtually tuskless, the poaching will stop, for elephants are killed only for their ivory. But it’s not that simple, for tusks are there for a reason: they’re used for self-defense, for digging, and, perhaps most important, females prefer to mate with males having larger tusks. While tuskless elephants may survive without their armaments, a strong female preference for mating with tusked males might mean that such populations simply won’t mate, and that means extinction.
This is not the only case in which artificial selection through hunting has changed a species: many edible fish, for example, have evolved reduced body size because fisherman not only go after the big ones, leaving the smaller ones to breed, but overfishing imposes selection on fish to breed when younger and smaller (those fish with genes allowing them to breed when younger are more likely to leave their genes to the next generation).
What we have, then, is another example of the efficacy of artificial selection, something that we’ve known for decades. (In fact, I know of only three laboratory selection experiments that have failed to change a population, and two of those are mine.) And the effect is predictable. The solution is not to cut the tusks off living elephants to prevent their slaughter, or to let elephants evolve tusklessness, which could lead to their extinction.) The solution is to stop the ivory trade. Steps have been taken to do this, but so long as ivory is coveted in countries like China, driving the price of tusks to stratospheric levels (a pound of ivory can fetch $1500 on the black market; a huge amount given the weight of tusks), the problem will persist, and we’ll see horrible scenes like this:
Since the tusks extend into the head, poachers have to partially decapitate the elephant.
Howard Smith is a lecturer in Harvard’s Department of Astronomy as well as an astrophysicist at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics. He’s also a religious Jew who spends his time reconciling science with the mystical tenets of the Kaballah. The website for Smith’s 2006 book, Let There Be Light: Modern Cosmology and Kaballah: A New Conversation Between Science and Religion, describes the author as “a traditional and observant Jew,” and adds this:
The power of the scientific method is that every single person will see and hear exactly the same thing. Mistakes of interpretation will be found and fixed; cumulative wisdom grows, and as it does, we gain in understanding about God’s “Book of Nature.” In contrast, our relationship with the holy is communal and personal, and is sanctified. Together, our mind and our spirit, our shared and our personal experiences of the Divine, enable us to live in the natural world both aware of and grateful for its blessings. The psalm for Shabbat, Psalm 92, celebrates the universe that was completed with Shabbat: “How amazing is Your Creation, oh Lord, and how subtle are Your thoughts! …. An ignorant person can’t understand it; a simple-minded person won’t get it.” Thanks to the revolution in science and religion we are reaching for new highs of awareness. May we also reach new levels of wonder, gratitude, and holiness.
So what we have here is a religious scientist. But the religion part is completely missing from Smith’s op-ed in Friday’s Washington Post, “Humanity is cosmically special. Here’s how we know.” Or rather, the religion is implied, but is only implicit for reasons we can guess: instead of confessing his beliefs at the outset, Smith tries to use science to show that humans are “special”, and that, perhaps, there’s a Higher Intelligence behind the presence of humans on Earth.
To make his argument, Smith makes a number of discredited claims, including the “fine-tuning” argument. I’ll excerpt a few passages, all of which are wrong:
There was a time, back when astronomy put Earth at the center of the universe, that we thought we were special. But after Copernicus kicked Earth off its pedestal, we decided we were cosmically inconsequential, partly because the universe is vast and about the same everywhere. Astronomer Carl Sagan put it this way: “We find that we live on an insignificant planet of a humdrum star.” Stephen Hawking was even blunter: “The human race is just a chemical scum on a moderate-sized planet.”
An objective look, however, at just two of the most dramatic discoveries of astronomy — big bang cosmology and planets around other stars (exoplanets) — suggests the opposite. We seem to be cosmically special, perhaps even unique — at least as far as we are likely to know for eons.
The first result — the anthropic principle — has been accepted by physicists for 43 years. The universe, far from being a collection of random accidents, appears to be stupendously perfect and fine-tuned for life.
The weak anthropic principle, that we happen to live in a Universe that allows our existence, and thus our pondering that existence, is not at issue here. That’s just a tautology. The rest of the piece makes clear that Smith is talking about the strong anthropic principle (SAP), in which physical laws were devised by some higher power to permit human life. And that argument has not “been accepted by physicists for 43 years”.
There are, of course, alternative explanations to the SAP, five of which are mentioned by another physicist, Sean Carroll, in the video below. I needn’t reprise them, but I urge you to listen to the 9-minute video to refresh your knowledge of the issues.
There’s more wrong stuff (my emphasis in the excerpt below):
The most extreme example is the big bang creation: Even an infinitesimal change to its explosive expansion value would preclude life. The frequent response from physicists offers a speculative solution: an infinite number of universes — we are just living in the one with the right value. But modern philosophers such as Thomas Nagel and pioneering quantum physicists such as John Wheeler have argued instead that intelligent beings must somehow be the directed goal of such a curiously fine-tuned cosmos.
Carroll takes care of the “big bang creation” argument in the video at 2:15 in the video, showing Smith’s ignorance of the very physics he teaches. As for Nagel, who claims that evolution can’t account for consciousness (Nagel doesn’t mention God but nevertheless suggests some unknown teleological force), my colleague Allen Orr has dispelled that view in his review of Nagel’s ideas in the New York Review of Books.
Then Smith proceeds to a biological argument:
It seems likely that exoplanets could host extraterrestrial intelligence. But intelligence is not so easy to produce. Paleontologist Peter Ward and astronomer Donald Brownlee summarize the many constraints in their book “Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe ” and show why it takes vastly more than liquid water and a pleasant environment to give birth even to simple (much less complex) life. At a minimum, it takes an environment stable for billions of years of evolution, plus all the right ingredients. Biologists from Jacques Monod to Stephen Jay Gould have emphasized the extraordinary circumstances that led to intelligence on Earth, while geneticists have found that DNA probably resulted from many accidents. So although the same processes operate everywhere, some sequences could be unlikely, even astronomically unlikely. The evolution of intelligence could certainly be such a sequence.
In fact, intelligence has evolved independently several times on Earth, unless you confine the definition of intelligence as “human-like” intelligence. Octopuses are intelligent, crows are intelligent, cats are intelligent. These are all independent evolutionary events. So what does that say about the “likelihood” of evolving intelligence? Simply that it’s not “astronomically unlikely”! One can easily see how the evolution of reasoning and foresight could confer enormous adaptive advantages to individuals, probably explaining the convergent evolution of intelligence in many species.
Further, it doesn’t take “billions of years of evolution” to evolve “even simple life”. The first strong evidence for life we have on Earth is about 3.4 billion years ago: bacteria that were already quite complex. And to get that degree of complexity you’d need substantial time. Other evidence suggests that there was life about 3.7 billion years ago—less than one billion years after Earth formed as a molten ball. Smith needs to read up on biology and evolution. What he’s getting at here, of course, is that some Intelligent Force was necessary to force the occurrence of such an improbable phenomenon.
Smith then bangs on about how the finite speed of light prevents us from even knowing about distant but intelligent beings. From that he somehow concludes that we are not only alone in “our cosmic neighborhood,” but “probably rare” and “not ordinary.” Well, surely the conditions for the evolution of life surely aren’t common in the Universe, but we simply have no idea how rare they are. Smith has no evidence that “the bottom line for extraterrestrial intelligence is that it is probably rarer than previously imagined.” Well, lots of people have “previously imagined” the rarity, and made calculations; but all those calculations are speculative, based not only on data we don’t have, but on our solipsistic view that extraterrestrial life must resemble that on Earth.
Smith gives away the game in his final paragraph, where he clearly implies some intelligence behind humans. When I read this, without knowing anything about the author, I immediately thought, “Smith is religious.” It turned out I was right. The bolding below is mine:
Some of my colleagues strongly reject this notion [that “we”–humans–are not ordinary]. They would echo Hawking: “I can’t believe the whole universe exists for our benefit.” Yes, we all have beliefs — but beliefs are not proof. Hawking’s belief presumes that we are nothing but ordinary, a “chemical scum.” All the observations so far, however, are consistent with the idea that humanity is not mediocre at all and that we won’t know otherwise for a long time. It seems we might even serve some cosmic role. So this season let us be grateful for the amazing gifts of life and awareness, and acknowledge the compelling evidence to date that humanity and our home planet, Earth, are rare and cosmically precious. And may we act accordingly.
What on Earth does it mean that we “serve some cosmic role” and are “cosmically precious”? Those very phrases imply that there’s a playwright behind our evolution, and for Smith that’s surely Yahweh. Note that he uses the word “unique” in the first excerpt from his op-ed.
So what we have here is an op-ed in a prominent newspaper that uses dubious and erroneous arguments to claim that humans were designed. But those arguments don’t stand up in light of what physicists and biologists—at least those not already committed to a religious explanation—understand about our cosmos. There is no compelling argument that we serve any cosmic role, or that any Designer is behind physical law and human evolution.
What galls me about Smith’s article is that, in light of his known views, he’s trying to hide his argument for God, all the while leading the reader to think that there must be a god running our Universe. His piece is deliberately misleading—indeed, duplicitous.
Finally, I’d point out to Smith that invoking Yahweh is a nonstarter, for then he’d have to explain the existence of the designer. Where did he come from? How did he act? And those are surely harder to explain than is the existence of intelligent life on Earth.
I’m surprised Smith hasn’t yet been funded by Templeton, but he has talked on these issues at an event sponsored by the American Association for the Advancement of Science, under their DoSER (“Dialogue on Science, Ethics and Religion”) program, itself funded by Templeton. (That program, by the way, is a blight on the AAAS.)
I’ll add a link to this post in the comments after Smith’s article.
I call your attention to Heather Hastie’s new post, “Has the US education system been set-up to fail?” It paints a dire picture of what’s happening in U.S. schools, discusses Trump’s appointment of Betsy DeVos (probably a creationist) as his education secretary, and explains why DeVos’s and Trump’s emphasis on “school choice” as a solution to the problem is wrong. The post is thoughtful, full of data, and well worth reading.
By the way, Trump apparently offered DeVos’s post first to Jerry Falwell, Jr., the out-and-out creationist president of the Christian school Liberty University. Falwell, however, turned down the offer as he couldn’t afford the 4-year commitment to a cabinet post in light of his university duties. Despite that, HuffPo (I’m still obsessed) still has this headline on its front page (click to go to the article):
As you see, when you click on the HuffPo headline, it goes to an Associated Press report that says this:
RICHMOND, Va. (AP) — Liberty University President Jerry Falwell Jr. says President elect-Donald Trump offered him the job of education secretary, but that he turned it down for personal reasons.
Falwell tells The Associated Press that Trump offered him the job last week during a meeting in New York. He says Trump wanted a four- to six-year commitment, but that he couldn’t leave Liberty for more than two years.
. . . Trump announced Wednesday he had selected charter school advocate Betsy DeVos for the job. Falwell says he thinks DeVos is an “excellent choice.”
It would behoove HuffPo to have an accurate headline; this one is duplicitous and is another attempt to go after Trump. Granted, Falwell would have been an abysmal choice—I despair of having a Secretary of Education who doesn’t accept evolution— and DeVos may well share that view, but the headline is misleading.
But no matter what happens, make no mistake: science education, and perhaps science funding, is likely to take a serious hit under a Trump administration.