Nobody won the football contest

June 24, 2014 • 6:07 pm

Well, nobody even guessed the outcomes of all of today’s games, much less the scores.  One of the big problems was that hardly anyone predicteed that Costa Rica would tie with England. But even those who did foundered on the Greece/Ivory Coast prediction, with those who got the tie correct also predicting a loss for Greece.

So, for the first time in website history, nobody wins.

HOWEVER, perhaps there will be another contest tomorrow, given that I have a Jerry Coyne the Cat keychain that’s burning a hole in my pocket.  Start thinking about the winners and scores of the Nigeria/Argentina, Iran/Bosnia Herzogovina, Honduras/Switzerland, and Ecuador/France games.

Let’s hope nobody gets bitten.

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Sudan frees woman condemned for marrying a Christian, then rearrests her

June 24, 2014 • 1:24 pm

(Update at bottom).

I’ve posted before on the Sudanese doctor Meriam Yehya Ibrahim (see here and here), who was sentenced to death in Sudan for marrying a Christian, even though she was raised as a Christian (her father was Muslim). She was also pregnant, and so the sentence allowed her have the child, whereupon she’d be lashed, and then executed when her child was two. Her husband held dual Somali/US citizenship.

There was of course an international outcry, leading to rumors in early June that she would be released, rumors that didn’t pan out.

Now, however, she appears to have been freed, at least according to Fox News and Breitbart.

Fox News gives us this:

“We are happy that Meriam is finally released,” said Al-Sharif Ali, a member of her legal team. “One thing I can say is that Meriam’s strong personality forced the Sudanese judiciary to respect religious freedom.”

Tina Ramirez, executive director for the Christian advocacy group Hardwired, which promoted Ibrahim’s cause, said Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir bowed to immense public pressure and forced the court’s hand.

“We are witnessing a historic moment – in the three decades of President Bashir’s brutal dictatorship millions have lost their lives, yet here stands one defenseless and innocent young pregnant woman who forced President Bashir to respect her dignity and religious freedom.”

Of course the woman now has a target on her back, and she’d better get the hell out of Somalia. The obvious place, given her husband’s citizenship, is the U.S.  This appears to be in the works, and in fact I don’t know why it’s not already a fait accompli:

Sources close to the situation tell FoxNews.com that Ibrahim was whisked away to a confidential location and that her lawyers will be meeting with representatives from the U.S. Embassy on Tuesday.

“We obviously welcome the decision by the Sudanese Appeals Court to order the release of Ms. Meriam Yahya Ibrahim Ishag,” Secretary of State John Kerry said in a statement. “Her case has rightly drawn the attention of the world and has been of deep concern to the United States government and many of our citizens and their representatives in Congress.”

“This is a huge first step,” added Rep. Chris Smith, R-N.J., who chairs the House Foreign Affairs Committee’s Africa, Global Health, Global Human Rights and International Organization Subcommittee. “But the second step is that Ms. Ibrahim and her husband and their children be on a plane heading to the United States.”

Breitbart is of course a conservative site, and gives credit to Christians and Republicans:

Really, what has opened her cell door? At this point, I cannot say. But one thing is clear: This is an international victory against Shariah law–and as Shariah law is imposed in a Muslim country. This is no small thing. The stand taken by Christian and human rights groups, coupled with the Republican-led coalition demanding that she be freed, helped.

Of course so did the stand taken by Democrats, atheists, and everyone else who protested. The one true thing is that it’s a victory against sharia law, and shows that international opprobrium can work.  Such death sentences for apostasy are rarely carried out by governments, for they know how they’d look if they killed someone like Ibrahim. The next step is to get them to get rid of those stupid laws altogether. But that’s a tougher business.

UPDATE: I just got this news, via, of all places, PuffHo:

Sudanese authorities re-arrested a Sudanese woman on Tuesday hours after she was freed from death row, and detained her and her family as they tried to board a plane in Khartoum, a security source and her lawyer said.

Mariam Yahya Ibrahim, 27, sentenced to death last month for converting to Christianity from Islam, was released on Monday after what the government said was unprecedented international pressure.

The security official said he didn’t know the reason for the re-arrest. One of Ibrahim’s lawyers said she was being held at a security building outside the airport with her husband and two children.

Ibrahim was freed by an appeal court on Monday which canceled her death sentence. She was then sent to a secret location for her protection after her family reported receiving threats.

Stay tuned.

 

Karl Giberson is puzzled why theistic evolution isn’t gaining adherents

June 24, 2014 • 9:58 am

Karl Giberson, the former Executive Vice President of the accommodationist organization BioLogos, has started writing for The Daily Beast. And, judging by Sunday’s column, “What’s driving America’s evolution divide?“, he seems to be having either a crisis of faith or a crisis of tactics.

His starting point is the most recent Gallup data on American beliefs about human evolution. Here are the data over 30 years:

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I’ve posted about this before, and what the data seem to show is a consistent rise in the proportion of people who believe in purely naturalistic evolution (only 19% in total, but nearly a doubling from 1982); a stasis in those who accept young-earth creationism; and, over the last three years, a 7% decline in the proportion of those accepting “theistic” evolution: evolution somehow guided by God. One important thing to realize is that, when it comes to human evolution, 62% of those who accept it [31%/(31% + 19%)] think that God had a hand in it. Even in 2014, then, fewer than 1 in 5 Americans accept evolution as we scientists see it. But the trend is heartening.

Not to Karl Giberson, though. He’s a devout Christian, and, as an official of BioLogos, he was devoted to helping evangelical Christians accept evolution as not conflicting with their faith. To do that, he had to promote theistic evolution, for that’s the only kind of evolution a young-Earth creationist could really accept. Giberson himself is a theistic evolutionist.

To Karl, the rise in naturalistic evolution is understandable, for the proportion of “nones” (those who don’t adhere to an established religion) is increasing in America, and the Barna Group has found that many young Christians are leaving the church because they perceive it as “anti-science.”

What bothers Giberson, though, is that the theistic evolution group isn’t increasing:

What is of greater interest to me, however, is the failure of the “middle ground” to capture more support. Believing that God guides evolution in some unspecified way is a “have-your-cake-and-eat-it-too” position, and I would have expected movement into this category. You can accept the science you learned in high school and simply affirm that, in some undefined sense, evolution is “God’s way of creating.” This is known as theistic evolution or evolutionary creation and has been championed vigorously by people like Francis Collins, Ken Miller (although he rejects the label) Sir John Polkinghorne, myself, and others. The BioLogos organization that Collins and I launched a few years ago, and the more recently formed Colossian Forum promote this view.  And it is also the view that has been consistently—if quietly—promoted at most of America’s evangelical colleges for decades. So why is it moving backwards rather than forwards?

Well, I’m not that puzzled. From where would the theistic-evolution camp gain adherents? Surely not from the naturalist evolution camp, for once you accept evolution as a purely naturalistic process, why would you suddenly start thinking that maybe God tweaked evolution after all?

Could theistic evolution poach from the young-earth creationists? It could, but only if accommodationism was successful. If efforts of groups like BioLogos or the Clergy Letter Project or the National Center for Science Education’s “faith project” really worked, the proportion of young-earth creationists would be dropping and the proportion of theistic evolutionists rising.

That’s not happening. In fact, the opposite is happening—if you accept that the drop in theistic evolution is real. This really puzzles Giberson, but he unwittingly gives the answer near the end of his piece:

My flag has been planted in this failing middle ground since before Gallup started asking people to choose sides. But, over those several decades I have been disappointed in how little progress we have made in articulating what it means to say that “God Guides Evolution.”  When the Intelligent Design movement got started, many of us were hopeful that it might move the conversation forward, but it remains mired in the same anti-evolutionary quicksand that gobbled up its predecessor, scientific creationism. It can do little more than say that God—or, they would insist, “an unknown intelligence”—is the explanation for this or that evolutionary puzzle.

Evolutionary creation/theistic evolution doesn’t fare much better, however. We can’t explain the difference between our position—“God guides evolution”—and that of the atheists—“evolution runs by itself.” Even such a basic question as the historicity of Adam and Eve is so divisive among evolutionary creationists that many propose a roster of mutually exclusive possibilities rather than address the question directly.

I gave the answer above to why the middle ground is losing: accommodationism doesn’t work, nor does converting naturalists into theistic evolutionists. So there’s no reason that middle ground should increase. The reason it’s decreasing is palpably obvious: America is becoming less religious as young people either lose their faith or fail to embrace any. Further, as they become less religious, they become more pro-science (being religious is a barrier to accepting science). And if you’re pro-science and a “none,” theistic evolution simply isn’t credible.

It’s telling that Giberson, who is a Ph.D. physicist and a theistic evolutionist, says something like this: “We can’t explain the difference between our position—’God guides evolution’—and that of the atheists—’evolution runs by itself.’ Even such a basic question as the historicity of Adam and Eve is so divisive among evolutionary creationists that many propose a roster of mutually exclusive possibilities rather than address the question directly.” I’m almost dead certain that Giberson, like his ex-BioLogos colleague Pete Enns, sees Adam and Eve as a complete myth, which may have some metaphorical value.

But Giberson’s claim that theistic evolutionists can’t explain where and how God works to “guide” evolution—a claim that is absolutely true—is the answer he’s seeking. Theistic evolution isn’t scientific; it’s simply a form of creationism. The term “theistic evolution” encompasses a diversity of views: everything from the milder forms of intelligent design, to God making specific mutations to allow the appearance of humans, to God having designed the process to produce a given result, and then not interfered thereafter. “Theistic evolution” is in fact a grab-bag of disparate theories, none of which can be supported (or distinguished from other forms of theistic evolution) by evidence.  What they all have in common is that they tack theological add-ons onto a process that seems purely natural. So if you’re pro-science—which means you’re already in either the theistic evolution or naturalistic evolution camps—you have only one way to go: into naturalism.

At the end Giberson says this:

The latest poll suggests that the most robust positions on human origins in America are at the extremes, with an uneasy middle ground. In origins, as in Washington politics, moderates are slowly going extinct.

But theistic evolutionists aren’t moderates at all. They accept a strange mixture of science and superstition. Why is it being a “moderate” to have one foot in each camp?  Would Giberson accept as a “moderate” form of chemistry the rejection of the polar ideas that 1) God forges each chemical bond Himself and 2) the bonds form purely as a result of physical law, but accepting that 3) God tweaks some chemical bonds—particularly the ones involved in promoting life (e.g., the binding of DNA strands)? Why is it “moderate” to accept only a little bit of God? To me that’s an extreme view, one that buys into ideas with no evidence behind them.

Why isn’t the “moderate” class growing? For two reasons: America is becoming less religious, and accommodationism doesn’t work.

 

 

An accommodationist slide at the Evolution meetings

June 24, 2014 • 7:23 am

Reader Lynn sent me a tw**t that included a screenshot of somebody’s PowerPoint talk  photo of someone’s poster at the Evolution meetings in Raleigh, North Carolina. Here’s the tw**t from Alex Stewart:

Screen shot 2014-06-24 at 7.18.05 AM

Unacceptable, indeed!

Why? Here’s an enlargement of the relevant section:

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Okay, who are these miscreants?

The good news is that scientists clearly recognize the woo-ish nature of Templeton, as well as its nefarious mission to pollute science with religion. (Note, though that, contra the slide, Templeton has disavowed all forms of creationism, including intelligent design.)

The bad news is that four collaborators on this project took Templeton money anyway.

 

 

Last chance to see… pretty much everything, including these Dolichopodids

June 24, 2014 • 5:22 am

by Matthew Cobb

It’s gloomsville chez Professor Cobb today, I’m afraid. There’s a new report out on the use of the latest insecticides we’ve been bombarding our planet with, neonicotinoids. These compounds are typically sprayed on seeds, which means they are taken up by the growing plant and end up getting literally everywhere in the environment.

Just like the DDT that Rachel Carson warned about in Silent Spring, these compounds appear to be having devastating effects on our wildlife because, you know, ecology is complicated.

The Guardian has an alarming article about the report, which surveys over 20 years’ worth of studies on neonicotinoids. It includes this graphic which explains the problem:

Systemic insecticides

The most horrifying bit of the article is that the authors – 29 scientists from around the world – report that there is no conclusive evidence that this widescale pollution has led to significant increases in crop yields. Worse, they are endangering the health of the very basis of food production: the soil. The Guardian quotes Professor Dave Goulson, of the University of Sussex:

“It is astonishing we have learned so little. After Silent Spring revealed the unfortunate side-effects of those chemicals, there was a big backlash. But we seem to have gone back to exactly what we were doing in the 1950s. It is just history repeating itself. The pervasive nature of these chemicals mean they are found everywhere now. If all our soils are toxic, that should really worry us, as soil is crucial to food production.”

The report will be published as a special issue of the Open Access journal Environmental Science and Pollution Research (I can’t find the report online yet).

Here’s my summary tw**t of the whole sorry mess:

I then tried to inject a bit of philosophical levity:

To give you an idea of some of what we’ll end up losing, here’s the post I was intending to write. Another tw**t, by @abhijitkadle (Jerry really needs to get with the programme – I get an important part of my inspiration/information from Tw*tter), led me to this beautiful picture of long-legged flies, taken by Ripin Biswas, in Cooch Behar, India.

These are members of the large Dolichopodidae family (> 7000 species world wide) (I have no idea of the species – apparently the taxonomists have been reorganising the family, which makes it even more complicated than usual). You will be struck not only by their beauty (including the typically metallic sheen), but also be their incredibly long antennae. The male (the one on the right) has substantially longer antennae than the female, which might suggest that he uses them to detect female pheromones, or, given that these are very long  and thin (ie not hairy) that he might use them to detect sounds. The base of the antenna contains Johnston’s organ, the insect sound-detector, which is the only anatomicl feature that all insects possess (a ‘synapomorphy’), and which is activated by the movement of the arista (the long bit).

Notice also that the male is holding onto the female’s wings. This seems to be typical of their courtship behaviour, as shown in this photo by Vipin Baliga:

Vipin also took this photo of a pair mating, which might be the same species as in the first photo:

http://www.indianaturewatch.net/images/album/photo/7945966104e1a6ec7b5855.jpg

Dolichopodids are generally predators as adults, and will even eat maggots (sacrilege). This stunning photo by Nitin Prabhudesai and  taken from here shows one nomming what could be an aphid:

http://www.indianaturewatch.net/images/album/photo/801871815046fb5a4d715.jpg

Finally, here’s a lovely green Dolichopodid by Anirudda Dhamorikar:

http://www.indianaturewatch.net/images/album/photo/6816184449e4497c578a7.jpg

Bizarrely, looking at these lovely flies has cheered me up a bit. But I am still resolutely pessimistic about the world we are creating (or rather, destroying). What will come after, when we’re gone, will be different. We’re not going to destroy life: the end-Permian extinction didn’t manage to do that, so I reckon our puny efforts will fail, too. But we are doing irreperable damage that will, in the end, come back to bite us.

Oh well, in 20 million years or so the planet will be beautiful again (that’s about the time it takes for the ecosystem to recover from a mass extinction). There may even be Dolichopodids around.

Today’s footie (and a mini-contest)

June 24, 2014 • 4:25 am

For the foreseeable future all the games seem to be starting no later than 3 p.m., which is a disaster for Professor Ceiling Cat.  There’s a couple of good games today, including Italy vs. Uruguay. . . Here’s today’s schedule.

But let’s liven things up: guess the winners and the scores of all four games. Deadline is 11 a.m. Chicago time (3.5 hours from now), when the first games start. The first person to win gets a Jerry Coyne the Cat keychain, emblazoned with my eponymous felid getting a belly rub. If nobody gets them all right (and nobody will), the person who comes closest will win using the judge’s yet-to-be-determined algorithm. If nobody even predicts all four winners, everyone’s a loser. ONE ENTRY PER PERSON, PLEASE!

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Sadly, I watched no games yesterday. 🙂  But here are some highlights (as usual, the videos are poor); as reader pktom64 noted in a comment, the highlights of all games played are archived, in high quality, at TSM Plug.

Spain crushed Australia, 3-0:

Netherlands 2, Chile 0 (am I wrong, or there are an inordinate number of goals scored by headers):

Brazil 4, Cameroon 1

Mexico 3, Croatia 1. One lovely goal by Mexico, and another from a double header

 

To top it off, the Google Doodle (now changed every game) is boring this morning (click to see the lame animation):

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