On January 20, my nephew Steven, a movie maven of great insight, made his predictions for the 2014 Oscar winners, which I posted here. Let’s see how well he did this year. In the list below, Steven’s predictions are in regular type, and the actual winners are in bold:
Picture: Boyhood WRONG: Birdman
Director: Richard Linklater, Boyhood WRONG: Alejandro González Iñárritu for Birdman
Actor: Michael Keaton, Birdman WRONG: Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything
Actress: Julianne Moore, Still Alice CORRECT
Supporting Actor: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash CORRECT
Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood CORRECT
Original Screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel WRONG: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Nicolás Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Armando Bo – Birdman
Adapted Screenplay: The Imitation Game CORRECT Graham Moore – The Imitation Game
Song: “Glory,” Selma CORRECT
Foreign Language Film: Ida CORRECT
Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2 WRONG: Big Hero 6
Documentary Feature: CitizenFour CORRECT
Score: The Theory of Everything WRONG: Alexandre Desplat – The Grand Budapest Hotel
Production Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel CORRECT
Cinematography: Birdman CORRECT
Costume Design: The Grand Budapest Hotel CORRECT
Film Editing: Boyhood WRONG: Whiplash – Tom Cross
Makeup and Hairstyling: Guardians of the Galaxy WRONG: The Grand Budapest Hotel – Frances Hannon, Mark Coulier
Sound Mixing: Interstellar WRONG: Whiplash – Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins, Thomas Curley
Sound Editing: Interstellar WRONG: American Sniper – Alan Robert Murray, Bub Asman
Visual Effects: Interstellar CORRECT
Total score: 10/22 = 45% correct
This is at least credible, for of course random guessing would yield a much lower percentage, but it’s not nearly as many hits as my nephew predicted. Doubtless he will have his excuses, but, like the justifications of theologians, those are post hoc confabulations.
Steven also awards his own trophies, the fabled “Golden Steves” to the pictures and achievements he sees as best, which often diverge wildly from the Academy’s choices. His list of winners is at his website, “Truth at 24“, where you can also see the nominees. There were a few convergences between his winners and those of the Academy (including Julianne Moore and J. K. Simmons), but his other choices aren’t the same. You might want to see the winning films, for, despite the lad’s hubris, he does have good taste—taste marred only by his horrible and inexcusable choice of “The Tree of Life” for Best Picture of 2011. Excuse my rant, but I still cannot see how anyone, much less Steven, could like that bloated piece of directorial pomposity.
I must confess, though, that I’ve seen only one of the Best Picture nominees this year (The Grand Budapest Hotel, which I walked out on), for the Albatross largely kept me from such activities. But I do plan to see the others as soon as I can.




