Tuesday: Hili dialogue

July 23, 2024 • 6:45 am

Good morning on Tuesday, the Cruelest Day, July 23, 2024, and National Lemon Day.  You can keep lemons in your fridge for an entire year and it’s easy (this video shows you how):

 

It’s also National Vanilla Ice Cream Day, and Peanut Butter and Chocolate Day, a combination best sampled in Reese’s Peanut Butter Cups

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the July 23 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*There’s no doubt that Harris is going to be the Democratic candidate now, as the NYT implies when listing the “key endorsements” she gets:

Vice President Kamala Harris on Monday made her first public appearance since President Biden dropped his re-election bid and endorsed her, praising Mr. Biden’s “deep love of our country” as she moved swiftly to clear a path to the Democratic presidential nomination.

Ms. Harris spoke at a morning event at the White House after scooping up endorsements from would-be challengers, including Governors JB Pritzker of Illinois, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Andy Beshear of Kentucky, Wes Moore of Maryland, Tim Walz of Minnesota and Tony Evers of Wisconsin. Several of them have been talked about as possible running mates.

She faces the daunting challenges of taking over Mr. Biden’s campaign structure, fending off opposition to her rise to the top of the ticket and defining herself for the American public before Republicans and their nominee, former President Donald J. Trump, do.

The vice president started off with a tremendous burst of excitement from Democrats willing to put aside past doubts about her. Party members are anxious to end the divisions that have torn the party apart in the weeks since Mr. Biden’s halting debate performance persuaded many that he should not remain in the race.

While some party leaders like former President Barack Obama and former Speaker Nancy Pelosi have not endorsed her, suggesting the need for a competition, Ms. Harris sought to defuse complaints of a coronation by emphasizing in a written statement on Sunday that she intended to “earn and win this nomination.”

Once again, although I’m a Democrat and have always voted that way, I would prefer a “competition”. Remember the days when eight Democrats or Republicans would duke it out onstage, whittling away the weaker candidates until it was all decided either right before the convention or at the convention?  I don’t think Harris should be automatically entitled to the nomination, though she does inherit Biden’s campaign contributions. Rather, I’d like to see them all struggle for the nomination by making their best case onstage. And I’d be rooting for Whitmer. But that’s a vain hope; Harris has it locked up.

*NYT columnists and writers rated the “10 best” Democratic candidates, rating them on electability and how exciting they were. Here are the results: my fave Whitmer tops everyone, though Shapiro and Kelly rank as marginally more likely to beat Trump. But Whitmer is not going to run.

Just the “most exciting and “most electable” candidates:

Whitmer: Most exciting

Ross Barkan Electable: 7  Exciting: 7

Whitmer has won two tough elections in her home state, she’s got the “Big Gretch” Midwestern persona, and she could, like Harris, make history. Coastal Democrats already fawn over her cable TV appearances.

Josh Barro Electable: 7  Exciting: 6

Whitmer has twice won races for governor in a swing state by a roughly 10-point margin both times. She is likable and down-to-earth, with a demonstrated ability to outrun “generic Democrat” in the Rust Belt. She’d be the ideal nominee for a race that’s likely to come down to Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Jamelle Bouie Electable: 7  Exciting: 9

The governor of Michigan has a lot of fans (“Big Gretch”), and she is clearly a politician of presidential caliber. But I will not be surprised if she endorses Harris in short order as well.

Jane Coaston Electable: 3  Exciting: 4

She’s a very successful politician in Michigan in part because the Michigan G.O.P. is a box of rabid cats locked in a closet. Not sure how she’d do nationally.

Ross Douthat Electable: 7  Exciting: 7

Probably the sweet-spot candidate in terms of both exciting the party’s voters and winning the key swing states; she would almost surely win a secret ballot of party insiders.

Michelle Goldberg Electable: 7  Exciting: 8

The incredibly effective and telegenic governor of a must-win state, Whitmer would be my dream candidate if we were starting from scratch. But we’re not, and besides, lots of candidates have looked amazing on paper but floundered on the national stage. She’d make a thrilling V.P. choice, though.

Patrick Healy Electable: 7  Exciting: 8

Trump’s team worries a lot about Whitmer. She’s got a good record, political message and personal story, and she’s a fresh face with a Midwest base. She would not own Bidenomics and Gaza like Biden-Harris. But would her Michigan appeal scale up nationally? You don’t know till you know.

Pamela Paul Electable: 6  Exciting: 8

Whitmer is moderate and reasonably likable, but she doesn’t come across as a superstar. Her politics are more attuned to the national electorate. I see her as a V.P. candidate to a candidate other than Harris or as a presidential candidate in 2028.

Shapiro: Most electable

Ross Barkan Electable: 7  Exciting: 6

Shapiro won a huge victory in Pennsylvania, proving he knows how to stump in a swing state. He’s a popular center-left Democrat who’d be the nation’s first Jewish president. If he’s not the nominee, he’d be an ideal running mate; it helps that, unlike his fellow Pennsylvanian John Fetterman, Shapiro hasn’t picked too many fights with the left.

Josh Barro Electable: 7  Exciting: 5

Shapiro and Whitmer are very similar on paper: swing-state governors with a strong demonstrated ability to appeal to voters in the middle and win, often by wide margins. Shapiro also impressively presided over a lightning-quick rebuild of damaged Interstate 95 in Philadelphia and showed sober leadership in the aftermath of the assassination attempt on Trump. A Whitmer-Shapiro ticket could make a lot of sense to win the Rust Belt.

Jamelle Bouie Electable: 8  Exciting: 8

Shapiro is, next to Beshear, the other obvious choice to be Harris’s running mate. And with a real national fan base among Democrats, he could also probably beat Trump in his own right.

Jane Coaston Electable: 6  Exciting: 4

Exceptionally normal. That’s a good thing.

Ross Douthat Electable: 7  Exciting: 5

Maybe the most talented of the Democratic governors but in line behind Whitmer at the moment.

Michelle Goldberg Electable: 8  Exciting: 7

He could help deliver the essential state of Pennsylvania, but his ardent support for Israel and criticism of pro-Gaza campus protests would reopen wounds in the Democratic Party that have lately started to heal.

Patrick Healy Electable: 7  Exciting: 6

Trump advisers see him as formidable. Pennsylvania and Michigan are Democrats’ most urgent must-win states, and he could compete strongly against Trump in both. But would his popularity at home translate nationally? Also: He’s already endorsed Harris. Many top Democrats see him as her V.P. pick.

Pamela Paul Electable: 6  Exciting: 6

Shapiro would be an excellent vice-presidential candidate, but given the unfortunate but real antisemitism on the left right now (as well as on the right), this may not be the right time for a Jewish Democratic presidential candidate. As a V.P. candidate, he could bring Democrats the swing state of Pennsylvania.

*The Washington Post has a useful article about where Harris stands on key issues, and I’m in line with her on most things, including climate change, the economy, and abortion (but can she effect any change in that given the Dobbs decision?).  But one issue worries me about her,. though it won’t worry others:

Israel and Gaza

A large part of a president’s job is dealing with foreign policy, and Harris is remarkably undefined on this front. But that could be to Democrats’ benefit, said Democratic strategist Matt Duss, because Biden’s low points in polling have come from issues largely tied to foreign policy. Biden’s staunch support for Israel, especially at the start of the war in Gaza, has been a particular wedge in the Democratic Party coalition.

In foreign policy circles, Harris is believed to have a more critical view of the Israeli government’s handling of the war in Gaza than Biden, even pushing to get lines about the need for humanitarian aid to Gaza in key speeches.

“We have also been clear that far too many innocent Palestinians have been killed, that Israel must do better to protect innocent civilians,” she said at an address earlier this year.

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Harris has been “pushing for a more sympathetic policy toward Palestinians,” Rep. Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.) said after Biden’s announcement Sunday, adding that she can “build a broad coalition around the issue.”

“Even if she doesn’t announce an intention to dramatically shift foreign policy, I think she’s going to have an easier time than Biden, because she hasn’t been the one driving it,” Duss said.

And here is where the Republicans are going to go after her:

The Border

Early in Biden’s presidency, Biden asked Harris to try to address the root problems of migration at the border by focusing on countries in Central and South America.

“Do not come. You will be turned back,” Harris told potential migrants heading to the U.S.-Mexican border during a Latin American trip in June 2021.

It is not clear what she accomplished. She came under criticism from border Democrats for not visiting the border sooner, and migrant crossings, until recently, have been at record highs under the Biden administration, though administration officials have emphasized that her purview was those underlying causes, not what to do with people once they arrived in the United States.

There’s a hot debate about why border crossings have been so high and whether Biden or Harris could do much about it. But polls and voter groups show voters blame Biden rather than Republicans, even though Biden has cast Republicans as unhelpful when they scuttled a bipartisan border security bill because Trump wanted to run on the issue.

“We will skewer her for her border performance,” said Stephen Moore, a Trump adviser.

If she wins, it will be interesting to see how she deals with the border, though I really do fear about her abandoning Israel. Not enough to vote for Trump, though!

*Everyone is going after Kimberly Cheatle, the director of the Secret Service because of the assassination attempt on Trump, and she was just grilled by Congress:

 Secret Service Director Kimberly Cheatle said Monday that her agency failed in its mission to protect former President Donald Trump during a highly contentious congressional hearing with lawmakers of both major political parties demanding she resign over security failures that allowed a gunman to scale a roof and open fire at a campaign rally.

In her first congressional hearing over the July 13 assassination attempt, Cheatle repeatedly angered lawmakers by evading questions, citing ongoing investigations. She called the attempt on Trump’s life the Secret Service’s “most significant operational failure” in decades. Cheatle acknowledged that the Secret Service was told about a suspicious person “between two and five times” before the shooting.

Yet, Cheatle gave no indication she intends to resign even as she said she takes “full responsibility” for any security lapses at the Pennsylvania rally. Cheatle vowed to “move heaven and earth” to ensure that nothing like it ever happens again.

“The Secret Service’s solemn mission is to protect our nation’s leaders. On July 13th, we failed,” Cheatle said.

Lawmakers peppered Cheatle with questions about how the gunman could get so close to the Republican presidential nominee when he was supposed to be carefully guarded and about why Trump was allowed to take the stage after local law enforcement had identified Thomas Matthew Crooks as suspicious.

. . . Asked about why there were no agents on the roof where the shooter was located or if the Secret Service used drones to monitor the area, Cheatle said she is still waiting for the investigation to play out, prompting groans and outbursts from members on the committee.

Yes, I know that the boss bears responsibility for her underlings, and that “the buck stops here.” But surely Cheatle didn’t micromanage the arrangements for Trump’s appearance. If she’s been a good director, and a factotum screwed up, on what basis should she resign. (Granted, if Trump were killed or seriously wounded, she’d have to resign, even though her responsibility would have been exactly the same.)  But when there’s a failure like this and it’s not due to an oversight of Cheatle, who didn’t write the playbook for the Secret Service, why is she supposed to resign? Perhaps someone can enlighten me here. For now, I’m a bit baffled by automatically firing someone for an error that they bore no responsibility for. Perhaps the buck doesn’t stop at the top.

*Finally, I’ll probably be writing less about American politics and more about other stuff for a while (and in August I won’t even be around to follow it); I’m finding it exhausting both intellectually and emotionally to follow the roller-coaster-ride that is Election Year, and I’m not any kind of pundit.

So instead of a news piece here, I just want to say that I feel really sorry for what Joe Biden has gone through.  Yes, I disagreed with a fair amount of what he did, but he was infinitely better than the Republican alternative, and now he surely feels cast aside (there were reports that he was angry and hurt when Democrats began asking him to resign).  Before the man is consigned to the judgment of history, let’s remember that he’s a human being, and a good one, and though he should have resigned earlier, we don’t know what it’s like being inside his skin.  I hope he can play some kind of role as “elder statesman” to the Democratic party, though he does seem ill and Obama has claimed the ES role some time ago.  Best of luck, Joe!

Here is Biden’s letter of resignation, curiously sent on his personal stationery rather than Presidential stationery, even though it’s a Presidential letter:

Biden probably feels like this:

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili wants a night out on the tiles:

A: Are you coming home?
Hili: No, I slept all day, it’s time for some activity.
In Polish:
Ja: Wracasz do domu?
Hili: Nie, spałam cały dzień, pora na trochę aktywności.

And a picture of Baby Kulka:

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From The Dodo Pet:

From Cat Memes:

From Jesus of the Day. That tomato needs exorcism!

There’s nothing from Masih today, but here’s something that J. K. Rowling retweeted. By “men”, I think Grover means transgender women.

From my feed:

From Barry: a thinking cat!

From Malcolm: a FB video of a fishing cat (Prionailurus viverrinus):

Yep, they are very strong:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I retweeted:

Two tweets from Dr. Cobb. The first one he calls “Shellebrity”:

The Big Chill in French government:

Māori Party political leader curses and rants on video, calling for overthrow of New Zealand’s government

July 22, 2024 • 12:00 pm

This video, professionally made and showing Kiri Tamihere-Waititi doing what can only be called ranting about her oppression and that of the Māori people, and then winding up by calling for the overthrow of the New Zealand, has caused a stir in that country.  I am told that Tamihere-Waititi is a powerful member of  Te Pati Māori (The Māori Party). which holds six seats out of about 120 in the country’s unicameral parliament. The second video below identifies her as the Party’s “chief of staff,” and she is the wife of the current party co-leader Rawiri Waititi as well as the daughter of John Tamihere, long-standing Māori activist and now president of The Māori Party.

I was sent this video by an anonymous (of course) New Zealander, who added that “This video outlines [Tamihere-Waititi’s] position as a major leader quite specifically, and was broadcast as part of the official content of a programme produced by the state television broadcaster, Television New Zealand.  It leaves the viewer in no doubt that she is a major ’embedded’ leader of the party.” As the broadcasters below say, whether what she says should worry New Zealanders depends on how widespread her views are, and that we just don’t know.

Well, I can’t vouch for that, but the video does express the anger held by some Māori about their being “minoritized”, and I was startled not just by the anger and sedition, but also by the profanity, so I should add this:

TRIGGER WARNING: If profuse profanity offends you, don’t watch. But we’ve all heard such language.

There’s a transcript, too, but it leaves out the cuss words.

It’s only 6½ minutes long, and will give you an idea of some of the anger behind the attempt to indigenize New Zealand. (I won’t translate the Māori words.) You can see, given this woman’s position, why it’s gotten wide circulation. I suspect it will be taken down soon, so watch it now.  Its explicit call for the Māori to overthrow New Zealand’s government is something I haven’t encountered before.

Below is a 7½-minute video response on The Platform, a self-described “independent” radio station that’s not government-run or government-funded. The broadcaster shown here is Chris Trotter. The suggestion that New Zealand adopt a constitution is a good one, as right now the governing document of New Zealand is the 1840 Treaty of Waitangi.

More ideology in science: DEI infects the process for handing out scientific grants

July 22, 2024 • 9:40 am

I held the same National Institutes of Health (NIH) grant for about 30 years, renewing it under a competitive process every three years. It was onerous (I took six months to write each renewal application), but at least you could be sure that the proposals were judged on merit. Sure, you had to check a box with your “race” (the NIH considers that a social construct), but that was for record-keeping purposes only  and, during the times I sat in on evaluation committees, ethnicity and identity were never even discussed when ranking proposals.

That has now changed, not only with the National Institutes of Health, but with all the major funding agencies: the National Science Foundation (NSF), the Department of Energy (DOE), and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA).  All of these agencies, though legally forbidden to take into account the ethnicity of those who apply for grants, or to boost those of minority status, have found ways around that restriction, adhering to today’s DEI Zeitgeist.  This of course devalues scientific merit in proposals—a dangerous strategy if the aim of science funding is to promote the understanding of nature (with health benefits to humans in the case of the NIH). Giving grants based on minority status rather than merit also reduces the public’s trust in science.  The situation has become so fraught that I am positively elated that I no longer have to write grants, as I’m not sure how to write a diversity statement, and am opposed to them in general.

A new paper in SSRN (“Social Science Research Network”) calls attention to the pervasive attempts to circumvent race-based funding in the federal government, and outlines the problems that such attempts produce. You can go to the paper’s website by clicking on the screenshot below, or you can download the pdf here (go to “download without registration” at the upper right).

You’ll probably recognize a couple of names among the authors:

If you want a short take, you see below a summary and preview by Krylov and Tanzman from Heterodox STEM (click headline to read).  But I’ll be citing excerpts from the long paper itself.  It has not escaped my notice that the government’s attempt to circumvent restrictions on race-based funding parallel those now used by universities after the Supreme Court ruled out race-based admissions.

I’ll summarize the paper’s main points, indenting quotes and putting the main points under headers of my devising. All bolding is mine.

What is DEI?

While no reasonable person can oppose the morality of trying to to give every American equal opportunity to become a scientist (and that starts with birth), the mandates that condition federal funding call not for equal opportunity, but for equity—“equal outcomes” so that minoritized groups—not just races, but LGBTQ+, the disabled, women, and anybody said to be disadvantaged because of oppression—are represented in proportion to their occurrence in the general population. Here’s the authors’ construal of DEI as it is actually implemented by the government:

Actual DEI policies do not promote viewpoint diversity, equitable treatment of individuals based on their accomplishments, or equal opportunity for individuals regardless of their identity (e.g., race, sex, ethnicity). It can scarcely be questioned (Krylov and Tanzman, 2024) that DEI programs today are driven by an ideology, an offshoot of Critical Social Justice1 (CSJ) (Pluckrose, 2021; Deichmann 2023). DEI programs elevate the collective above the individual. They group people into categories defined by immutable characteristics (race, sex, etc.) and classify each group as either “privileged” or “victimized,” as “oppressor” or “oppressed.” The goals of DEI programs are to have each group participate in proportion to their fraction of thepopulation in every endeavor of society and to obtain proportionate outcomes from those endeavors. Disproportionate outcomes (with respect to science, such outcomes as publications, funding, citations, salaries, and awards), or disparities, are axiomatically ascribed to systemic factors, such as systemic racism and sexism, without consideration of alternative explanations (Sowell, 2019, 2023). Claims, such as “The presence of disparities is proof of systemic racism” and “Meritocracy is a myth” are propagated widely despite the vagueness of the claims and their lack of support by concrete data. Similarly, tenets that are central to DEI ideology—such as diversity is excellence, diverse teams outperform homogenous teams, and the advancement of women is impeded by biases—lack a robust evidence base, particularly when applied to science (Abbot et al., 2023; Krylov and Tanzman, 2023; Ceci et al., 2021, 2023).

Note that several important claims, including the assertion that underrepresentation of minoritized groups is due to ongoing systemic racism (which would be illegal) and that diverse scientific teams consistently outperform more homogeneous ones. Neither claim is supported by evidence.

My own opinion (and that of the authors; see below) is to give as many people as possible the opportunity to do science, and choose for advancement those who do the best work.  That might not result in equity, but it does allow equal opportunity. I recognize, of course, that we’re a long way from giving different groups equal opportunity, which must begin at or even before birth. But equal opportunity is the only permanent way to solve the problem of disproportional representation in science (or any endeavor). Effecting that will be hard, and requires immense effort, money, and empirical tests of educational systems, but once it’s in place, unequal representation would reflect other things, like behavioral differences or differential preferences among groups.

How do funding agencies employ DEI? This takes place through the use of required statements and plans to enhance diversity that must accompany grant proposals. Here are two examples; the first is from an HIH program:

Recruitment Plan to Enhance Diversity (NOT-OD-20-031):

The applicant must provide a recruitment plan to enhance diversity. Include outreach strategies and activities designed to recruit prospective participants from diverse backgrounds, e.g., those from groups described in the Notice of NIH’s Interest in Diversity. Describe the specific efforts to be undertaken by the program and how the proposed plan reflects past experiences in recruiting individuals from underrepresented groups.

New applications must include a description of plans to enhance recruitment, including the strategies that will be used to enhance the recruitment of trainees from nationally underrepresented backgrounds and may wish to include data in support of past accomplishments.

Renewal applications must include a detailed account of experiences in recruiting individuals from underrepresented groups during the previous funding period, including successful and unsuccessful recruitment strategies. Information should be included on how the proposed plan reflects the program’s past experiences in recruiting individuals from underrepresented groups.

For those individuals who participated in the research education program, the report should include information about the duration of education and aggregate information on the number of individuals who finished the program in good standing. Additional information on the required Recruitment Plan to Enhance Diversity is available at Frequently Asked Questions: Recruitment Plan to Enhance Diversity (Diversity FAQs).

Applications lacking a diversity recruitment plan will not be reviewed. [Emphasis ours.]

And one from NASA:

The assessment of the Inclusion Plan will be based on […] the extent to which the Inclusion Plan demonstrated awareness of systemic barriers to creating inclusive working environments that are specific to the proposal team. [Emphasis ours.]

But to those of us in science, there are no systemic (codified) barriers to advancement, although of course there is still some racism. But those who make the claim of systemic barriers have to ignore the ways universities are falling all over each other to recruit qualified women and members of minority groups.

Why are these requirements bad for science?  Besides taking up an enormous amount of time confecting such statements, which are surely often deliberately misleading, they are palpably illegal, violating civil rights laws:

These requirements to incorporate DEI into each research proposal are alarming. They constitute compelled speech, they undermine the academic freedom of researchers, they dilute merit-based criteria for funding, they incentivize illegal discriminatory hiring practices, they erode public trust in science, and they contribute to administrative overload. “Diversity,” which is sometimes described as “diverse backgrounds” or “diverse views,” actually refers to select underrepresented identity groups (Honeycutt, 2020; Brint and Frey, 2023; Brint, 2023).

. . .The demand to provide an inclusion plan without evidence that there is a need for one is compelled speech and an intrusion of ideology into the conduct of science. Forcing scientists to “acknowledge” and “show awareness of” systemic racism and “barriers to participation” in their institutions and teams (Nahm and Watkins, 2023), even if none can be documented, misrepresents reality, is an offense to scientists who have worked hard to establish fair and transparent hiring practices in their institutions, and is inconsistent with scientific professional ethics and, indeed, the very vocation of the scientist.

The paragraphs below identify what’s illegal. I’m fairly convinced that these DEI requirements do indeed violate civil-rights laws, and that the only reason they persist—just as DEI requirements for job applications in academia persist—is that nobody has challenged them in the courts. To do so, you need “standing”, that is, you must demonstrate that you have been injured by these requirements. And anybody doing that would be forever demonized in academia, not to mention tied up in legal battles that would last years.

The interaction of DEI with the legal system is troubling. First, the demands that PIs “acknowledge” systemic racism and “barriers to participation” in their institutions (Nahm and Watkins, 2023), and insert land acknowledgements in their scientific publications (NSF, n.d.(b)) raise grave legal concerns. The First Amendment of the Constitution of the United States strictly forbids compelling people to say things they do not believe are true. The circumstances under which government may condition grants or benefits on attesting that one holds a certain belief (e.g., “acknowledges” the truth to be this or that with respect to a contested matter), though somewhat obscure, are certainly limited (Supreme Court, 2013). At a minimum, government’s engaging in such conditioning on contested questions raises significant civil liberties concerns and is in tension with core First Amendment values.

Second, there are strict laws against discrimination on the basis of race and gender, both at federal and state levels. Thus, invoking DEI explicitly attempts to circumvent existing laws. Any actual “barriers” or “systemic discrimination” can be prosecuted under existing anti-discrimination statutes, following due process.

Third, even more worrying is that successful applications require principal investigators and their home institutions to engage in practices that are likely illegal.  For example, DEI “equity”-based plans for equal gender or racial participation can, in practice, only be implemented by gender- and race-preferential hiring. This is strictly illegal under civil rights employment law (Title VI; Title IX; EEOC, n.d.).

How do funding agencies get around the illegality of this process?

Funding agencies attempt to circumvent the laws prohibiting them from basing funding decisions on race or ethnicity by cloaking DEI requirements in nebulous language (NIH, 2019; Renoe, 2023) and by disguising racial preferences and even quotas as “diversity of backgrounds” and unequal treatment as “broadening participation of underrepresented groups.” The determination of which groups to treat as underrepresented and worthy of special treatment is highly subjective, as Americans hold many identities and can be split up in a multitude of ways. In practice, implementing equity-focused DEI programs means preferring members of some groups over others (Kendi, 2019). To paraphrase Orwell, all groups are equal, but some groups are more equal than others (Orwell, 1945).

The evaluations of submitted DEI plans are not open to public scrutiny. Agencies run diversity-focused programs but refuse to give guidance on how to determine eligibility for them; they are careful to state that compliance with all applicable employment laws is the responsibility of the host institution. However, DEI metrics, which must be reported annually to the funding agency, are criteria for renewal (NIH, 2023b). It remains unclear how a principal investigator is supposed to be nondiscriminatory in hiring and at the same time fulfill de facto DEI quotas for renewal. In this way, programs are developed that are de jure “open to everyone,” but de facto allocated according to identity metrics, reminiscent of the pre-civil rights era in the U.S.

Why is this happening?  The proximate reason for DEI requirements is government regulations (see below), but the ultimate reason is the “racial reckoning” taking place in America, a reckoning speeded up by the death of George Floyd and extending now to many minority groups save those who have done well, like Jews and Asians.  The paper doesn’t mention ultimate causes, but does show several federal requirements that gave rise to DEI mandates:

In fact, the mandate that funding agencies implement DEI comes directly from the White House. Executive Order 13985, titled “Advancing Racial Equity and Support for Underserved Communities Through the Federal Government,” directed all federal agencies to allocate resources to DEI and to incorporate “equity” into their decision making as a principle (EO 13985).

. . .If “consistent and systematic fair, just, and impartial treatment of all individuals” means equality of opportunity and equitable treatment of people’s accomplishments based on their merit, we’re all for it. However, the Order goes on to make clear that the goal is not to achieve equal opportunity and equitable treatment, but to achieve equal outcomes for identity groups. The Order conflates racism in the past with disparities in the present and equitable treatment with equal outcomes. It attributes unequal participation in the present to alleged discrimination in the present. It charges the Domestic Policy Council with the task “[of] remov[ing] systemic barriers,” thus implicitly asserting the existence of such barriers in the present. It calls for “redress[ing] inequities,” “affirmatively advancing equity,” and “allocating Federal resources in a manner that increases investment in underserved communities, as well as individuals from those communities.” Whatever is to be said about such goals in relation to, say, social welfare programs, we question their value and appropriateness for science funding.

The authors note that in this executive order “merit,” “excellence” and “achievement” are not mentioned at all.

There is one more federal order:

The goal of promoting “equity” in science is reinforced in Executive Order 14091 (EO 14091). Titled “Further Advancing Racial Equity and Support for Underserved Communities Through the Federal Government,” it explains how equity is to be implemented in various domains, and specifically calls for the “promot[ion] [of] equity in science.” It lays out specific DEI requirements for federal agencies, including NASA and NSF, such as the following:

The Administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration, the Director of the National Science Foundation […] (agency heads) shall, within 30 days of the date of this order, ensure that they have in place an Agency Equity Team within their respective agencies to coordinate the implementation of equity initiatives and ensure that their respective agencies are delivering equitable outcomes for the American people.

Both of these are orders are enforced by the government’s Office of Management and Budget, which monitors agencies to ensure that they meet DEI concerns.

What is to be done? The purpose of scientific research is not to be a lever for creating social justice. That’s the job of the government, but the government cannot violate the law to effect the change we need. In lieu of creating new law, they have to effect desired change within existing legal boundaries.  My own view, which is echoed by the authors, is to hold scientific merit as the overweening criterion for funding research.

At the same time, it would be churlish to ignore the palpable inequality in American society, an inequality that deprives some groups of simple access to doing science, often because their backgrounds and the existence of past racism or bigotry. This leads to the need for equal opportunity, something that Americans apparently lack the stomach for. Equity has become  a quick fix, a way to tell us that we’re good people, but it’s neither a permanent fix nor, in science, a way to best advance the field.  So ditch the DEI requirements mandating equity and do this:

Systemic disparities in opportunity, especially those related to socio-economic status, are real and well documented. Solid family structure, access to healthcare, good nutrition, an environment free from violence and drugs, high-quality preschool and K–12 education are necessary to nurture the next generation of scientists, but they are not equally available to all Americans. Rather than attempt to institute “equity” by mandating proportional participation through the manipulation of grant funding, we believe that increased efforts should be made to promote equality of opportunity as early in people’s lives as possible so that young people who aspire to standing in any field, including scientific fields, can succeed on merit (Abbot et al., 2023; Abbot et al., 2024; Loury, 2024).

It is sad that to write something like that, or the paper itself, is an act of courage in today’s political climate. But if you’re committed to advancing science, with equality of opportunity as a moral ancillary, then one must judge science on merit alone while working politically to eliminate differences in opportunity.

In the end, DEI statements should be no more than this: “This project will not discriminate against anybody on the grounds of race, religion, disability status, gender, or sexual identity or orientation.” End of story.

Readers’ wildlife photos

July 22, 2024 • 8:15 am

Send ’em in folks; we seem to be facing a chronic shortage of photos. I believe I have two batches left after this. Today’s photos come from Uwe Mueller, whose IDs and notes are indented. Click on his photos to enlarge them.

These were, as Uwe notes, “Taken near my place in the Bergisches Land, Germany.”

This adorable small bird is a Eurasian coot (Fulica atra). They look really sweet with their black outfit and their distinct white headplate and white bill.

But don’t let their appearance fool you. These are fierce little birds and very territorial. Another fellow coot gets in their way? They react immediately and forcefully:

They also don’t shy away from attacking bigger birds. This European herring gull (Larus argentatus) circled for quite some time over our local pond, waiting to see if it could grab a careless chick that got too far away from its mother. The coot yelled a warning…:

… and then went for it. The little chicken on the left side is not a coot (anyone got an idea what it is?), however it could call itself lucky to have been close to the adult coot:

Seagulls are known for their tenacity when it comes to chasing potential food. But this one finally had to fly away empty-handed. Every time it came down several coots went after it:

Another bird whose presence is not appreciated by other birds is the Common buzzard (Buteo buteo). We see them quite regularly circling through the sky. But as soon as he lands on a tree, the Eurasian magpies (Pica pica) will gather around him and watch him from close distance (which could mean even less than 3 feet). The magpies know exactly that the buzzard is too slow to catch them, so they come really close to him:

Their preferred game to annoy him is to fly from one branch to the other directly in front of his nose. He knows he can’t do anything about it because they are too quick for him:

So at one point he just gives in and leaves:

Magpies are pestering the buzzard with their little fun games, but they don’t attack him (at least not that I am aware of). Crows do, however. Here’s one Carrion crow (Corvus corone) divebombing a buzzard:

Monday: Hili dialogue

July 22, 2024 • 6:45 am

Welcome to the beginning of a new “work” week: it’s Monday, July 22, 2024, and National Mango Day (didn’t we just have one of those?)  I believe it’s mango season in India now, but it’s too bloody hot to go there. Here is what we are missing—and mangos are my favorite fruit.

SnapMeUp, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

It’s also National Onion Rings Day (I love ’em!), International Ragweed Day, National Chocolate Eclair Day, World Rainforest Day, Pi Approximation Day (see also March 14), as 22/7 is a good approximation of Pi, and Ratcatcher’s Day, also celebrated on June 26.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the July 22 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz.

This was all written before Biden’s resignation yesterday. Everything’s shaking out right now and I don’t have much to say. My own favorite, Gretchen Whitmer, said she won’t be running, and everyone else seems to be anointing Harris as Biden’s successor.  It’s considered almost heresy to want, as I would do, for an open primary in which the candidates debate in a group, and then again, and then the electors choose the candidate. But it’s almost too late for that to happen. I also find it telling that in the rush to endorse Harris, Barack Obama remained silent. The NYT says that’s not because Obama is anti-Harris, but wishes to remain an elder statesman in the party:

“We will be navigating uncharted waters in the days ahead,” Mr. Obama wrote in the post. “But I have extraordinary confidence that the leaders of our party will be able to create a process from which an outstanding nominee emerges.”

Republicans interpreted that as a snub. But people close to Mr. Obama, who has positioned himself as an impartial elder statesman above intraparty machinations, said not to read too much into it — and had no alternate candidate in mind when he made the decision not to immediately endorse Ms. Harris.

At any rate, there’s a lot to come in the next few months (for one of them I’ll be in South Africa), and perhaps a few surprises. Stay tuned.

*The NYT discusses how Biden’s age problem, and the questions it’s raised in the minds of Democratic voters, may be endangering Congressional Democrats as well. The problem is that candidates who endorse Biden are seen to be tainted by that endorsement.

Senator Tammy Baldwin, a Wisconsin Democrat seeking re-election, has noticed voters returning to the same question in recent days as she crisscrosses her state to make the case for her campaign: Does she think President Biden can win in November, and should he even try?

“Typically, I’ll go to an event; I’ll share my remarks,” Ms. Baldwin said in an interview on Friday at a newly opened campaign office in southwestern Wisconsin. “And then people come up one by one and — at first in a whisper — are really concerned.”

A soft-spoken two-term senator who has carved out a reputation for her cross-party appeal, Ms. Baldwin easily cruised to victory in 2018, and her race this year was never expected to be ultracompetitive, even in this crucial swing state. But rising concerns about Mr. Biden’s age and fitness to run have introduced new risks for Democratic candidates like Ms. Baldwin just 100 days out from Election Day, imperiling even seats that were once considered relatively safe for the party.

That has left Democrats already anxious about losing the White House to former President Donald J. Trump contemplating the prospect of widespread losses in Congress that could leave the party locked out of power altogether during a Trump presidency and well beyond.

In recent days, as Democratic leaders have privately pressed Mr. Biden to step aside, two other senators up for re-election, both in the tightest races in the nation — Senators Jon Tester of Montana and Sherrod Brown of Ohio — have called on Mr. Biden to step aside. It comes as Democrats have received polling suggesting that voters distrust elected officials who vouch for Mr. Biden’s mental capacity and endorse his candidacy.

This is a problem because such candidates are in a bind: they want to look loyal to the sitting administration but have their own seats to worry about.  I guess if I were one of them, I would be honest and talk to Biden directly, but tell voters something like, “I’m concerned and I’ve discussed it with President Biden.”

*Even though the Republican God almost lost his life to a shooter armed with an AR-15 assault rifle, you know Republicans aren’t thinking twice about banning those weapons, or even fully automatic weapons, from the street.  Yet they have been successfully banned in my own state.

Assassination attempts against U.S. presidents have led to major gun laws, but the July 13 shooting at a rally for former President Donald Trump appears unlikely to be a pivotal moment in the divisive U.S. gun debate.

In the days since Trump narrowly escaped a bullet fired from a would-be assassin’s rifle, the two sides in America’s argument over gun rights remain at odds over whether firearms are the major problem leading to such violence.

President Biden and some of the nation’s leading gun-control groups last week increased calls for a nationwide ban on AR-15s, the gun used in the assassination attempt at Trump’s Pennsylvania rally. Republicans and gun-rights groups pushed back, saying that the issue wasn’t the gun but rather a massive security failure. Both Trump and his vice presidential running mate, Ohio Sen. JD Vance, left gun policy out of their convention speeches.

The assassination attempt at Donald Trump’s Pennsylvania rally has reignited the debate over gun policies. PHOTO: JEFF SWENSEN/GETTY IMAGES

Attacks on American presidents, including the assassination of John F. Kennedy and the attempt on Ronald Reagan’s life, have led to some of the biggest overhauls to gun laws in the country’s history. But in this hyperpartisan era, now in the midst of a contentious campaign, few expect that Trump and his party will waver in their robust support for gun rights.

“Everybody gets into a ruckus, but by the time they get around to doing anything, it all falls by the wayside,” said Jerry Henry, executive director of GA2A, a prominent gun-rights group in Georgia. “This is not going to be a watershed moment.”

The Republican National Committee’s platform this year made only passing reference to Second Amendment rights and took no specific policy positions regarding firearms, a move that sparked concern from gun-rights groups. With the exception of 2020, when the convention didn’t adopt a platform during the pandemic, RNC platforms for decades included discussion of gun policies and positions.

The Second Amendment’s call for a “well regulated militia” is now deeply outmoded, but try taking the guns out of the cold, dead hands of the GOP.  These weapons have no use in private self-defense, and are prized by shooters like Thomas Matthew Crooks.  Clearly no legislation can take place on the national level (the GOP House would never allow it, but Illinois recently and successfully banned assault rifles, including the AR-15, and the Supreme Court left the law in place.  Thus there’s no issue about the Constitutionality of such a ban; all it takes is the will of the people. Sadly, that is lacking.

*The Times of Israel reports on Israel’s strike on Yemen—a strike following a Houthi drone attack on Tel Aviv that killed one person—in greater depth than before.

The Israeli Air Force on Sunday released footage showing its airstrikes a day earlier against the Houthi-controlled port of Hodeida in western Yemen, which came following a deadly drone attack on Tel Aviv Thursday overnight carried out by the Iran-backed group.

The video showed missiles launched by IAF fighter jets striking four large container cranes at the port used to unload shipments.

The IAF also released footage showing fighter jets being refueled amid the operation, dubbed “Outstretched Arm,” as well as the arrival of some of the aircraft back at Israeli airbases following the strike.

You can see some of that footage at the site.

The strike, carried out by dozens of Israeli aircraft, targeted fuel depots and energy infrastructure at the port, in addition to the cranes.

The Israeli strike group included F-15, F-16, and F-35 fighter jets, reconnaissance aircraft, and refueling planes — the latter of which was due to the target being some 1,800 kilometers (1,100 miles) from Israel, making it one of the farthest-ever actions carried out by the IAF.

According to the military, the strike on the fuel depot was a major blow to the Houthi economy, and the cranes being taken out of service prevents the group from bringing in more Iranian weapons via the port that have been used to target Israel, along with commercial and military ships in the Red Sea.

Saturday’s strike on Hodeida Port used more force than the IAF needed, aimed at sending a message of deterrence as well as causing financial damage to the Iran-backed group and impeding its ability to import weapons.

Strikes carried out by an American-led coalition in Yemen have only targeted Houthi military infrastructure, and not sites that are also used by civilians, such as the Hodeida Port, which is also used to bring in humanitarian aid to the war-torn country in addition to the Iranian weapon shipments.

The Israeli rationale is that this is not a civilian target, but, by virtue of bringing in Iranian weapons, is a huge boon to the terrorists (apparently 6 civilians were killed in the massive bombing). And of course the Houthi are attacking not just Israeli ships, but seem to be targeting ships willy-nilly with respect to their nationality, all to prevent traffic through the Red Sea. Given the nexus between Iran, Lebanon, Yemen, and Gaza, I despair of these hostilities ever coming to an end. And remember that Iran will soon have nuclear weapons. . .

Here’s a map of the area and where the strikes took place. It’s from the Wall Street Journal:

*On her Substack site “The Truth Fairy,” Abigail Shrier informs us of a new law in California, and when the news of it gets around Gavin Newsom can kiss a Democratic Presidential nomination goodbye (h/t Rosemary). The piece even has a preface by Shrier about why she considers this story so important, but you can read that yourself (it’s free, but subscribe if you read often).

The “SAFETY Act,” AB 1955, signed by California Democratic governor Gavin Newsom, legally forbids schools from adopting any policy that would force them to disclose “any information related to a pupil’s sexual orientation, gender identity, or gender expression to any other person without the pupil’s consent.” Schools may not, as a matter of policy, inform parents of a child’s new gender identity unless the child volunteers her approval. The law also prohibits schools from punishing any school employee found to have “supported a pupil” hurtling down a path toward risky and irreversible hormones and surgeries.

The law effectively shuts down the local parents’ rights movement in California by eliminating its most important tool: the ability to organize at the community level to stop schools from deceiving them. No longer can families hope to convince their school boards to require schools to notify parents that their daughter, Sophie, has been going by “Sebastian” in class; that her teacher, school counselor, and principal have all been celebrating Sebastian’s transgender identity; that they’ve been letting her use the boys’ bathroom and reifying the sense that she is “really a boy.”

It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the law supports the priming of minor children for a secret life with a new gender identity. This includes having school-aged children participate in sexualized discussions and make identity declarations with school faculty, which are often actively hidden from the child’s parents. Elon Musk called the law “the final straw” for families and announced his intention to move both SpaceX and X, two of California’s most prominent tech companies, out of the state as a result. “The goal [of] this diabolical law,” he tweeted, “is to break the parent-child relationship and put the state in charge of your children.”

While researching my book, Irreversible Damageand in the four years since its publication, I have talked to hundreds of parents whose daughters suddenly identified as transgender. Many of their daughters were encouraged in this revelation by school counselors and teachers in school districts across America. One parent told me a California school counselor had given her son the address of an LGBTQ youth shelter and suggested he emancipate himself from parents who were loving but skeptical of his sudden transgender identity. Another recent California law, AB 665, would have made reclaiming that young man from the youth center all but impossible because he was over the age of twelve.

In California, instruction in sexual orientation and gender identity has been mandatory for all public school students K–12 since the passage of the Healthy Youth Act in 2016. Because such instruction typically occurs within the required “anti-bullying curriculum” rather than the sex education curriculum, parents cannot elect that their children opt out of what is, in practice, a full-bore indoctrination into gender ideology.

When a child then predictably decides in class that she too may be nonbinary or transgender, this revelation will often trigger schools’ gender support plan, effectively a school-wide conspiracy to promote the child’s new name and gender identity without tipping off Mom and Dad. Official documents and emails and report cards are sent to parents to preserve the child’s birth name and pronouns, concealing the social transition from parents.

Call me old-fashioned, but I think the parents do have a right to know. After all, this is crucial information about their child that a parent would want and need to know. Further, it makes the schools complicit in “affirmative care”, and parents are left out of the loop. That seems to me unfair given that minors may not have the maturity to make such a decision.  Schools simply cannot act in loco parentis in such cases.  Shrier adds:

Recent polling shows that voters across the political spectrum believe that schools should be required to inform parents if their children are using different gender pronouns at school than they are at home.

But California Democrats appear ready to drag their party down with them. Parents’ best hope may be federal legislation mandating parental notification before a school can reassign a child’s name and gender. Candidates for president and vice president ought to be asked whether they would support such a bill.

Indeed they should! This is exactly the kind of action that is costing Democrats any chance to keep the Presidency, much less the Senate.

*An emotional support alligator—the only one in the world—was kidnapped by pranksters, and animal control mistakenly released the gator into the wild. This was in May, and here’s a video from the time. Here’s a story:

In ordinary times, the social media accounts devoted to Wally Gator document the nearly six-foot-long emotional support alligator’s adventures around Pennsylvania: visiting nursing homessplashing around in Philadelphia’s Love Park fountain, meeting with the mayor and smiling contentedly in his red harness as various admirers hug and hold him.

In recent days, however, they’ve been overtaken with pleas for help: Wally is missing in Georgia, where his owner Joie Henney says he was kidnapped, recovered and released into a swamp.

Henney and Wally were visiting friends in Brunswick when someone took the gator from his pen in the early morning hours of April 21, the Wallygator Facebook page posted on Saturday.

“Wally was stolen by some jerk who likes to drop alligators off into someone’s yard to terrorize them,” the account posted the following day. “Once discovered they called [Department of Natural Resources], DNR then called a trapper. The trapper came and got Wally and dropped him off in a swamp with about 20 other alligators that same day.”

A short news video:

This is very sad, and, as I just found out by an Internet trawl, Wally still hasn’t been found.  But the gator is chipped, so he could be identified. But who’s going to go into the water and check the gators for chips?

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn. Yes, the mole was saved and returned to the wild.

Hili: Szaron brought a baby mole to the verandah.
A: Is it alive?
Hili: Yes, it holed up behind the basket.
A: I’m running to save it.
In Polish:
Hili: Szaron przyniósł małego kreta na werandę!
Ja: Żyje?
Hili: Tak, schował się za koszykiem.
Ja: Już biegnę go ratować.

And a photo showing both Szaron and Baby Kulka (Kulka to the right):

*******************

From Cat Memes:

From Science Humor:

From Things With Faces:

For some reason I can’t embed this video tweet from Masih, but if you click on the shot below, you can see it on “X”:

Two marine tweets from my feed:

From Malcolm, the wonderful reflexes of cats:

A lovely scene, retweeted by Ricky Gervais, from his fantastic series “After Life.”  Here Gervais visits his dad, who has dementia, in his care facility, and dad has a moment of recollection in which he recognizes Gervais as his son,

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I retweeted:

Two tweets from Dr. Cobb. First, cats scatter during a thumderclap:

A lovely photograph from Mars:

Biden has pulled out of the Presidential race!

July 21, 2024 • 1:22 pm

From the NYT (click to read), but first I’m gonna say that yes, I was right again:

Excerpt:

President Biden, 81, abandoned his bid for re-election and threw the 2024 presidential contest into chaos on Sunday, caving to relentless pressure from his closest allies to drop out of the race amid deep concerns that he is too old and frail to defeat former President Donald J. Trump.

After three weeks of often angry refusals to step aside, Mr. Biden finally yielded to a torrent of devastating polls, urgent pleas from Democratic lawmakers and clear signs that donors were no longer willing to pay for him to continue.

There’s more, but the race has suddenly become interesting. Will Kamala Harris replace him as the default candidate? (I hope not; I’m a Gretchen Whitmer fan.) Will Gavin Newsom throw his hat into the ring? Or will some dark horse emerge from the convention and go on to trounce Trump?

At this late date it’s probably too late to defeat Trump, but suddenly I feel hopeful again.

So who do you want to run?

Christina Buttons on “affirmative therapy” and social justice

July 21, 2024 • 12:55 pm

In this 45-minute video, Christina Buttons, an independent journalist who used to write for The Daily Wire but now has her own Substack site, discusses the gender fracas with the Triggernometry crew.  As you know, the Cass Review in the UK has considerably rolled back “affirmative care” for those pondering gender transition, and several European countries adhere to many of its recommendations. But the U.S. obstinately rejects the Cass Review. In fact, the Biden Administration has gotten the powerful and affirmative-care-supporting WPATH organization to eliminate minimum age limits for dispensing hormones or performing surgery.

The problem is, as Buttons argues, that there is really no evidence supporting the efficacy of “affirmative care”.  Yes, there are transgender people who have been happy with their transitions, and that’s great, but that’s not the same thing as testing the efficacy of affirmative care on young people who are troubled, weighing it against an alternative: normal, objective therapy that, in many cases, allows gender dysphoric adolescents to come out as gay. (Buttons notes that about 70% of young people with gender dysphoria come out as gay without affirmative therapy.) No surgery or hormones required there. And, as Andrew Sullivan has emphasized, the affirmative-care crew have even come out as opponents of the gay-rights movement, perhaps because they think that gay kids really should be transitioning.

Buttons’s explanation of why this medical brouhaha is so pervasive in the U.S., despite the lack of evidence that it works, is convincing, but I’ll let you listen yourself. And her own experience with mental distress as a teenager spurred her passion for ensuring that children like she was aren’t put onto a conveyer belt leading to hormone therapy and surgery. Her personal experiences, describing a desperate search to understand what was happening to her, explain why so many young women latch onto the “I’m-in-the-wrong body” explanation.

In the last five minutes, Buttons describes her detransitioning from being a Social Justice Warrior to an objective journalist who is horrified when ideologues twist or reject the facts.

Here are the YouTube notes:

Formerly a Democrat, Christina’s primary focus is gender transition, detransition and the lack of evidence supporting the gender-affirming model of care. She is passionate about debunking pseudoscience, and her articles are informed by experts in gender medicine research and adhere to the principles of evidence-based medicine (EBM). She also writes about ‘Social Justice’ ideology, mental health disorders, autism – she has Asperger’s Syndrome – and critical thinking.

h/t: Rosemary