What questions were once thought insoluble by science, and therefore evidence for God?

July 19, 2013 • 9:48 am

For a God-of-the-gaps thing I’m gonna write soon, I’m trying to find a list of problems that were once considered insoluble by science and therefore used as evidence for divine intercession.  I know of some of these, like the complexity of organs like the eye, the planetary motions that baffled Newton, and so on, but I seem to remember a list where many of these things were collected in one place.

The point, of course, is to warn people that what is considered a mystery in one generation, and therefore proof of God, is often solved in the next.

If you know of any such list, or simply want to adduce some examples, please post them below.

kthxbai

Mother bear saves hapless cubs at Brooks Falls

July 19, 2013 • 6:20 am

I hope you’ve been watching the brown bears catching salmon at Brooks Falls, Alaska: the animal cam there is one of the best I’ve seen.  It’s early morning there now, but it stays light till 11 p.m. and even British viewers can watch after work.

What’s struck me is that the bears seem very lazy: they sit in the water and basically wait for a salmon to jump into their mouths, or appear at their feet, while ignoring the salmon that leap in the air all around them. Perhaps they’ve gorged so much that they don’t have the energy to move to catch a fish.

At any rate, the bear cam recently took a really nice video of a mother bear protecting her cubs.  A mother and her three cubs were on the bank, and two of them tumbled into the water. The concerned mom, seeing another bear approach, immediately leapt into the river to scare off the intruder and save her cubs. (I didn’t know that there could be litters of three). You can watch the film here, and I’ll give a screenshot.

You can see one cub at the mother’s feet and the other tumbling down the falls. The third is still on the bank. The interloper bear is at lower right:

Picture 1

In which Andrew Brown defends Heffernan’s preference for creationism and provokes me fearfully

July 19, 2013 • 5:57 am

“The interest I have in believing in something is not a proof that the something exists.”
—Voltaire

I will try very hard to avoid calling Andrew Brown names in this piece, despite his ad hominem remarks about me and his obtuseness, which in this case is even more outrageous than he’s ever evinced in the Guardian. His latest essay, “There’s nothing wrong with Virginia Heffernan’s creationism,” defends technology journalist Hefferman’s explanation at Yahoo News why she prefers creationism over evolution. It’s because, she says, the Bible tells a better story than does evolutionary biology, and we get to choose what stories we believe.

While accepting the truth of evolution—reluctantly, I think—Brown nevertheless doesn’t like it because it’s a cultural flashpoint:

Evolution is a fact: it happens. It’s also a predictive theory: it explains why things happen and have happened in ways that allow us to find out more about the world. It is something that I find fascinating, but there are lots of things that fascinate me, from fly fishing to philosophy, which I don’t expect the rest of the world to take an interest in. In that respect, evolution is different. It has come to mean an explanation for everything, including all sorts of questions which were once, and rightly, treated as philosophical or ethical. Even more, it has come to be taken up as a banner in the American culture wars. In that context it is unattractive.

Yes, but precisely who took up evolution as a cultural banner? Not evolutionary biologists, who have simply fought the dismissal of their theory on religious grounds by nearly half the American public and a by large fraction of the rest of the world. Believe me, all of us would be delighted to stop fighting creationists and get on with our science.

And if evolution is unattractive because people don’t like its religious or moral implications, then so is global warming and geology.

As for the accusation of scientism—that evolution has “come to mean an explanation for everything”, well, that’s not right, either. Surely evolution can shed light on questions like “Why do we seem to have an innate sense of morality?”, but almost no scientist pretends that evolution has an answer to questions like “How should we live?” or “Is it right to torture one person to save a million?” or “Is Tolstoy better than Dostoyevsky?”

As if that isn’t enough, Brown then goes off on my own website, claiming that my stridency and “mansplaining” actually drive people away from evolution:

If you want to know why an educated American might decide evolution is untrue, spend some time at the website Why evolution is true, run by the Chicago biologist Jerry Coyne. The science there is great, but the tone of voice is something else: hectoring arrogant mansplaining with sputtering outbursts of extraordinary viciousness. If you don’t much care whether the science is true, this would convince you that there must be something wrong with it.

Here’s the definition of “mansplain” from Wiktionary:

Mansplain (colloquial, chiefly Internet) To explain (something) condescendingly (to a female listener), especially to explain something the listener already knows, presuming that she has an inferior understanding of it because she is a woman.

Andrew Brown has learned a new word from the internet, but he’s got it wrong! I suspect he thinks it simply means “a man explaining something.” And nobody has ever accused me of condescending to women. The rest I won’t bother to defend, except to deny the stupid accusation that I’m largely responsible for turning the American public away from evolution. I simply don’t have that kind of influence. This website started in 2009, and since then there has been no marked downturn in American acceptance of evolution—indeed, there’s been a slight uptick (from 9-15%) in the number of my countrymen who accept purely naturalistic (i.e., scientific) evolution.

The rest of Brown’s piece is devoted to showing two things: 1) there’s no reason why people should care why evolution is true, and 2) there’s nothing wrong with believing in what you want if it’s a good story.

Brown on why we needn’t care about evolution:

And, actually, it’s a bit hard to explain why anyone should care about the truth of evolutionary theory. It doesn’t make any practical difference in the life of a creationist that they are wrong. Modern civilisation is designed to be idiot-proof and only needs a few specialists to understand deeply what they are doing. We all rely on quantum physics every time we use a computer and almost all of us are bound to be badly wrong in our understanding of it. That’s fine, so long as the engineers who design the chips know what they’re doing.

To point this out goes against our self-image, and our belief that we ought to be generally curious about the world. But even if it’s granted that we ought to be omnivorously curious– certainly, I wanted my children to grow up like that – it’s humanly impossible to be equally curious about all of it. Life’s too short. And the question of what things we ought to care about most is not a scientific one and wouldn’t be even if it had a single answer.

But this entirely misses the point. I don’t expect everyone to share my enthusiasm for evolution. But I do expect them to share my respect for facts over fairy tales.

Why? Because if you don’t have good reasons for the things you believe, then you fall into errors, many of which can harm others.  If you reject evolution because the Bible is a better story, then you’re more likely to reject any rational argument if you find superstition more appealing.  And many of those superstitions, like the Bible that Heffernan finds so enthralling, are ineluctably entangled with moral codes—codes that, because they’re based on scripture and dogma rather than rationality, are often invidious. Think of all the harms done in the name of Catholic dogma: oppression of women, control of people’s sex lives, opposition to abortion, terrorizing children with thoughts of hell, instilling guilt into nearly everyone, promoting the spread of AIDS in Africa, and, yes, child rape—since I now see its coverup as an official policy of Catholicism. As Sam Harris has noted:

When we have reasons for what we believe, we have no need of faith; when we have no reasons, or bad ones, we have lost our connection to the world and to one another. Atheism is nothing more than a commitment to the most basic standard of intellectual honesty: One’s convictions should be proportional to one’s evidence. Pretending to be certain when one isn’t—indeed, pretending to be certain about propositions for which no evidence is even conceivable—is both an intellectual and a moral failing. Only the atheist has realized this. The atheist is simply a person who has perceived the lies of religion and refused to make them his own.

It’s more than an intellectual and moral failing, though: it’s also a social and political failing. If you believe what you want, and it’s that humans aren’t harming the ozone layer, then you’ll do nothing to stop the inevitable degradation of our environment.  If you believe that fetuses have souls, then you’ll oppose all abortion. Picking and choosing your own stories, regardless of the facts, is the worst way to conduct your life, and a terrible way to run society.

At the end, Brown decides to go after science again, somehow managing to imply that the way it’s conducted sort of makes it a story, too. Have a gander at these convoluted paragraphs:

But both sides are missing an important point here. In popular culture, arguments about evolution are not clashes of facts against stories. They are the clash of two competing stories. And, in fact, this is what almost all arguments in society come down to. It’s perfectly possibly for facts to smash up stories. But it’s rare. And if it happens in argument, it requires a considerable social moral and intellectual effort to arrange.

The classic modern example is a scientific experiment, where you can prove or disprove a theory based on observations of fact. But the formulation of the theory and the choice of observation are neither simple nor straightforward. The great scientist is often one who can design wonderful experiments, rather than the drone who carries them out. Lots of things aren’t susceptible to that sort of experimental investigation at all. The disciplines then required to work out what is a fact and which stories it can test are then rather different – think of historical inquiry; the idea that there are large social clashes with all the facts on one side and all the stories on the other is not itself factual. It is a story which derives most of its power from the way that believers suppose that it is true. But it is profoundly unconvincing to anyone not taken in.

Now I’m not sure exactly what this means, but I think Brown, by using obfuscation, is trying to suggest that either nonexperimental science, like cosmology, much of evolution, geology, and “science construed broadly,” like history and archaeology, don’t have good ways of distinguishing between facts and stories. But he’s wrong. Experiment isn’t the only way to acquire reliable knowledge. Does Brown really think it’s just a story that the Holocaust happened, or that Julius Caesar existed?  Yes, there are doubts about some historical questions that may forever be unresolved, like whether a historical Jesus really existed. But you don’t settle those by simply making up answers.

What it comes down to, apparently, is Brown’s view that made-up stories can give meaning to lives:

One response to that dilemma is to maintain that the scientific story is better, more wonderful, more uplifting, and so on, than all the others. This is the one taken by Professor Voldemort (who must not be named) and his followers. But of course it’s all balls. Does any adult really want to believe in a meaningless universe which is given sense only by our own heroic efforts? Love, courage, and all the other virtues actually exist. They change the world around them. How are they then not part of the universe, and how could a universe that contains them be called meaningless?

Remember, the man who wrote this is an atheist. He doesn’t share Heffernan’s belief in God or the Bible.  Ergo, Brown, like the rest of us unbelievers, has already found meaning in his life, his work, his family, his friends and so on.  What else is there for an atheist than to recognize that we must make our own meaning, weaving it from threads of our personality and the world in which we find ourselves?  And of course things like love, friendship, satisfying work (and good noms!) are meaningful, and are certainly part of the universe. But how utterly stupid of Brown to conflate those natural objects and emotions with something ordained by God! Those last three sentences comprise some of the most wilfully confused thinking I’ve ever seen. They’re worthy of a theologian!

*****

Meanwhile, at the Telegraph, Tom Chivers has written just the palliative for Brown’s and Heffernan’s nonsense, an essay whose title is “You don’t get to choose your own facts“. (It’s ironic when the Telegraph is more rational than the Guardian!) Go have a look, but I’ll give an excerpt from Chivers’s hard-hitting piece:

I’m not going to debunk her utterly flatulent piece with its litany of non-sequiturs and logical fallacies. Others have done a better job of that than I could. But I am going to say that post-modernist “deconstruction”, the belief that we get to choose the reality we live in, is idiotic and harmful. It might be more aesthetically pleasing to you to think that Iranian dissidents aren’t oppressed, they’re just living under a different truth-regime which makes it OK to smash their ankles with hammers when they say things the ayatollahs don’t like. It might be more “amusing and moving” to you to hear a story in which a snake talks to a woman or a man flies on a winged horse than it is to read the careful breakdowns of why astrophysics points to a universe 13.8 billion years old, why the X-ray crystallography of genes, the geographic spread of species and comparative anatomy all point to the same history of evolution, why the heavy elements that make us and the Earth were created in supernovae billions of years ago. (Personally I find that all pretty moving, and utterly astonishing. But you are entitled to your opinions.) But your amusement does not make it true.

Humans evolved from a common ancestor with chimpanzees about 6.3 million years ago. A dozen strands of evidence point to this. How a grown-up can openly admit that they choose their facts on which ones they find more aesthetically pleasing I simply do not understand.

Brown’s flatulence is equally noxious, and, next to Chivers, his arguments are as sounding brass and tinkling cymbals.

h/t: Many readers who called this to my attention

Separated even beyond death

July 18, 2013 • 1:03 pm

This is one of religion’s more minor malfeasances, but still shows the insanity of the whole enterprise. Some faiths segregate men from women while they’re alive, but here’s one that enforced it after death.

The photo and caption are from Retronaut courtesy of alert reader Michael:

“The graves of Colonel J.C.P.H and Catholic noblewoman J.W.C Van Gorkum.  They were married in 1842.  In 1888, Van Gorkum died, she wanted to be buried next to her husband. Pillarisation (a form of religious and political segregation in Holland) was still in effect at the time, and according to the law, this was impossible.  His wife was buried on the other side of the wall, which was the closest she could get to her husband.”

The-Graves-of-a-Catholic-woman-and-her-Protestant-husband

My sqrlz

July 18, 2013 • 10:58 am

The tedium of writing is sporadically relieved by forays to my lab window, where I’ve installed a squirrel feeding station.  Well, there’s a bag of peanuts and sunflower seeds nearby, from which I periodically put small handfuls on the windowsill. This week I’ve added a bowl of water since the temperature is over 90° F (32°C).  There are two juvenile gray squirrels, about 60% the size of the adults, and a putative mother who is obviously lactating.

Here’s the lovely scene that greets me when I take a break:

Nomz

I didn’t know if they would drink the water, but they do—often. Opening sunflower seeds is thirsty work!

Water

After his noms, this guy took a nap with his tail in the water bowl, which made it all scraggly. Look at those graspy little squirrel feet!

Wet tail

It’s really nice to be able to walk about 25 feet and see a wild animal (if you consider squirrels wild).

Eric Hedin case descends to farce as Ball State professor compares Hedin to George Zimmerman

July 18, 2013 • 8:24 am

I’m starting to really have doubts about the academic quality of Ball State University.  First they allow Eric Hedin to teach a science course that is heavily larded with intelligent design (ID) and Christianity (he’s now under investigation), then they hire another prominent ID advocate, Guillermo Gonzalez, to teach astronomy.  Among all this kerfuffle it hasn’t escaped my notice that no Ball State professors have written letters or editorials criticizing intelligent design.

Now a Ball State English professor, Larry Riley, who is also a columnist for the Muncie Star-Press, has produced a completely superfluous and poorly-written op-ed for that paper drawing parallels between Eric Hedin and—wait for it—George Zimmerman.  What surprises me is not only the complete superfluity of the piece, but also the poor quality of thought and writing coming from an English professor.

Here’s the entire thesis of Riley’s op-ed, called”National case or local instance, who should decide?

An analogy question:

What is the most pronounced similarity between the trial of George Zimmerman, acquitted of criminal charges in Florida for killing Travon Martin, and the allegations against Ball State professor Eric Hedin, accused by the Freedom From Religion Foundation of teaching theology in a science course?

Answer:

Only a handful of people in the end have sufficient information to make informed decisions, but that won’t stop lots of other people from bluntly asserting who’s right, who’s wrong and prescribing the correct course of action.

That’s it, though the letter goes on for two more pages of pompous lucubration.

Now what’s the point of this? The cases are not comparable at all. Zimmerman was accused (and exonerated) of murdering a young black male in Florida, and possibly faced life in prison. Hedin is accused of teaching religion and proselytizing Christianity in his classroom, and at worst he’ll be forced to deep-six his course or revamp it as a philosophy or religion course. To Riley, the parallel between Zimmerman and Hedin consists solely in the fact that their “fates” were in the hands of people who had more information than anyone else. But even that is dubious given that anyone could have watched the Zimmerman trial and read the transcripts. The information for the jury was available to all. What was secret was how the jury weighed that information.

But that’s a thin parallel, not worthy of an op-ed. It must be a slow news week in Muncie.

There’s not much to note about the rest of Riley’s piece save its arrogance (a trait pointed out by his students on ratemyprofessors.com), sound and fury conveying—nothing. This is the end of the piece:

Whatever other evidence Freedom From Religion Foundation has compiled hopefully was disclosed to the [Hedin investigation] panel, too.

So could have been the 7,000-signature petition sent to Ball State from the Discovery Institute, which garnered names from around the country in support of Hedin’s “freedom to teach.”

I’ll bet not one person signing the petition even read the syllabus for the course “Boundaries of Science.” Regardless, they, too, seem sure of themselves and get to exercise their freedom to speak up anyway.

Rather comes down with a bump, doesn’t it?

And here’s a specimen of prose that, well, isn’t exactly prime quality from an English professor:

Thus, only the jurors, all women seemingly Caucasian with the possible exception of one Hispanic, had all the information and nothing but that information with which to make judgments about what happened and whether what happened rose to the level of criminal behavior, concluding in the negative for both murder and manslaughter. To reach unanimity after such lengthy deliberations would appear to give credence to at least the jurors’ belief that they weighed evidence painstakingly and followed the law as they were directed.

“Seemingly Causasian with the possible exception of one Hispanic”? “Concluding in the negative”?  In fact, the entire paragraph says nothing except that Zimmerman was found not guilty.  And a unanimous verdict, which it must be unless there’s a hung jury, says nothing about how painstakingly the evidence was weighed or whether the law was followed. Juries, in fact, can completely ignore the law and let a guilty defendant go free if they consider the law unfair (this “jury nullification” happened a lot during Prohibition, not so much now).

Finally, at the risk of overanalyzing an insipid piece, I’ll point out one apparent slur that Riley makes against atheists:

One comment [in the student evaluations of Hedin] complained that the teacher “constantly talks religion,” though the student said he was atheist, and I wonder about that student’s level of forbearance. Despite this, the student still recommended others who take astronomy at BSU choose Hedin.

(Does a comment complain? I would have thought a student complained!)

What? Atheists are supposed to be “forbearing” when religion is shoved down their throat? Riley, apparently, needs some schooling in the First Amendment—and maybe a copy of Strunk and White.

A free nightingale ringtone

July 18, 2013 • 5:44 am

Yesterday I posted a video of a common nightingale (Luscinia megarhynchos) singing a lovely and complex song. Some readers thought it would make a nice ringtone or alarm and, sure enough, reader Cremnomaniac extracted the song as an MP3, tweaked it a bit, and made it available for 24 hours at the link below.  His post was at 8:41 pm yesterday (Wednesday), so you have until this evening to download it. Here’s his/her comment:

Here is the MP3 for anyone interested.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/6iu2goojtjw7hgo/Luscinia.mp3

I will leave it open until this time tomorrow. I’ve edited it slightly to remove some of the larger silences only. It’s 39 seconds and 1.3Mb.
I must say that seeing the modulation and timings of the song in graphic form is incredible. The the patterns and precision are immediately recognizable.

I don’t know how to turn MP3s into ringtones or alarms, but I’m sure we have plenty of tech-savvy readers who can do it.

Do post below if you’re using it.

Human evolution: the hobbits were probably real

July 18, 2013 • 5:12 am

I’m spending most of the day writing now, and it’s difficult to find time to read scientific papers and report on them.  So do excuse me for a while if I summarize new findings from (reliable) journalistic results, even though I’ll scan and link to the original paper when possible.

There are two evolution-related findings of note this week.  I’ll highlight one today and one tomorrow.

First, Homo floresiensis, the three-foot “hobbit” human whose remains were discovered on the Indonesian island of Flores in 2003, has now been designated as a real species truly distinct from H. sapiens.  This species lived fairly recently—38,000-12,000 years ago, when modern humans were already colonizing the New World—but is very distinct from H. sapiens.  Because of its size and the resemblance of the skull to those seen in certain human diseases (hypothyroidism, microcephaly, etc.), some scientists speculated that this was not a tiny archaic species living at the same time as modern humans, but simply a single pathological individual of H. sapiens.

A new analysis by Baab et al. (link and free download below) suggest however, that this really was a tiny hominin species.  Extensive morphological analysis of the single existing skull from Flores, along with modern H. sapiens, both “normal” and suffering from a variety of syndromes suggested to have produced the Flores skull, as well as a variety of early hominin species, shows that the Flores skull is more similar to that of H. erectus than to nearly all pathological specimens, and is thus likely to truly represent a new species. (See the New York Times report by John Noble Wilford.)

Here’s a cast of the “LB1” skull from Flores (the only existing one) that was used in the authors’ analysis:

800px-LB1_skull

  Note that this hominin came up only to your hips (check out the reconstruction at Washington’s Museum of Natural History), and had a brain about 400 cubic centimeters: one third that of modern humans and the size of one of our earliest hominin relatives, Australopithecus afarensis. Here’s how the hobbit compares to a modern human:

Hobbit-1
Stony Brook University anthropologist William Jungers with an artist’s rendition of Homo floresiensis.

Here’s the figure from the Times:


Researchers found that the cranium of Homo floresiensis, known as hobbits, top, was more similar to skulls of various human predecessors than to modern Homo sapiens, bottom.

The authors of the paper conclude with the following paragraph, allowing one possible pathology as an explanation:

Our analyses corroborate the previously suggested link between LB1 and fossil Homo and support the attribution of this specimen to a distinct taxon, H. floresiensis. Furthermore, the neurocranial shape of H. floresiensis closely resembles that of H. erectus s.l. and particularly specimens of early Eurasian H. erectus, although it is unclear whether this latter affinity is best attributed to a close phylogenetic relationship or to a size-related convergence in shape. These results also counter the hypotheses of pathological conditions as the underlying cause of the LB1 neurocranial phenotype, with the possible exception of posterior deformational plagiocephaly, a condition without significant adverse health effects/

__________

Baab, K. L., K. P. McNulty, and K. Harvati. 2013. Homo floresiensis Contextualized: A Geometric Morphometric Comparative Analysis of Fossil and Pathological Human Samples. PLoS ONE 8:e69119 EP  -.