How do we stop the madness? Harvard professors weigh in—ineffectually

June 16, 2016 • 11:15 am

Today’s CNN gave some depressing news: CIA director John Brennan reports that despite all the anti-terrorist actions of the US and other nations, and a serious loss of its territory in Syria and Iraq, ISIS’s capacity to produce terrorists acts hasn’t diminished a bit:

We judge that ISIL is training and attempting to deploy operatives for further attacks. ISIL has a large cadre of Western fighters who could potentially serve as operatives for attacks in the West. And the group is probably exploring a variety of means for infiltrating operatives into the West, including refugee flows, smuggling routes, and legitimate methods of travel,” CIA Director John Brennan will tell the Senate Intelligence Committee on Thursday morning.

Brennan also says despite all the efforts by the U.S. against ISIS, it has not stopped the group.

“Unfortunately, despite all our progress against ISIL on the battlefield and in the financial realm, our efforts have not reduced the group’s terrorism capability and global reach,” Brennan will say.

“The resources needed for terrorism are very modest, and the group would have to suffer even heavier losses of territory, manpower and money for its terrorist capacity to decline significantly,” Brennan will say. “In fact, as the pressure mounts on ISIL, we judge that it will intensify its global terror campaign to maintain its dominance of the global terrorism agenda.”

It is a time of frustration for all of us, for we know there are no easy solutions. What is ineffectual, though, are loud assertions that Islam is no more violent than other faiths, as seen in Julia Ioffe’s misguided piece in Tuesday’s Foreign Policy.  That is Ostrich Leftism, and tries to circumvent the problem by signalling one’s virtue.

Other acts that signal virtue but don’t do anything to help can be seen on the religion pages of PuffHo, in which it’s claimed ad nauseum that the effusion of love and solidarity after the Orlando shootings (granted, extremely heartwarming and affirming) is what we really need to defeat the “hate” of Islamic terrorism. One also sees the claim that many Muslims are not terrorists. Of course they’re not, but terrorism is rooted in Islamic ideology, which is invariably cited by the terrorists themselves.  (Two HuffPo examples below; click screenshots to see the apologetics).

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The entire world? See the link below to an anonymous piece, and you’ll learn otherwise.

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What should we do? Well, Harvard professors should know, right? After all, they’re supposed to be smart and savvy. To this end, the Harvard Gazette canvassed six Harvard faculty, asking them “How can we best halt this drumbeat of mass violence?” (Note: religion isn’t mentioned in the question, so it’s apparently directed at all shootings in the U.S., though the headline does mention Orlando.) The answers are given in the piece, “How to curb the madness“. Sadly, even most Harvard professors can’t say anything meaningful, and for three reasons. First, the problem is a hard one; second, its causes extend beyond the U.S. borders; and third, the professors studiously avoid mentioning Islam.

The usual causes are floated: bigotry, homophobia, and the easy availability of weapons; and indeed, I think gun control is something tangible we can do to “halt the drumbeat of violence.” Sadly, with a Republican Congress that isn’t likely. I have a solution, which I’ll mention at the end, but first look how the Harvard professors tiptoe around Islam:

Timothy McCarthy, adjunct lecturer on public policy and program director of the Carr Center for Human Rights Policy:

Then I think we need to look at the ways in which we institutionally, ideologically, individually allow ourselves to be governed by prejudice. We have to again, I think, take a cold, hard look in the mirror about our religious institutions, all of our religious institutions, whether they are churches or temples or mosques, that preach hate from the pulpit … I am sure there are people in mosques and temples and other religious institutions all across the country and across the world who are taught to hate in the places where they go to fortify their faith. That too has to be examined deeply and diligently.

After offering the Ioffe-ian “all religions are the same” trope, he proffers the “love each other” trope:

I think, perhaps ironically, that the nation can actually look to queer communities, communities of color, those of us who are most marginalized and vulnerable, to lead the way, because all we want is to love and all we want is to exist, all we want is to be treated equally and fairly in a country that talks about those things all the time. All we want is to be free, and we have something to say about that because we have spent our lives struggling for that, and we know how to do that work, and we know how to show the way to healing.

No, it is Muslims who must lead the way, at least as far as Islamist violence is concerned. What we have above is simply virtue signaling without any substantive solutions.

Ronald Schouten, director of Massachusetts General Hospital’s Law and Psychiatry Service and associate professor of psychiatry at Harvard Medical School, who studies the psychology of terrorism:

In terms of “it,” this was an act of extremist violence. Labeling it as “right wing” or “Islamic extremist” makes us feel better because we have attached a label and it allows for blame to be laid on a specific group. But it does not point the way to prevention, except for those who think most simplistically and favor exclusion of broad categories of people based on their religion and ethnicity and/or jettisoning the Constitution. Both are wrong-headed and destructive, but the fear mongering makes for what some consider good politics. In fact, such simplistic solutions are exactly what extremists want because it would tear at the heart of our society.

Umm. . . while Schouten says this, echoing the sentiments of Obama and all apologists, our own government is busy concentrating on Muslims and Muslim enclaves, for in our hearts we know that it is those groups we must focus on.

The only person who says something halfway substantive is Steve Pinker, but he, too avoids mentioning Islam, though he alludes to it obliquely in his last paragraph:

Steven Pinker, the Johnstone Family Professor of Psychology, is a cognitive scientist and experimental psychologist and the author of the 2011 book “The Better Angels of Our Nature: Why Violence Has Declined,” which examines a long-term trend away from violence across human history:

The honest answer is that we can’t stop them. Despite the round-the-clock media coverage, mass shootings are in fact rare compared to the more than 35 homicides that show up on police blotters every day. And rare events are inherently difficult to predict and control. In a country of 315 million people and almost as many weapons (which won’t evaporate any time soon), nothing can prevent .0001 percent of those people from wreaking revenge or gaining notoriety by the only guaranteed recipe for becoming famous: killing a lot of innocent people.

The best we can do is try to lower the odds. Two measures are common sense: outlawing or restricting bloodbath weapons, and increasing the reach of mental health services. (Most mass shooters have a history of disturbance.) Another is trickier: keeping media coverage and officials’ responses in perspective — currently they are massively out of line with the actual level of harm — so as not to provide a perverse incentive for angry losers to “make a difference” in the only way available, even if they only get to enjoy their fame in the anticipation of it.

The same is true for terrorism, which almost by definition is a tactic to exploit the media. And for terrorist attacks, anything that can hasten the waning of the prestige of the cause would help. We don’t see anarchists or Marxists bombing cafes anymore because they no longer feel they are part of a glorious historical movement.

Steve mentions Marxists and anarchists, and I can’t help but think that he means “Islamists”, that is, we must “hasten the waning of the prestige of Islamism.” (I’m just guessing here.)

And indeed, I think that’s the only solution—if  you conceive of the problem as deaths not just in the U.S., but throughout the world. For the evils of terrorism, or religiously inspired violence, are far greater overseas than in the U.S. Why should an American life, or fifty American lives, be mourned more than the lives of fifty gays in the Middle East, or of fifty Yazidi women? That’s not to diminish the horror of the Orlando shootings, but to say two things. First, the problem is most serious outside the U.S. Second, even if we have more leverage to solve the problem in our own country than elsewhere, it will continue, as the CIA director noted, so long as the megaphones of Islamism broadcast from overseas.

As a counter to the “peace and love” message of PuffHo, have a look at the infinitely depressing article by an anonymous author on the Arab Humanists site, “As an Arab, the Middle East reaction to Orlando left me speechless. . . ” A bit of it:

As a bilingual Arabic and English speaker from the Middle East, I took the liberty of browsing through Arabic news pages on Facebook earlier today; namely Al Jazeera, Al-Arabiya, BBC Arabic and a number of Egyptian news outlets to gauge how the Arab world was responding to the Orlando shooting. The results were disappointing, alarming, and depressing to say the least. Each page’s comment section was inundated with posts showing sympathy towards the attacker, praising him for his actions and wishing death upon members of the international LGBT community. Comments ranged from jokes about the incident and how “the gays had it coming,” to long du’as (religious supplications), wishing death upon gays and lesbians, as well as asking God to grant the killer “the highest place in paradise.” I considered collecting screenshots of these comments to raise awareness about the amount of hatred towards the gay community in the Middle East, but it soon dawned on me that such a task would be impossible.

There were simply too many hateful comments, with thousands celebrating the attack, from Tunisia to Egypt, Iraq and Saudi Arabia. It was only through deep digging that a single person who expressed so much as a shred of sympathy to the victims and their families, or even condemned the blatant massacre that took place could be found. If you don’t speak Arabic, visit Al Jazeera Arabic’s Facebook page and scroll down until you see a post about the Orlando attack and note what the top three “reactions” (newly added Facebook feature) are.

Most of those Muslims would not engage in terrorism itself, of course. But by celebrating its effects, and refusing to condemn radicalism, they are enabling it. Those are the people whose attitudes must change if we’re to curb the violence.

So yes, let’s get rid of guns, and let’s have an open discussion with American Muslims about what Enlightenment values have to say about their faith. That, at least, will help keep their children from growing up radical, or of being susceptible to the blandishments of radical Islam. And let’s crack down on guns as well; screw the NRA if it says otherwise.

But the problem of both American and foreign terrorism will not end until Islam itself undergoes a profound reform. Not just ISIS and other terrorist organizations, but Muslims as a whole, who, by and large, hold views incompatible with democracy, equality, and Enlightenment values.

In the end, the solution is what ex-Muslims and liberal Muslims have been telling us all along: the reform of Islam must come from within. That is the message of Maajid Nawaz (see here), of Ayaan Hirsi Ali in her latest book, Heretic: Why Islam Needs a Reformation Nowand of Asra Nomani in her new Washington Post piece, “Repeal Islam’s scarlet-letter sex laws.

The problem, of course, is that such reform will be slow, taking decades or even centuries. In the meantime, religiously-inspired terrorism will continue, albeit at a declining rate. We can hold it down by banning guns, and we can try to expand mental health services, as well as using the usual government security procedures. And we need to start naming the problem for what it is: mass murder based on a religious ideology. Yes, all of this will help, but these are bandaids for a problem needing major surgery. The surgeons must be the believing Muslims of the world—not just in the U.S.

As the author adds:

Members of the left who claim such terrorism has nothing to do with Islam need to become aware of the issue at hand that is Islamism, and understand the ramifications of evading discussions on it. The Arab world’s moral collapse is the result of decades of fundamentalist Wahhabi indoctrination across the Muslim world which has culminated in the recent rise of Islamic terrorism. Reform must come from within Muslim communities – I can’t stress this enough. An open and frank discussion on the current understanding and interpretation of Islam is much needed. Yes, it’s great to see Muslims in the west condemning the attack and voicing solidarity with the victims and their families, but there still remains a long way to go. The Muslim world, particularly the Middle East and North Africa, has become rife with followers of either Arab nationalist anti-west ideologies, or Islamism and Wahhabism, both of which are cesspools for hate.

h/t: Bryan, Faisal Saeed Al-Mutar, Orli

My last pair of boots. Part 3: Lasts, insoles, and design

June 16, 2016 • 8:15 am

As I noted in the last two boot posts, Lee Miller of Austin, Texas is making my last pair of boots: a spiffy custom pair that I designed myself (or rather, with the help of his wife Carrlyn). Those two posts (here and here) also showed the beginning of the process of making boots, which, as you’ll see as this series continues, is a complicated craft and art: a dying tradition in America. It’s far more involved than you or I could imagine.

Lee is widely considered the best bootmaker in America (and therefore the world), and I’m lucky to get this pair, which will be the last one I buy given that I have no more space to put boots! Any reader who likes cowboy boots should have a custom pair made at least once (they’re not cheap given the labor and materials involved); unfortunately, Lee is not taking new orders. But there are plenty of good bootmakers in the U.S., most of them in Texas.

The whole process began with a fitting in Austin last summer (see post here), a complicated process that ensures a good fit. That process resulted in the construction of a last: a model of my foot precisely shaped to the measurements, and around which the whole boot is constructed. It begins with a form that is built up or shaved down to conform to one’s measurements. The indented captions below are from Carrlyn:

Lee marks the pivot point on the last that corresponds with your measurements. [JAC: note the metal heel plate nailed onto the last. I’m not quite sure what the “pivot point” is; perhaps it’s the place where your foot bends when you walk.]

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The last is then whittled down and built up till it precisely matches the measurements of the foot. Notice the complicated measurements of my foot, which involved me putting my feet on a big ink pad and standing on the paper. It also shows the pressure points. The square front shows the box toe I choose (another tradition, and one that involves a lot of work, as a leather “toe box” must be specially constructed).

One last is done; the second one is coming right along.

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Both lasts are finished.

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The insoles were wet and laid on the last. We wrap the lasts with an Ace bandage while they dry.

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Insoles are the leather on which your foot rests when you put on the boot. They are stitched to both the foot part of the boot (the “vamp”) and the outer soles: the thick part on which you walk. Making an insole is itself a complex job. The video below shows how Lisa Sorrell, another fantastic bootmaker—and one of only a handful of women who make boots—does it. There’s a bit of comedy at the end.

Lee is beginning work on the paper patterns that will have your design. [JAC: I haven’t revealed the design yet, but it will probably become evident as these posts continue.]

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He’s cutting them out according to your leg measurements.

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Fronts and backs of top patterns cut out. Time to draw the design.

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For more information about Miller, Carrlyn, and their Texas Traditions bootmaking operation, go here; at the bottom of that post you’ll see the wooden pegs used to fasten the outer sole to the bottom, as well as the large nail that’s hammered flat and put between the sole and insole for support (the “shank”; a tradition):

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A nail used for the shank (not my boot but still a Lee Miller boot)

You can find a nice interview with Lee here, which explains the dedication that bootmakers have to perpetuating a dying tradition. Cowboy boots are one of the few pieces of distinctly American clothing, and it would be a shame if artisans like Lee Miller didn’t pass on their craft to others. Fortunately, he has young apprentices to teach, and was himself an apprentice to the great bootmaker Charlie Dunn.

An interesting snippet from the interview:

What is the most extravagant boot that a client has ever ordered?

It’s very hard to say what has been the most extravagant boot ever ordered, but the one I remember the most is when a customer wanted parts of a Picasso painting inlayed on his boots. What a treat and a challenge to do, and I discovered the greatness of Picasso when we made those.

Readers’ wildlife photographs

June 16, 2016 • 7:30 am

Keep those photos coming in, folks; I’ll be here all year.  Our first few come from (who else?) reader Stephen Barnard from Idaho:

Here’s a better photo (I think) of the Red-tailed Hawk (Buteo jamaicensis) chicks than one I sent before, and two more photos of mama hawk (I believe), guarding the nest. She’s a beautiful dark morph.

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The next photo is Desi keeping an eye on the nest from an unusual perch. When I saw him there, and no chicks were visible in the nest, I thought they might have fledged, but they didn’t.

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Here’s a Belted Kingfisher (Megaceryle alcyon) that had just eaten a small fish.

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Finally, this Eastern Kingbird (Tyrannus tyrannus) dove into the creek, perched in a Russian Olive tree, and shook himself off, but he’s still wet.

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And a landscape:

A couple of years ago I seeded several acres near my house with native wildflowers and grasses. It’s starting to look good. This is predominately blue flax (Linum lewisii).

Landscape June 7

And these photos come from reader Don Bredes, who sent the moose photo and tanager photos in late May:

This gangly yearling paid us a visit earlier this week. Probably his (or her) mama has driven him off now that she’s about to give birth again.
We have a large population of moose here in northern Vermont. We see plenty of tracks and once in a while a noble specimen or two.  Alces alces is the largest animal in North America. While a large whitetail deer can weigh up to 300 pounds, a large bull moose can weigh up to 1800 pounds and stand 6 1/2 feet at the shoulder.  The sight of an ambling bull is truly impressive.
Moose in New England have declined quite a lot in numbers recently, particularly to the east of us in New Hampshire and Maine, because warmer winters have allowed the blood-sucking ticks–a real plague–to remain active throughout the winter, so the moose must endure blood loss during all three stages of the tick’s life, larvae, nymph, and adult. The calves tend to suffer the highest mortality.

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The scarlet tanager (Piranga olivacea) is generally a secretive bird, a denizen of the forests more often heard than seen, according to David Sibley.  One visited our place high in the wooded hills of northern Vermont yesterday afternoon and stuck around for an hour or so.  Vivid against the pastels of early spring.  They’re avid insectivores.  This one may have been attracted by the golden dung flies that arrived with the load of cow manure delivered last week by my dairy farmer neighbor—I don’t know.

They don’t stay here long.  Sibley says they breed in May in June and start migrating back to the tropical forests of Central and South America in July.

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Thursday: Hili dialogue

June 16, 2016 • 6:30 am

It’s Thursday, June 16 (excuse my slipup yesterday about why we weren’t halfway through the year; all I can say is that you try writing half asleep at 4:30 a.m.! I’m off to California tomorrow morning for more R&R, and will be back Tuesday. Posting will be light, so bear with me; like Maru, I do my best.

On this day in 1904, James Joyce began his romance with Nora Barnacle, furnishing plenty of material for Ulysses, including the final soliloquy. And, of course, that was the exact day portrayed in the novel, in which all the action takes place in Dublin. (Joyce did that to commemorate his tempestuous romance), so it’s officially BLOOMSDAY!

Notables born on this day include Adam Smith (1723), Edward Davy (1806), Barbara McClintock (1902), and Joyce Carol Oates (1938; she has a Bengal cat).  Those who died on this day include Wernher von Braun (1967). Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili pretends to have wisdom:

A: Look how beautifully the roses are still blooming.
Hili: Any fool can bloom, the question is how to wilt beautifully.
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In Polish:
Ja: Patrz jak te róże nadal pięknie kwitną.
Hili: Kwitnąć każdy głupi potrafi, pytanie jak ładnie więdnąć.

Out in Winnipeg, Gus is intently watching a bird, completely ignoring the photographer:

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Extra lagniappe: the latest episode of Savage Chickens by Doug Savage (h/t: jsp):

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Does moderate religion promote the extremist version?

June 15, 2016 • 2:30 pm

Again, Betteridge’s law of headlines suggests “no”, but an article in Quillette by Henry Rambow, identified as “a writer and teacher who formerly served as an evangelical missionary in China” argues that yes, moderate religion fuels fundamentalism.

Before I summarize Rambow’s piece briefly (and you should read the whole thing), let me recommend Quillette as a site you should be bookmarking. Think of it as Slate, but more serious, more intellectual, and without any Regressive Leftism. Its slant is definitely progressive, but its motto is “a platform for free thought” and it has articles like these (all are on the front page):Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 1.39.19 PM Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 1.38.31 PM Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 1.39.09 PM Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 1.38.57 PM Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 1.38.46 PM

The site is just starting out, and could use some traffic if it’s to grow. If you’re a writer, consider submitting there. But do visit from time to time.

Rambow’s piece, “The Josiah effect: How moderate religion fuels fundamentalism,” is the view of a former fundamentalist Christian who now feels that his own faith enabled even more radical brands of Christianity, right up to those brands that favor death for both gays and abortion doctors. This slippery slope, you may recall, was also discussed by Christopher Hitchens in God is Not Great.  

I think Rambow is right, but not necessarily for the reasons he gives. Here are his three reasons why moderate religion fuels radical and extremist faith.

First, moderate religion primes children — by the millions, if not billions — from an early age to accept without question the authority of the very same books that serve as the basis for fundamentalist ideologies, and it teaches children that the gods described in those books are worthy of worship. This renders these children susceptible to fundamentalist ideology when, as young adults, they begin seeking a purpose for their lives.

Second, moderate religion propagates and legitimizes the vehicles of fundamentalist ideology — both the texts and the rituals. The fact that millions upon millions of Americans believe that the Bible is a holy book drives publishers to print millions upon millions of copies every year. Bibles are available in every home and on the back of every church pew. And all it takes for a fundamentalist to be born is for one lost soul to pick up a copy and find a powerful sense of purpose in a literal interpretation of the text. The same is true of the Koran.

Third, moderate religion lends credibility to fundamentalism by claiming to believe in the very same gods and the very same divinely-inspired texts that are exalted by fundamentalists. If not for moderate religion, the absurdity of fundamentalist beliefs would be much more obvious. But those beliefs are not as easy to identify as absurd when billions of people worship the same god and study the same scripture. The result is that fundamentalist beliefs are seen not as ridiculous, but as merely unorthodox or misguided interpretations of an ideology that is, on the whole, widely regarded as correct.

The first point seems a bit weak, for children brought up in “moderate-faith” homes are likely to retain that moderate faith.  Yes, some may become more radical if their religion has weakened their bullshit detectors, but I’m not sure that there are more converts from moderate to fundamentalist Christianity than the other way around.  I’m speaking here about Christianity, and am not sure if moderate Muslims, for example, are more likely to become Islamists or jihadists than vice versa.

The second point, the texts—and let us not pretend that the Christian Bible isn’t violent, misogynistic intolerant, and homophobic, at least in the Old Testament*—are a big worry for Rambow. That, in fact, is why he calls his piece “The Josiah Effect”, for in the Bible Josiah commits unspeakable acts in the name of God. But let us remember that while some Christians fundamentalists are intolerant (think Kim Davis), few turn to murder, and I doubt that you’d find as high a proportion of Christians damning homosexuality, urging the stoning of adulterers, or promoting the murder of non-Christians and ex-Christians, as you would among Muslims (see here). The fact is that Christianity’s worst aspects have been hugely de-fanged by the Enlightenment, something that hasn’t yet happened to modern Islam.

The third point is pretty much the same as the second, and I won’t say more about it.

Rambow’s arguments do make sense, but religious people would argue that he’s neglecting the good that religion has done.  While Rambo mentions the damage that fundamentalist religion does, and by proxy its supposed moderate facilitators, he doesn’t even consider the argument that, on balance, religion does more good than bad. Before you argue that moderate religion is bad because it promotes extremist religions, you have to show that the whole enterprise is bad for humanity.

I happen to believe that it is, but, as I’ve said before, I can’t prove it (nor can religionists prove otherwise), for how can you weigh the intangible benefits of faith versus the tangible deaths of gays, the terrorization of children, the oppression of women, and the endless faith-against-faith wars caused by religion? (Perhaps someone can at least tot up the lives lost versus lives saved.) But we can at least argue that it’s better to know the truth than believe in falsehoods, and I think even believers would agree with that. It’s just that they don’t have reliable ways to know the truth.

And that’s where I think Rambow misses the boat. While his three points above are reasonable, my own take is that moderate religion enables extremist religion because the former gives credibility to faith—to believing in stuff for which there is no evidence. That practice is common to both moderate and extremist religions, and is why the moderates are so loath to call out the extremists: they know that if one suddenly examines the evidence for religious beliefs, all ships sink immediately. And if you look at your own faith rationally, you’ll see that there is no more evidence for it than for those other faiths you consider false*.

It is the practice of faith; nay, the completely unjustified respect given to faith, that is the real reason moderate religions enable extremist ones. The sooner we banish from our planet the idea that it’s admirable to have strong beliefs without good evidence, the faster humanity will progress.

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*Word for word, however, the Qur’an has at least twice as many violent passages as the Bible (the Bible has more violent bits but is much longer).

**See John Loftus’s “Outsider Test for Faith.

 

Do cats understand the laws of physics?

June 15, 2016 • 1:00 pm

Betteridge’s law of headlines would suggest that the answer is “no”, but the authors of a new paper in Animal Cognition beg to disagree. This short report (reference and free pdf below) tests the idea that cats can identify a rattling sound in a box as denoting an object in the box, and then, when the box is opened upside down, will get flummoxed if something doesn’t drop out of the rattling box. They will also get flummoxed if a toy drops out of a shaken box that didn’t make a rattle. In other words, cats can somehow sense the incongruity between an auditory stimulus (the rattling) and a visual stimulus (the expected object causing the rattle).

So, to be brief, here’s what Saho Takagi and her colleagues did.  They studied 30 domestic cats of both sexes, all tested in —yes—cat cafes: a delightful staple of Japanese culture.  Each cat was given four tests involving a box and a putative object. The box was designed with an electromagnet and all of them held three metal balls, with the magnet activated by pushing a button on the box. When the balls were in the box, shaking it would make a rattling sound—unless the balls were affixed to the electromagnet.

The kicker is that the electromagnet not only did the electromagnet allow a box to contain an object without making a rattling sound when shaken, but also enabled the investigator, when the bottom of the box was opened, to either release the ball to drop on a cushion, or keep the ball inside the box, stuck to the electromagnet.

Each cat was thus exposed to four conditions:

  1. Box rattles, cat hears it, then box opened and balls drop out.
  2. Box rattles, cat hears it, then box opened but NO balls drop out (electromagnet turned on).
  3. Box does not rattle (though it has balls in it), then box opened and balls drop out
  4. Box does not rattle (though it has balls in it), then box opened but NO balls drop out (electromagnet activated the whole time).

These four conditions, imposed in random order on each of the 30 cats, are shown like this: Screen Shot 2016-06-15 at 12.25.21 PM

As the caption above notes, conditions 1 and 4 are congruent with expectations from Cat Physical Law, but conditions 2 and 3 are “incongruous”: the cat either hears an object and perhaps expects it to fall out (but it doesn’t), or doesn’t hear an object and nevertheless sees it fall out. These two conditions should flummox the cat—IF cats can associate an auditory stimulus with the appearance of an object they haven’t yet seen.

The researchers made two predictions. The first one, which is not surprising, is that cats would spend a larger amount of time looking at a box that’s rattling before the object either does or doesn’t drop out. This was verified by the data below (“mean looking time” is the number of frames of the videotape that the cat looked at the box during the five-second shaking period; these frames were scored by observers who were blinded as to the condition). Whether or not an object was going to drop out of the box (“object” or “no object”), cats paid significantly more attention to the box that rattled. No surprise here:

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But then the cats got the chance to be flummoxed: the boxes were opened, and the ball either did or didn’t drop out. After 5 seconds of holding the box upside down, it was placed on the floor for 15 seconds, and the cats were released to look at the apparatus for a 15-second inspection period (they were held by their owners during the shaking phase and five-second post-opening phase). The authors predicted that cats would look at the box longer under the two “incongruent” conditions (2 and 3 above) than under the congruent conditions, because they’d be flummoxed by the lack of a visual stimulus matching the auditory one. And that, in general, is what they found (again, the length of inspection was judged by the number of frames of the videotape during which the cat was looking at the box:

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As the graph shows, cats looked the longest at the box when an object fell out but there was no sound, or when there was a sound but no object fell out, than under the other two conditions taken together. (Whether an object fell out also in general increased their inspection time). The comparisons above are statistically significantly different when connected by a bracket with an asterisk. In particular, the authors’ predicted differences in inspection (between sound/object vs. no sound/object, as well as between sound/no object vs. no sound/no object) were upheld. HOWEVER, there was no difference between inspection time for the sound/object vs the sound/no object condition.

The authors interpret this as the cats looking longer at the apparatus when conditions 2 and 3 obtained: those conditions with physical incongruity. This is what they say:

This study may be viewed as evidence for cats’ having a rudimentary understanding of gravity. We have found no study specifically testing knowledge of this fundamental physical rule in cats. Some nonhuman animals have been shown to respond spontaneously in accordance with gravity (e.g., tamarins: Hood et al. 1999; dogs: Osthaus et al. 2003), which suggests that an innate tendency to react in accordance with the gravity rule may be common among mammals.

Well, forget the “understanding of gravity” part, and look at this as cats showing an association between a sound and the expected appearance of an object. The results support this to some extent, but the lack of difference in inspection time between conditions 1 and 2, in which 2 is incongruous and 1 is not, weaken this conclusion somewhat. (To be fair, one might argue that condition 1, in which a rattling box releases a ball, would really interest cats!) The similar results in studies with tamarins and dogs led the authors to suggest that an “understanding of gravity” may be “common among mammals.”

Finally, I’m pleased to see that the first author of the study owns a cat. Here’s a picture of Saho Takagi and her cat. Who else but a cat lover would even do such a study?

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Source. Photographer: Mayu Takagi

h/t: Gethyn

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Takagi, S. et al 2016. There’s no ball without noise: cats’ prediction of an object from noise. Animal Cognition, 2016; DOI: 10.1007/s10071-016-1001-6