The recent Pew Report on “America’s changing religious landscape” showed, over the last 7 years, a sharp decline in adherents to mainline Protestantism and Catholicism in the U.S., and a corresponding increase in the numbers of religiously “unaffiliated” (the latter went from 16.1% in 2007 to 22.8% last year). Now, not all of the “unaffiliated” are nonbelievers: many are simply people who believe in God but haven’t found an established church that meets their needs, while others may believe in some kind of nebulous and unspecified divinity. Still, the report emphasizes that atheists and agnostics themselves are on the rise. From p. 14 of the report:
As the ranks of the religiously unaffiliated continue to grow, they also describe themselves in increasingly secular terms. In 2007, 25% of the “nones” called themselves atheists or agnostics; 39% identified their religion as “nothing in particular” and also said that religion is “not too” or “not at all” important in their lives; and 36% identified their religion as “nothing in particular” while nevertheless saying that religion is either “very important” or “somewhat important” in their lives. The new survey finds that the atheist and agnostic share of the “nones” has grown to 31%. Those identifying as “nothing in particular” and describing religion as unimportant in their lives continue to account for 39% of all “nones.” But the share identifying as “nothing in particular” while also affirming that religion is either “very” or “somewhat” important to them has fallen to 30% of all “nones.”
And, as I showed three days ago (well, it was shown by David Leondhart in the New York Times), the proportion of the nonreligious is highest in the youngest generation: 25% of “millennials” (those born after 1980) are either agnostics (7%), atheists (5%), or whose religion is “nothing in particular” (13%). By comparison, for those born between 1946 and 1964 (my generation), the total figure is only 11%.
There’s no way to interpret the data except as showing that religion, either formal or construed as belief in God, is on the wane in America.
But some people still try to pretend otherwise. One of those who seems to ignore the facts is author Peter Manseau, who wrote an op-ed in Sunday’s New York Times, “Thou shalt worship none of the above.” Manseau’s point is that Americans have historically gone through periods of coming to and then leaving traditional faiths, so there’s nothing new about Pew.
He gives a potted history of some evangelists who rejected traditional faith, but it’s thin and unconvincing. Yet from it he draws fairly strong conclusions:
This history suggests that, despite the headlines to the contrary, we are not necessarily seeing a period of religious decline. Rather, this may be just the latest in a series of moments when more Americans are intent on custom-tailoring their religious identities. The Pew numbers support this: At least a third of Americans today do not maintain the affiliation with which they were raised.
Look at the evidence, my dear Mr. Manseau! Religious identity isn’t just being swapped from one faith to another (or to a non-churchy belief in God)—it’s disappearing!
Most important, Manseau fails to address the palpable increase in not just the “nones,” but the proportion of Americans who are both “nones” and nonbelievers. Here’s his argument (my emphasis):
More recently, Americans’ desire in the 1970s and ’80s to devise spiritual identities apart from traditional categories was labeled “Sheilaism” by the sociologist Robert Bellah, for a woman called Sheila who believed in God, did not go to church, but trusted her own internal voice to direct her on a spiritual path.
Many of today’s “nones” are yesterday’s “Sheilas,” and some of them may be spiritual descendants of those New Lights whose innovative ways of being (and not being) religious established trends in American belief nearly three centuries ago. The rising and falling preference for the open air of unaffiliation is not only not new, it is exactly how religion in America has been periodically enriched and expanded from the beginning.
It’s too soon to tell what the continuing negotiation between belief and unbelief described in the Pew study will bring, but the picture it provides of religious communities in flux suggests that the next Great Awakening — a transformation of the religious character of the nation as radical as it is unexpected — might be led by those with too many spiritual influences to choose just one.
Seriously? He uses “Sheilaism” to claim that religion (in the form of spirituality) is still with us, and that religion isn’t waning, but just changing? There are none so blind as those who will not see.
As Dan Dennett has noted, it’s possible that some cataclysm could force Americans back to church, but that hasn’t happened for decades. Instead of trying to reassure Times readers that they needn’t worry, as faith is still with us, Manseau should just bite the bullet and admit that America is losing its faith.
But that wouldn’t sit well with the editors of the New York Times, who hold a journalistic “Little People’s View”: we aren’t religious, but we need to reassure our readers that belief is good, and remains an important part of America. Why else would they continue to publish the mushy lucubrations of Tanya Luhrmann, but abjure columnists who regularly criticize religion?













