Trump enters office with lowest approval rating of any recent President: 40%!

January 17, 2017 • 8:15 am

In just three days we’re going to have to choke out the words “President Trump”. And while there’s a small and deluded group of people who really do think they can prevent his taking office, I’m betting on his inauguration on Friday. (Of course, I bet about $500 that he wasn’t going to win in the first place!). At any rate, CNN reports that he’s coming into office with an extraordinarily low approval rating for a new President: only four out of ten Americans show approval. As CNN reported in an email:

Donald Trump will become president Friday with an approval rating of just 40%, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll, the lowest of any recent president and 44 points below that of President Barack Obama, the 44th president. 

Following a tumultuous transition period, approval ratings for Trump’s handling of the transition are more than 20 points below those for any of his three most recent predecessors. Obama took the oath in 2009 with an 84% approval rating, 67% approved of Clinton’s transition as of late December 1992 and 61% approved of George W. Bush’s transition just before he took office in January 2001.

 

Trump’s wobbly handling of the presidential transition has left most Americans with growing doubts that the President-elect will be able to handle the job. About 53% say Trump’s statements and actions since Election Day have made them less confident in his ability to handle the presidency, and the public is split evenly on whether Trump will be a good or poor president (48% on each side).

 

I have little doubt that many readers here share my fear about what is to come. The Congress is Republican in both houses, we’re going to have a right-wing replacement for Antonin Scalia, the President is an egomaniacal bully with no real sign that he cares about America, and, to be frank, I don’t think he’s fully compos mentis. Moreover, he’s the one man in this country who can order the deployment of nuclear weapons. 

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Readers’ wildlife photos

January 17, 2017 • 7:30 am

How about some wildflowers today to remind us of the spring that is coming up in the Northern Hemisphere? These come from reader Mike McDowell, and his notes are indented (his website and gallery are here):

Even during intense insect missions (tiger beetles, robber flies, etc.), I’ll take time to photograph interesting wildflowers whenever I find them. All ten that follow were photographed in southern Wisconsin; some have a conservation status of special concern. Anyway, I don’t recall seeing wildflower photography collections on your website, so I thought I would help spread a little cheer for readers in the form of botanical natural beauty.

Prairie Fame-flower – Phemeranthus rugospermus:

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Sand MilkwortPolygala polygama:
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Venus’ Looking Glass Triodanis perfoliata:
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Eastern Prickly-pear CactusOpuntia humifusa:
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Clustered Poppy-mallow Callirhoe triangulata:
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Dotted HorsemintMonarda punctata:
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Rough Blazing StarLiatris aspera:
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Silky AsterSymphyotrichum sericeum:
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American Pasqueflower Anemone patens:
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Yellow Lady’s SlipperCypripedium pubescens [JAC: this is an orchid]:
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Tuesday: Hili dialogue

January 17, 2017 • 6:30 am

Thanks to Grania for keeping the Hili dialogues going when I was in LA! Now I’m back in Chicago, and it’s Tuesday, January 17, 2017: National Hot Buttered Rum Day. There are no other national holidays of note.

On January 17,1912, Robert Falcon Scott reached the South Pole, only to find that Roald Amundsen had beaten him by one month and three days. Scott, of course, perished on his return, but alongside his body was a sledge of plant fossils that had been dragged by hand—fossils that proved that Antarctica had once been joined to other continents (see the story of Glossopteris in WEIT). On this day in 1929, Popeye the Sailor Man (who ate his spinach) first appeared in the comics. And on January 17, 1991, Operation Desert Storm began, launching the first Gulf War.

Notables born on this day include Benjamin Franklin (1708), Al Capone (1899), Betty White (1922; she’s 95 today), Eartha Kitt (1927), James Earl Jones (1931), Shari Lewis (1933), and Andy Kaufman (1949). Those who died on this day include John Ray (1705), the conjoined twins Chang and Eng Bunker (1874), Francis Galton (1911), Dougal Haston (1977), and Bobby Fischer (2008).

I am saddened to note the death yesterday of Eugene Cernan at 82; he was the last human to walk on the moon (there have been 12); his walk was in 1972, and I don’t know if we’ll see that feat again in our lifetime.  Here’s a trailer for a movie about him, “The Last Man on the Moon”. Note his wife’s comment at 0:45. (h/t: Michael).

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili and Cyrus are still chafing about the weather, but there’s a lot of cold to come; Hili is making reference here to both the Paris conference and the Illiberal Leftism of the West.
Cyrus: The frost is coming back.
Hili: I don’t like these frosts from the West.
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Cyrus: Znowu idą mrozy.
Hili: Nie lubię tych zachodnich mrozów.

Monica Crowley, accused plagiarist, quits position with Trump administration

January 16, 2017 • 2:30 pm

As I’ve reported previously (here and here), Monica Crowley, whom Trump’s appointed to be senior director of strategic communications for the National Security Council, was accused of extensive plagiarism not just in a 2012 HarperCollins book (which has since been pulled), but also in her Ph.D. thesis at Columbia University. Now, according to CNN and the Washington Times (link below), there’s even more plagiarism, and Crowley has bowed out of the offered position:

Here’s an excerpt from the CNN report (my emphasis):

The Washington Times first reported the news of Crowley’s decision. A transition official confirmed the move to CNN. [JAC: they mean confirmed Crowley’s decision, not her taking a position with CNN! Bad writing!]

“After much reflection I have decided to remain in New York to pursue other opportunities and will not be taking a position in the incoming administration,” she told the Times in a statement. “I greatly appreciate being asked to be part of President-elect Trump’s team and I will continue to enthusiastically support him and his agenda for American renewal.”

CNN’s KFILE originally reported last week that Crowley had plagiarized more than 50 times in her 2012 book “What the Bleep Just Happened.” In response to the story, publisher HarperCollins pulled the book from sales until it could be updated to include proper attribution.

CNN’s KFILE later found thousands of words plagiarized in Crowley’s 2000 dissertation for her Columbia University Ph.D. Columbia has said any review of her work would be kept confidential. A review of Crowley’s columns for the Washington Times also found plagiarism in seven columns.

I’m not sure what motivates people, in these times of Googling, to plagiarize—to publish words not your own as if they were your own. I’ve previously reported that book publishers try to guard against this simply by putting in the contract that you can’t do that kind of stuff, for it’s impossible to vet an entire book for instances of plagiarism. But sooner or later, as C. J. W*l*m*n  and Jonah Lehrer discovered (the latter self-plagiarized and fabricated quotes), you’re going to be caught out, and then your reputation is shot.

Mr Rubin, I’m ready for my close-up

January 16, 2017 • 1:03 pm

When in Hollywood. Blending with the indigenous population. They won’t suspect a thing.

Note by JAC: The pictures and text above were posted by Grania, to whom I sent the photos for posting. It was great fun meeting Dave Rubin and his coterie—an amiable and helpful bunch—and being on the Rubin Report. Dave and I had an hourlong conversation that, as I recall, was mostly about evolution, with a tad of atheism thrown in. The hour flew by, and I think it went well. I’ll send the link when it goes up.

Now I’m cooling my heels in LAX, ready to fly back to Chicago; I dare not look up the temperature there!

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After the taping. I love this sign!

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HuffPo Arabic pushes anti-Semitism and demonization of gays

January 16, 2017 • 12:00 pm

It’s not clear that, with the HuffPo, the left hand knows what the right hand is doing. In November, the Arabic edition of the site, which appears even more in love with Islam than is the American version, published a blog post (in Arabic here), that was a nasty, anti-Semitic accusation of a Jew poisoning Mohammed. This was noticed by the Anti-Defamation League, which reports this:

The Anti-Defamation League (ADL) today voiced disappointment over the failure by editors at HuffPost Arabi to remove a blatantly anti-Semitic blog after it was first brought to their attention several weeks ago. The Arabic-language blog promotes a conspiracy theory blaming Jews for the death of the Prophet Mohammed.

“It is troubling that an anti-Semitic screed cleared The Huffington Post’s editorial review process and that our concerns so far have been ignored,” said Jonathan A. Greenblatt, ADL CEO. “We call on The Huffington Post to immediately remove this offensive entry and to ensure that the proper safeguards are in place so that the Arabic site is free of anti-Semitism and incitement against Jews.” [JAC: As you see above, the post hasn’t been removed.]

The blog, initially titled “’Arsenic’ The poison, which a Jewish woman put in the food of the Prophet, peace be upon him,’” has been live on The Huffington Post’s Arabic language web site since it was first published on Nov. 29. It claims that a Jewish woman used arsenic to poison the Prophet Mohammed and includes other offensive anti-Jewish conspiracy theories.

After the ADL complained, the title was changed to “Did the Prophet Die From Being Poisoned With Arsenic?”, but the content of the post wasn’t changed.

In another issue, Mediaite reports that after singer George Michael died, the Arabic PuffHo headline noted that he was “addicted to drugs with homosexual tendencies.” This did not go unnoticed by Arabic-speaking readers, nor the different headline in the English notice of Michael’s death.

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I’m not sure what’s going on here, and it’s entirely possible that the editorship of this site is non-overlapping, but still, HuffPo is a brand, and when this stuff is called to their attention, maybe they should do something about it. HuffPo, it seems, is engaging in the same sort of anti-Semitic nonsense that’s promulgated by the private and state media of Middle Eastern countries.

h/t: Tom

Milo Yiannopoulos talk canceled at University of California at Davis

January 16, 2017 • 10:30 am

Once again, Breitbart editor Milo Yiannopoulos has been prevented from speaking, this time at the university where I did my postdoc: the University of California at Davis.

As CNN reported yesterday:

A speech by right-wing commentator Milo Yiannopoulos’ at UC Davis was over before it even started Friday after protests erupted, forcing sponsors to cancel the event.

Thirty minutes before the Breitbart tech editor was scheduled to speak, the UC Davis College Republicans canceled the controversial talk after consulting with the university’s police department and student affairs officials.

Former pharmaceutical executive, Martin Shkreli had also been scheduled to speak at the event.

“I am deeply disappointed with the events of this evening,” said Interim Chancellor Ralph J. Hexter.

“Our community is founded on principles of respect for all views, even those that we personally find repellent. As I have stated repeatedly, a university is at its best when it listens to and critically engages opposing views, especially ones that many of us find upsetting or even offensive.”

Earlier in the evening, protesters blocked access to the venue. Surrounding the lecture hall with signs, they chanted, “Say it loud, say it clear, racists are not welcome here.”

The implicit idea is not just that Milo is a racist, but also those who want to hear him speak.

Shkreli is the guy who, you may recall, got the rights to manufacture an antiparasitic drug and then raised the price by 56-fold. I have no use for that stuff, but he, too, was invited.

Here’s a video of the protestors:

Note, too, that Milo was invited not by the University, but by (as usual) the College Republicans. I am pleased that the interim Chancellor spoke up in favor of free speech. Yiannopoulos is indeed something of a provocateur, and often says things that I’m not sure even he believes (i.e., “there are no such things a lesbians”), but he also can be serious, provoking discussion about things like feminism, affirmative action, and free speech itself.

Once he’s invited, protestors have every right to picket the venue, but not to shut down an event itself. What we see above are protestors trying to censor speech that they simply don’t like.

In the long run, this will ensure conformity of thought by intimidating those whose thoughts go against the opinion of the majority. And that’s precisely why we have laws protecting freedom of speech.

An editorial in “The Aggie,” the UC Davis student newspaper, is called “Davis college Republicans provide platform for hate speech.” Read it for yourself; it does recount Milo’s unconscionable calling out of a transgender student in Wisconsin (something I decried), but also adds this:

The disclaimer on the event page for Yiannopoulos’ talk states: “[Yiannopoulos] is known for discussing topics, both political or not, that may offend some people but not others.” But the ideas espoused by Yiannopoulos should offend all people — at least, all people with any shred of humanity or decency.

One of those ideas they mention is that we do not live in a “rape culture.” I think that claim is at least worthy of discussion, since the meaning of “rape culture” is not clear, and American culture certainly does not officially condone rape—not by any means. But what bothers me most about the above is that not all of the ideas espoused by Yiannopoulos, such as equity feminism, “should offend all people.” Who can determine which ideas “should offend all people”? And if someone claims that right, do they then have the right to block those espousing such ideas?

A “superbug”, resistant to all antibiotics, kills Nevada woman

January 16, 2017 • 9:00 am

PBS reports on the death of a Nevada woman who had a bacterial infection resistant to all known antibiotics (they tried 26). Microbes, it seems, are evolving resistance faster than humans can devise new antibiotics.

The report from the Centers for Disease Control is here; the bit below is an extract from the PBS article:

Public health officials from Nevada are reporting on a case of a woman who died in Reno in September from an incurable infection. Testing showed the superbug that had spread throughout her system could fend off 26 different antibiotics.

“It was tested against everything that’s available in the United States … and was not effective,” said Dr. Alexander Kallen, a medical officer in the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s division of health care quality promotion.

The case involved a woman who had spent considerable time in India, where multi-drug-resistant bacteria are more common than they are in the U.S. She had broken her right femur — the big bone in the thigh — while in India a couple of years back. She later developed a bone infection in her femur and her hip and was hospitalized a number of times in India in the two years that followed. Her last admission to a hospital in India was in June of last year.

The unnamed woman — described as a resident of Washoe County who was in her 70s — went into hospital in Reno for care in mid-August, where it was discovered she was infected with what is called a CRE — carbapenem-resistant enterobacteriaceae. That’s a general name to describe bacteria that commonly live in the gut that have developed resistance to the class of antibiotics called carbapenems — an important last-line of defense used when other antibiotics fail. CDC Director Dr. Tom Frieden has called CREs “nightmare bacteria” because of the danger they pose for spreading antibiotic resistance.

In the woman’s case, the specific bacteria attacking her was called Klebsiella pneumoniae, a bug that often causes of urinary tract infections.

Here, from Wikipedia, is K. pneumoniae growing on an agar plate;

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And here’s a video about the superbug:

One thing I think could have been usefully added to the PBS piece—and to the video above—was that this is a case of evolution in action. They don’t even mention that “antibiotic resistance” is simply the result of natural selection: those bacteria who can survive an antibiotic are those that leave offspring, and those offspring carry the genes for antibiotic resistance. Many people harbor the misconception that “antibiotic resistance” somehow involves the infected human acclimating to the antibiotic, when it fact it’s the bacterium undergoing natural selection in the body.

Second, it’s always puzzled me that when bacteria resistant to antibiotics become resistant to a new antibiotic, they doesn’t lose resistance to the old ones. In many cases in evolution, there are “costs to resistance”: it takes special enzymes or physiological changes in a bacterium to fend off antibiotics, and those would reduce its reproduction in the absence of the antibiotic. (These are also called “tradeoffs”.) For example, if you adapt fruit flies to a medium that’s high in salt, they will adapt to it, but then if you put them back on normal medium, they’ll lose the salt tolerance. That’s because the salt tolerance involves adaptations that, in the absence of the salt, reduce your reproduction compared to non-tolerant individuals.

This doesn’t appear to be happening in bacteria: they seem to have an infinite ability to acquire resistance to one antibiotic after another, without losing resistance to the antibiotics they previously encountered but are no longer exposed to. That’s what makes the whole problem so hard, because otherwise we could just go back and try old antibiotics, not used for years, on bugs that have acquired resistance to new ones.

Why is there no “cost to resistance” in bacteria? I’m not sure, but I suspect some readers will know. My own guess is that the resistance is often due not to simple mutations in the bacterium’s own circular chromosome, but is carried in plasmids—bits of circular DNA that can be exchanged among bacteria, and that carry the genes for antibiotic resistance. Once you acquire a plasmid that confers resistance, it may simply be hard to get rid of it, for it’s just sitting there in your cell and either may not incur a reproductive cost (though I’d think it would, by slowing down reproduction). Alternatively, there may not be “mutant” bacteria that somehow lack the plasmids.

Still, the video above indicates that some antibiotic resistance comes from mutations in the bacterial DNA itself; and that implies that if you stopped using that antibiotic, the bacteria would, due to the cost of resistance, revert to being sensitive again after a period of time when it’s not exposed to the antibiotic. (That reversion to sensitivity is itself produced by natural selection; individuals with resistance are at a reproductive disadvantage in the absence of the antibiotic.)

If you know that answer to this puzzle, weigh in below.

h/t: Mark N.