Welcome to CaturSaturday, July 20, 2024: two weeks before I depart for South Africa, and National Fortune Cookie Day. Here’s one fortune from Bored Panda:
It’s also International Chess Day, National Lollipop Day, Moon Day (it was on this day in 1969 when men first walked on the Moon, and I remember it well, as I saw it “live”), Nap Day, and Space Exploration Day.
Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the July 20 Wikipedia page.
Da Nooz:
*Despite the many hints that Biden will withdraw, the WaPo says that he’s still bent on running. Here’s one paragraph from them:
President Biden is “absolutely” staying in the presidential race, campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Friday, calling him the “best person to take on Donald Trump.” Her assessment comes amid growing calls from Democrats for Biden to step aside. The Republican National Convention in Milwaukee wrapped up Thursday night with a lengthy acceptance speech from Trump in which he spoke about Saturday’s assassination attempt and basked in his party’s nomination. Trump and his new running mate, Sen. J.D. Vance (R-Ohio), plan to appear together at a rally in Michigan on Saturday. Biden is isolating in Delaware after testing positive for the coronavirus this week.
And more bad news (for me, at least), citing a YouGov poll:
YouGov also asked respondents if they thought Harris was more likely to win than Biden and, if she did, whether she’d be a better or worse president.
Among Democrats, about equal numbers said that Harris would be more likely to win, more likely to lose or likely to fare as well in the election as Biden. They were more likely to say, though, that she’d be a better president than that she’d be a worse one.
It’s those Democrat numbers that matter for the current debate. If Biden were to step aside, the natural replacement would be Harris. If that happened, though, their party is generally uncertain whether it would make a positive difference. Many of those who think she would fare worse probably have their own preferred non-Biden, non-Harris candidate in mind, someone they’re sure could outperform both Biden and Harris. The number of those candidates who end up as the party’s nominee ranges from zero to one, meaning a lot of disappointed, pessimistic Democrats regardless.
Well, my preferred non-Biden, non-Harris candidate is Gretchen Whitmer, but America doesn’t really know her, and it’s getting kind of late. Yes, I’d vote for Harris if the Democrats are dumb enough to nominate her (we really need an open convention), but, though Illinois will go Democratic regardless, Harris is not nearly the kind of person I want to lead America.
*I don’t generally read David Brooks, as I see him not much far above the level of mentaion of Thomas “Two-State-Delusion” Friedman, but he does make sense in his new NYT column, “What Democrats need to do now.” Ok, I’ll bite, but it better involve asking Biden to withdraw. Brooks:
Across the Western world, right-wing parties have ceased to be parties of the business elites and have become working-class parties. MAGA is the worldview that accords with this shifting reality. It has its roots in Andrew Jackson-style populism, but it is updated and more comprehensive. It is the worldview that represents one version of working-class interests and offers working-class voters respect.
J.D. Vance is the embodiment and one of the developers of this worldview — with his suspicion of corporate power, foreign entanglements, free trade, cultural elites and high rates of immigration. In Milwaukee this week, with Vance as Trump’s pick for vice president, it became clear how thoroughly MAGA has replaced Reaganism as the chief operating system of the Republican Party.
If Democrats want to beat MAGA, it’s not enough to say: Orange man bad. Talking endlessly about Jan. 6 does no good. If Democrats hope to win in the near future they have to take the MAGA worldview seriously, and respectfully make the case, especially to working-class voters, for something better.
. . . . Now, the problem with MAGA — and here is where the Democratic opportunity lies — is that it emerges from a mode of consciousness that is very different from the traditional American consciousness.
The American consciousness has traditionally been an abundance consciousness. Successive waves of immigrants found a vast continent of fertile fields and bustling cities. In 1910, Henry van Dyke, who later became the U.S. ambassador to the Netherlands and Luxembourg, wrote a book called “The Spirit of America,” in which he observed that “the Spirit of America is best known in Europe by one of its qualities — energy.” In the 20th century, Luigi Barzini, an Italian observer, argued that Americans have a zeal for continual self-improvement, a “need tirelessly to tinker, improve everything and everybody, never leave anything alone.”
Many foreign observers saw us, and we saw ourselves, as the dynamic nation par excellence. We didn’t have a common past, but we dreamed of a common future. Our sense of home was not rooted in blood-and-soil nationalism; our home was something we were building together. Through most of our history, we were not known for our profundity or culture but for living at full throttle.
. . . . MAGA, on the other hand, emerges from a scarcity consciousness, a zero-sum mentality: If we let in tons of immigrants they will take all our jobs; if America gets browner, “they” will replace “us.” MAGA is based on a series of victim stories: The elites are out to screw us. Our allies are freeloading off us. Secular America is oppressing Christian America.
If Democrats are to thrive, they need to offer people a vision both of the secure base and of the daring explorations.
Here’s where they have a potentially good story to tell. Americans can’t be secure if the world is in flames. That’s why America has to be active abroad in places like Ukraine, keeping wolves like Vladimir Putin at bay. Americans can’t be secure if the border is in chaos. Popular support for continued immigration depends on a sense that the government has things under control. Americans can’t be secure if a single setback will send people to the depths of crushing poverty. That’s why the social insurance programs that Democrats largely built are so important.
But what Democrats really need to do, in my view, is to offer people a vision of the daring explorations that await them. That’s where the pessimistic post-Reagan Republicans can’t compete. American dynamism was turbocharged by the construction of the transcontinental railway, the creation of the land grant colleges, the G.I. Bill and President Biden’s successful efforts to revive our industrial base in the American Midwest.
Personally, I wish Democrats would spend less time on dumb, reactionary policies like rent control. That reeks of panic in the Biden campaign. I wish they would champion the abundance agenda that people like Derek Thompson and my colleague Ezra Klein have been writing about. We need to build things. Lots of new homes. Supersonic airplanes and high-speed trains.
Well, that sounds good, and seriously, yes, we need to stop performative “progressive” policies, but right now I’m not so sure that Americans will vote Democratic if our party extols new homes and supersonic airplanes and high-speed trains. And yes, we have to take on the regressive teachers’ unions. But it’s sort of late for that, and Biden isn’t going to encourage it. Surprisingly, Brooks says not a word about Biden stepping down, which is, I think, a necessary but not sufficient action for Democrats to win the White House in November. Truth be told, I think the chance has slipped out of our hands, and I’m starting to think that I’ll just have to bite my tongue for the next four years. One thing is for sure: “progressive” politics, like those of the Democratic “squad”, aren’t he way forward, and may have helped cost Democrats the Presidency.
*Checking in on Andrew Sullivan, his weekly taken on Biden (what else is there in the news?) is called “Regime change in America?” First Sully is amazed at the concatenation of events that has unified the Republican Party, and then implies that the change in the Zeitgeist may be permanent:
What makes this narrative feel like something deeper than a mere looming electoral college landslide is that, simultaneously, the entire liberal establishment seems to be imploding. The Democrats’ Biden formula — impose radical social, economic, and cultural change by fronting it with a moderate, easy-to-bully old man — has unraveled as obviously as Biden’s health. One reason is that the president is simply incapable of catching the attention of the country — except in universal cringe — and has singularly failed to construct a compelling narrative of his own.
Another is the incoherence of the Resistance. If you want to protest potential abuse of the justice system by a future president Trump, don’t bring an obviously flimsy, political case in New York City that merely helped Trump sweep back to dominance in the GOP. If you want a saner GOP, don’t demonize every other possibility, from DeSantis to Vance. If you emphasize the danger of political violence, don’t turn a blind eye as BLM burns America’s cities to the ground, or ignore Antifa. If you want to accuse Fox News of propaganda, don’t push out equal and opposite propaganda on toxic MSNBC. If you think democracy dies in darkness, why try to get Trump legally excluded from some state ballots, and prevent any real primary among Democrats?
More saliently, if one of your main lines of attack on Trump is his mendacity, it was probably not a great idea to tell the entire country that Biden was, in Joe Scarborough’s words, “far beyond cogent. In fact, I think he’s better than he’s ever been — intellectually, analytically…”
The lies the Democrats have been telling us these past few years are legion: inflation won’t happen/is temporary/is good for you; the Southern border is secure; “equity” is “fairness”; biological sex is a “spectrum”; Ukraine is about to win the war; Russia’s economy can be sanctioned to death; political violence is entirely on the far right; children can meaningfully consent to sex changes; the only thing holding black Americans back is white bigotry; the mainstream media is fair; and women have penises. Yes, Trump is a shameless liar. But the left’s propaganda has muddied the waters. When NBC’s higher-ups took Morning Joe off the air this week, it was a real moment. Even the muckety-mucks couldn’t take the lucrative propaganda anymore.
Well, this is why I have been criticizing the Left in these pages, often to the opprobrium of some readers. I will deep-six those who say I’m responsible for a Trump victory for, if he wins, the factors above, which I’ve constantly decried, have worked against Democrats, not for them. At any rate, Sullivan’s ending is, for me, depressing:
I will never vote for Trump — because he is so psychologically disturbed and so contemptuous of the rule of law that he remains a danger to us and the world. But I can see the logic of Trumpism. Those who feel left behind — culturally, economically — need at least one party to represent them and their values. As Biden has proven, protectionism is not all bad, especially when related to supply chains and national security. Mass immigration is out of control, and only one party gets it. Support for those who have lost the most from globalization seems to me a defensible conservative position, after migrant winners like me have had such a good run of it. And the madness of the neocon war machine demands a president able to spurn it.
Can the Democrats respond with the skill, poise and energy required? If Biden goes, and an open convention can showcase newer, younger talent, there’s still a chance. But it will take nerve to seize it.
We apparently ain’t got that nerve. I can hope against hope, and I will, but my reason is stronger than my hope. The Democrats simply caved in to their far-left wing in ways limned by Sullivan. If Trump wins, Democrats largely themselves to blame. An open convention is our only hope.
*The International Court of Justice, in a nonbinding resolution, has ruled some of the Israeli occupation illegal:
The United Nations’ highest court said that Israeli settlements in Palestinian territories are illegal under international law, in an advisory opinion issued on Friday.
The findings by judges at the International Court of Justice (ICJ), known as the World Court, are not binding but carry weight under international law.
“Israeli settlements in the West Bank and east Jerusalem, and the regime associated with them, have been established and are being maintained in violation of international law,” President Nawaf Salam said, reading the findings of a 15-judge panel.
The court added that Israel’s continued presence in the Palestinian territories was illegal and that it should come to an end “as rapidly as possible.”
It also said Israel must make reparations for damages caused by its ‘occupation’ of the Palestinian territories.
The case stems from a 2022 request from the UN General Assembly, predating the current Israel-Hamas conflict.
The UN Assembly asked the court to appraise the legal consequences of Israel’s “prolonged occupation, settlement and annexation” of Palestinian territories, including east Jerusalem, and associated Israeli government policies.
In February, more than 50 states presented their views before the court, with Palestinian representatives asking the court to find that Israel must withdraw from all the occupied areas and dismantle illegal settlements.
Israel did not participate in the hearings but filed a written statement telling the court that issuing an advisory opinion would be “harmful” to attempts to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
The majority of states participating asked the court to find the occupation illegal, while a handful, including Canada and Britain, argued it should refuse to give an advisory opinion.
The United States, Israel’s strongest backer, urged the court to limit any advisory opinion and not order the unconditional withdrawal of Israeli forces from the Palestinian territories.
Israel will not obey this ruline, of coursg, as not only is it nonbinding, but there are cogent arguments that the settlements are not in fact illegal. I’ve put up some videos in the past by Natasha Hausdorff explaining this, and if you have hours and hours, read this legal paper from Eugene Kontorovich in the Northwestern University’s Journal of Legal Analysis , which shows that Israel’s practices are not at all unusual in world behavior, but only Israel is demonized for it. I’ve printed it out for my own education. What we have is a ICJ ruling whose rationale applies to only one country.
Here’s Hausdorff’s reaction to yesterday’s decision:
*Nellie Bowles is back! And, from her weekly news summary from the Free Press, called “TGIF: Back with a bang!“, I steal my usual three items, She was on maternity leave, but that’s no reason she can’t do her column, for which there is NO substitute:
→ Trump, Hulk Hogan, Biden: Hulk Hogan set up the RNC’s big final act by tearing his shirt off to reveal another shirt that read—what else—TRUMP/VANCE as he screamed “let Trumpomania run wild, brother, let Trumpomania rule again” (Donald then blew him a kiss). And then boom, Hollywood lights came up like it was the musical Chicago! Out strode a new, toned-down, spiritual Trump. His convention speech started strong, normal, even moving. Even those who hate Trump had to admit that the retelling of his brush with death was kind of riveting.
And then. Well, then it just never ended. He said every word there was to say. An excerpt: “Has anyone ever seen Silence of the Lambs? The late, great Hannibal Lecter is a wonderful man. He oftentimes would have a friend for dinner.” He continued, “They’re emptying out their mental institutions into the United States, our beautiful country.” When Trump said the speech was wrapping up, that was Trump just being a silly flirt. The thing finally clocked in at one hour, 32 minutes. . . . [there’s more]
What would a foreigner think seeing this as a speech at the Republican National Convention?
→ Hide the pics: For the mainstream press, the big problem was that there now exists a pic of Trumpo looking brave—bloodied, defiant, standing with his fist in the air. The picture was taken by the incredible Evan Vucci. Here’s Axios on the crisis, quoting an anonymous photo editor from “a major news outlet” who says: “It’s dangerous for media organizations to keep sharing that photo despite how good it is.” As Trump put it: “A lot of people say it’s the most iconic photo they’ve ever seen. They’re right and I didn’t die. Usually you have to die to have an iconic picture.” The mainstream media didn’t seem to want to linger on the attack. The Denver Post simply went with: “Gunman Dies in Attack.” Though some outlets came out with special surprises:
The piece has since been pulled, but I’d like you to take notice of the section that it was filed under. Moving on!
→ DNC [Democratic National Committee] says get down Josh, stay away Kamala, beat it Gavin: The DNC, like any good mob, is not going to go down without a fight. They’re still punishing anyone who questions Biden’s running, like House Democrat Hillary Scholten of Michigan, who was cut off from all Democrat campaign efforts after saying Biden should retire (officials reversed course after a Politico reporter called them). Yes, the Biden mob wants to win. And by that I mean they want to lose in a horrible bloodbath, but they want to lose their way, with their man, Joseph R. Biden. The DNC’s new method of cinching the Biden nom is by declaring that special rules actually make it so delegates have to vote online now, really fast, for Joe. These are the rules, they say. Reader, these are not the rules. The threat they cite (Ohio requiring the candidate’s name early) has long been rescinded (Ohio dropped that a while ago). The DNC chair and the statistician and Substacker Nate Silver fought for a while on Twitter, which was mostly interesting because it shows that the DNC chair has too much time on his hands and is obsessed with Nate Silver (same and same, but I’m not the DNC chair).
Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is thinking of “Bastet”:
Hili: I’m trying to remember the name of the Egyptian goddess.A: Which one?Hili: The one who looks like me.
Hili: Próbuję sobie przypomnieć jak miała na imię ta bogini egipska.Ja: Która?Hili: Ta podobna do mnie.
And a photo of Baby Kulka:
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From Cat Memes. People have no business trying to turn carnivore cats into vegans:
A stern house from Things with Faces:
From Jesus of the Day: (I don’t think it’s yet an ex-bluebird):
Tweeted by Masih. I’m a big fan of Inna, whom I know. Here she is on the cover of Paris Match some years ago—and I can’t help but be self aggrandizing by showing this:
Inna Shevchenko @femeninna a Ukrainian feminist activist and the leader of international women’s movement #Femen has a message for women in Iran and Afghanistan: “We see you!” Inna, who has been arrested multiple times for her activism, asks the world to raise their voices in… pic.twitter.com/1sTqv1LZaS
— United Against Gender Apartheid (@UAGApartheid) July 19, 2024
I know Inna and have met her; I’m a big admirer of her passion against injustice towards women. Here’s a photo of her that appeared on the cover of Paris Match, and look whose book she’s holding! (Excuse my solipsism.)
From my feed. A baby elephant tries to charge, but gives up:
Please act scared, little bro tried his best😭 pic.twitter.com/Ffma2smNtj
— Nature is Amazing ☘️ (@AMAZlNGNATURE) July 18, 2024
From Malgorzata. Of course the Jews were behind the attempt to kill Trump, though I’m not sure why given that he’s more favorable toward Israel than is Biden.
It didn’t take long for conspiracists to manufacture theories on who was behind the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump.
If your first reaction is to blame the Jews for any significant world event, we can think of at least one word to describe you… pic.twitter.com/hvKtZ8EIGH
— Campaign Against Antisemitism (@antisemitism) July 15, 2024
From Malcolm. I’m not quite sure I get the new title.
Picasso called this painting ‘Crazy Woman with Cats’. I call it ‘Waking up on a School Day’. pic.twitter.com/0i2aALri4m
— Prof Janina Ramirez (@DrJaninaRamirez) January 5, 2023
Larry, the Chief Mouser to the Cabinet Office, is guarding 10 Downing Street, but willing to be bribed:
Downing Street security: If your name’s not down, you’re not coming in… unless you bribe me with cat treats
(Photo @LightHackers) pic.twitter.com/JO2ddWxPOj— Larry the Cat (@Number10cat) July 18, 2024
From the Auschwitz Memorial; one that I retweeted:
Died in Auschwitz, probably at 21 or 22. This one struck me because her photo looks so happy. https://t.co/cZztsHE7pk
— Jerry Coyne (@Evolutionistrue) July 20, 2024
Two tweets from Dr. Cobb. First, look how low that Spitfire is flying!
The incredible low pass of the Spitfire. On this day 18th July 1996, in a notorious bit of flying, New Zealand born fighter pilot Ray Hanna, roared over tv presenter Alain de Cadenet. pic.twitter.com/slyxMTEnfd
— Bobbie (@bo66ie29) July 18, 2024
Matthew says, “Insane or a liar? You decide.” I vote for the former:
Marjorie Taylor Greene describes how, right before the shooting, she witnessed an angel coming down from heaven that looked like an American flag that saved Donald Trump’s life.
HOLY HELL! pic.twitter.com/j0nv0d1Eoz
— CALL TO ACTIVISM (@CalltoActivism) July 18, 2024

























