I wouldn’t normally put up another post meant for discussion, but this is an unusual day. The Presidential election is still a toss-up, and results change from hour to hour. Before we begin, have a gander at this map (data here, h/t Nicole). I don’t think there’s a correlation with the map below it:
Of course, we’re all pundits now, but here are my thoughts, which are mine.
1.) I think Biden/Harris will squeak through, and we’ll know tomorrow.
2.) I think that most of the mail-in votes will be from Democrats, which heartens me.
3.) I am, perhaps like most of you optimists, deeply surprised that Trump is doing so well. My only explanation is that Trump voters did not reveal that they favored him when they were polled. That, of course, means that they are ashamed of voting for him. I cannot IMAGINE anybody voting for Trump after seeing him for four years in office, but people who vote their pocketbook think he’s helped the economy and they may agree with his xenophobia, faux religionism, love of guns, and authoritarian stand. I was depressed when he won in 2016, but now, after we’ve seen that he’s even more horrible than we imagined, it’s even more depressing, not to mention the damage he’ll do to the country and to the world
4.) As usual, the Northeast and the Far West are democratic. I’m pleased that New Mexico went for Biden, and of course Arizona will be a key capture for the Democrats (Biden’s leading there). Fingers crossed
5.) Everyone I know is sweating bullets lest Trump wins (I don’t have any close friends who aren’t Biden supporters), and that includes people overseas. It’s gonna be a tough two days.
6.) I’m especially worried that the Senate will stay Republican. That, like the days of Obama, is a recipe for stalemate, especially now that the Supreme Court is deeply conservative. When I told a friend this, and that I was worried that it would lead to a lack of “progress”, he said, “forget about progress—we’re doing damage control here.
7.) To add to the distress, Trump said yesterday that he wants the vote-counting stopped now, and will take the election to the Supreme Court. As far as I know, he can’t do either of these things, particularly the first one.
Let’s take a poll, and please vote. Make that two polls, and remember, you’re just guessing. Nobody knows the answer to either question; I’m just assessing feelings.
Weigh in below.