Thursday: Hili dialogue

January 30, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to Thursday, January 30, 2025; February is almost upon us. It’s National Croissant Day, and here’s a photo I took of what, at the time, was rated as Paris’s best croissant, produced at Maison d’Isabelle in the Latin Quarter. It was excellent, and cost only one Euro. I can’t remember where it was from. Now Winnie informs me that it may have gone downhill.

It’s also Yodel for your neighbors day and School day of non-violence and peace (it’s sad that we need one).  Here’s a 12-year-old yodeler on one of those television talent shows. 

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 29 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Breaking: An American Airlines jet collided with a helicopter outside Washington, D.C. and plunged into the Potomac River. It was headed to Reagan National Airport from Wichita, Kansas, and it looks bad as there are no reports of survivors yet.

Many people were feared dead after a commercial jet carrying 64 people collided in midair with a U.S. Army helicopter and crashed into the Potomac River on Wednesday night near Reagan National Airport outside Washington, D.C.

The authorities have not given an official count of casualties or bodies recovered. But some of those aboard the plane were figure skaters flying from Wichita, Kan., which had hosted the national figure skating championships this month. Russian figure skaters were also among the passengers, the Kremlin said.

“When one person dies, it’s a tragedy, but when many, many, many people die, it’s an unbearable sorrow,” Senator Roger Marshall of Kansas said at a news conference.

About 300 emergency responders were working in dangerous conditions, said John Donnelly, the chief of Washington’s fire department. He added that the Potomac’s cold and murky water was complicating divers’ search and rescue efforts. Temperatures were expected to fall below freezing in the Washington area overnight.

American Airlines said in a statement that 60 passengers and four crew members had been onboard its plane, a Bombardier CRJ700. The plane, which was being operated as Flight 5342 and had departed from Wichita, crashed into the river, Washington’s fire emergency department said. Images of the wreckage showed what appeared to be a wing and part of the fuselage sticking out of the river.

An Army official said that the helicopter, a Sikorsky UH-60 Black Hawk, was flying with three crew members, whose condition he could not confirm.

This reminds me of the Air Florida crash in on January 13, 1982 when a jet taking off from National Airport (same as Reagan) crashed into the 14th Street Bridge.  78 people died (four on the bridge) and four survived the icy waters of the Potomac River

*Well, the first of the misguided EOs of the Trump administration has been rescinded. They’re not all misguided, but this one surely was! (archived here)

The White House rescinded an order on Wednesday that froze up to trillions of dollars in federal grants and loans and sparked mass confusion across the country, according to two U.S. officials familiar with the matter and documentation obtained by The New York Times.

The initial directive interrupted the Medicaid system that provides health care to millions of low-income Americans and sent schools, hospitals, nonprofits, research companies and law enforcement agencies scrambling to understand if they had lost their financial support from the federal government.

A federal judge in the District of Columbia on Tuesday afternoon temporarily blocked the order in response to a lawsuit filed by Democracy Forward, a liberal organization that argued that the directive violated the First Amendment and a law governing how executive orders are to be rolled out.

On Wednesday, Matthew J. Vaeth, the acting director for the Office of Management and Budget, sent a notification to federal agencies notifying them that memo freezing aid had been “rescinded.”

“If you have questions about implementing the President’s executive orders, please contact your agency general counsel,” Mr. Vaeth said in the notification.

Of course all of my colleagues were distressed about their grants, and my own University sent out a memo saying that federal grant holders could continue to pay their employees but should not spend money for equipment or procedures. While that’s not as important in the cosmic scheme as getting medical care to people, it would, if kept in effect, severely impact not just science in general, but also medical research. Stopping these grants and loans was a terrible idea, and I have no inkling why Trump did it. Next to be rescinded: the equally misguided “birthright” directive.

*As I write this on Wednesday afternoon, RFK Jr. (another misguided move) is getting a licking in the Senate for his nomination as Trump’s health secretary. You can guess what they’re asking him about (he’s pushing back, too):

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on Wednesday took questions from senators before a vote on whether to confirm him as President Trump’s health secretary. Kennedy, the scion of an American political dynasty, endorsed Trump last year on a theme of “Make America Healthy Again.”

Here’s what else to know:

Kennedy sidestepped questions on abortion and struggled to answer questions about Medicare and Medicaid.

He pushed back on criticism of his vaccine views, saying he supports measles and polio vaccines.

Kennedy would take over a sprawling bureaucracy if confirmed, with an annual budget that tops $1.7 trillion and a department that funds healthcare for millions of Americans.

He needs 51 votes to be confirmed by the Senate, where Republicans currently hold 53 seats. If Kennedy loses three Republicans, Vice President JD Vance can break the tie.

A bit more from the links:

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. pushed back on questioning from Sen. Ron Wyden (D., Ore.) about his vaccine views. “I support the measles vaccine. I support the polio vaccine. I will do nothing as HHS secretary that makes it difficult or discourages” for people to get those vaccines, Kennedy said.

But Wyden wasn’t buying it, saying Kennedy had been clear in the past that he viewed measles as not a threat. Kennedy has questioned whether the MMR vaccine, which inoculates against measles and two other diseases, causes autism.

And Bernie went after him big time (go see the picture):

Children’s Health Defense, the nonprofit founded by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., used a heated exchange between Sen. Bernie Sanders (I., Vt.) and the HHS nominee over their baby onesies emblazoned with antivaccination slogans (“No Vax. No Problem.”) to promote their controversial clothing. “Thanks for the plug @BernieSanders.”

“Get Your CHD Baby Onesies Here!” the group said on social media shortly after Sanders’s comments. Kennedy said he isn’t opposed to vaccines and that he previously resigned from the group’s board.

Fluoride:

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has blamed fluoride in drinking water for ailments from arthritis to bone cancer to thyroid damage. “I was called a conspiracy theorist because I said fluoride lowered IQ,” Kennedy said during his hearing with senators Wednesday, invoking a recent controversial JAMA Pediatrics review examining the link. He said before the election that if re-elected, President Trump would direct municipalities to stop adding fluoride to water systems.

Most experts say that the amount of fluoride in water is not sufficient to harm children, and there are of course proven salubrious effects on dental health.

And get a load of this—where RFK Jr. had to go to get data supporting his “theories,” which are his:

Citing a paper published in 2014 in the Polish Archives of Internal Medicine, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. claimed pharmaceutical drugs are the third-leading cause of death after heart disease and cancer in the U.S.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, accidents were the third-leading cause of death in 2022 and Covid-19 was the fourth-leading cause.

*More from the Washington Post (the grilling has ended):

Under questioning by Sen. Raphael G. Warnock (D-Georgia), Kennedy denied comparing the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to Nazi death camps. NBC News obtained footage of Kennedy’s appearance at a 2013 conference, reporting that he claimed that the CDC harmed children in a way that he likened to death camps in reference to autism and the debunked claims that vaccines cause autism.

After Warnock read a partial transcript of his remarks, Kennedy said he was “comparing the injury rate to our children to other atrocities.”

A kerfuffle!

Asked by Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) whether he agrees with President Donald Trump’s past remarks calling climate change a “hoax,” Kennedy said he and Trump agreed to disagree on the issue. “I believe climate change is existential. My job is to make Americans healthy again,” Kennedy said.

The exchanged prompted a rebuke from Advancing American Freedom, the organization founded by former vice president Mike Pence, who opposes Kennedy over his past support of abortion rights. “What other issues do radical RFK Jr. and President Trump disagree on?” the organization posted on X, part of its campaign to sway Republican senators.

And fake news about fluoride:

Kennedy said he was called a conspiracy theorist for saying fluoride (the mineral added to drinking water to improve oral health) lowers IQ, but a recent literature review published in JAMA, the influential medical journal, confirmed the association. That’s true, but missing context: The conclusion is based on elevated levels of fluoride mostly outside the United States and did not apply to the recommended concentration of fluoride in American drinking water. Kennedy has said the Trump administration would advise water districts to remove fluoride.

Finally,

Washington Post investigation found that the nonprofit Kennedy founded was one of four that rose to prominence during the coronavirus pandemic by capitalizing on the spread of medical misinformation. That group received $23.5 million in contributions, grants and other revenue in 2022, enabling it to pay Kennedy more than $510,000 in 2022, double his2019 salary, tax records show.

I do not want this man to be confirmed.  He is befuddled, wrong, and harmful.

*The Associated Press reports about a new paper in Nature showing that many species are losing genetic diversity, which, they all say, makes the species more liable to extinction because they don’t have mutant gene forms to deal with climate or environmental change.

Two-thirds of animal and plant populations are declining in genetic diversity, which makes it harder to adapt to environmental changes, according to research published Wednesday.

Long before a species goes extinct, the population becomes smaller and more fragmented, shrinking the number of potential mates and therefore genetic mixing. This leaves a species more vulnerable to future threats such as disease.

“A surprisingly trend was that we saw genetic diversity declining even among” many species that aren’t considered at risk, said co-author Catherine Grueber, a conservation biologist at the University of Sydney.

Researchers examined data for 628 species studied between 1985 and 2019. The greatest losses in genetic variation were seen in birds and mammals.

Findings were published in the journal Nature.

“When a species has different genetic solutions, it’s better able to deal with changes,” said David Nogués-Bravo at the University of Copenhagen, who was not involved in the study.

If a new disease spreads through a population or climate change alters summer rainfall, some individuals will fare better than others, in part because of their genes. Higher genetic diversity also means there’s a greater chance of a species’ survival.

It’s not as bad as it sounds.  From the paper (my bolding)

After sensitivity testing (Methods and Supplementary Information 1.4 and 1.5), our reduced meta-analysis dataset comprised 871 published records, providing 3,983 Hedges’ g* effect sizes for modelling, encompassing 622 species from 36 classes across 16 phyla. Meta-analysis over this entire dataset revealed a small, but statistically significant loss of genetic diversity over time (Hedges’ g* posterior mean = −0.11; 95% HPD credible interval −0.15, −0.07) (Fig. 2a and Supplementary Information 1.4 and 1.5). No publication bias was detected (Supplementary Information 1.5). In a few cases, extreme genetic diversity change was observed, which had detectable influence on the results; therefore, such cases were removed so that our model outputs represented the general trends present across 99% of our dataset (extreme genetic diversity changes are narrated at Supplementary Information 1.4).

However, I think the threat is exaggerated for three reasons. First, the reduction, as you can see above from the paper extract, is quite small.  Second, even a small number of individuals can harbor substantial heritability (the ability of selection to move a trait); this would be a problem only if response depended on pretty rare alleles. More important, habitat loss and fragmentation is a far greater threat to extinction than is lack of genetic variation. This is why I’ve left a substantial amount in my will for organizations to buy up land to help conservation.

*And from the AP’s usually entertaining “oddities” section we hear that the last of 43 rhesus macaques that escaped from a South Carolina breeding facility have been recovered. I’m amazed that theyu got them all, but peanut butter and jelly sandwiches (my staple lunch) got them back.

Authorities in South Carolina said Friday the last four of 43 escaped monkeys have been recaptured after two months living in the woods, weathering a rare snowstorm and being temped back into captivity by peanut butter and jelly sandwiches.

The rhesus macaque monkeys, all females, made a break for it after police say an employee did not fully lock their enclosure at Alpha Genesis, a facility that breeds them for medical research — known to locals as “the monkey farm.”

The recaptured monkeys appeared to be in good health, Alpha Genesis CEO Greg Westergaard said in a statement relayed by Yemassee Police in a social media post, without further details.

While they were on the loose, the area saw its first snow in seven years, accumulating up to 3 inches (8 centimeters).

The rhesus macaques made a break for it on Nov. 6, and mostly hung around near the facility. They’re about the size of a cat, weighing roughly 7 pounds (3 kilograms).

It appears a worker unintentionally left the gates unlocked when the monkeys escaped, Westergaard said in November. Workers were supposed to lock and latch one gate before opening another, but all three gates and latches were left unsecure.

Sadly,the monkeys are being bred for medical research, and you know what that means for them.  I almost wish that had taken it on the lam to where they couldn’t be recaptured. Or at least rewarded by being put in some monkey conservation facility. After all, they wanted FREEEEEEEEEDOM!!!!

Here’s a video about the breakout:

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn,

Hili: Can you let me into the basement?
A: What for?
Hili: So I can get out of it after a moment.
In Polish:
Hili: Czy możesz mnie wpuścić do piwnicy?
Ja: Po co?
Hili: Żebym mogła z niej za chwilę wyjść.
And a photo of the affectionate Szaron::

*******************

Here’s a photo of the English shorthair Mishka, staffed by Anna and Jay. Isn’t he a beaut?

From Meanwhile in Canada:

From Things with Faces; a happy face seen in dishwater:

Masih isn’t tweeting much but here’s more news about Iran, and, as usual, it’s not good news.

Two posts from Simon, who clearly does NOT like RFK Jr., either:

There are quite a few irresponsible conspiracy theories about JFK and who took his life.There are quite a few irresponsible conspiracy theories about RFK and who took his life.There are many, many irresponsible conspiracy theories by RFK Jr. that will take thousands of lives.

God (@skeetofgod.bsky.social) 2025-01-29T16:06:16.666Z

I’m not really sure what this one means, though, except that RFK Jr. looks bad. But he’s not fat!

RFK JR. looks like someone exhumed his father and stuck a helium tank up his ass for 30 seconds.

God (@skeetofgod.bsky.social) 2025-01-29T16:10:56.024Z

From Malcolm. Poor woman! I hope the kitties helped.

This shows that d*gs have a sense of fairness:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

Gassed to death upon arrival, this Slovak woman was fifty years old.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-30T11:40:29.107Z

Two posts from Dr. Cobb.  I’m getting this book immediately!

Face it, we ALL need to know MOAR about the HORNY SPONGES! #spongeThursday!

Chris Mah (@echinoblog.bsky.social) 2025-01-07T19:43:52.129Z

And follow the instructions (go here). You will see what Hull means!

It's important that you look through the gallery for this listing until you get to the top floor bathroom. Important.www.cbmaritimerealty.com/listing/2024…

David Hull 胡大衛 (@hushuo.bsky.social) 2024-11-12T01:30:52.122Z

Wednesday: Hili dialogue

January 29, 2025 • 6:50 am

Welcome to a Hump Day (“ཧམ་པ་ཉིན་མོ། ” in Tibetan ): Wednesday, January 29, 2025, and National Corn Chip Day. These are useless unless served with a good salsa before a Mexican meal, or, better yet, as a basis for nachos, which are good:

You need to learn this about nachos, which are a recent culinary innovation:

Nachos originated in the city of Piedras Negras, Coahuila in Mexico, across the border from Eagle Pass, Texas in the United States.  Ignacio “Nacho” Anaya created nachos in 1943 at the restaurant the Victory Club when Mamie Finan and a group of U.S. military officers’ wives, whose husbands were stationed at the nearby U.S. Army base Fort Duncan, traveled across the border to eat at the Victory Club. When Anaya was unable to find the cook, he went to the kitchen and spotted freshly fried pieces of corn tortillas. In a moment of culinary inspiration, Anaya cut fried tortillas into triangles, added shredded cheese, sliced pickled jalapeño peppers, quickly heated them, and served them. After tasting the snack, Finan asked what it was called. Anaya responded, “Well, I guess we can just call them Nacho’s Special.” In Spanish, “Nacho” is a common nickname for Ignacio.

Here is Ignacio “Nacho” Anaya, the inventor of nachos.  We should be so lucky to leave a legacy like his!:

But. . . .  eating nachos means you’re engaging not only in cultural appropriation, but colonialism! Igancio made nachos at the behest of white women.

Simranjeet Sidhu, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

It is also Chinese New Year, the beginning of The Year of the Snake. There’s a Google Doodle about this; click below to see where it goes (there’s a game).

It’s also National Carnation Day, Curmudgeons Day (perhaps an extension of Coynezaa?), Freethinkers Day (Thomas Paine was born on this day in 1737), National Puzzle Day, and Seeing Eye Dog Day

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 29 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*The Times of Israel reports that some families of hostages have been told that their loved ones may come home in a coffin.

Family members of several hostages who are set to be released from Gaza in the coming weeks expressed dread over their loved ones’ fates on Tuesday after Hamas conveyed information saying that eight of those 33 hostages are dead.

Following the release of the information those families were informed by the military that Hamas’s information aligned with previous military assessments and there were dire concerns about their fates.

Hamas provided a list  — reportedly only numbers, without names — reporting how many of the hostages from among the 33 to be released in the first phase of the ongoing ceasefire are alive. Hamas was required to provide information about the hostages’ status as part of its obligations under the deal with Israel signed earlier this month.

The hostages’ family members confirmed that Gal Hirsh, the government point man on hostages, had reached out to them in recent days and said that while the terror group’s information was incomplete, it lined up with the assessment of Israel’s intelligence services.

“It’s not exactly data. It’s Hamas saying [the number of] ‘alive,’ ‘released,’ and ‘dead,’” specified Yizhar Lifshitz, whose father Oded Lifshitz, 84, is on the list of the initial 33 to be released.

. . .So far, seven hostages have been freed as part of the current deal, which mandates the release of 33 so-called “humanitarian hostages” during its first 42-day phase, with fighting stopped in the Strip.

As those hostages — women, children, elderly people, and sick people — are gradually released, Israel is to release some 1,904 Palestinian security prisoners, including more than a hundred serving life sentences for terror attacks

The three-phase deal’s later phases are to see negotiations with the stated goal of reaching a “sustainable calm” in the enclave, alongside the release of the remaining hostages held in Gaza, the release of more Palestinian security prisoners, and an Israeli withdrawal from the Strip.

Here are the 33 hostages supposed to be released in Phase 1 of the ceasefire (their names are at the link above. Hamas says eight of them are dead, which jibes with the IDF’s own information, and I guess IDF just informed some families that they should be prepared to receive a coffin rather than a living being:

This is not good optics, and I suspect that the dead will be returned last, and under cover of night without the disgusting ceremonies attending the return of living hostages, who were given diplomas, certificates, and so on.  When the national news starts showing Israeli families weeping over these coffins, I would hope that the world would have some sympathy for what the hostages and their families went through, but as we know, sympathy for Israel lasts as long as a snowflake on a hot sidewalk.

All four of the IDF women released the other day were either injured by bullets or sexually assaulted, but the IDF is properly leaving it up to the hostages whether to divulge what happened to them. And remember, every (living) hostage returned means Israel has to releast 30 Palestinian prisoners, unless the hostage is an IDF member, in which case the number rises to fifty. I haven’t been able to find out if they’ve bargained to releast terrorists in exchange for dead hostages.

*Trump has frozen nearly all government grants and loans, and, as far as I can see, that may include science grants from agencies like the NIH, NSF, or DOE. Our University has already been informed to start cutting back on federal grants already being used, not cutting salaries but curtailing expenditure on materials and procedures.  This is not good, and I wonder if Trump knew that this would bring scientific and medical research to a standstill (article archived here). The article is unsure about science funding:

  • Federal aid pause: The White House budget office ordered a pause in grants, loans and other federal financial assistance, a sweeping move it said was necessary to bring a vast number of programs in line with President Trump’s priorities. Several states are planning a lawsuit to block the order, which is set to go into effect at 5 p.m. Read more ›

  • Defending the order: In her first news conference as President Trump’s press secretary, Karoline Leavitt defended what she described as a review of federal spending and promised that direct aid to individuals would not be affected by the freeze. However, a lot of federal money goes to states and other organizations that provide individuals with aid, and it’s not clear whether that would be suspended.

Of course there will be lawsuits:

The move drew immediate outrage and lawsuits from nonprofit groups. Several states were planning to file suit on Tuesday afternoon to block the order, which is set to take effect at 5 p.m. Democrats assailed it as an unlawful encroach on Congress’s authority over federal spending, while the White House press secretary defended it as following through on the promises that restored Mr. Trump to the presidency.

“The use of federal resources to advance Marxist equity, transgenderism and green new deal social engineering policies is a waste of taxpayer dollars that does not improve the day-to-day lives of those we serve,” the Office of Management and Budget said in a two-page memo announcing the temporary halt.

There are exceptions:

The U.S. Department of Education said in a statement on Tuesday morning that the memo sent to government agencies the day before calling for a broad pause on federal spending did not apply to federal student loans or Pell grants. That money will continue to flow, the statement said.

“The temporary pause does not impact assistance received directly by individuals,” said Madison Biedermann, who, according to the department, is currently delegated to perform spokesperson duties. This assistance includes funds like federal direct student loans and Pell grants that the department provides to “individual students,” her statement said.

Part of the confusion, which included many alarmed posts on social media, sprung from the “received directly” portion of the Office of Management and Budget memo. Grants and loans for education can be sent to the school, so students may never receive the money directly.

In a follow-up statement, the department confirmed that no Pell grants or loans would be paused or delayed because of the order. Funding for the federal work-study program, which helps pay for campus jobs, will continue to flow, too.

The federal government, including agencies like the National Institutes of Health, also provides grants to conduct research at universities, and those programs may provide grants and stipends to graduate students who are working for them. It was not immediately clear whether any of that funding would be affected.

We need to get a bunch more judges, because for sure Trump’s spate of EOs will provoke a gazillion lawsuits. The problem is that these are federal issues and ergo need federal judges. And you know who appoints the federal judges.  As for science, my own special interest, well, stopping it is arrantly stupid.

*Two from the Free Press today. First, “Christopher Caldwell: The biggest policy change of the century.” I’ll give a long excerpt since this is a very significant change in the law:

So tumultuous was the first week of Donald Trump’s second term that people have barely noticed, a week on, that last Tuesday he repealed affirmative action by executive order. That is astonishing.

For half a century, affirmative action has been the federal government’s principal instrument for carrying out desegregation, the longest and costliest moral crusade in American history. After the 1970s it was adapted to liberation movements, from feminism to gay rights. Supreme Court justices anguished over the way its call for special consideration of minorities might clash with the letter of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, which barred racial discrimination. Over the past decade affirmative action became the hammer of the diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) movement, which grew so unpopular that it has now brought affirmative action (and much else) down with it.

Trump’s decision to repeal it is the most significant policy change of this century—more significant than the Affordable Care Act of 2010 or anything done about Covid. How can people be talking about anything else? Yet major news outlets treat Trump’s bold move as a detail of personnel management: “Distress and Fury as Trump Upends Federal Jobs,” headlined The New York Times.

Somewhere along the line, the Trump administration came to understand in a sophisticated way how the enforcement of civil rights actually works. Not many Americans do—and it’s worth reviewing.

. . . . [Lyndon] Johnson used it. He basically enlisted the country’s top executives as the commissars of a radical interpretation of civil rights policy. They liked diversity from the moment it was invented until last Tuesday. They had better! Whenever a “global chief diversity officer,” like Ken Barrett of GM, intoned “diversity is our strength,” he was doing more than philosophizing. He was keeping billions of dollars of shareholder value safe from the sanctions and penalties laid out in Chapter 60 of the Code of Federal Regulations.

Had Johnson’s affirmative-action scheme been devised for anything but desegregation, it might have been considered sinister and totalitarian. Since Ronald Reagan’s time, conservatives have crowed that they could undo affirmative action “with the stroke of a pen.” Reagan mulled doing so himself in 1985. But he faced opposition from corporate donors and more liberal Republicans led by Kansas senator Bob Dole and opted not to. In 1996, Tennessee Republican senator Lamar Alexander tried to kick-start his presidential candidacy with a promise to zero out affirmative action—but Republicans chose Dole instead.

Now Trump has done what Reagan would not. His repeal came via three executive orders, two issued on Inauguration Day. The first overturned dozens of Biden decrees, including the “Advancing Racial Equity” executive order signed in the first hours of his presidency in 2021. The second ended all initiatives, offices, contracts, and employees connected to DEI, which Trump referred to as “illegal and immoral discrimination programs.”

. . .RIP affirmative action.

But that is only part of the story. A curious element of Trump’s third executive order is its invocation of the president’s “solemn duty” to enforce “longstanding Federal civil-rights laws,” mentioning the Civil Rights Act of 1964. This is not a concession. It’s a threat.

While the Civil Rights Act mentioned “affirmative action” it attached no specific meaning to the term, and the law was resolutely color-blind. Affirmative action programs, with their differing treatment of races, are in tension with it. DEI programs, many of which scapegoat white people, are even more so. It is Trump’s assertion that DEI programs “violate the text and spirit of our longstanding Federal civil-rights laws.” Trump is doing more than reforming the public sector. He is signaling to the private sector that certain kinds of programs are liable to prosecution, even asking each federal agency to name up to nine large private-sector organizations that might be engaged in discrimination.

There can be little doubt of the general effectiveness of such methods. In 2020 and 2021, as civil rights regulators and the Biden administration rallied behind it, DEI went from the hobby of a handful of quirky CEOs to the unanimous policy of corporate America. Today the rush in the opposite direction is just as precipitous. Among the new foes of DEI are some of its erstwhile champions: Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta, Walmart, and even Target, home of the “tuck-friendly” bathing suit. More will follow.

This, in turn, will have an effect on the entire ecology of the Democratic Party. DEI and affirmative action are among the last things everyone in this divided party believes in, and the source of a good deal of its organizing muscle. Now, there is no work for affirmative-action lawyers, diversity consultants, and inclusion trainers to do. Whole job categories are being zeroed out.

And this:

In other words, Trump is not simply eliminating the affirmative-action enforcement machinery. He is throwing it into reverse. Companies will be assumed to be violating civil rights laws, we suddenly learn, if they engage in “racial balancing.” What the hell is racial balancing? How do you define DEI, for that matter? A different set of Americans are about to learn how vague mandates like these can lead to a feeling of being tyrannized and toyed with.

Finally, on the unpopularity of “affirmative action,” in particular how it morphed into favoring some minority groups:

This was a course that the public could not tolerate and neither government nor business could avow. A climate of dishonesty was the result. Affirmative action was a big factor—perhaps the biggest—in convincing about half of Americans never to trust anything any person of authority said.

Ten presidents managed to insulate affirmative action from public accountability. Then it became obvious to the public that changing anything would require dismantling everything.

And so it’s been done—or rather, threatened to be done. We’ll see in the next few months what really happens. Universities throughout the country are desperately trying to rename DEI groups or policies so that they can still operate as they did before the executive order.  I’m not sure if that will work or not, and it won’t work if Trump has “DEI detectives” who are savvy at sniffing out how DEI keeps on, but under other names.

*Second, “Emilia Peréz and the curse of Oscar bait,” with the subtitle “Why is the Academy obsessed with movies no one wants to see.”  GUESS! First, from summary in the FP newsletter:

Emilia Pérez,a 2024 French-produced, Spanish-language musical about a transgender Mexican drug lord, bombed at the box office and was so disliked by Mexican audiences that a government agency is now investigating whether disappointed moviegoers are entitled to a refund. But last week, it was nominated for 13 Oscars, more than any other film.

Then the meat.  All I’ve heard about this movie is bad stuff, and I will try to watch it, even though its Rotten Tomatoes critics’ ratings are 74% and the audience ratings a dismal 23%.

And from the article:

Emilia Pérez is what people call Oscar bait: the sort of film that is made, seemingly, for the express purpose of catching the attention of the approximately 10,000 members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Mostly film-industry insiders, their tastes are predictable. They like austere dramas and social commentary—stories that will make you cry while also attempting to say something about politics. Think of 2016’s Moonlight, a tragedy about a poor, gay drug dealer that grossed $65 million worldwide at the box office. It beat La La Land, which grossed $509 million worldwide, to the title of Best Picture. Or think of Nomadland, which won Best Picture in 2020: It follows a homeless widow who travels the country in a van after losing her job in the Great Recession.

The tastes of the academy are so predictable that they’ve been delightfully parodied—most succinctly perhaps in a 2008 episode of American Dad!, in which Roger the Alien takes on a supervillain persona and produces a film called Oscar Gold about an intellectually disabled Jewish alcoholic whose puppy dies of cancer while he’s hiding in an attic during the Holocaust. The movie is intended to make viewers cry themselves to death.

Late Night with Seth Meyers did a similar parody in 2017, producing a trailer for a fictional film simply called Oscar Bait featuring “racial tension,” “latent homosexuality,” the French language, and “dialogue that feels sort of profound.”

A conservative might say the film industry is being used to produce far-left propaganda, but the truth is the politics of Oscar bait typically run a few years behind progressive ideology du jour. Case in point: Emilia Pérez wasn’t good enough trans representation for the professional scolds over at the ultra-leftist GLAAD, the LGBTQ media watchdog, but it was good enough for the liberal boomers running the academy. They also loved 2018’s Green Book, a movie about a black musician and his friendly but slightly racist Italian American driver—even though The New York Times called it a “racial reconciliation fantasy,” and 2013’s 12 Years a Slave, which was deemed a “white savior story” by The Atlantic.

. . . Typically, Oscar bait receives a lot of hype before underperforming at the box office then fading into obscurity. I haven’t thought about Green Book since it stoked a debate about whether or not black and white people are allowed to be friends in movies. Remember The Artist, nominated for 10 Academy Awards in 2012? I doubt it. It was a black-and-white, partially silent French film about an alcoholic actor in Depression-era Hollywood—perhaps the most Oscar-baity film ever made. I’ve never met anyone who has seen 2022’s Best Picture winner, CODA—a coming of age film about the hearing daughter of a deaf fisherman who aspires to become a singer—and I also don’t know anyone who liked Emilia Pérez (which has a 24 percent Popcornmeter approval rating on Rotten Tomatoes). And I hang out with snobs! Not even Mexicans like it. When the film hit theaters south of the border, there were so many refund requests a government consumer-protection agency had to become involved.

Oy!  Do I have to watch this movie?  I’m pretty sure I won’t like it but I can at least give it a shot (I give up on very few movies that I start watching). Here’s the trailer:

*Finally, the WSJ describes a putative painting by Van Gogh that was bought at a garage sale for less than fifty bucks and may be worth $15 million—if it’s real.

In 1889, Vincent van Gogh committed himself to a psychiatric asylum in Southern France, where he spent a turbulent year creating roughly 150 paintings, including masterpieces such as “Irises,” “Almond Blossom” and “The Starry Night.”

Now, a former curator of ancient art at the Metropolitan Museum of Art has teamed up a with a group of conservators, scientists and historians who believe they’ve discovered No. 151—a previously unknown Van Gogh portrait of a fisherman plucked from a Minnesota garage sale a few years ago by an unsuspecting antiques collector for less than $50.

The thickly painted piece depicts a pensive fisherman with a white chin-beard and a round hat who clutches a pipe in his mouth as he repairs his net on an otherwise empty beach. In the lower righthand corner, the name Elimar is scrawled.

The discovery could represent a notable addition to the oeuvre of one of the world’s most famous artists. “Elimar” could also prove to be a lucrative windfall for LMI Group International, the New York-based art-research firm that bought the work from the anonymous antiques collector for an undisclosed sum in 2019 and has investigated it ever since, pouring in well over $30,000 and involving a team of around 20 experts from disparate fields, from chemists to curators to patent lawyers.

Later this month, they will begin unveiling their find in private viewings to major Van Gogh scholars and dealers around the world. They believe it is worth at least $15 million.

But is it really a Van Gogh?

“That’s the big question,” said Richard Polsky, an art authenticator who wasn’t involved in the project. “People love it when things fall through the cracks, and it would be wonderful if they found a Van Gogh—but they’ve got to pin everything down and get a scholar at the Van Gogh Museum to sign off on it.”

Doing so could prove to be a tall order. The discovery, if accepted, comes at a time when artist foundations and estates are increasingly shying away from making ultimate rulings on the authenticity of artworks for fear of being sued by owners who aren’t happy to hear that their works aren’t authentic. Museums touting deep holdings in certain artists like Amsterdam’s Van Gogh Museum turn down most would-be examples shown to them.

There are lots of things to consider, like the signature “Elimar” (people have that one figured out), but there are characteristics of the pigments and canvas that don’t jibe with Vincent’s other work. How would YOU like to be the person on whose judgment millions of dollars could rest. And what if you’re later proven wrong?  You can see the painting by clicking here and looking at the upper left.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, a blurry Hili gets pwned by Andrzej, and Malgorzata explains:

I knew that no biologist (and not a Pole) could understand it! There is a joke known to most Polish children:
“Daddy, does a snake have a tail?” and the dad answers: “Solely”.
Andrzej changed it a bit.
Hili: Does a snake have a tail?
A: Yes, and a head.
In Polish:
Hili: Czy wąż ma ogon?
Ja: Tak i głowę.

*******************

From America’s Cultural Decline Into Idiocy:

From The Cat Haven:

From Things With Faces, a doglike mushroom!

Some good advice from Michael Shermer (note #3!):

From Bryan, the famous “Planetary Parde,” with real pictures:

From Malcolm, a cat having fun. (Sound up.):

From my feed. But I don’t think this is unique to Asian kids. After all look at the gymnastics teams in the Olympics. Still, these kids are amazing:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I retweeted:

A Dutch woman, about 28 years old, was one of the three-quarters of Dutch Jews murdered by the Nazis.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-29T12:06:56.426Z

Two posts from Matthew. First, what he calls “a groaner,” which it is:

Seen on FB (not by me):

(@matthewcobb.bsky.social) 2025-01-28T19:45:23.207Z

A four-post thread (I give just the first) about “lazy corn” and what makes it grow horizontally:

A brief #Cornfax. And since I've been lazy with my #cornfax, let's talk about lazy corn. Lazy corn is, well, a pretty apt description. Unlike the corn on the left which stands tall and proud, the lazy corn just lies on the ground. It doesn't grow straight. So what's up (or not up in this case)? 1/4

Jeffrey Ross-Ibarra (@jrossibarra.bsky.social) 2025-01-22T14:26:26.511Z

Tuesday: Hili dialogue

January 28, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to the Cruelest Day: Tuesday, January 28, 2025, and National Blueberry Pancake Day.  There is no chance that I will get any of these, but I do have a piece of shoofly pie (made by Pennsylvania Amish) for breakfast. It’s the perfect accompaniment to coffee.  Here from Wikipedia is the closest photo I have to celebrate the day—pancakes with blueberry sauce:

SpartacksCompatriot, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

It’s also Rattlesnake Roundup Day, a horrible day on which people collect gazillions of rattlesnakes and then KILL THEM.  This is not good. Here’s a video of the slaughter (warning: cruelty and rattlesnakes getting their heads chopped off. I don’t know how pcople can do this:

And it’s International Lego Day and National Kazoo Day , which has its uses according to Wikipedia:

The kazoo is played professionally in jug bands and comedy music, and by amateurs everywhere. It is among the acoustic instruments developed in the United States, and one of the easiest melodic instruments to play, requiring only the ability to vocalize in tune. In North East England and South Wales, kazoos play an important role in juvenile jazz bands. During Carnival, players use kazoos in the Carnival of Cádiz in Spain and in the corsos on the murgas in Uruguay.

In the Original Dixieland Jass Band 1921 recording of Crazy Blues, what the casual listener might mistake for a trombone solo is actually a kazoo solo by drummer Tony Sbarbaro

Here’s “Crazy Blues” by the Original Dixieland Jass Band from 1921 (yes, “Jass” is the spelling”, can you hear the kazoo solo? I think it starts about 1:10 and continues.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 28 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

Let me first retract something I posted the other day: a note that a sex-after-death law had been passed. In Egypt. (It was supposedly allowing a man to have sex with his dead wife for up to six hours after her demise.) The tweet I put up:

Egyptian members of Parliament have denied it, and this appears to have all emanated from a single source.  My bad.

*After Colombia refused to accept U.S. planeloads of deported Colombian migrants, Trump launched a trade war against them. But it never got off the ground before the situation was resolved. (Article is archived here.). Things got pretty hot!

Under threats from President Trump that included steep tariffs, President Gustavo Petro of Colombia has relented and will allow U.S. military planes to fly deportees into the country, after turning two transports back in response to what he called inhumane treatment.

The two leaders had engaged in a war of words on Sunday after Colombia’s move to block Mr. Trump’s use of military aircraft in deporting thousands of unauthorized immigrants.

But on Sunday night, the White House released a statement in which it said that because Mr. Petro had agreed to all of its terms, the tariffs and sanctions Mr. Trump had threatened would be “held in reserve.” Other penalties, such as visa sanctions, will remain in effect until the first planeload of deportees has arrived in Colombia, the statement said.

“Today’s events make clear to the world that America is respected again,” it added.

Colombia’s foreign ministry released a statement soon afterward that said “we have overcome the impasse with the United States government.” It said the government would accept all deportation flights and “guarantee dignified conditions” for those Colombians on board.

Mr. Petro began the day by announcing that he had turned back U.S. military planes carrying deported immigrants. This set off a furious back and forth with Mr. Trump, who in turn announced a barrage of tariffs and sanctions targeting the country, which has long been a top U.S. ally in Latin America.

Mr. Trump said on social media that the United States would immediately impose a 25 percent tariff on all Colombian imports and would raise them to 50 percent after a week. The Trump administration would also “fully impose” banking and financial sanctions on Colombia, apply a travel ban on Colombian government officials and their associates, and revoke their visas, the president said.

Mr. Petro hit back on social media. In one post, he announced retaliatory tariffs of 25 percent on U.S. imports to Colombia; in another, longer post, he said those tariffs would hit 50 percent.

Directly addressing Mr. Trump, Mr. Petro also questioned whether the American president was trying to topple him.

“You don’t like our freedom, fine,” Mr. Petro said. “I do not shake hands with white enslavers.”

Trump certainly is moving fast.  I agree with the deportation of those convicted of crimes, but haven’t yet decided how I feel about non-criminal immigrants who are here illegally in other circumstances. Those who have been here for a long time, and have made a life for themselves, surely should deserve a chance to stay (can this can be adjudicated on a case by case basis?), but deportation of very recent immigrants who are deliberately missing their court dates and avoiding the law doesn’t overly upset me. There is huge variation in how people feel about different cases, but clearly something has to be done, and so far Congress has avoided doing it (most likely because Democrats don’t want to do anything that doesn’t resemble an “open border” policy).

*A number of fiber-optic cables have been cut around Scandinavia, and people suspect (of course) Russia and Putin. (A similar breakage occurred off Taiwan, and perhaps China is responsible for that one.) NATO has now gotten involved in the investigation:

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization mounted its first coordinated response to the suspected sabotage campaign against critical infrastructure, after another underwater data cable was severed in the Baltic Sea.

NATO vessels raced to the site of a damaged fiber-optic cable in Swedish waters on Sunday morning, where a trio of ships carrying Russian cargo, including one recently sanctioned by the U.S., were nearby. All three vessels are now being investigated as part of a probe into suspected sabotage of the fiber optic cableaccording to several European officials. One ship was detained Sunday.

The incident is the latest in a string of alleged underwater attacks in the region that prompted NATO to announce earlier this month the formation of a surveillance mission called Baltic Sentry. It includes regular naval patrols, as well as enhanced drone, satellite and electronic surveillance of Baltic areas that are crisscrossed by critical infrastructure such as data and power cables, along with gas pipelines and offshore wind farms.

Western officials have said they suspect Russia is fighting a shadow war against the West. Russia has denied it is behind such an effort.

“We have seen elements of a campaign to destabilize our societies. Through cyberattacks, assassination attempts, and sabotage—including possible sabotage of undersea cables in the Baltic Sea,” NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said earlier this month.

Evidence gathered so far in the Baltic investigations hasn’t been conclusive enough to result in prosecutions or arrests, officials familiar with the investigations said.

Latvia dispatched its navy to the site of the incident Sunday, while the Swedish coast guard detained one of the three ships within hours of the incident, according to Latvian and Swedish officials. A Dutch warship was also involved in the operation to combat alleged attacks on deep-sea assets.

I love the international cooperation, but how are they going to arrest Russia if they find out it’s responsible? Would they go to the ICC?

*As I mentioned earlier, the CIA has now joined the FBI and DOE in regarding the lab-leak theory as the most credible explanation for the Covid outbreak. Despite confidence in the lab theories being “low” in all cases, it is higher than confidence in the alternative wet-market theory, which was pushed by the Biden Administration, Anthony Fauci, and NIH director Francis Collins as being sacrosanct. Jonathan Turley describes how many people vigorously defended the wet-market theory, so vigorously that it became heresy to question it.

Every modern president seems to promise transparency during their campaigns, but few ever seem to get around to it. Once in power, the value of being opaque becomes evident. We will have to wait to see if President Donald Trump will fulfill his pledges, but so far this is proving the cellophane administration. Putting aside his constant press gaggles and conferences, the Administration has ordered wholesale disclosures of long-withheld files from everything from the JFK investigation to, most recently, the CIA COVID origins report. That report is particularly stinging for both the Biden Administration and its media allies, which treated the lab theory as a fringe, conspiratorial, or even racist theory.

Newly-confirmed CIA Director John Ratcliffe released the report, which details how it views the lab theory as the most likely explanation for the virus. Expressing “low confidence,” the agency did not reject the theory over the natural origins theory, which was treated as sacrosanct by the media and favored by figures like Anthony Fauci. (Other recent reports have contradicted the equally orthodox view on the closing of schools, showing no material benefit in terms of slowing the transmission of COVID).

The BBC reported that “the CIA on Saturday offered a new assessment on the origin of the Covid outbreak, saying the coronavirus is ‘more likely’ to have leaked from a Chinese lab than to have come from animals. But the intelligence agency cautioned it had ‘low confidence’ in this determination.”

The low confidence finding shows that the agency found the evidence fragmented and fluid. However, the point is that the natural origins theory and the lab theory were both viable theories. Neither was disproven or rejected. Other agencies like the FBI seemed to have a higher confidence in the lab theory over the natural origins theory.\

Turley then gives a bunch of examples of how the lab-leak theory was mocked (and, indeed, was deliberately denigrated by government officials who questioned the credentials of those who refused to rule it out.  Here are a few:

This follows a recent disclosure in the Wall Street Journal of a report on how the Biden administration may have suppressed dissenting views supporting the lab theory on the origin of the COVID-19 virus. Not only were the FBI and its top experts excluded from a critical briefing of President Biden, but government scientists were reportedly warned that they were “off the reservation” in supporting the lab theory.

As previously discussed, many journalists used the rejection of the lab theory to paint Trump as a bigot. By the time Biden became president, not only were certain government officials heavily invested in the zoonotic or natural origin theory, but so were many in the media.

Reporters used opposition to the lab theory as another opportunity to pound their chests and signal their virtue.

MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace mocked Trump and others for spreading one of his favorite “conspiracy theories.” MSNBC’s Kasie Hunt insisted that “we know it’s been debunked that this virus was manmade or modified.”

MSNBC’s Joy Reid also called the lab leak theory “debunked bunkum,” while CNN reporter Drew Griffin criticized spreading the “widely debunked” theory. CNN host Fareed Zakaria told viewers that “the far right has now found its own virus conspiracy theory” in the lab leak.

NBC News’s Janis Mackey Frayer described it as the “heart of conspiracy theories.”

The Washington Post was particularly dogmatic. When Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark) raised the theory, he was chastised for “repeat[ing] a fringe theory suggesting that the ongoing spread of a coronavirus is connected to research in the disease-ravaged epicenter of Wuhan, China.”

I have no dog in this fight, and in fact used to find the lab-leak theory more credible. Now I’m leaning the other way but, like these agencies, don’t find the evidence dispositive. Still, the government behaved badly here, and it wasn’t because of fast-moving changes in scientific knowledge.

*The Free Press, which many dismiss as a “right wing site,” but one I see as classical liberal centrist, has reaffirmed its values in a new statement called “Our promise to you.” The promise, as I read it, is to maintain honesty and objectivity in the face of slanted news from the MSM. Readers can judge how successful Bari Weiss & Co have been. An excerpt:

The Free Press was started as an outlet by and for people who said: no. Who insisted: The old values still matter. In this way, it has always been a new publication doing a very old-fashioned thing.

Whereas many in the legacy press took the election of Trump itself as evidence that the media failed, we see our jobs differently. None of us got into journalism to work for political candidates. None of us became reporters, writers, or editors to be mouthpieces for a party. We became journalists to pursue the truth—and to tell it, plainly, when we discover it—knowing full well that tomorrow might bring new facts to light requiring revision and correction, because truth is not a fixed absolute. It cannot be distilled in a test tube, or replaced by a narrative, though many these days are trying to do just that.

There will be plenty of publications who will, once again, become #Resistance warriors under this new administration. Others who have promised independence are sounding more like MAGA cheerleaders. If that’s what you seek, there will be plenty of options.

We are promising something different.

From us, you can expect the same sharp, fierce, honest news and opinion that we have worked hard to deliver since the day we started. You’ll get deep investigations, gimlet-eyed humor columns, and erudite British Sundays. You’ll also get corrections, because we fully expect to make mistakes, and counterarguments, because if we knew the answers in advance, we wouldn’t be The Free Press.

And a bit some readers won’t like:

And as the legacy media is finding, once you’ve kicked over the guardrails, it’s very hard to ever go back. Case in point: PBS NewsHour.

The publicly funded network’s flagship news show sees itself as a paragon of journalistic sobriety. But on the very first day of the new administration, NewsHour reported that: “Billionaire Elon Musk gave what appeared to be a fascist salute Monday,” adding that he raised his hand “in a salute that appeared similar to the ‘Sieg Heil’ used by the Nazis at their victory rallies.”

Watch the video with audio. Musk says, “My heart goes out to you,” after he hits his chest and thrusts his arm out. It might be a little intense, a little awkward. (Not exactly out of character for Musk.) Trying to start an Elon Musk is a Nazi doing literal Nazi salutes panic demonstrates how little the media has changed—and why so few people trust it. Musk, a person with historic levels of power, is worthy of fierce and sustained scrutiny. But the legacy media continues to discredit itself with cheap shots, and continues to find itself defanged when it lands on something right, something people should really pay attention to. How seriously will anyone take PBS the next time it has a story about Musk? The logic here isn’t rocket science. When journalists ditch their old values, they lose their old credibility.

I subscribe to the Free Press and will continue to do so unless or until I see its news being slanted in a particular direction. Some people on social media already call it “alt-right.” I don’t agree.

*Just for fun (though the results were tragic), here’s a mislabeled video from HuffPo (I went over to HuffPo after reader Norm said he looked at it for the big red headlines). Is there any way the headline can make sense?

*From Merilee we have Mayor Pete’s (actually, Secretary of Transportation’s) “chilling farewell speech” as a cabinet member, summing up what his office accomplished. It’s 16.5 minutes long, and chilling only because this guy would have made a good President.  This was made before the Inauguration.  Buttigieg was my second most favorite candidate after Gretchen Whitmer. As one commenter said,

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili isn’t keen on being groomed:

Hili: How much longer?
A: I have to comb you properly so you do not leave your hair in the bed.
Hili: And who cares?
In Polish:
Hili: Długo jeszcze?
Ja: Muszę cię porządnie wyczesać, żebyś nie zostawiała sierści w łóżku.
Hili: A komu to przeszkadza?

And a photo of Baby Kulka:

*******************

From I Love Cats:

From Things With Faces. Man, that cone looks human!

From Strange, Stupid, or Silly Signs. I suspect this is a real ad.

And from Facebook, a serious post:

From Masih, more Iranian women defying the regime, here in at least three ways (no headscarf, music, and dancing). Ceiling Cat bless them! (sound up)

From Luana. Oops, the ACLU didn’t do due diligence; I guess they were charged with vetting people to be pardoned.

From Malcolm; what I wouldn’t give to be that man! (sound up):

A heartbreaker from my feed:

This deserves to be watched on a regular basis by everybody. It always brings tears to my eyes:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

Died in the camp around 14 or 15. Look at that smile!

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-28T11:37:44.298Z

Two posts from Dr. Cobb. First, racing ducks:

#MosaicMonday #AncientBluesky #RomanHistoryFrom the Villa Romana del Casale, Sicily, some rather alarmingly sized chariot-racing ducks. They bred them big back then – had special calipers for it and everything!

James Coverley (@jamescoverley.com) 2025-01-27T16:28:04.069Z

Everything is the Big Bang’s fault:

This is really all the big bang's fault when you think about. Stupid big bang, causing existence and all.

Existential Comics (@existentialcomics.com) 2025-01-27T02:53:41.862Z

Monday: Hili dialogue

January 27, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to Monday, January 27, 2025, and National Chocolate Cake Day. Once again I present you with one form in which it’s served in Chicago, as lumps in milkshakes from Portillo’s. I really need to try one of these (see it made at 4:15 in the video below, but watch the whole thing).

It’s also International Port Wine Day, Bubble Wrap Appreciation Day (who among us has not popped it?), National Geographic Day (it was incorporated on this day in 1888), and International Day of Commemoration of the Victims of the Holocaust Day, marking the day that Auschwitz was liberated by the Russians in 1945.  A photo of the liberation labeled in Wikipedia: “Still photograph from the Soviet Film of the liberation of Auschwitz, taken by the film unit of the First Ukrainian Front, shot over a period of several months beginning on January 27, 1945 by Alexander Voronzow and others in his group. Child survivors of Auschwitz, wearing adult-size prisoner jackets, stand behind a barbed wire fence.”

Alexander Voronzow and others in his group, ordered by Mikhael Oschurkow, head of the photography unit, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 27 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*First the FBI and Department of Energy admitted that the Covid pandemic was more likely the result of a lab leak than a wet-market contamination by the virus, though neither agency had huge confidence in their conclusions. Now, as the WSJ reports. the CIA has also given a higher probability to a lab leak.

The Central Intelligence Agency has now concluded that the deadly Covid-19 pandemic most likely arose from a laboratory leak, lending credibility to a view that has been the focus of sharp debate among scientists and politicians for years.

In doing so, the CIA has now joined the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Energy Department in identifying a laboratory mishap in Wuhan, China, as the probable source of the Covid virus. It has killed more than 1.2 million Americans and over seven million people worldwide.

CIA assesses with low confidence that a research-related origin of the COVID-19 pandemic is more likely than a natural origin based on the available body of reporting,” an agency spokesman said in a statement released Saturday.

The spokesman added that the judgment was “low confidence” and that the CIA would continue to evaluate “any available credible new intelligence reporting or open-source information that could change CIA’s assessment.”

The agency had previously taken the stance that it didn’t have enough information to assess whether the virus had leapt from an animal to a human or arose from a laboratory mishap.

Covid-19 emerged in Wuhan in late 2019 and then spread rapidly through the world in 2020 and 2021 before the development of vaccines helped limit deaths. It marked one of the worst pandemics in modern history.

But the origins of the virus still divides the U.S. intelligence community, in large part because the Chinese government hasn’t cooperated with international investigations. Four U.S. intelligence agencies have favored, with low confidence, the animal transmission theory. So has the National Intelligence Council, a body of senior intelligence officers that reports to the Office of the Director of National Intelligence.

The fact that the Chinese won’t cooperate with the investigation, which after all can help us understand worldwide epidemics, always makes me think that something fishy is going on, and by that I don’t mean “wet market”.  My friend Luana has always been a big booster of the lab-leak hypothesis, and while I used to be pro-wet-market, I’m not somewhat agnostic leaning towards lab-leak. What cannot be denied is that both Facui and Francis Collins did their best to discourage the lab-leak hypothesis, and not solely on the grounds of science! They simply demonized those who suggested it, which is not a scientific attitude.

*According to CNN, the U.S. has frozen nearly all foreign aid—even to Ukraine, though Israel and Egypt are still getting US $$.

The US State Department has frozen nearly all foreign assistance worldwide, effective immediately, days after President Donald Trump issued a sweeping executive order Monday to put a hold on such aid for 90 days.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio sent a cable, seen by CNN, to all US diplomatic posts on Friday outlining the move, which threatens billions of dollars of funding from the State Department and the US Agency for International Development (USAID) for programs worldwide.

Foreign assistance has been the target of ire from Republicans in Congress and Trump administration officials, but the funding accounts for very little of the overall US budget. The scope of the executive order and subsequent cable has left humanitarian and State Department officials reeling.

The cable calls for immediate “stop work” orders on existing foreign assistance and pauses new aid. It is sweeping in its scope. Essentially all foreign assistance appears to have been targeted unless specifically exempted. That means lifesaving global health aid, development assistance, military aid, and even clean water distribution could all be affected.

The cable provides a waiver only for emergency food assistance and foreign military financing for Israel and Egypt. The cable does not specifically mention any other countries that receive foreign military financing, like Ukraine or Taiwan, as being exempt from the freeze.

In the coming month, the cable said, the administration will develop standards for a review of whether the assistance is “aligned with President Trump’s foreign policy agenda.”

I happen to favor continued aid to both Ukraine and Taiwan, and so am not keen on this latest decision. Fortunately, it’s only for a short while (but every minute counts for Ukraine). One thing I hope: Trump continues to stop the funding to that Supporter of Terrorism: UNRWA.

* Presidential insanity of the day: Trump has upset the Danes by calling the Prime Minister and hectoring her about the U.S. buying Greenland again (h/t Matthew).

Donald Trump had a fiery phone call with Danish prime minister Mette Frederiksen over his demands to buy Greenland, according to senior European officials.

Speaking to the Financial Times, officials said that Trump, then still president-elect, spoke with Frederiksen for 45 minutes last week, during which he was described to be aggressive and confrontational about Frederiksen’s refusal to sell Greenland to the US.

The Financial Times reports that according to five current and former senior European officials who were briefed on the call, the conversation “was horrendous”. One person said: “He was very firm. It was a cold shower. Before, it was hard to take it seriously. But I do think it is serious and potentially very dangerous.”

Another person who was briefed on the call told the outlet: “The intent was very clear. They want it. The Danes are now in crisis mode.” Someone else said: “The Danes are utterly freaked out by this.”

According to one former Danish official, the call was a “very tough conversation” in which Trump “threatened specific measures against Denmark such as targeted tariffs”.

Trump has previously said that the US needs to control Greenland and has refused to rule out using US military force to take over the territory. During a press conference a few weeks ago, Trump said that the US needed Greenland “for economic security”. The 836,300-sq-mile (2,166,007-sq-km) Arctic island is rich in oil and gas, as well as various raw materials for green technology.

The man is nuts, and I can see how his bullying form of conversation would scare the bejeezus out of PM Frederiksen. However, I don’t think that either she or the Danes have much to worry about. This is one case in which I think Ttrump’s threats are simply bluster. On the other hand, we’re learning that he’s serious about his campaign “promises.” He may slap some tariffs on Denmark, but I’m not sure how much damage that would do to the country. At any rate, I’d say, “Hey, Danes, don’t freak out so much. The optics of this are not good for Trump.”

*Heterodox STEM reports a blatant violation of antidiscrimination laws, this time by the National Science Foundation (NSF). This kind of action is palpably illegal by the agency.

By now, most are familiar with the term “People of Color,” but “Geoscientists of Color” was a new one to me—and deeply concerning. As someone skeptical of identity politics, the idea of dividing an already small field (just 24,620 employed in the U.S. as of May 2023, per BLS) by skin color is troubling. However, given the limited pipeline of geoscientists, it’s understandable why the National Science Foundation (NSF) launched the “Geoscience Opportunities for Leadership in Diversity1 (GOLD) program in 2016, aiming to expand the field through outreach and other lawful means. But just like many of the zealous “diversity, equity, and inclusion” efforts that have morphed into outright unlawful discrimination, the GOLD program’s days are numbered.

The original mission of the GOLD program was “to achieve greater and more systemic diversity by creating a network of diversity and inclusion ‘champions’ who can generate greater implementation of evidence-based best practices and resources.” Reading this mission statement in 2025 certainly triggers a warning that discriminatory “DEI” styled as new-age “antiracism” could be at work. But in 2016, America had not yet seen the avalanche of race-based preferences we have recently witnessed– and certainly not at the hands of Federal agencies.

Indeed, it seems the GOLD program was founded with pure intentions. But as we have seen all too often lately, when individuals have intentionally or unintentionally blurred the line that separates true diversity and inclusion from outright race-based discrimination, the Federal government has not only turned a blind eye to it but thrown hundreds of thousands of dollars at it. But if you’re up to speed on President Trump’s Executive Orders, you know that those days are over.

Consider an incident reported to FAIR about a March 2023 summit organized by the University of San Diego’s Scripps Institution of Oceanography. The event promised an excellent opportunity to participate in a multi-day summit to plan a future professional conference, with housing, meals, travel, and a $500 stipend included. The catch? Only “Geoscientists of Color” were invited. The organizer openly embraced this exclusionary approach, even boasting on X (formerly Twitter): “I want to create a conference for only Geoscientists of Color. If you are a Geoscientist of Color, I invite you to join us.”

At FAIR, we immediately recognized this as illegal under Civil Rights laws and sought to address it. Our investigation uncovered the grant application for the summit, titled “Proposal for a SUMMIT to Plan a Conference Workshop for Minoritized Geoscientists.” The application made clear that participation would be restricted by skin color, yet the NSF’s GOLD program awarded over $90,000 in federal funds without objection. This negligence likely led the organizer to believe no laws were being broken (not that it would have saved UC San Diego from legal liability if they’d gone through with it as planned).

When FAIR alerted Scripps to the issue, they took swift corrective action, removing the discriminatory eligibility criteria and extending the application deadline so that all geoscientists would have ample opportunity to apply. While this outcome was positive, it highlights a broader problem: many federally funded DEI initiatives have been implemented without oversight or accountability, often violating civil rights laws.

*The other day I posted about a law (was it in Egypt?) allowing a husband to have sex with his wife for a certain period after she was dead. A few readers saw no problem with that, and, indeed, it’s somewhat of an ethical dilemma of the kind Jon Haidt used to discuss. But this is a report of behavior that’s clearly illegal: digging up dead bodies of women (to whom you’re not related) and having sex with the corpses. That (h/t Anna) is what a Pakistani man is accused of.

On Friday (9th August), Karachi Police arrested a 40-year-old man who ‘confessed’ to desecrating recently-buried graves and sexually abusing dead women at the Korangi graveyard in Karachi, ARY News reported citing police. For those unversed, committing sex with corpses is called necrophilia. According to the police, the accused confessed that he desecrated four graves of women and subjected their dead bodies to sexual abuse. The locals caught him desecrating the grave of a recently buried 55-year-old woman. They thrashed him before handing over to the Police.

Speaking to a TV channel, crime reporter Tahir Abbas identified the accused as Salman Waheed.

The Police added that the accused, who was arrested from Bagh Korangi Cemetery, confessed to the crime and revealed a shocking tale of sexual abuse and desecration of female graves. According to the Police, accused Saleem used to target fresh graves of women, exhume bodies, and commit sexual abuse.

. . .In a statement, the Korangi police stated that the accused was arrested “on the rape charge” in the Bagh-i-Korangi graveyard.

As per a person’s complaint stated in the FIR, he had buried his mother in the graveyard on Thursday evening. At around 10:30 pm, he learned that the accused desecrated the grave and molested the body. However, some of the locals caught him and thrashed him. They then handed him over to the local police. The FIR states that the accused was found using an emergency light to commit the heinous crime.

During interrogation, he told the police that he used to keep an eye on the burials of women, and during nights he dug up graves to commit the heinous crime against the dead.

. . .Earlier on 22nd June, a shocking incident came to light from Lahore. Hours after the burial, the body of a three-month-old child went missing from the grave. The horrific incident occurred in Miani Sahib Graveyard, Lahore. The child’s father, Abdul Rahman found that the body of the child went missing from the grave the next day, finding the shroud outside. He then alerted the police.

Subsequently, the Police arrested three individuals, including a security guard, in connection with the offense. According to the FIR, the incident occurred on 23rd April this year.

It is pertinent to note that numerous cases of necrophilia have been reported from Pakistan. [The article goes on to describe more, but I’ll refrain . . . .]

Here’s a tweet with the perp:

Perhaps one could justify criminalizing raping one’s dead wife because it leads to stuff like this, which is clearly illegal.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Malgorzata explains Hili’s pun:

This must be difficult (or impossible) to understand by a non-Polish speaker. The (mildly) amusing thing is that “hippo” and “hypo” sound exactly the same in Polish.

The dialogue:

Hili: Can a hippo be a hypocrite?
A: You’ll have to ask somebody wiser.
In Polish:
Hili: Czy hipopotam może być hipokrytą?
Ja: Musisz o to zapytać kogoś mądrzejszego.
This must be difficult (or impossible) to understand by a non-Polish speaker. The (mildly) amusing thing is that “hippo” and “hypo” sound exactly the same in Polish.

*******************

From Jesus of the Day:

From Things with Faces:

From Cat Memes:

From Reddit: I have a last found an example of how indigenous knowledge could be usefully incorporated into modern science, in this case giving a suggestion to Elon Musk (h/t Andrzej). I cannot find the original cartoon nor the artist “Roy”.

From Masih, and yes, the Houthis are terrorists. How could anyone maintain otherwise?

This came from Colin Wright. Watch the cartoon!

Barry wonders if this is true:

A dog making eye contact with you creates a love hormone called oxytocin. When a cat makes eye contact with you, the body produces two fear hormones, adrenaline, and cortisol, because the cat knows what you did.

lisabug (@lisabug.bsky.social) 2025-01-25T15:47:12.685Z

From Malcolm; who is gonna win?

From Ricky Gervais: a good girl crosses the Rainbow Bridge

She was the second to disappear in the ending of the series, which always brings tears to my eyes. Here’s the ending, recording successive deaths:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

Today is International Day of Commemoration of the Victims of the Holocaust Day, marking the 80th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz by the Russians in 1945. This family, gassed to death, must stand for the 1.1 million people murdered at the camp, of which 1 million were Jews.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-27T11:42:38.881Z

 

Two posts from Dr. Cobb.  He suspect this first one is a kind of amoeba, but it’s awful big!

The Xenophyophore is a single-celled organism that can grow several inches across, building its body out of sand, shells, and other seafloor debris. It’s a walking trash castle, but it’s thriving. #marinelife #science

Dr Craig R McClain (@drcraigmc.bsky.social) 2025-01-25T21:00:04.510Z

This bizarre urchin is in a two-ninute video I’ve put below:

The deep-sea pancake urchin looks like a squishy disk but can move with spines and suction tube feet. It’s like evolution said, “Make it weird, but also kind of adorable, also let's give it little boots" #invertebrate #marinelife

Dr Craig R McClain (@drcraigmc.bsky.social) 2025-01-24T18:31:27.521Z

 

Here’s the video:

Sunday: Hili dialogue

January 26, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to the sabbath for goyische cats: it’s Sunday, January 26, 2025, and National Peanut Brittle Day.  Here’s how to make it with only three ingredients:

It’s also National Green Juice Day, a drink I’ve never had but I suppose is good for you. I’d try it if the version didn’t have Satan’s vegetable: broccoli

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 26 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Inspectors general are individuals that have oversight of an agency, being a general auditor and looking for waste, embezzlement, and the like.  And, yesterday, Trump fired at least a dozen of them, a move that, like preventing birth citizenship, is probably illegal (archived here):

President Trump fired at least 12 inspectors general late on Friday night, three people with knowledge of the matter said, capping a week of dramatic shake-ups of the federal government with a purge of independent watchdog officials created by Congress to root out abuse and illegality within federal agencies.

The firings appeared to violate a law that requires presidents to give Congress 30 days’ advance notice before removing any inspector general, along with reasons for the firing. Just two years ago, Congress strengthened that provision by requiring the notice to include a “substantive rationale, including detailed and case-specific reasons” for the removal.

The move was the latest wave of abrupt upheavals following the inauguration of Mr. Trump that have put the government in increasing confusion.

There were competing lists circulating in Washington on Saturday morning of which inspectors general had received an email from the White House telling them that “due to changing priorities, your position as inspector general” was “terminated, effective immediately.”

But agencies and departments whose watchdogs were said to have been removed included the departments of agriculture, commerce, defense, education, housing and urban development, interior, labor, transportation and veterans affairs, along with the Environmental Protection Agency and the Small Business Administration.

It was not clear whether the departments of State and the Treasury were included, but multiple people said that Michael E. Horowitz, the inspector general for the Justice Department, had been spared. Mr. Horowitz was lauded by Mr. Trump’s supporters in 2019 after he uncovered serious errors and omissions in the F.B.I.’s applications to wiretap a former foreign policy adviser to the 2016 Trump campaign as part of the Russia investigation.

I don’t know enough about the fired IGs to render an opinion on the specifics, but surely the illegality of the firings is sufficient to contest it. I suppose Trump has the right to do this if he fulfills the required month’s notice to Congress, but perhaps he should slow down on the housecleaning, and Congress (and the American people) deserve to know why these oversight people are getting dumped.

*And another bad Trump appointment comes though: Pete Hegseth was confirmed as Secretary of Defense after Vice President J. D. Vance broke a tie in the Senate after three Republicans defected from a bloc vote, while all Democratic Senators rejected the nomination.  (archived here).

The Senate narrowly confirmed Pete Hegseth as defense secretary on Friday after he survived a bruising struggle with Democrats who decried the Trump nominee as unqualified and unfit to oversee the country’s 1.3 million active duty troops and the Pentagon’s nearly $850 billion budget.

Vice President JD Vance had to cast a tiebreaking vote to confirm Mr. Hegseth, after three Republicans — Senators Susan Collins of Maine, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Mitch McConnell of Kentucky — joined all Democrats in opposition.

The final vote, 51 to 50, was the smallest margin for a defense secretary’s confirmation since the position was created in 1947, according to Senate records.

Mr. Hegseth, a military veteran and a former Fox News host, has vowed to bring his self-described “warrior” ethos to the Defense Department, which he says has been made weak by “woke” generals and diversity programs.

Republican leaders embraced that outlook as they cheered his confirmation.

“Peace through strength is back under President Trump and Pete Hegseth,” Senator Roger Wicker, Republican of Mississippi and the chairman of the armed services panel, said in a statement after Mr. Hegseth’s confirmation, adding: “We cannot wait another minute to rebuild our military might and put the war-fighter first.”

But Democrats, who unanimously opposed Mr. Hegseth’s confirmation, promised to continue their scrutiny of him.

Kudos to Collins, Murkowski, and (LOL) Mitch McConnell, who, though Republican, still recognize that Hegseth really is unqualified for the job.  McConnell even said this:

Mr. McConnell stressed that in his estimation, Mr. Hegseth had not demonstrated a sufficient understanding of national security challenges to handle the job of defense secretary, which he called “the most consequential cabinet official in any administration.”

“Effective management of nearly 3 million military and civilian personnel, an annual budget of nearly $1 trillion, and alliances and partnerships around the world is a daily test with staggering consequences,” Mr. McConnell said in a statement explaining his vote. He added: “Mr. Hegseth has failed, as yet, to demonstrate that he will pass this test.”

*At the Weekly Dish, Andrew Sullivan approves of “Undoing Biden’s left-extremism.”

To say I have conflicted feelings after a week or so of Trump’s return to power would be an understatement. Some of his early decisions remind me why I couldn’t vote for him. His decision to pardon even those among the J6 mob who assaulted cops jibes with his own instinctual love of vigilante justice against anyone in his way. That’s why his egregious withdrawal of security detail from John Bolton and Mike Pompeo is so instructive. Trump is no longer fond of these men, so he has all but invited a foreign hostile government to murder them. His embrace of anti-police vigilanteism at home is matched by his removal of sanctions on the violent settlers in the West Bank this week. He’s a thug who loves thugs.

But for all this, a large part of me is exhilarated by this first week. Yes, exhilarated. Liberated even. I wasn’t quite expecting this, but I can’t deny it. I suddenly feel more oxygen in the air as the woke authoritarianism of the last four years begins finally to lift. And let me put the core reason for this exhilaration as simply as I can. On the central questions of immigration and identity politics, what Trump is proposing is simply a return to common sense — a reflection of the sane views of the vast majority of Americans, who support secure borders and oppose unfairness in sports and medical experiments on children. My conservative soul is glad.

Joe Biden brazenly lied when he promised moderation in 2020. Check out my column on his initial flurry of executive orders four years ago this week:

[Biden] is doubling down on the very policies that made a Trump presidency possible. In every major democracy, mass immigration has empowered the far right. Instead of easing white panic about changing demographics, Biden just intensified it.

All Trump had to do was wait. But Biden’s EOs on “equity” were even more extreme, effectively ending any pretense of color-blindness in American law and society. Biden, I wrote four years ago, was:

enforcing the Ibram X. Kendi view that “the only remedy to past discrimination is present discrimination.” And he’s enforcing it across the entire federal government and any institution the federal government funds.

It was a direct and proud embrace of systemic race and sex discrimination by the federal government. It was accompanied by a massive shift in the private sector toward illegal race and sex discrimination in hiring, firing, and promotion. This was buttressed by actual mandatory workplace indoctrination in critical race, gender, and queer theory. This was authoritarian brainwashing, accompanied by blatant race discrimination.

Biden also decreed by executive order that the postmodern notion of “gender” would henceforth replace biological sex in determining who is a man or a woman. He mandated that any school or university getting federal funds should remove distinctions between boys and girls — even in sports and intimate spaces. His administration fully backed the medically irreversible transing of children with gender dysphoria, lied about the science, and secretly urged removing all age restrictions on transition — subjecting countless gay and autistic children to the permanent destruction of their future ability to have kids or even an orgasm.

Biden was, in these respects, an unremitting extremist; and almost all Trump is doing this week is unraveling this insanity. The one actually radical act from Trump is rescinding LBJ’s “affirmative action” directive of 1965. Reagan wanted to do this, but he faced bipartisan opposition. One justification of the feds moving from anti-discrimination to being pro-discrimination was because, in LBJ’s words, African-Americans “don’t have their 12 percent” in federal employment, i.e. their proportion in the country at large. Today, African-Americans are almost 19 percent of federal employees — much higher than their population share. The MSM won’t frame it this way. But that’s the truth. And Trump’s EO language suggests he now has a staff shrewd and determined enough to push back. This week was more regime change than shit-show.

But he’s not that hopeful, and, of course, we will some day have a Democratic President who may undo much of what Trump did.

It is, however, far too soon to declare the war on left authoritarianism over. It is far from dead; it has replaced Christianity entirely for many, as we saw with Bishop Budde at the National Cathedral this week, or the Oscars giving an unpopular film 13 nominations just so they can give a Best Actress award to a biological man. The Ivy League will do everything it can to keep discriminating against members of “oppressor classes.” The MSM is too far gone to reform itself. If you want proof of that, notice that the NYT has two emphatically “queer” columnists pushing gender woo-woo, and it just fired the only writer in that publication, Pamela Paul, who helped expose the medically baseless transing of children.

*Over at the Guardian, Arwa Mahdawi, trying to understand Trump’s order on sex while desperately trying to adhere to gender-activist extremism, gets a lot of stuff wrong or confused:

Most scientists now reject the idea that sex is strictly binary. The likes of Nature, possibly one of the most prestigious scientific journals in the world, has noted that “the research and medical community now sees sex as more complex than male and female”. And there’s a huge amount of disagreement as to how these categories should be described. “Scientists ourselves cannot agree on how to define the two sexes,” Rachel Levin, a Pomona College neuroscientist who studies the development of sex, told me over the phone. “To say that sex is simple and easily defined – and defined at conception – is factually incorrect.”

I urge you to look at the Nature link to see if it shows that science rejects the sex binary, particularly one based on difference in the reproductive apparatus to produce sperm or eggs. No, it doesn’t, but it involves the reader in a lot of confusion about intersexes and DSDs. The paragraph below makes an argument that is becoming familiar: because the development of secondary sex traits is complicated, and different organisms use different cues to produce the universal gamete binary), and because people differ in their secondary sex traits, then sex cannot be binary.  But it’s binary in other animals!  I’d like to ask these people four questions:

  1. How many sexes are there in nonhuman animals likes cats, horses, hyenas, ducks, or sharks?
  2. If “two,” Is there a universal way to tell them apart? (the answer, of course, is “two” and “gamete type”
  3. Now how many sexes are there in humans?
  4. If answer to #3 differs from that to question #1, Why is that the case, and then how do you tell the more-than-two sexes apart?

Biologically, we are animals, mammals, and primates, and have the same number of sexes in all species of animals (and vascular plants). Bringing in hormones, chromosomes, and the like is what I now call “The Argument from Complexity,” Remember, the definition of biological sex is not the same as the way that biological sex is determined (it differs among taxa), and those are also different from the way biological sex is usually recognized (genitals, in humans, but that can be wrong.

More palaver:

There are lots of factors that contribute to how we think about sex, including physical characteristics, hormone levels, gamete size (larger gametes are eggs while smaller gametes are sperm), sex chromosomes, etc. Trump’s executive order seems to tie sex to just gamete size at conception. This is despite the fact that a lot of academics have moved away from a sex-classification system based primarily on gametes because some people will never produce a gamete. And, while it’s true that most people inherit either XX (typically female) or XY (typically male) chromosomes at conception, declaring that sex is determined so early is overly simplistic. “Most of us develop along a certain fairly common pathway, but a lot of us do not,” Levin notes. “One really important thing for the public to realize is that the president declaring something to be the case doesn’t make it true.

Note the arrant stupidity of claiming that if you’re a sterile male or a postmenopausal or prepubertal female, you’re not male or female. Does this writer have two neurons to rub together? (This claim, which is common, is really a move of desperation.  If you have the reproductive anatomy to make one of the two types of gametes, but your gun is jammed or you’re out of ammo, you are still male or female. Just as clearly, a male who gets castrated is still a male.  Further, we do not have “gamete size at conception,” we have the genetic underpinning at conception of what your gamete size has the potential to be.

What all this boils down to, in short, is that sex is a hell of a lot more complicated than Trump’s executive order would have you believe. Shocking, I know. Who would have thought that the guy who suggested “nuking hurricanes” to stop them hitting America wouldn’t be the most trustworthy scientific voice?

Yep, it’s the argument from complexity, which refuses to recognize the biological universal of two sexes based solely on the apparatus used to produce large, immobile or small, mobile gametes. Why do they refuse to recognize one of the few “laws” of biology that holds across all animals and vascular plants? Because it makes those who don’t feel male or female uncomfortable, including trans people. But, as I’ve often said, biological fact is not dictated by ideology, nor should we discriminate against people (except in a few cases like sports or where one is incarcerated) because of differences in gamete size.

It’s no surprise that Mahdawi is a columnist and not a biologist, and not even a science columnist.

*Good news in medical science, at least: a woman with a pig kidney as her sole kidney has now survived for two months. As you might expect, the pigs had been genetically altered to make their kidneys more like human ones to prevent immunological rejection.

An Alabama woman passed a major milestone Saturday to become the longest living recipient of a pig organ transplant – healthy and full of energy with her new kidney for 61 days and counting.

“I’m superwoman,” Towana Looney told The Associated Press, laughing about outpacing family members on long walks around New York City as she continues her recovery. “It’s a new take on life.”

Looney’s vibrant recovery is a morale boost in the quest to make animal-to-human transplants a reality. Only four other Americans have received hugely experimental transplants of gene-edited pig organs – two hearts and two kidneys – and none lived more than two months.

“If you saw her on the street, you would have no idea that she’s the only person in the world walking around with a pig organ inside them that’s functioning,” said Dr. Robert Montgomery of NYU Langone Health, who led Looney’s transplant.

Montgomery called Looney’s kidney function “absolutely normal.” Doctors hope she can leave New York – where she’s temporarily living for post-transplant checkups – for her Gadsden, Alabama, home in about another month.

. . .Scientists are genetically altering pigs so their organs are more humanlike to address a severe shortage of transplantable human organs. More than 100,000 people are on the U.S. transplant list, most who need a kidney, and thousands die waiting.

Pig organ transplants so far have been “compassionate use” cases, experiments the Food and Drug Administration allows only in special circumstances for people out of other options.

And the handful of hospitals trying them are sharing information of what worked and what didn’t, in preparation for the world’s first formal studies of xenotransplantation, expected to begin sometime this year. United Therapeutics, which supplied Looney’s kidney, recently asked the Food and Drug Administration for permission to begin a trial.

Loobey donated a kidney to her mother, and then lost her other one when she developed post-pregnancy high blood pressure. So far there is no sign of rejection, and I’m keeping my fingers crossed that she does well. It’s amazing that we got to this point, a point where we could modify in animals hard-to-get organs that can be used in place of human organs.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is perturbed (Malgorzata uses fat-free milk, but Andrzej’s milk in his coffee has fat in it):

Hili: This coffee has a strange color.
A: Because Małgorzata adds a strange milk.

In Polish:

Hili: Ta kawa ma dziwny kolor.
Ja: Bo Małgorzata dolewa do niej dziwne mleko.

From Things with Faces:

From Cat Memes:

From America’s Cultural Decline Into Idiocy (this looks like the UK to me):

*******************

Retweeted by Masih. “Woman, Life, Freedom”

A woman who is fed up with people forcing women to get undressed in front of trans women:

From Malcolm, who captions this, “I have one, too!”:

From Jez’s thread of heartwarming pet stuff:

From the IDF, re the four female soldiers returned by Hms:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

A 38-year-old Czech woman, born on this day in 1906, died in Auschwitz at 38.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-26T11:23:26.537Z

Two posts by Dr. Cobb.  About the first one he says, “I guess you need to write about this.” So I’ve just printed out the paper.

A single gene underlies male mating morphs in ruff sandpipers, a new Science study finds. The results show how evolutionary changes in a single gene's structure, sequence, and regulation can drive significant diversity within a single species. Learn more in our new issue: https://scim.ag/4arzNmU

Science Magazine (@science.org) 2025-01-23T19:05:01.357Z

I stole this from Matthew’s feed. Crikey: chewed its legs off!

Predators predated.

(@matthewcobb.bsky.social) 2025-01-25T13:46:23.003Z

 

Saturday: Hili dialogue

January 25, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to the weekend: it’s CaturSaturday, January 25, 2025, the Sabbath for all Jewish cats, and National Irish Coffee Day, a drink that shouldn’t be disdained, especially when made with good Irish whiskey, strong coffee, and real whipped cream. Proper preparation: running the cream into the drink over a spoon:

Anke Klitzing, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

It’s also National Fish Taco Day (perhaps the most horrible item in Mexican cuisine), Fluoride Day (soon to disappear), and Burns Supper (honoring the birthday of Robert Burns in 1759, and the meal goes this way:

Supper begins with a soup course, which usually is a Scottish soup like potato soup, Scotch brothCullen skink, or cock-a-leekie. The main course is haggis, a traditional Scottish meat dish. Vegetarian haggis has become an option in recent years. Everyone stands as the haggis is brought in, usually by the cook, on a large dish. The bagpiper plays and the haggis is brought to the host’s table and set down. Address to a Haggis, written by Burns, is then recited. During the poem, a knife is usually sharpened and used to cut the haggis. At the poem’s end, a Scotch whisky toast is given for the haggis, and the guests are seated. The haggis is usually served with mashed potatoes (tatties) and mashed swede turnip (neeps).

I suppose it’s better than a fish taco, so long as the haggis is McSween’s haggis with meat rather than offal.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 25 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Hamas has apparently reneged on the ceasefire blackmail deal that Israel agreed to by releasing four female soldiers tomorrow instead of four female civilians. (Note that the fmale hostages were captured in their pajamas, but were released in IDF uniforms, a clever piece of propaganda by Hamas.)  This could mean that there are only a handful remaining live female civilians, though one may be released next week by Palestinian Islamic jihad. This also means that Israel has to gin up extra Palestinian prisoners: instead of 30 per hostage, for soldiers it must produce 50 freed terrorists, each on imprisoned for murdering Israelis. This was a serious enough violation that Netanyahu had to huddle with his security officials before deciding what to do, but in the end accepted Hamas changes (the pressure from the U.S.—from the Trump administration—for Israel to adhere to Hamas’s blackmail was too great).

Israel has informed the mediators that the list of four female hostages Hamas published earlier this evening violates the terms of the agreement, which requires the terror group to release all living female civilians before releasing female soldiers, Channel 12 reports.

Hamas has informed the mediators that it remains committed to the deal and that there were simply technical complications that led to the violation. Arbel Yehud, one of the last female civilian hostages believed to still be alive, is being held by Palestinian Islamic Jihad, not Hamas.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held consultations with his security chiefs and ultimately decided to move forward with the list that Hamas has provided, despite the violation. Participants in the meeting determined that while Hamas violated the agreement, the violation was not serious enough to blow up the entire deal.

Israel has informed the mediators that the list of four female hostages Hamas published earlier this evening violates the terms of the agreement, which requires the terror group to release all living female civilians before releasing female soldiers, Channel 12 reports.

Hamas has informed the mediators that it remains committed to the deal and that there were simply technical complications that led to the violation. Arbel Yehud, one of the last female civilian hostages believed to still be alive, is being held by Palestinian Islamic Jihad, not Hamas.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held consultations with his security chiefs and ultimately decided to move forward with the list that Hamas has provided, despite the violation. Participants in the meeting determined that while Hamas violated the agreement, the violation was not serious enough to blow up the entire deal.

It is not yet clear, though, whether Israel will retaliate with steps of its own that violate the terms of the agreement. Israel is slated to begin allowing Palestinians to return to northern Gaza tomorrow. It is also required by the deal to release 50 Palestinian security prisoners for each female soldier freed.

The families of the four female hostages have not yet been formally notified by the government that their loved ones will be released tomorrow.

Those notifications are expected to take place shortly, Channel 12 says.

Later this evening, Israel is slated to publish the list of Palestinian security prisoners that it will release tomorrow.

From another article:

The list of the four soldiers is in apparent violation of the ceasefire agreement, which states that female civilians are to be released first, then female soldiers, followed by the elderly and then those who are deemed extremely ill. Israel however reportedly agreed to receive the hostages, deciding the breach was not grave enough to collapse the deal.

Outside of the five surveillance soldiers, there are two female civilian hostages from the original list of 33 slated to be released in the first phase of the ceasefire deal: Arbel Yehud, 29, and Shiri Silberman Bibas, 33. Israel had conveyed to Hamas that it expected Yehud — who is thought to be held by fellow terror group Palestinian Islamic Jihad — to be released this weekend, however, she was not named by Hamas on Friday.

So far Israel has kept its part of the bargain, but Hamas is toying with the negotiations like a cat with a mouse. How long will it be before Hamas starts handing back coffins instead of living hostages? Believe me, they will be the last “hostages” released, and yet Israel has agreed to exchange 30-50 Palestinian prisoners for each body of a dead hostage. I predict that the turnover of dead hostages in coffins will not be filmed.

*No! The latest NYT headline as I write, at the top left, is “Trump leaves Democrats dazed and on the defensive” (archived here).  Who could have foreseen this six months ago?

As President Trump pushes aggressively to reshape the federal government, Democrats have retreated into a political crouch that reflects their powerlessness in Washington.

Far from rising up in outrage, the opposition party’s lawmakers have taken a muted wait-and-see approach as Mr. Trump tries to end birthright citizenshiphalt diversity programs in the federal government, undo foreign policy alliances and seek retribution against his perceived political enemies.

In some cases, Democrats are even making a show of working with Republicans.

Scores of them voted for the Laken Riley Act, which allows the deportation of unauthorized migrants who are accused but not yet convicted of crimes. Others volunteered to work with Republicans on a border security bill. And while Democrats are fighting the nominations of Pete Hegseth as defense secretary and Tulsi Gabbard as national intelligence director, Mr. Trump’s other cabinet appointees appear on a glide path to confirmation without much vocal resistance.

It is telling that in the opening days of the new Trump administration, the loudest pushback to the president’s policies has come not from an elected Democrat but from the bishop at Washington National Cathedral, who asked Mr. Trump directly during a service to have mercy on immigrants and L.G.B.T.Q. children.

“We’re no longer trying to win a news cycle,” said Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii, a Democrat who has become an outspoken messenger for his party on social media. “We’re trying to win an argument, and that’s going to take time and patience and discipline.”

A group of 70 progressive House Democrats and six Senate Democrats gathered at the Capitol on Thursday to try to settle on a single message of opposition to Mr. Trump as he takes aim at myriad liberal constituencies and priorities. The assembled Democrats concluded that their best course of action was to focus on economic concerns, which they believe led to the party’s November defeats.

Well, yes, economic concerns was one issue, and Trump had better bring down inflation by the midterms, but there was more to the defeats than economics.  Immigration, to name one.  Perhaps Schatz could conceive of the strategy more as having to confect a program that Americans will vote for than to “win an argument”!

*It just gets worse. As you know, for no rational reason, Trump pardoned 1500 convicted insurrectionists, and doing that is similar (but not identical) to freeing Palestinian terrorists. For the Proud Boys and Oath Keepers aren’t going to sit around twiddling their thumbs; they’re going to cause trouble.

Enrique Tarrio thought he would be in prison until 2040. As he waited to board a plane to Miami, now a free man thanks to President Trump, the Proud Boys leader wasn’t certain what was next for him except for one thing: retaliation.

The 40-year-old Tarrio was among the roughly 1,500 individuals who received pardons for their involvement in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol. “I was innocent of the charges,” he said in an interview before his flight, but alleged the legal system was “weaponized” against him and others. Now, he said, it’s time to turn the tables and prosecute the prosecutors, including former Attorney General Merrick Garland.

“The name of the game for some of these people is to take the other opponent’s pieces off the board,” he said. “We can play that game.”

Trump’s sweeping pardons mark a dramatic turnaround for the far-right groups involved in the Jan. 6 attack. Some resorted to violence to try to prevent the certification of Trump’s 2020 electoral loss. The rampage led to the largest prosecution in Justice Department history. Former President Joe Biden vowed to defeat domestic extremism, launching a national effort to refocus U.S. national security agencies from foreign terrorism to what he said was the more pressing threat back home.

The crackdown seemed to spell the end of many of the groups involved, including the Proud Boys and self-styled militias such as the Oath Keepers. As their leaders faced prison, the organizations were torn apart by infighting, members went underground, and many local chapters spun off or went silent.

Four years later, they are jubilant—and feeling vindicated. This week, dozens of Proud Boys once again marched through the streets of Washington. Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes visited congressional offices on Capitol Hill, and waves of pardoned inmates were released from jail to cheers of “We are back!”

“Spirits are high within the fraternity right now as some of us return home from the inauguration and are reuniting with our brothers who have been locked away under harsh conditions for the past four years,” the Proud Boys of Kentucky said in an email. “We are forever grateful to President Trump for keeping his promises.”

 Shoot me now! No, wait—they’ll do it!

*But wait! It gets still worse in the NY op-ed “I prosecuted the Capitol rioters. They have never been more dangerous.” (It’s archived here.)

For while some convicted rioters seem genuinely remorseful, and others appear simply ready to put politics behind them, many others are emboldened by the termination of what they see as unjust prosecutions. Freed by the president, they have never been more dangerous.

Take Stewart Rhodes, whose Oath Keepers group staged firearms and ammunition near Washington on Jan. 6 in anticipation of a “bloody and desperate fight.” Or Enrique Tarrio, whose Proud Boys led rioters into the Capitol and who had declared just after the 2020 election that while he and his followers would not start a civil war, they would be sure to “finish one.”

They are now free to pursue revenge, and have already said they want it. Upon his release this week, Mr. Tarrio declared that “success is going to be retribution.” He added, “Now it’s our turn.”

The effect — and I believe purpose — of these pardons is to encourage vigilantes and militias loyal to the president, but unaccountable to the government. Illiberal democracies and outright dictatorships often rely on such militia groups, whose organization and seriousness can range widely, from the vigilantes who enforce Iran’s hijab dress code to the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia that have killed government opponents.

Here in America, lynch mobs and the Ku Klux Klan bolstered a racial caste system with violence that state governments, for the most part, were unwilling to commit themselves. But for decades, we had little reason to fear that vigilantes or militias would enforce the will of the state.

That may be changing. Rioters who assaulted police officers at the Capitol have called for politicians who oppose Mr. Trump to be hanged, declared that “there will be blood,” and that “I plan on making other people die first, for their country, if it gets down to that.” But it’s not just their readiness for violence. One officer, who’d worked lots of riots, explained to me how Jan. 6 felt different: Most rioters know at some level what they’re doing is wrong, he said, but these guys thought they were right. Monday’s pardons will reinforce these rioters’ beliefs in their cause, and their loyalty to the man who leads it.

“Success is going to be retribution.” “There will be blood.”  Get prepared for more armed standoffs between these morons and the authorities—IF Trump even lets the authorities stop domestic terrorism. Yes, Shoot me now.

*As usual, I’ll steal three items from Nellie Bowles’s weekly news summary from the Free Press, called this week “TGIF: I solemnly swear“. Oh hell, I’ll add another, as Nellie’s collection this week is simply too good:

→ The Dem reformation is coming: First the bad news for Democrats, then the good news for me. Bad news: The Democrats have never been more unpopular. From CNN, which this week announced layoffs for about 200 staffers: “Overall, just 33% of all Americans express a favorable view of the Democratic Party, an all-time low in CNN’s polling dating back to 1992.” The good news: This is rock bottom. And now we can look around and think about what brought us here and why some of us made the choices we made. We can think about what we’ve done until we’re ready to come back to the table and act nicely. I’m still waiting for apologies from my old Hamasnik friends but I’m sure those are on the way, right? Hello? Stop throwing Vegenaise at me, I’m just here to gloat!

I used to think Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was the future of the party. She’s so pretty and put-together and has such a great origin story. But AOC has not evolved with the times. Her vibe has not shifted. Here she was this past Sunday, on her couch while delivering a straight-to-camera warning:​​

We are on the eve of an authoritarian administration. This is what twenty-first-century fascism is starting to look like. Republicans really model themselves after Orbán’s Hungary. And so you can look to see how Viktor Orbán runs Hungary to get a taste of how they will try to govern and control media, and companies in the United States. . . . As far as what we do, you know, this is a time of experimentation. A lot of people will still use platforms—can still use platforms—but I also look towards places where you have more ownership as well and develop your audiences there.

→ The long arm of the Kama-law: The Democrats’ official social media posted an image of Kamala Harris that is fully AI. How can you tell? Her arm has been stretched to strange, unnecessary proportions. The caption reads: “History made.”

Perhaps it was a heavy-handed metaphor: Kamala’s reach was so inspiring, so historical, that her arm had to be doctored to show it. Or maybe they’re saying she made history for having the longest arm ever. Were there no real-life pictures of Kamala Harris walking?

→ Hamas’s startling show of strength: As three young Israeli hostages were finally freed from captivity, Hamas militants used the moment to project some amount of strength. Gone was their ragtag civilian garb, the flip-flops; now they had clean, matching military uniforms and bulletproof vests. They stood on top of trucks jeering and waving guns, as if saying resolutely: “We’re still in charge of Gaza.” Which raises the question: How in the hell is Hamas still in charge of Gaza? How could Israel wipe out Hezbollah in what seemed like days but Hamas is still holding hostages, still marching, still waving guns from trucks? As the hostage girls were loaded into cars to go back to Israel, they were given special gift bags that included photos of them in captivity. Someone there has a sick sense of humor.

One clue to Hamas’s continued hold might be that the UN department in Gaza is quite literally an extension of Hamas: The hostages reported that they were held in a UNRWA refugee camp. I’m pretty dumb, but even I’m not dumb enough to believe that the folks running a UNRWA refugee camp would have no idea there were Israeli hostages there. Like, a camp with a bunch of refugees and then three Israeli girls with ropes around their hands and ankles. Just normal, everyday Gazans at the refugee camp, screaming in Hebrew, begging to go home?

→ Also, knives: Actually, there are two big English scandals, and the second one is knives. They’re too easy to buy! Knife-wielding terrorists don’t kill people, knives do.

After a young terrorist in Southport stabbed to death three young girls in a dance class, much was done to suppress that information. And to suppress the fact that the killer, Axel Rudakubana, was of Rwandan descent and an Islamist who wanted to kill the little girls because dance class is sinful. The police went so far as to say it absolutely wasn’t terrorism, and the media only described him as a “quiet choirboy” from Wales. Eventually, it all came out. The killer had an al-Qaeda training manual and ricin at home. Plus, people tried to report him to the police three times beforehand. Anyway, here is the British response:

Now to buy a knife, you’ll have to present ID and appear on live video. Axel killed three people that day in the dance studio and stabbed 10 more. And these were horrific slayings: He stabbed six-year-old Bebe 122 times; seven-year-old Elsie had 85 knife wounds—a teacher hiding in the closet thought everyone had escaped until she heard the girls asking him to stop. And the British response was to protect Axel, to hide his motives, to smear those who were upset over the killings, and now to make all British people do a video call before buying a kitchen knife, which is more likely to deter tech-illiterate Boomers who want to up their kitchen game than would-be terrorists. Modern England is the best argument against genetic determinism that I could imagine. Because the same set of genes that once conquered the world have now made for a small, poor little island, worried over seeming too harsh toward the teenager with the kitchen knife killing children—don’t offend him, Barnaby! It’s fascinating. Into the nature vs. nurture debate, we must add the case of the British people.

[JAC note]: the perp was 18, but I can’t find evidence of an Al-Qaeda training manual at Nellie’s link]

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is being intellectual:

Hili: Do you really believe in what is written in the newspapers?
Andrzej: No, but for a sociologist lies are important information about society.
In Polish:
Hili: Czy ty naprawdę wierzysz w to, co piszą gazety?
Ja: Nie, ale dla socjologa kłamstwa są ważną informacją o społeczeństwie.

*******************

From Things With Faces:

From Cat Memes:

From The Cat House on the Kings:

From Masih; if you don’t think the Houthis are terrorists, when they fire on ships of several nations going through the canal, you’re blind (or have a weird definition of “terrorism”):

Two from Luana: anti-Semitism in Australia (no surprise):

And a bizarre new law in Egypt:

One from Malcolm, and doesn’t this brighten your day?

From my feed; another smile-bringer:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

Gassed to death upon arriving at Auschwitz, this French girl (Jewish of course) was ten.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-25T11:21:59.821Z

Two from Dr. Cobb. First, a well camouflaged caddisfly (with attached debris):

Another Caddisfly larva feeding, this time on a more typical food, scraping algae/biofilm off a dead leaf Pretty sure this is Limnephilidae #Pondlife #BugSky #UKWildlife #inverts #Insect #Caddisflies

Neil (@uk-wildlife.bsky.social) 2025-01-23T19:34:04.466Z

Matthew loves Mars!

These are just some rocks.But they're rocks on Mars.Photographed earlier today.And now on your phone.

Paul Byrne (@theplanetaryguy.bsky.social) 2025-01-22T19:49:32.377Z

Friday: Hili dialogue

January 24, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to Friday, January 24, 2025 and National Peanut Butter Day, celebrating a comestible I have for lunch nearly every day. Here’s how it’s made commercially:

It’s also Beer Can Appreciation Day, Macintosh Computer Day (the only kind I’ve ever used), National Edy’s Pie Patent Day (celebrating the patent of the Eskimo Pie on this day in 1922; for reasons that are obvious, we can no longer call them “Eskimo Pies”), and National Lobster Day

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 24 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Just in: Yesterday a federal judge declared Trump’s “birthright” Executive Order, which denied automatic citizenship to those born in the U.S., to be an unconstitutional act. I predicted this, but it ain’t rocket science. It’s in the Constitution in black and white (well, black and yellow now):

A federal district court judge on Thursday temporarily blocked President Donald Trump’s executive order aimed at limiting birthright citizenship — the first skirmish in what promises to be a protracted legal battle over the new administration’s agenda.

Senior U.S. District Judge John C. Coughenour heard 25 minutes of arguments and then issued an order from the bench blocking the policy from taking effect for 14 days. There will be a further briefing on a preliminary injunction to permanently block the executive order while the case proceeds.

“I’ve been on the bench for over four decades,” Coughenour, a Ronald Reagan appointee, said. “I can’t remember another case where the question presented is as clear as this one. This is a blatantly unconstitutional order.”

This one ain’t gonna fly.

*OMG he did it! Trump not only sacked the head of the Coast Guard (a woman) but, supposedly to bolster border security, ordered more forces to the GULF OF AMERICA, since his executive order has now renamed the Gulf of Mexico. Shoot me now!

The Coast Guard will surge additional resources to the “Gulf of America” and several other locations, the service said in a statement Tuesday, after the Trump administration sacked its top admiral and alleged that she had failed to prioritize the security of U.S. borders.

The statement marked one of the U.S. government’s first official uses of President Donald Trump’s desired name for the Gulf of Mexico, a policy shift that has elicited derision from his domestic political foes and leaders in Mexico. Trump signed an executive order soon after his inauguration Monday setting a 30-day deadline for the Interior Department to take “all appropriate action” needed to codify the new name.

Asked about the statement’s reference to “Gulf of America,” Coast Guard officials cited Trump’s executive order. The Defense Department, which also is preparing to deploy additional forces in support of the new administration’s emphasis on border security, said it had no updates to provide when asked whether the Pentagon will also adopt Trump’s desired name for the gulf.

Here’s the insane order:

Sec. 4.  Gulf of America.  (a)  The area formerly known as the Gulf of Mexico has long been an integral asset to our once burgeoning Nation and has remained an indelible part of America.  The Gulf was a crucial artery for America’s early trade and global commerce.  It is the largest gulf in the world, and the United States coastline along this remarkable body of water spans over 1,700 miles and contains nearly 160 million acres.  Its natural resources and wildlife remain central to America’s economy today.  The bountiful geology of this basin has made it one of the most prodigious oil and gas regions in the world, providing roughly 14% of our Nation’s crude-oil production and an abundance of natural gas, and consistently driving new and innovative technologies that have allowed us to tap into some of the deepest and richest oil reservoirs in the world.  The Gulf is also home to vibrant American fisheries teeming with snapper, shrimp, grouper, stone crab, and other species, and it is recognized as one of the most productive fisheries in the world, with the second largest volume of commercial fishing landings by region in the Nation, contributing millions of dollars to local American economies.  The Gulf is also a favorite destination for American tourism and recreation activities.  Further, the Gulf is a vital region for the multi-billion-dollar U.S. maritime industry, providing some of the largest and most impressive ports in the world.  The Gulf will continue to play a pivotal role in shaping America’s future and the global economy, and in recognition of this flourishing economic resource and its critical importance to our Nation’s economy and its people, I am directing that it officially be renamed the Gulf of America.

(b)  As such, within 30 days of the date of this order, the Secretary of the Interior shall, consistent with 43 U.S.C. 364 through 364f, take all appropriate actions to rename as the “Gulf of America” the U.S. Continental Shelf area bounded on the northeast, north, and northwest by the States of Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida and extending to the seaward boundary with Mexico and Cuba in the area formerly named as the Gulf of Mexico.  The Secretary shall subsequently update the GNIS to reflect the renaming of the Gulf and remove all references to the Gulf of Mexico from the GNIS, consistent with applicable law.  The Board shall provide guidance to ensure all federal references to the Gulf of America, including on agency maps, contracts, and other documents and communications shall reflect its renaming.

Yes, it’s the Greatest Gulf in the History of the World, and it has to be named MGAA: “Make the Gulf American Again.”  Can we expect commemorative coins?

*Over at the Silver Bulletin, pollster and statistician (and Democrat) Nate Silver asks, “Are we entering a Conservative Golden Age?” At first he says “no”, we’ve reached peak MAGA:

According to this framework, the inauguration on Monday could be the high-water mark for the Conservative Golden Age. With narrow majorities in Congress — and a less unified caucus than Democrats had under Biden — legislative accomplishments may be hard to come by for Trump, and Democrats are favored to retake the House in 2026. Courts will challenge his executive orders. The alliance between MAGA and the Tech Right — Trump’s new Silicon Valley buddies — already shows signs of strain. Furthermore, Trump is now a 78-year-old, lame-duck president, and few other Republicans have been able to achieve star power under his shadow. The potential efficacy of his government, or lack thereof, is another potential weak point. Although he deserves more credit than he gets for Operation Warp Speed, Trump mismanaged the biggest crisis of his first term, COVID, and many of his Cabinet appointments and civil servants will have little experience in government. And Trump can put personal pique or profit above the good of the country or the long-term interests of his party and the conservative movement.

What’s more, there is a pretty good argument for simple mean-reversion. Democrats, for all their problems, are a highly competitive party. Kamala Harris became the first Democrat to lose the popular vote since John Kerry, but she lost it by only 1.6 percentage points — and Kerry lost his election by just 2.4 points against a president who’d had an 90 percent approval rating just two years earlier. No Democrat has lost the popular vote by more than that since 1988, while five Republicans have, including Trump in 2020. Republicans’ Electoral College advantage all but disappeared last year, meanwhile, so a narrow popular vote win like Al Gore’s in 2000 or Hillary Clinton’s in 2016 might be enough to flip the White House for a fourth time in a row in 2028.

But then Silver backs up and says, well, the history of America shows random swings, but we might be in for conservatism for a while

But I’ve given short shrift to the claim that we are entering a new era — whether a Conservative Golden Age or something else entirely. That’s because, as Ezra Klein writes, the evidence for a conservative vibe shift goes beyond Trump’s narrow popular vote margin. To take a few data points:

  • It’s much harder than in 2016 to write off Trump’s win as a fluke. He won the popular vote. There’s no Electoral College, Comey Letter or (dubiously) Russian interference to blame for his win. Democrats essentially lost the election twice last year — first with Biden and then with Harris — and this came on the heels of Hillary Clinton’s loss in 2016. Maybe it’s bad candidates — the Democrats’ presidential nominees lately have been about as successful as New York Jets quarterbacks — but their product isn’t selling.
  • Furthermore, Democrats show every sign of being defeated. Unlike in 2017, there’s little protest activity against Trump. MSNBC ratings and Washington Post subscriptions are down. Kamala Harris and Joe Biden’s teams are fighting, but none of it is particularly constructive or forward-looking, and there’s no clear consensus on what the Democratic Party should do next.
  • Trump’s win was buoyed by some sharp demographic shifts, including among voters that Democrats once took for granted as being part of their “team”: Hispanic and Asian American voters, and to a lesser degree Black voters (especially Black men) — and younger voters, too. Democrats can no longer credibly claim to win elections just by turning out their base; in fact, Republicans outnumbered Democrats in the November electorate by 5 points. Americans are also voting with their feet, fleeing blue states and cities.

Here’s his chart of the random political walk:

In the end, he thinks all things are possible, including a return to the “Biden/Obama” liberal age. In other words, he punts.

*From the Free Press: Coleman Hughes on “The end of DEI.” Hughes, a heterodox black intellectual, thinks this is a good thing.

Trump has ordered the executive branch and its agencies “to terminate all discriminatory and illegal preferences, mandates, policies, programs, activities, guidance, regulations, enforcement actions, consent orders, and requirements.”

. . . . Trump’s executive order accurately describes the enormousness of the DEI bureaucracy that has arisen in government and private industry to infuse race in hiring, promotion, and training. Take, for example, the virtue-signaling announcements made by big corporations in recent years—such as CBS’s promise that the writers of its television shows would meet a quota of being 40 percent non-white.

And so, we will now see what federal enforcement of a color-blind society looks like. We’ll certainly see how many federal employees were assigned to monitor and enforce DEI—Trump has just demanded they all be laid off.

The most controversial part of this executive order is that it repeals the storied, 60-year-old Executive Order 11246, signed by President Lyndon Johnson in 1965. Johnson’s original order mandated that government contractors take “affirmative action” to ensure that employees are hired “without regard to their race, color, religion, or national origin.”

The phrase affirmative action, however, has come to have a profoundly different meaning for us than it did during the 1960s civil rights era. Back then, it simply meant that companies had to make an active effort to stop discriminating against blacks, since antiblack discrimination was, in many places, the norm. Only later did the phrase come to be associated with the requirement to actively discriminate in favor of blacks and other minorities.

. . .In the intervening decades, this racial spoils system has not only caused grief for countless members of the unfavored races—it has also created incentives for business owners to commit racial fraud, or else to legally restructure so as to be technically “minority-owned.” As far back as 1992, TheNew York Times reported that such fraud was “a problem everywhere”—for instance, with companies falsely claiming to be 51 percent minority-owned in order to secure government contracts. In a more recent case, a Seattle man sued both the state and federal government, claiming to run a minority-owned business on account of being 4 percent African.

For progressives, Trump’s repeal of LBJ’s 1965 executive order is being framed as a reversal of Civil Rights–era gains. In covering the repeal, Axios reminds readers that “Segregationists during Johnson’s time opposed the executive order.” This framing makes sense only if you omit the changed meaning of affirmative action over time. In context, the segregationists of the 1960s believed in a race-based society and wanted to exclude black people from opportunities, whereas today, Trump is opposing racial mandates. They were against color blindness; Trump is for it.

Trump’s executive order gets closer to the original intent of the civil rights movement than today’s DEI policies. During the Senate debate over the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the bill’s lead sponsor, Senator Hubert Humphrey, famously promised that if anyone could find any language in the Civil Rights Act that required preferential hiring based on percentages or quotas, he would eat the entire bill page by page. In the twenty-first century, it’s today’s progressives who would be the ones chewing.

. . .In one sense, Trump is simply riding an anti-DEI wave that he cannot claim credit for. For instance, he could have done this in his first term, but like every Republican since Nixon, he chose not to.

In the end, Hughes says this is one of the rare moments in American politics when a leader gets to turn his ideology into law.

*Just when we thought the LA wildfires were going to abate, they’ve started up afresh, fueled by those pesky Santa Anna winds. And the new ones are bad:

A second new fire ignited in the Los Angeles area overnight near the affluent Bel-Air neighborhood, while thousands of firefighters continued to battle a blaze that ripped through more than 10,000 acres north of the city.

The fresh blaze, named the Sepulveda fire, had reached 40 acres with 0% containment early Thursday, according to state fire officials. It broke out roughly 2 miles from the perimeter of the Palisades fire that has already ravaged more than 23,000 acres and destroyed thousands of structures this month.

Officials lifted evacuation warnings for the Sepulveda fire after firefighters said they stopped “all forward progress” of the blaze. The fire wasn’t immediately threatening any homes, the Los Angeles Fire Department said.

The new fires hit a region already reeling from weeks of historic flames and bracing for further damage from strong winds and potential mudslides from rain that is forecast this weekend.

The Hughes fire in northern Los Angeles County, near the city of Santa Clarita, broke out Wednesday and scorched more than 10,100 acres. It was 14% contained by early Thursday, according to the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection, or Cal Fire. Some 4,000 firefighters worked overnight to contain the fire.

The Palisades fire killed a famous surfer, too: a guy staying behind to save his house and his CAT!. His name was Randy “Crawdaddy” Miod, and he was only 55:

So, when the Palisades fire made its way toward Malibu earlier this month, he didn’t leave. He had ridden out fires before and was determined to stay behind to protect his house, his cat and the life he loved.

On Jan. 7, Smith spoke to Miod on the phone. He said he could see smoke, but he wasn’t leaving. The last thing he told his mother was: “Pray for the Palisades and pray for Malibu. I love you.”

On Jan. 9, Smith learned that her son’s remains had been found outside his home. He was 55 years old. When Bel heard the news, she found it hard to believe: She had never thought of Miod as being 55.

*A kid hit the jackpot by finding a very rare (but not old) baseball card: the Topps rookie card for Pirates pitcher Paul Skenes:

One of the sports card hobby’s most sought-after modern cards came to light Tuesday.

The 2024 Topps Chrome Update Rookie Debut Patch one-of-one autographed card for Pittsburgh Pirates phenom pitcher Paul Skenes was pulled by an 11-year-old collector in Los Angeles, the card company announced via social media. It later added that the child only opened one hobby box (which includes 24 packs with four cards in each pack) when they hit the card.

Apparently there’s only one of these (see below):

Shortly after Topps released the news Tuesday, the Pirates reaffirmed their offer for the card via Instagram.

The MLB Debut Patch, which was first introduced last year, has been one of Fanatics’ most prominent innovations since acquiring Topps. Before each player’s first MLB game they play, a small patch is placed on the sleeve of their uniform. Once that game is complete the patch is removed and put into a trading card that the player autographs. The card then goes into a set and becomes a highly coveted and unique collectible. This is also currently being done in MLS, for which Topps also has a trading card license. And with Topps acquiring the licenses for both the NFL and NBA in the coming years, plans for expanding the program to those leagues are also being made.

“Getting to the big leagues is one thing,” Skenes said in a Topps-produced video right after signing the card. “Sticking around and pitching is another. This patch shows that I’m a big leaguer, and there are only so many people in the world who can say that. There’s kind of a small fraternity of people who can say they made their debut. There’s a small number of people who have this patch. To have something physical like that, to be able to commemorate it, it’s pretty cool.”

Via Card Ladder, the 2024 Rookie Debut Patch carrying the highest price tag on the open market came from the Tampa Bay Rays’ Junior Caminero. His PSA 9 graded card sold for $66,000 on Dec. 20. The Rookie Debut Patch card for the Cincinnati Reds’ Elly De La Cruz received a PSA 10 grade recently and should also fetch a much higher price than the Caminero card. Last July, a $150,000 bounty was accepted for Anthony Volpe’s 2023 Debut Patch card.

The Skenes card should eclipse them all. Even hand-drawn imitations of the Skenes card have sold for significant amounts on eBay in recent months, with one going for $150 in November and another for $200 earlier this month.

As you see above, there’s a big reward if you get it:

Collectors have been hunting for Skenes’ unique rookie patch autographed card ever since the release of the 2024 Topps Chrome Update set dropped in November. Many collectors have offered up bounties for the card, most notably the Pittsburgh Pirates and Livvy Dunne, Skenes’ girlfriend. The team has offered a package that includes two season tickets behind home plate at PNC Park for 30 years and a host of other unique experiences and items. Dunne, an LSU gymnast and social influencer, offered the card holder a chance to sit with her in a suite during a game if the person took the Pirates’ deal.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is using her tail as an indicator:

Hili: You look as if you forgot where the fridge is.
A: I’m thinking about something else.
Hili: The fridge is where my tail is pointing.
In Polish:
Hili: Wyglądasz tak, jakbyś zapomniał gdzie jest lodówka.
Ja: Myślę o czymś innym.
Hili: Lodówka jest tam gdzie wskazuje mój ogon.

*******************

From Things with Faces:  This should scare you!

From America’s Cultural Decline into Idiocy:

From Merilee:

From Masih. Finally the ICC goes after the right people!

Wikipedia was captured by the Jew haters, but I see now this part of the entry has been changed back to the deaths caused by Hamas. Look what was there before!

From Bryan:

From Luana:

From Malcolm; a useful helper at work:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I posted:

Gassed upon arrival at the camp, this Norwegian woman was just seventeen.

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-24T11:33:30.007Z

Two posts from Dr. Cobb. Look at this worm! I put the video below the post, and Matthew added a paraphrase of Shakespeare:

How many goodly creatures are there here!
How beauteous nature is! O brave new world,
That has such worms in’t.

The spaghetti worms (Terebellidae) flail tentacles like a chaotic noodle monster to trap food. Elegance is overrated when tentacle spaghetti works just fine.#NoodleTactics #invertebrates #marinelife

Dr Craig R McClain (@drcraigmc.bsky.social) 2025-01-23T17:25:09.612Z

Matthew thinks that this guy looks like he’s from the 1980s (it’s a bit enhanced but not colorized):

I think this is a remarkably contemporary-looking photograph, which masks the fact it was actually taken 111 years ago! I've enhanced this amazing autochrome of Henri Lumiere, which was photographed in 1914, during the Great War, by his father Auguste. It was taken in colour and isn't colourised.

BabelColour (@babelcolour.bsky.social) 2025-01-23T19:11:20.018Z