Welcome to Thursday, March 5, 2026, and National Cheese Doodle Day. Wikipedia describes the biggest brand Cheez Doodles™, this way:

Cheez Doodles are a cheese-flavored baked cheese puff made of extruded cornmeal and are similar to Frito-Lay’s Cheetos and Herr’s Cheese Curls. The snack was created by Morrie Yohai and is produced by Pennsylvania-based snack foods producer Wise Foods.

The Doodles appear to be yet another Jewish contribution to American culture. Wikipedia adds “The name came to [Morrie] while he sat around the table with other employees sampling different alternatives for the cheese flavoring.”  The snack became popular only around 1964.   I don’t much care for them, but many people are addicted (you know them by their orange fingers.  Here’s a video showing how the crunchy version is made.  I wonder what’s in the “cheese flavoring”.  (The video starts 9 seconds in, so be patient):

And Stacy sent in this late LOL:

As of yesterday afternoon, our two ducks are still here. I haven’t yet named them.

It’s also National Absinthe Day and National Poutine Day, clearly a cultural appropriation from Canada.

Here is a plate of hot-dog poutine that I wolfed down on March 1, 2016 at La Banquise, perhaps the most famous poutine joint in Montreal (it’s featured in the Wikipedia article on the dish, created in the late 1950s.. There is probably no food worse for you than poutine, but I do love it as a treat (I haven’t found it in America, but I’m sure it’s here somewhere for expat Canucks):

Standing in front of the restaurant are my friends Claude and Anne-Marie, who gave me a five-star tour of the city.

The menu (click to enlarge):

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the March 5 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*The war goes on, and will for a while.  Now Iran has pulled another dumbass move by sending a missile over Turkey (it was shot down). Granted, it could have been aimed at U.S. bases there, but Turkey is the closest country in the Middle East to being a U.S. ally, though it’s also a member of NATO, and thus part of an alliance that includes the U.S.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said Wednesday that the U.S. military campaign against Iran was accelerating, with more warplanes arriving in the region, as he warned Iranian leaders that American forces would deliver “death and destruction all day long.”

Just before Mr. Hegseth briefed reporters on the fifth day of the U.S.-Israeli assault on Iran, Turkey’s defense ministry announced that NATO air defenses had shot down a ballistic missile fired from Iran that had been heading toward Turkish airspace. The ministry did not say what the missile’s intended target was, and Iran did not comment on the claim, but an attack on Turkey, a NATO member, would mark a dangerous escalation in Iran’s retaliatory targeting of neighboring countries.

Hundreds of people in Iran have been killed in the U.S.-Israeli strikes, and Mr. Hegseth said there would be no letup in the attacks. He and Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said that the United States and Israel would soon establish total control of Iranian airspace and that the strikes were devastating Iran’s ballistic missile program and its naval fleet.

But Iran’s leaders have vowed not to bow to the bombing campaign, and Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Kuwait all announced new Iranian attacks on Wednesday.

. . . China, the largest buyer of Iranian oil, said it would send a special envoy to the Middle East to help conduct conflict mediation efforts, according to Xinhua, the state news agency. The move came as the United Kingdom, France and Greece said they were deploying military assets to the region to defend their citizens and interests, even as their governments voiced misgivings about the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran.

. . . Mr. Hegseth said that a U.S. submarine-launched torpedo was used to sink an Iranian warship, the first time an American sub has fired a torpedo against an enemy ship since World War II. Dozens were feared dead after an Iranian naval ship with a crew of 180 people sank in the Indian Ocean on Wednesday off the coast of Sri Lanka, according to the authorities in that country.

The Washington Post adds this:

Iran can continue firing missiles at its present pace for “several more days” before its capacity to hit targets in the Middle East diminishes, Western officials said. U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian launch sites and missile depots have already caused a drop in the rate of Iranian fire, officials said. “If the current rates continue, we assess that Iran has several more days of capability,” one official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity, citing the sensitivity of the subject.

What’s after that? Boots in the ground?  Iran has clearly lost this one, and it’s far from over. So far most of the U.S. actions seem to have been careful, aimed only at the administration of Iran (they’re going after the police as well as the military, for the police have been a prime instrument of oppression).  So far most of the Democrats are in lockstep against the war, save for Sen. John Fetterman (D-PA), Greg Landsman (D-Ohio), and Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.). Pity. The Party’s mantra is “If Trump did it, it’s bad.”

Here’s today’s NYT front page from the web. Note that there’s a “news analysis” in the headline spot (I put in the red box), which is unusual since it’s usually a slot for news, but the NYT doesn’t like the war:

*Meet the New Boss, same as the Old Boss Department. Several sources including the NYT have identified Mojtaba Khamenei, son of the slain Ayatollah, as his dad’s likely successor (article archived here, Wikipedia bio here). That will be the least possible regime change. Given that Trump has said he will not tolerate a continuation of the hardline theocracy, Mojtabi, 56, now has a target on his back.

Mojtaba Khamenei, a son of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, appears to be a front-runner to become his father’s successor.

The younger Mr. Khamenei, 56, is the second son of the ayatollah, the supreme leader who was killed on Saturday in a strike on his compound in Tehran. Mojtaba Khamenei was born in 1969 in Mashhad, an important religious center in Iran, about a decade before the Islamic Republic was established in 1979.

Known for having close ties to the Revolutionary Guards, Mr. Khamenei first joined the Islamic military corps around 1987 after finishing high school. He served during the latter period of Iran’s long war with Iraq from 1980 to ’88.

The next year, his father was named supreme leader, replacing the deceased Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

Mojtaba Khamenei went on to study with the country’s most esteemed clerics in Qom, and to teach in a religious seminary himself, forging connections with the religious leadership and gaining esteem in their eyes in part thanks to his father’s position.

But he was not a well-known figure and has operated mostly in the shadows, running the office of the supreme leader from behind the scenes, making headlines only occasionally in recent decades.

. . . In 2024, Iran’s Assembly of Experts met to plan the supreme leader’s succession. The Ayatollah Khamenei said at that time that his son should be excluded from consideration.

His selection could ruffle feathers in Iran because it rings familiar bells. The Islamic revolution in 1979 ousted the shah, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, and, with him, it seemed, the dynastic passage of power, replacing it with the rule of clerics.

Installing the younger Khamenei in what was once his father’s role could anger Iranians who took to the streets in economic protests that morphed into a referendum on the regime earlier this year.

Here’s the dude:

This guy will surely not stop oppression of the Iranian people, nor does he satisfy Trump’s minimal desire for the country to have a leader that is not strongly anti-American. Don’t expect him–or any replacement–to live too long after they take power.

*Over at the Free Press, Michael Doran,  identified as Director of the Middle East Center at the Hudson Institute and cohost of the Israel Update Podcast, claims to discern “Trump’s endgame” (the subtitle is “Through the fog of war, it’s possible to see where all this is heading”).

. . . This brings us back to Trump’s two promises. The first—neutralizing nuclear capabilities, degrading missile forces, and constraining proxies—is achievable through sustained military, economic, and diplomatic pressure.

The second—freedom for the Iranian people—depends on Iranians themselves: politicians recognizing that survival requires change; security officers refusing to fire on their own citizens; young people willing to risk confrontation. The United States can shape conditions. It cannot create a revolution by remote control.

Trump is giving himself wide latitude to define the endgame. He has repeatedly said the war will continue until its objectives are achieved. When asked Monday night how he would know when that moment had arrived, he replied: “I know a lot, and I will absolutely know when it’s achieved. It’s getting very close, too. We’re doing a lot of damage, we’re setting them back a lot.” This gnomic confidence is vintage Trump—positioning himself as the ultimate decider while preserving maximum freedom of action.

. . . . But ending the war without securing a path to regime change raises three critical follow-up questions. Does Trump force Tehran to accept, as the price of a ceasefire, all three core demands—nuclear dismantlement, missile elimination, and an end to proxy financing? Does he try to settle for progress on the nuclear file alone? Or does he repeat his behavior of last June and end the fighting before receiving any concrete commitment from the Iranians at all?

Tehran, of course, will seek a ceasefire without binding conditions. If forced to make a concrete concession up front, it will discuss, as it did in the recent talks in Geneva and Oman, nuclear compromises while resisting negotiations on missiles and proxies.

Trump cannot afford to blink here. The endgame requires a comprehensive settlement, not tactical trades.

If Iran dismantles its nuclear program in exchange for sanctions relief while retaining its missile arsenal and proxy networks, the regime will simply rebuild. Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis, and Iran-backed militias in Iraq would soon be flush with cash. Tehran has demonstrated repeatedly that it can regenerate these capabilities even under pressure.

All three demands must therefore remain a single package.

None of those demands say anything about the freedom of the Iranian people. I wish that were at least consideration 3½.

*This is so heartening.  First, the announcement from the Iran Spectator via Khajida Khan:

From an article in The Guardian:

Iran’s women’s football team declined to sing their national anthem before their opening match of the Asian Cup in Australia on Monday, their first fixture since the war in the Middle East began.

Every member of the team stood silently, facing straight ahead, during the anthem prior to kick-off in their Group A match against South Korea, who went on to win 3-0 at the Gold Coast Stadium in Queensland. Iran’s head coach, Marziyeh Jafari, and her players declined to comment on either the war or the death of their long-serving leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, when asked by the media.

The Iranian team arrived in Australia to prepare for the tournament several days before air strikes began in the Middle East. They will face the host nation on Thursday, before playing their third and final group-stage match against the Philippines on Sunday, both at the same venue.

Iran’s players have been praised for their courage. “Our heart goes out to them and their families, it’s a difficult situation and it’s really brave of them to be able to be here and to perform,” said the Australia midfielder Amy Sayer. “They put on a really strong performance, even with the political climate that’s going on and the struggles that they might be going through.

I hope they aren’t arrested when they go back to Iran (if they are going back to Iran; they could be residents of other countries). And note: they are notmourning the death of Ali Khamenei.

. . . the video of the non-singing:

*The Associated press susses out the likely Oscar winners. Previously, “Sinners” was thought to be a no-questions-asked Oscar winner for Best Picture and Best Director, but things have changed. Here is the AP’s takes on the the top five categories. (I saw “Sinners,” and like it okay, but am not sure it’s a winner, for the second half becomes a zombie movie.

A March 15 Academy Awards may feel late. By then, it will be almost a year since “Sinners” sunk its teeth into moviegoers last April. Some nominees have been on the campaign trail since the Cannes Film Festival in May.

But the upside of a prolonged Oscar race has meant some unexpected late drama. Think about the same movies long enough, and minds can change. For months, Paul Thomas Anderson’s “One Battle After Another” sailed through awards season, picking up prize after prize. But the wins for “Sinners” and Michael B. Jordan at Sunday’s Actor Awards — along with some other recent developments — have given the Oscar race what Smoke or Stack might call fresh blood.

An Academy Awards that had looked like a runaway might be a close call, after all. With Oscar voting ending Thursday, let’s survey the top categories.

Best Picture:

Where things stand:

“One Battle After Another” has won at the Golden Globes, the BAFTAs, the Producers Guild and the Directors Guild. But its nearly unblemished record was shaken up at Sunday’s Actor Awards (formerly the SAG Awards), where “Sinners” took the top prize. You’d have to have quite a few rounds at the “Sinners” juke joint to convince yourself that anything else has much of a chance.

Who has the edge:

The tea leaves are strongest for Anderson’s “One Battle After Another.” The Producers Guild, which uses a preferential ballot like the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences does, is among the most predictive of bellwethers. Their winners have matched the last five years and in eight of the last 10 years.

I’ve seen that movie, and it was okay but didn’t thrill me. It is of the One Big Chase Scene Genre, although the plot is cleaver.

Best Actor:

Where things stand:

This has been one of the most competitive and hard-to-call races of the season. Look at Leonardo DiCaprio. He gives one of the best performances of his career, in the best picture favorite, and he’s still a long shot. Instead, Timothée Chalamet was widely perceived as in the lead after early wins at the Globes and the Critics Choice Awards for his frenetic performance in “Marty Supreme.” But the BAFTAs muddied the waters (Robert Aramayo, not in the Oscar mix, was the unexpected winner). And “Sinners” star Michael B. Jordan, much to his surprise, won at the Actor Awards.

Who has the edge:

Chalamet’s maybe meta campaign, full of swagger and braggadocio, rubbed some voters the wrong way. At the same time, many in the academy felt the 30-year-old should have won last year, for his Bob Dylan in “A Complete Unknown” — a year when he won with the actors guild but lost to Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) at the Oscars. Chalamet will hope the reverse happens this year. But the academy is notoriously resistant to rewarding young stars. Jordan, 39, isn’t much older. But it now suddenly feels like his moment.

I haven’t seen “Marty Supreme,” but my friends who have all like it.

Best Actress:

Where things stand:

Since the fall festival launch of “Hamnet,” Jessie Buckley has been the favorite. She’s won at the Globes, the BAFTAs and the Actor Awards. Her closest competition is probably Rose Byrne, who won at the Globes in the comedy/musical category for “If I Had Legs I’d Kick You.”

Who has the edge:

This one’s easy. Fortunes have fluctuated in most of the top categories, but Buckley has been entrenched as the front-runner for months.

I’ve seen “Hamnet” (and also read the book) and if Buckley doesn’t win for her performance, particularly the last ten minutes, in which her facial expressions are a movie in itself, I’ll give up on the Oscars.

Best Supporting Actor:

Where things stand:

Sean Penn, a two-time Oscar winner, has done nearly no campaigning, yet he finds himself the favorite after winning at the Actor Awards and the BAFTAs. But several other nominees remain in the mix. Stellan Skarsgård (“Sentimental Value”) won at the Globes and is the kind of widely-liked veteran actor the academy likes to reward. But so is Delroy Lindo (“Sinners”), who was a surprise Oscar nominee. In the eyes of many, Lindo has quickly joined the contenders.

Who has the edge:

Penn’s recent wins put him clearly in the lead, and he might stay there. But this remains a category rife with possibilities. The academy’s strong international leanings should help Skarsgård. And it wasn’t an accident that when “Sinners” won best ensemble at the Actor Awards, Lindo gave the acceptance speech.

Penn was good in “One Battle After Another,” but I haven’t seen “Sentimental Value”.

Best Supporting Actress:

Where things stand:

This category has been all over the map. Teyana Taylor (“One Battle After Another”) won at the Globes. Wunmi Mosaku (“Sinners”) won at the BAFTAs. And Amy Madigan (“Weapons”) won at both the Actor Awards and the Critics Choice Awards.

Who has the edge:

Any of those three could win. Two of them — Taylor and Mosaku — have the benefit of co-starring in films the academy obviously loves. “Sinners” and “One Battle After Another” have 29 nominations between them, while “Weapons” has only the one. Yet the 75-year-old Madigan, another celebrated character actor who’s been great for decades, has the momentum thanks to her charming Actors Award speech.

Taylor and Mosaku were bothy excellent in their roles, but again, I can’t compare them to the others.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, man and cat are conversing deeply:

Hili: What hides in the darkness, what cunning figures?
Andrzej: Fear sometimes builds deceptive images.

Hili: Co się w mroku ukrywa, jakie podstępne postaci?
Ja: Lęk nieraz buduje złudne obrazy.

*******************

From Annie:

From Stacy. So true!

From The Language Nerda:

Masih calls out Mamdani for what she says is arrant lying:

Hey Mamdani,

After my interviews on CBS, CNN, Fox News and NBC criticizing you, I hear you’re now claiming you condemned the massacre of 32,000 Iranians.

Simple request: show the statement.

I’m calling on the journalists and networks that interviewed me to investigate and show… https://t.co/NSn89EHVpm pic.twitter.com/47TbjTxy10

— Masih Alinejad 🏳️ (@AlinejadMasih) March 4, 2026

From Ginger K., Gad Saad under fire on the Piers Morgan show about the definition of the sexes:

Gad Saad eviscerated the gender debate in under 2 minutes on Piers Morgan’s show:

“Until 15 minutes ago, the 117 billion people on Earth seemed able to navigate the conundrum of male and female. But now we can’t?”

It started with a challenge: What “change” does Trump represent?… pic.twitter.com/Gb5XKyEB8G

— Camus (@newstart_2024) March 1, 2026

From Luana. I’ve tried these (they’re sometimes called “thousand-year-old eggs”) and had the same reaction as the monkey:

A monkey is grossed out by century egg

A century egg, also called pidan, is a Chinese delicacy made by preserving duck, chicken, or quail eggs in a mixture of clay, ash, salt, quicklime, and rice hulls for several weeks to months, not a hundred years.

During the process, the… pic.twitter.com/4BLagOIYtZ

— Fascinating (@fasc1nate) March 4, 2026

From Emma, who has to fill in the blanks:

The word is “woman”. https://t.co/uIB0DqrzzA pic.twitter.com/lweZR0BCFw

— Emma Hilton (@FondOfBeetles) March 3, 2026

One from my feed; clearly AI, but it has KITTENS:

pic.twitter.com/Ns42LnyMnO

— CATFLIX (@CatFlixer) March 4, 2026

One I reposted from the Auschwitz Memorial:

This French Jewish girl was gassed to death as soon as she arrived in Auschwitz. She was 5 years old, and would have been 89 today had she lived. https://t.co/GjqYq0a4Q5

— Jerry Coyne (@Evolutionistrue) March 5, 2026

Two from Dr. Cobb. First, Speaker of the House Mike Johnson seems to know the “right” religion:

Mike Johnson says Iranians have "misguided religion"

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) 2026-03-04T15:27:41.911Z

A wonderful murmuration, but not starlings:

You're watching the hypnotic movements of a flock of Red-billed queleas, taken by Johan Vermeulen in Zambia.They're the most populous species of non-domesticated bird, with global population estimated at 1.5 billion.So why move like a rolling cloud?Let's talk about "Africa's feathered locust."

— c0nc0rdance (@c0nc0rdance.bsky.social) 2026-03-03T14:04:41.666Z

Welcome to a Hump Day (“Dita e Humpit” in Albanian): Wednesday, March 4, 2026, and National Grammar Day. My tip today is to properly place the word “only.”  Example of wrong usage: “I only ate one donut.” Example of proper usage: “I ate only one donut.” (The Liberty Mutual insurance commercial whose motto is “Only pay for what you need” is also incorrect.)  And don’t put up signs like this, which merely encourages copulation.

It’s also National Pound  Cake Day, National Snack Day, and of course World Obesity Day.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the March 4 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Lots from the conflict with Iran: the U.S. has closed its embassies in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait after Iranian drones hit them, and, in Lebanon, Israel has taken control of southern Lebanon after Hezbollah broke the fragile truce and fired rockets into Israel.

The Israeli military said it had seized areas of southern Lebanon on Tuesday in its escalating conflict with the Iran-backed Hezbollah militia, as the State Department closed its embassies in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait after drone attacks and urged Americans to depart immediately from 14 Middle East countries.

As Iran expanded its retaliatory strikes and the regional conflict widened, the Trump administration signaled that the assault on Iran could go on for weeks. The Israeli military said that it was carrying out additional strikes in Iran, and had targeted weapons storage facilities in Beirut, the Lebanese capital, as Hezbollah said it had fired attack drones at Israel.

Israel’s advance in Lebanon prompted fears that it could be weighing a wider ground assault similar to the one it launched during its yearlong war with Hezbollah that ended in late 2024.

The U.S. Embassy in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia’s capital, sustained minor damage after an attack by what appeared to be two drones, the Saudi Defense Ministry said on Tuesday. A day earlier, a drone attack caused a fire at the American Embassy compound in Kuwait, according to two U.S. officials who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to discuss the matter publicly. The sources of the drones in both incidents were not immediately clear.

In another sign of the widening conflict, Qatar’s Defense Ministry said its air force had shot down two Su-24 bombers coming from Iran. It was the first report that, in addition to missiles and drones, Iran has also sent warplanes toward its Gulf neighbors.

Iran has now alienated all of its would-be allies, leaving it with only China, which doesn’t seem to care much about Iran right now. The question about other countries being attacked by Iran raises questions addressed in the next news item. As for what’s happening with Hezbollah, that is totally its own fault for violating the cease-fire agreement, but it’s worth noting that the UN forces there aren’t doing anything to keep Hezbollah from violating the UN’s own mandate. Hezbollah’s new activities are thus partly the fault of the UN itself.  Lebanon was once such a nice country, and it’s a shame that Hezbollah happened to it.

*The WSJ reports an arms race between the Gulf States, who have been shooting down Iranian missiles, and Iran, which may have more missiles than needed to exhaust the Gulf States’  defenses:

Persian Gulf nations targeted by Iran have, so far, managed to limit the damage by deploying sophisticated U.S.-made air defenses against the hundreds of drones and missiles that have rained on their cities.

With costly interceptors and radar, all integrated with the U.S. military, the oil-rich Gulf Arab states have fielded some of the most advanced air defenses in the world, despite their small populations and militaries.

A crucial variable in this war, however, is whether these monarchies start running out of interceptors before the Iranian regime runs out of projectiles.

At current burn rates, it could be very soon.

“The intensity of interceptor usage that we have seen over the last couple of days can’t be maintained for more than another week—probably a couple of days at most, and then they will feel the pain of interceptor shortage,” said Fabian Hoffmann, a missile expert at the University of Oslo.

The other important part of this equation is the speed with which Israel and the U.S., which began the air campaign against Iran on Saturday morning, manage to hunt down and destroy Iran’s missile launchers and missile and drone stocks.

. . .The United Arab Emirates alone said that by Monday evening it has been targeted by 174 Iranian ballistic missiles, eight cruise missiles and 689 drones in three days, with no missiles and 44 drones hitting the country.

Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar also came under heavy barrages, with Bahrain reporting 70 incoming ballistic missiles. On Monday, the U.S. Embassy in Kuwait and Qatar’s key power station and main liquefied-natural-gas plant were struck by Iranian drones, among other targets.

It usually takes two or even three interceptors, such as missiles for the Patriot or Thaad systems, to shoot down one ballistic missile. Western officials have estimated that Iran possessed well over 2,000 missiles capable of reaching the Gulf nations at the outset of this round of fighting. While the exact number of interceptors deployed in the region is classified, Hoffmann calculated from open sources that the U.A.E. has ordered fewer than 1,000. Kuwait has ordered about 500 and Bahrain fewer than 100.

Here’s the WSJ’s figure showing the defensive capabilities of the Gulf states. Saudi Arabia leads the pack by far, and, all told, the states have enough power to down all the Iranian missiles, but that assumes that they’re all fired at the Gulf states, and mostly at Saudi Arabia. That’s a lousy assumption, and we should worry about Kuwait and Bahrain.

*And some (perhaps unwarranted) optimism about the U.S./Israel strikes and the world’s oil supply:

There are countless ways the U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran could go wrong. Indeed, commentators seem to have dwelt on little else.

Instead, let’s game out everything going right, if only because that would be a game changer for world energy security and geopolitics.

If Iran, along with Venezuela, is soon ruled by a regime friendly or at least not hostile toward the U.S., that would neutralize two oil exporters who have regularly been the cause of supply disruptions in recent generations. Russia would remain the only adversarial oil power with significant sway, and its clout would be diminished.

This is a scenario, not a forecast. A range of outcomes is possible in coming days or weeks, and events in Iran remain fluid.

That said, they have so far gone well for the U.S. and Israel. They killed Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on the first day, significantly degraded Iran’s military capabilities, and suffered limited retaliatory damage.

Iranian attacks have left gas facilities in Qatar and an oil refinery in Saudi Arabia damaged. Tanker traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has halted. But the strait technically remains open, and Iran’s ability to close it will likely diminish as the U.S. destroys its navy and missile batteries.

Market reaction Monday suggests disruption has been less than feared. Brent crude oil rose 7% to $77.74 a barrel Monday, below the $80 or higher many analysts had expected. U.S. stocks were little changed.

While President Trump initially called for regime change, he might stop short of that. After removing Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Trump left Maduro’s vice president, Delcy Rodríguez, in charge, in exchange for control of its oil exports and industry.

An interim council now rules Iran while the country seeks a successor to Khamenei. Trump may conceivably let the regime stay in place if it meets his original conditions: an end to nuclear enrichment and ballistic missile development, and a halt to support for proxies such as the Houthis in Yemen and Hezbollah in Lebanon. The regime may conceivably see that as a less-bad option than a continuing air war and threat of domestic revolt. Agreement could pave the way for an end to sanctions.

But if the regime continues along its former lines, it will continue to enrich uranium, no matter it they agrees to. That has always been the case: Iran lies. Perhaps international inspection could stop development for a time, but that has never worked.  A parallel outcome with Venezuela, in which a New Boss is similar to the Old Boss, is simply not acceptable in Iran given the 30,000 or so Iranians murdered by the regime (yes, Venezuela oppressed its people, too, but not nearly to the extent of Iran).  If Iran remains a theocracy and its people remain afraid to protest for fear of being shot, then Trump will have failed.

*For those who want more good news about Iran to cling to, here’s a NYT op-ed by Abbas Milani—director of Iranian studies at Stanford University—called “The coming Iranian revolution.” What revolution, pray tell, would that be? (Bolding is mine.)

The people of Iran wanted a revolution based on the idea of modern citizenship and a social contract, to bring democracy, freedom, independence and a republic, even an Islamic one but without clerical rule. Ayatollah Khomeini promised those ideas, giving Iranians and the Western powers what they were desperate to hear. In the end, what he orchestrated was a counterrevolution. . . .

. . . . For Ayatollah Khomeini, it was not a philosopher that was needed but an expert in Shariah. As he assumed power, Islamic revolutionary courts led by an infamous hanging judge killed members of the old regime and then regime opponents in summary trials. The ayatollah imposed strict social constraints such as mandatory hijab for women. Not surprisingly, women, secular democrats, people on the left and ethnic minorities felt betrayed and began to fight back.

The history of Iran over the past 47 years has been, partly, the tale of the people trying to regain the rights they lost in that bait and switch. One recent scholarly study at the program in Iranian studies at Stanford shows, with granular detail, that from 2009 to 2024 there was one credible, located demonstration every three days, on average, in Tehran alone.

In other words, the real revolution in Iran has been fought, battle by battle, over these nearly five decades. The Green Movement of 2009-10; the Woman, Life, Freedom uprising of 2022-23; and the defiance of over a million people who went to the streets less than two months ago and were murdered in the thousands by the regime are all fronts in this incremental revolution.

. . .This paradigmatic shift in public opinion is not just the result of the gradual grind of more than a century’s fight for democracy but also — even more crucially and perhaps paradoxically — the consequence of 47 years of despotic, dogmatic and misogynist clerical rule. Ayatollah Khomeini’s successor, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, came to embody the apparently immovable power of divine dogma, particularly when fueled by petrodollars and propped up by brute force.

The most reliable polling on public opinion in Iran, by the Netherlands-based Group for Analyzing and Measuring Attitudes in Iran, indicates that fewer than 12 percent of Iranians support the Islamic republic’s status quo. The data was collected even before the government’s mass murder of citizens in January.

. . . The policies of the new leadership and the identity of the next supreme leader are unknown. The appointment of a hard-liner like Mr. Vahidi does not necessarily mean that the regime will choose the path of widening or prolonging the current war or even continuing in its practices of brutality or sponsoring terrorism. Even if the Revolutionary Guards and the regime try to continue the rigid and failed policies of Ayatollah Khamenei, the population is not likely to be satisfied with their continuation — politically, socially and, especially now, economically.

. . . the new secular women and men of Iran are unwilling to accept anything less than what they were initially promised before being deceived nearly half a century ago. The machinery of the regime may survive today. But the counterrevolution of yesteryear is begetting the revolution of tomorrow.

Milani seems to have a crystal ball! I hope he’s right, but the “coming revolution” seems to be a revolution only in feeling, and who knows what will happened?  I am heartened by the poll showing how few Iranians support the regime, though, for that gives the lie to the contention that only “urban Iranians” are against the government.

*Some levity from the UPI’s “odd news”: the world’s smallest arcade game has been made, and it’s quite tiny—less than an inch tall.

A 24-year-old electronics enthusiast in India has constructed the world’s smallest arcade machine — a .98-inches-tall device that runs Space Invaders.

Kiran Patil said he has been fascinated by electronics since he was a child, and over the years his interest has led him to experiment with multiple microelectronics projects.

“I have built many electronic projects before involving microcontrollers and displays, but this is the first gaming arcade project that I have attempted,” Patil told Guinness World Records.

Patil’s arcade machine measures .98 inches tall, .6 inches long and .59 inches wide. It features four buttons and can run an emulated version of classic arcade game Space Invaders.

He said the idea first came to him during the COVID-19 pandemic.

“I built an initial prototype during that time, but it was fairly rudimentary and I also needed to further develop the software side of the project. University and work commitments paused the progress for a while, but in the summer of 2025 I decided to revive the idea and take it forward,” he said.

Guinness World Records confirmed the result of Patil’s efforts is officially the world’s smallest arcade machine.

Here’s a video showing its tiny-ness—and its inventor.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili quotes a feline version of Shakespeare, and Andrzej reminds her that he’s hard of hearing:

Hili: To meow or merely to watch, that is the question?
Andrzej: It’s your choice, yet remember – the deaf cannot hear.

In Polish:

Hili: Miauczeć, czy tylko patrzeć, oto jest pytanie?
Ja: Twój wybór, lecz pamiętaj, że głusi nie słyszą.

*******************

From the Language Nerds, a meme well worth seeing again:

From Diply Trending;

From Now That’s Wild:

Now Masih chews out the Democrats, Kamala Harris in particular:

My direct message to you, @KamalaHarris

Who are you?

No, honestly. Who are you? A Democrat who built a career talking about women’s rights, yet stayed silent when more than 30,000 people were massacred.

Now suddenly you’ve found your voice?

Thanks to @MariaBartiromo pic.twitter.com/eDSyIEsavo

— Masih Alinejad 🏳️ (@AlinejadMasih) March 3, 2026

From Matthew (Note: I couldn’t find this tweet shot but didn’t look hard. However, you can find supporting evidence here (h/t David). Are you surprised

From Luana; sigh. . . Chicago schools:

Chicago has a public school with space for 912 kids, yet only 28 students are enrolled.

The school is 97% empty.

It spends $93,787 per student.

It’s staff to student ratio is 1:1.

ZERO of the kids are proficient in reading. pic.twitter.com/gB8LduQ2k2

— Corey A. DeAngelis, school choice evangelist (@DeAngelisCorey) March 2, 2026

Two from my feed. Israelis in a bomb shelter singing an appropriate song:

Los israelíes en un refugio antibombas tienen a un “Maduro” cantando “I will survive” en una fiesta bastante animada 😂pic.twitter.com/qc51tcdpGM

— Emmanuel Rincón (@EmmaRincon) March 3, 2026

And a parrot doing awesome impressions:

Einstein, an African Grey parrot known for her brilliant mimicry, showing off impressive sound impressions.

📹Zoo Knoxville

pic.twitter.com/pm2f0UJnXC

— Science girl (@sciencegirl) March 3, 2026

One I reposted from the Auschwitz memorial:

This entire family of German Jews was gassed to death as soon as they arrived in Auschwitz.

— Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2026-03-04T10:57:31.744Z

Two from Dr. Cobb.  I remember the days of asking players for autographs (I still have one from Harmon Killebrew, a Hall-of-Famer now).

Some guys in uniform just sign a baseball when they're asked to sign a baseball. But if a kid asks Aaron Boone to sign a baseball, he gets a whole conversation..:About baseball!

— Jayson Stark (@jaysonst.bsky.social) 2026-03-01T17:00:03.312Z

Matthew adds, “And I bet it tastes good, too!”

I'm addicted to these videos from a bakery in Uzbekistan this bread is beautiful

— Jessica (Vittoriya) (@chefjessica.bsky.social) 2026-03-01T04:47:19.001Z

Welcome to the first Monday in March, March 2, 2026 to be exact, and, like “yesterday” (because I mixed up dates), International Rescue Cat Day. But that just gives me an excuse to show another cat rescue video. ‘This wonderful woman rescued five kittens from under a gas tank as well as their mom outside.  The kittens are being adopted out, though it’s not clear what happened to Mom:

It’s also all the days I said it was yesterday, as I screwed up with the dates:  Casimir Pulaski Day, honoring the Polish man who helped the colonies during the Revolutionary War, but was neither born nor died on this day, and National Banana Cream Pie Day.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the March 2 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

*Lots of news about the conflict in the Middle East: several Israelis and Americans have now been killed by Iranian strikes, and the Iranian regime has now appointed an interim leader. Meet the new boss: same as the old boss. (Pretty much the same as in Venezuela.)

Iran unleashed deadly retaliatory strikes on Sunday against Israel and the countries of the Persian Gulf, home to several U.S. military bases, in a conflict that has drawn in much of the Middle East and that critics say has no clear endgame.

Three U.S. troops were killed in action, the Pentagon said on Sunday, the first Americans to die in President Trump’s war with Iran. United States Central Command did not say where the troops were killed. At least nine people were killed in Israel, and amid fears of a wider conflagration, at least four people were killed in attacks across the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, according to official reports tallied by The New York Times.

Iran’s top national security official, Ali Larijani, announced that an interim committee would run the country until a successor to the ayatollah was chosen. He also said the death of the ayatollah would not deter Iran, which he said would hit Israeli and American targets “with a force they have never experienced before.” The supreme leader was killed in his home office in the U.S.-Israeli attack on Saturday, Tasnim, the Iranian news agency, reported.

As the United States and Israel pressed on with their high-risk military campaign, the Israeli military said on Sunday that its air force was again bombarding “the heart of Tehran.”

. . .In total, at least four people were killed and more than 100 others were injured in the attacks across the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain and Oman, according to official reports tallied by The New York Times.

Many of the most shocking episodes played out in Dubai, the largest Emirati city and the business and tourism capital of the Middle East. Five-star hotels caught fire, explosions shattered the windows of apartment towers and the emirate’s bustling international airport was damaged, injuring four people. Social media influencers and terrified migrant workers shared videos of fiery projectiles in the night sky, streaking past the city’s iconic skyscrapers.

And there are reports of a strike on a girls’ school, though there are some reports that this was a misfired Iranian missile:

The death toll from a strike on a girls’ elementary school in southern Iran rose to at least 115 people on Sunday, according to Iranian state and state-affiliated media. It appears to be one of the worst mass casualty events of the American-Israeli bombing campaign so far. The strike hit Shajarah Tayyebeh school on Saturday, the start of the workweek in Iran, after many Iranians had already dropped their children off there. The school in the southern town of Minab appears to be adjacent to a naval base belonging to the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps, according to satellite imagery.

Asked to respond to reports of the strike, a United States Central Command spokesperson said that the United States was “aware of reports concerning civilian harm resulting from ongoing military operations. We take these reports seriously and are looking into them.” The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

Given Iranian news blackouts and restrictions on outside journalists, the strike could not be independently verified, but is sad if true, especially because it would involve girls being educated something against many Islamists’ views. However, a school should not be located next to an Iranian Revolutionary Guard naval base, which is pretty much like protecting the basis with a human shield.

And this morning the NYT announced gleefully that the war had widened (they want nothing more than a Trump failure), but the main widening is that Hezbollah, breaking the truce, struck Israel, and Israel retaliated. Trump also announced that the war could last several weeks. I am getting antsy: how can the Iranian people depose a regime with weapons that is dug in and about to create a successor conservative theocracy?

Here are two maps by Daniel Wood in the NYT, showing where Israel and the U.S. attacked and where Iran attacked in response:

*From the weekly Times of Israel summary, more news:

Large crowds of Iranians took to the streets, cheering with joy and playing celebratory music, Saturday night and early Sunday as reports spread that Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei had been killed.

Internet and phone service are almost entirely down in Iran, making accounts hard to verify and causing difficulties in assessing how widespread the celebratory sentiment was.

Celebrations in Tehran began shortly after 11 p.m., even before Iranian state television confirmed the killing of Khamenei, who brutally ruled over the country for 36 years.

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The New York Times, citing video calls with three residents of Tehran, said that “loud Persian dance music filled the streets. Many residents, from their windows and balconies, joined in a chant of ‘freedom, freedom.’”

The newspaper also published videos — with some individuals’ faces blurred — of celebrations in Abdanan, a Kurdish city where many protesters were killed in January — showing men and women cheering and honking their car horns in the middle of the street upon hearing the news.

Here’s a BBC video purporting to show celebrations of Khamenei’s death, including fireworks. First, the English translation:

These images, showing the joy of citizens in Dehgelan, Mehrshahr, and Memseni following the publication of reports on the killing of Ali Khamenei, have been released. After the announcement of the news of Ali Khamenei’s killing, videos published on social media depict the celebrations of citizens in various cities across Iran.

این تصاویر از شادی شهروندان در دهگلان، مهرشهر و ممسنی پس از انتشار گزارش‌های کشته شدن علی خامنه‌ای منتشر شده است. پس از اعلام خبر کشته شدن علی خامنه‌ای، ویدیوهای منتشرشده در شبکه‌های اجتماعی از شادی شهروندان در شهرهای مختلف ایران حکایت دارد. pic.twitter.com/Tfb0ylP3F9

— BBC NEWS فارسی (@bbcpersian) March 1, 2026

. . .US President Donald Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury against Iran after Washington received intelligence indicating that the Islamic Republic would deploy its ballistic missiles either preemptively or simultaneously with any American action against Tehran, a senior US official said on Saturday.

For their part, Iranian officials have asserted that they would only deploy the country’s arsenal if attacked, which is what ended up happening.

“The president decided he was not going to sit back and allow American forces in the region to absorb attacks from conventional missiles,” the senior US official said, briefing reporters on condition of anonymity.

“We had analysis that basically told us [that] if we sat back and waited to get hit first, the amount of casualties and damage would be substantially higher than if we acted in a preemptive, defensive way to prevent those launches from occurring,” the senior US official claimed.

*If you’ve followed the saga of the unauthorized use of cells derived from Henrietta Lacks (“HeLa cells”, read the story in Rebecca Skoot’s great book, The Immortal Life of Henrietta Lacks, which I reviewed very positively for Barnes and Noble).  At that time the family of Henrietta, a young black woman who died of that cancer, was incensed that her body material had been taken and given or sold to in labs all around the world (her cancer cells did very well in cell culture). Now Novartis has settled with her surviving family for what I assume is big bucks.

The pharmaceutical giant Novartis has reached a settlement with the family of Henrietta Lacks, a Black woman whose cells were taken from her without her consent in 1951, when she was dying of cervical cancer in a segregated ward at Johns Hopkins Hospital in Baltimore.

Ms. Lacks’s cells were the first to reproduce in a laboratory, outside the human body, and have been used in groundbreaking research, including to develop vaccines for polio and Covid-19 and treatments for cancer, Parkinson’s and the flu. The National Institutes of Health found the use of her cells, which were known as HeLa cells, was cited more than 110,000 times in scientific publications between 1953 and 2018.

In August 2024, more than 70 years after Ms. Lacks died at age 31 and was buried in an unmarked grave, her family filed a federal lawsuit in Maryland that accused Novartis, which is based in Switzerland, of amassing substantial profits through the use of the HeLa cell line.

I believe this is the only picture of Lacks as an adult.

*Over at the Heterodox STEM website, reader Coel Heller has a piece called “Why do people still not know about genes,” subtitled, “Even right-wing commentators seem oblivious to the role of genetics in human behavior.”

The Blank Slate, the idea that differences in human personality and behaviour are entirely the result of that person’s experiences earlier in life, is utterly dominant in swathes of the social sciences, including sociology, criminology, and anthropology. Left-leaning academics adhere to the blank slate because it implies that humans are fully malleable. If a person’s behaviour, good or bad, is entirely the result of how they have been treated, then one can fix all of society’s problems by re-engineering society to give everyone an idyllic upbringing and so produce a utopia. Indeed, the failure to have done that already can only be attributed to the iniquity of the capitalists who thus need to be overthrown and deposed.

We’ve known for decades that this is utterly wrong. By far the biggest influence on a person’s personality and behavioural traits is their genes [1]. Twin studies, corroborated and supported by adoption studies and other types of study, tell us that about 50% of the variation in behavioural traits is attributable to differences in genes. Everything else – including biological randomness in embryonic development, the influences of families, schools and communities, and all the other influences and experiences specific to each person – only adds up to the other 50% [2].

The heritability of criminality is about 40–50%, which means that whether or not a child is likely to grow up to have a criminal record depends primarily on the genes he was born with, and less than that on his upbringing and childhood environment [3]. So why is this totally ignored in most discussions of the causes of crime?

I was mulling that question while listening to a podcast involving Rob Henderson, Rafael Mangual and Theodore Dalrymple. The 90-minute discussion about “the real drivers of antisocial behavior and crime” is well worth listening to, but not once did they mention genes, and there was only one passing reference to innate biological factors. I would have expected as much in a discussion among left-wing academics (for whom crime is always explained by “poverty”), but this podcast was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute, a right-wing think tank, and none of the three participants could be described as “left wing”.

To answer my own question, it’s because in today’s universities the arts, humanities and social sciences are completely dominated by left-leaning academics, who either don’t know about biology or have an ideological aversion to genetics when it comes to human personality and behaviour. And since nearly all opinion formers, and nearly everyone in the media, all studied the arts, humanities or social sciences at university, they were never taught about the actual science. And so even those critical of left-wing analyses also end up discussing the topic in Blank Slate terms.

This is one of many examples where people object to what seems to be scientifically true because it’s ideologically unpalatable. (See “The Ideological Subversion of Biology” by Luana and me.) But such genetic studies are becoming increasingly common, and publishable. The research is still largely taboo, however.

*One of the people objecting to the attack on Iran (and to Israel in general) is Andrew Sullivan, whose Weekly Dish column, “The Last War for Israel,” refers to Israel’s participation as “The last gasp of a country that is losing America.”

Why are we on the verge of another regime-change war in the Middle East?

No one really knows. The US already “obliterated” or deeply damaged Iran’s sites that were aiming to build nuclear weapons capacity. The beleaguered Iranian regime currently poses little threat to the US, is not close to having a viable nuke, is nowhere near to constructing ICBMs that can reach America, has a wrecked economy, tattered legitimacy, and has seen its proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas, devastated by Israel to a staggering degree.

How on earth do they pose a threat significant and imminent enough to justify a risky, expensive war of choice?

Beats me. The American people don’t see it either: opposition in the polls ranges from 50 to 70 percent. Trump, for his part, was elected precisely not to do this kind of war, and MAGA could (and should) erupt if he does, especially if it drags on. Trump already pushed his luck with his base with the 2025 attack. And if you thought a State of the Union might be the time to make the case in full, you’d be shocked by Trump’s brief, vague comments toward the end. There was no case made. Because there is no case to be made.

Even the usual pro-Israel suspects have come up empty. Bret Stephens, for example, has spent much of this century calling for war on Iran (you have to admire the energy and consistency), but even he has to concede that everything I wrote above is true:

The [Iranian] regime has lost much of its nuclear infrastructure; watched its regional proxies be overthrown, decimated and incapacitated; presided over the implosion of its economy; and lost whatever domestic and international legitimacy remained to it.

. . . The war the Israelis want is therefore not a war to make the Middle East a nuke-free zone, which might be a legit US aim; it’s a war to ensure Israeli nuclear exclusivity in the region, allowing them to routinely attack their neighbors with relative impunity. Why should we enable that?

Sullivan then gets in a few licks at Israel’s behavior in Gaza (what would he have done differently?) and ends this way:

The only reason we may be on the brink of war is because Netanyahu knows this could be his last chance to leverage the might of the United States for his own ends: unchallenged Israeli supremacy in the region alongside more aggressive ethnic cleansing at home.

This is, in other words, the last chance for the tail to wag the dog. Get ready for the fallout.

He doesn’t dwell on the Iranian people crying for freedom, but entirely on whether Iran posed a danger to the U.S. (he doesn’t mention Islamic intervention, like plots to kill people like Masih.)

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili wants a little lie-down:

Andrzej: History is interesting.
Hili: Yes. But sleep is more important.

In Polish:

Ja: Historia jest ciekawa.
Hili: Tak. Ale sen jest ważniejszy.

*******************

From the Unitarian Universalist Hysterical Society:

From Give Me a Sign:

From Now That’s Wild:

From Masih. I love that first tweet:

Now going live on CNN.

Walked into the makeup room.
Headline pops up: “Supreme Leader Ali @khamenei_ir id dead.” pic.twitter.com/G9GBipR03k

— Masih Alinejad 🏳️ (@AlinejadMasih) March 1, 2026

This is Masih’s time (i.e., Iran’s time), so let’s have another. She is SO happy (I’ve been featuring her tweets first in this section for YEARS):

Finally, you’re dead finally, you’re gone @khamenei_ir
💃🏻💃🏻💃🏻🌻🌻🌻💃🏻💃🏻💃🏻 pic.twitter.com/6TYJ7Mps3B

— Masih Alinejad 🏳️ (@AlinejadMasih) February 28, 2026

From Luana (sound up if you want to hear the cheering and ululation:

All over the world people have come out to celebrate Donald Trump’s decision to strike Iran.

I wonder what the pro Palestine protesters must be thinking seeing these scenes on the same streets they’ve owned for the past 30 months 🤔 pic.twitter.com/a1hrvQfQOK

— Chaya’s Clan (@ChayasClan) March 1, 2026

Grok tells us what biological sex is. From Emma:

A thing of beauty. @Woodywing https://t.co/7i0MJ2Gxkw pic.twitter.com/jCILxuimrj

— Emma Hilton (@FondOfBeetles) February 28, 2026

Two from my feed:

When they heard the news of Khamenei’s death, these Iranian girls celebrated by dancing, which is a crime under the Islamic regime.

For most Iranian women, this was the best day of their lives.

pic.twitter.com/wTO5fq33Qk

— Dr. Maalouf ‏ (@realMaalouf) March 1, 2026

Evolution!

Catching sight of the relaxed seal, the penguins turned away without a second thought.

[📹 ARK Media]pic.twitter.com/mI7JcQmwFQ

— Massimo (@Rainmaker1973) March 1, 2026

One I reposted from The Auschwitz Memorial:

This Romanian Jewish girl was gassed as soon as she arrived in Auschwitz. She was eleven years old. https://t.co/wZ3pUgMsVA

— Jerry Coyne (@Evolutionistrue) March 2, 2026

. . . and two from Emeritus Professor Matthew Cobb. First, his comment on the one below is “Here’s a caterpillar I didn’t know existed.”

The tiny Ramshorn Bagworm moth Luffia lapidella caterpillar in its case on a lichen covered gravestone, Alphington Church Exeter, Devon today.

— John Walters (@johnwalterswildife.bsky.social) 2026-02-24T18:50:26.872Z

I didn’t appreciate that escaping squid could squirt their ink in blobby, squidlike patterns:

All ink, no stink!Squid ink is a natural, dark-viscous fluid primarily composed of melanin pigment, mucus & water — like a deep-sea smoke screen for a hasty getaway. These ink-blob shapes are called pseudomorphs. Filmed during #OBVI #LivingBioreactors expedition w/@schmidtsciences.bsky.social.

— Schmidt Ocean Institute (@schmidtocean.bsky.social) 2026-02-27T22:15:34.92700215Z

The Hili dialogue will be shortened today as I was preoccupied with the war between Iran and every other country.

Welcome to the first day of March: Sunday, March 1, 2026, and International Rescue Cat Day. Here’s the rescue of a kitten in Malaysia, and of course it ends well (the woman who rescued him had nine cat!). Click “play on YouTube” or go here:

It’s also Casimir Pulaski Day, honoring the Polish man who helped the colonies during the Revolutionary War, but was neither born nor died on this day), and National Banana Cream Pie Day.

Here’s the March entry from the Très Riches Heures du Duc de Berry (1412-1416), showing plowing and other spring planting activities at the Château de Lusignan. Almost nothing remains of the castle, château, and town.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the March 1 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

I’ll feature the latest on the war today, but concentrating on opinion beside the news. First, though, an update from the NYT and the Times of Israel.

First, the NYT headline, which affirms that the Supreme Leader was taken out. Click on headline to read, or find it archived here:

An excerpt:

The Iranian government vowed on Sunday that it would retaliate for the attacks that killed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran’s longtime supreme leader and an implacable enemy of Israel and the United States, as attacks on the country entered a second day.

The Iranian state news agency confirmed the ayatollah’s death on Sunday morning, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps — a powerful institution answering to the supreme leader — said that Iran would avenge him. Ali Larijani, a senior leader and Khamenei confidant, vowed that Iranian forces would fight even harder.

The ayatollah’s death prompted a range of reactions within Iran on Saturday. Large crowds poured into the streets of Tehran and other cities to celebrate the toppling of a leader who had ruled with an iron fist for nearly 37 years. Others mourned him.

The killing is a seismic political shift that raises the prospect of chaos and a power vacuum in an already turbulent region.

The United States and Israel said overnight that they were still attacking Iran. President Trump said on social media that U.S. strikes would continue “throughout the week or, as long as necessary to achieve our objective of PEACE THROUGHOUT THE MIDDLE EAST AND, INDEED, THE WORLD!”

In Israel, where the authorities reported one death on Sunday, air-raid sirens warned of further Iranian missile launches. Iran fired waves of ballistic missiles at Israel in retaliation for the initial strikes. The United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and Kuwait — all of which host U.S. military bases — said they had come under attack, as did Jordan.

Of course Iran is already retaliating as hard as it can, and I’m not sure how they’ll retaliate even harder.  I am shedding no tears for the death of Khamenei; as he really was a guiding force of Iran and its use of proxies. The council of theocrats he appointed will of course choose a replacement. Iran should have given up its nuclear program, but of course that was never in the cards.

From the Times of Israel:

An excerpt:

US President Donald Trump threatened early Sunday morning to hit Iran with unprecedented force after Tehran warned it would step up attacks in retaliation for the killing of its supreme leader and fired successive volleys of rockets at Israel for a second consecutive day Sunday.

In Iran, the Israel Defense Forces continued to carry out strikes on military sites, including a massive blast in Tehran. The army announced that it had dropped over 1,000 pieces of munition in just over 24 hours of attacks that kicked off Saturday morning with a strike that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other top officials.

“Iran just stated that they are going to hit very hard today, harder than they have ever hit before,” Trump wrote on his Truth Social social network. “THEY BETTER NOT DO THAT, HOWEVER, BECAUSE IF THEY DO, WE WILL HIT THEM WITH A FORCE THAT HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN BEFORE!”

His comments came just a few hours after the Iranian regime confirmed that its longtime leader Khamenei had been killed in a strike on his office early Saturday morning.

Iran’s parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said Sunday morning in a video carried on state TV that Trump and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have “crossed our red lines” and “will suffer the consequences.”

The elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps vowed in a statement Sunday that Iran’s armed forces would soon retaliate again with the “most ferocious offensive operation in history” against US bases and Israel.

“The hand of revenge of the Iranian nation for a severe, decisive and regrettable punishment for the murderers of the Imam of the Ummah will not let go of them,” the IRGC said in a statement.

Waves of sirens rang out repeatedly across much of central, southern and northern Israel on Saturday night and Sunday morning as Iran fired ballistic missiles at the country, sending millions of Israelis to shelter. Iran’s state broadcaster said 27 US bases in the region, as well as Israel’s military headquarters and a defense industries complex in Tel Aviv, were among the targets in the new wave of strikes.

There were no reports of impacts in residential areas or direct injuries following the salvos, medics said. Magen David Adom said it treated people lightly hurt by falling while running to bomb shelters.

Police said they received reports of missile and interceptor fragments that landed in the Jerusalem area, and the Fire and Rescue Service said it was responding to a gas leak caused by falling shrapnel in the West Bank.

In contrast to the large barrages fired at Israel during the 12-day war with Iran in June, most salvos Saturday and Sunday have consisted of small number of missiles, usually three at a time, with breaks of a few minutes between each launch, according to the IDF.

There has been one Israeli killed, a remarkably small toll for a supposedly big reprisal:

The attacks have caused only a small number of injuries, aside from a particularly large barrage of some 20 missiles toward the Tel Aviv area Saturday night in which one projectile managed to evade air defenses, hitting near a residential building and killing a woman.

The slain woman, a foreign caregiver for an elderly woman, did not manage to reach a shelter in time, the military said Sunday after an initial investigation. The woman she was caring for was extracted by rescue workers from the rubble alive.

According to the NYT, the CIA helped locate the Ayatollah, which led to the attack taking place when it did:

Shortly before the United States and Israel were poised to launch an attack on Iran, the C.I.A. zeroed in on the location of perhaps the most important target: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the country’s supreme leader.

The C.I.A. had been tracking Ayatollah Khamenei for months, gaining more confidence about his locations and his patterns, according to people familiar with the operation. Then the agency learned that a meeting of top Iranian officials would take place on Saturday morning at a leadership compound in the heart of Tehran. Most critically, the C.I.A. learned that the supreme leader would be at the site.

The United States and Israel decided to adjust the timing of their attack, in part to take advantage of the new intelligence, according to officials with knowledge of the decisions.

Another NYT piece (archived here), summarizing world reaction, says that most governments in the West, save Australia, have urged restraint in the attacks, and few (save Spain, Turkey, and some Arab states) have outright condemned the attack on Iran.  I’m surprised by the mildness of the reaction, but it seems to come from Iran’s position as a promoter of worldwide terror, combined with the reported killing of up to 30,000 of its own citizens who protested the government.

Those protesting the attacks include the MSM, including the New York Times. whose op-ed yesterday was called “Trump’s attack on Iran is reckless.”

Mr. Trump’s approach to Iran is reckless. His goals are ill-defined. He has failed to line up the international and domestic support that would be necessary to maximize the chances of a successful outcome. He has disregarded both domestic and international law for warfare.

. . .A responsible American president could make a plausible argument for further action against Iran. The core of this argument would need to be a clear explanation of the strategy, as well as the justification for attacking now, even though Iran does not appear close to having a nuclear weapon. This strategy would involve a promise to seek approval from Congress and to collaborate with international allies.

Mr. Trump is not even attempting this approach. He is telling the American people and the world that he expects their blind trust. He has not earned that trust.

The Washington Post is a bit milder, but also faults Trump for having no clear endgame and not getting Congressional approval:

Whether Trump has made the right call will hinge on factors now beyond his control. No president has ever intended to get drawn into a quagmire.

And we can’t forget The Princess!

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is befuddled again.

Hili: I’m trying to understand the world and I’m not sure.
Me: What are you not sure about?
Hili: Whether these attempts aren’t a waste of time.

In Polish:

Hili: Próbuję zrozumieć świat i nie jestem pewna.
Ja: Czego nie jesteś pewna?
Hili: Czy te próby nie są stratą czasu.

Welcome to CaturSaturday, February 28, 2026: the last day of a grim February, and shabbos for Jewish cats.  It’s also National Science Day, which I’d say is a good day. Go appreciate and hug your local scientist (I’m available in Chicago). Here’s Carl Sagan telling Johnny Carson what was scientifically wrong with “Star Wars”,  beginning with rerunning the tape of evolution.

It’s also Global Scouse Day, celebrating the Liverpudlian stew, National hocolate Soufflé Day, and National Tooth Fairy Day (there more evidence for this supernatural being than for God, so don’t tell me you’re an agnostic about God but an “atheist” about the Tooth Fairy.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the February 28 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

I have described the beginning conflict between the US/Israel versus Iran in the previous post. Stay tuned for updates, but there may not be a Hili dialogue tomorrow.

*Obituaries first: Singer/songwriter Neil Sedaka died at 86.

Neil Sedaka, legendary singer-songwriter behind hits like “Breaking Up Is Hard to Do,” “Bad Blood,” “Laughter in the Rain” and “Calendar Girl,” has died, a rep confirms to Variety. He was 86.

A Brooklyn native and a veteran of the legendary “Brill Building” hit factory of the early ’60s, Sedaka scored three No. 1 hits on the Billboard Hot 100 and nine in the Top 10, primarily during his peak years in the early 1960s and a mid-’70s comeback assisted by Elton John (who performed with him on the 1975 No. 1 “Bad Blood”).

Sedaka also wrote many songs that were hits for other artists, most notably Connie Francis’ 1958 hit “Stupid Cupid” and, 17 years later, the Captain and Tennille’s breakthrough chart-topper “Love Will Keep Us Together.” He continued to tour and record for many years after his commercial peak.

His best song, in my view, is “Breaking Up Is Hard to Do,” written by Sedaka and Howard Greenfield, a toe-tapper that hit #1 in America in 1962.  It is right up there with “So Much in Love“ by the Tymes as a bouncy doo-wop classic (the latter is the best of all doo-wop songs). But I digress: here is the original of the Sedaka song. with the singer lip-synching the original release:

*(Written yesterday afternoon.) One sign that the U.S. is ready to attack Iran is that Mike Huckabee, the US ambassador to Israel has warned his staff that if they are going to leave Israel, they “should do so TODAY.”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f8ndaRoGUjsWith the threat of a U.S. strike on Iran looming, the United States embassy in Jerusalem has told its workers that they may leave Israel and warned them that if they want to, it is vital that they do so immediately.

The directive came from Ambassador Mike Huckabee in an email to embassy workers at the U.S. mission on Friday, a copy of which was reviewed by The New York Times.

Those wishing to leave “should do so TODAY,” Mr. Huckabee wrote, urging them to find flights out of Ben-Gurion Airport to any destination for which they could book passage. “There is no need to panic,” he added, “but for those desiring to leave, it’s important to make plans to depart sooner rather than later.”

The email, which was verified by three people with knowledge of the matter, made no explicit mention of Iran. It followed meetings and phone calls through the night, Mr. Huckabee wrote to employees, and resulted from “an abundance of caution” and conversations with the State Department in which officials agreed that the safety of embassy staff was a priority.

The embassy’s move “will likely result in high demand for airline seats today,” he said in the email. “Focus on getting a seat to anyplace from which you can then continue travel to DC, but the first priority will be getting expeditiously out of country.”

Umm. . . .I think Huckabee knows something the rest of us don’t. Why would he tell the staff to leave TODAY if the attack wasn’t imminent. On the other hand, this could be a bluff to force Iran to give up stuff. But the Islamic Republic will never give up what’s most important to them: the facilities for enriching uranium to the weapons-grade 90%+.

*As always, I’m stealing a few items from Nellie Bowles’s news/snark column in the Free Press, called this week, “TGIF: The situation has snowballed.”

→ Bill Gates and Larry Summers: Bill Gates, that poor malaria-curing genius, formally apologized this week to his foundation staff in a big town hall over his Jeffrey Epstein ties and the fact that he had affairs with two Russian women—that we know about. And Larry Summers, the former president of Harvard, resigned from all teaching duties over his friendship with Epstein. I don’t know. I definitely think Epstein was a sex trafficker who deserved his fate (which was for sure that he was murdered), but I also think there’s a moral panic right now around anyone who came into contact with him. Like, Bill Clinton flew on his plane a bunch, but do I think Bill Clinton is a cannibal baby eater? No, I don’t. I think he cheated on Hillary and Jeff was someone to do bad things with. Do I think Bill should be entirely destroyed for that? Well, he was cheating on My Hilz, so, maybe. Wrong example. But to me, the current conniptions are a little manic, a little like a witch hunt. Now it’s become a whole thing about The Epstein Class. Maybe, I’m just defensive, as a member of the Epstein Files Community (I was a New York Times reporter doing a meeting for a story under the supervision of like five editors, I scream into the void, to no avail). Not everyone who emailed with Epstein was eating babies! We are a diverse community. Some are reporters, some are philanderers, and yes, morally that is the same, but still. Larry Summers is (probably?) innocent. Plus, I’m allergic to baby!

→ How dare you use the Naval Yard for military companies: Zohran Mamdani, the new mayor of New York, and his team are ousting military contractors from the city-owned Naval Yard. Here’s a local council member, celebrating the decision: “Easy Aerial is leaving the Brooklyn Navy Yard. [Brooklyn Navy Yard] leadership made the right decision last month to not renew their lease. This public asset should not be leasing space to companies producing drones that are being transformed into weapons of war.” It’s part of a movement to “Demilitarize Brooklyn Navy Yard.” What do we think the word navy means? A deep shade of blue that symbolizes authority? Okay, fine. But genuinely, is the idea that America should not have a military, or just that the people who build our Air Force shouldn’t be allowed to live in Brooklyn? Play it out for me. I’m calling it—a “Let’s Sink the Intrepid Museum” movement (hiring 400 anti-Ozempic individuals to jump on it) is on the horizon.

→ Pack an AR-15 on your vacation, Grandma: Tourists were left stranded in Mexico as cartel violence exploded across places like Guadalajara and Puerto Vallarta, a fabulous vacation destination if you’re a burning tire. It looked like a civil war. Cars were on fire outside of a Costco. Women wearing custom pink trucker hats on girls’ trips were trapped.Hotels were reportedly denying late checkout, even to Marriott Platinum Elite members. Platinum Elites get a more dignified welcome internationally than most public officials. They may have more power than an ambassador. But now, everyone must fend for themselves. For some reason, this really made me laugh:

Gringos, especially members of the 2SLGBTQIA+ community, have been trapped in a drug war, and Canada’s government is like: We especially see you, two-spirit Puerto Vallarta party boys. Stay safe, queens. Because in those shorts? They’re coming for you, specifically.

And from Nellie’s bit on antisemitism. She gives two examples.

Here’s the investigations editor at The American Prospect, a mainstream progressive publication. She was a founding staffer at the popular feminist site Jezebel. And now this is what she explains would be the only way Pennsylvania governor Josh Shapiro could be considered a presidential front-runner:

The key phrase is the idea of mass slaughter to save the human race. Killing off this one people might just save the whole world.

Or here’s Ana Kasparian, another influential progressive commentator, elegantly summarizing the mood of the moment.

*Matthew sent a link to this Nature News and Views about a possible case of sex distortion in a Utah family based on distorted segregation of the X and Y chromosomes (the Y may carry a gene that gets it into the sperm more readily). (The original paper says that twice as many males as females are produced.)

By sifting through an anonymized genealogy database, researchers have discovered a Utah family that has been having twice as many boys as girls for seven generations. It is the first clear evidence that humans might have ‘selfish genes’ that distort the sex ratio of offspring from roughly 50:50, the researchers argue in a preprint posted on bioRxiv earlier this month¹. The findings have not been peer-reviewed.

Such sex ‘distorters’ have been discovered — and studied in great depth — in laboratory animals such as mice and flies, in which their effects can be detected through selective breeding. “If you look, more often than not, you find them,” says Nitin Phadnis, an evolutionary geneticist at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, who co-led the study.

Theoretical predictions suggest that sex distorters probably do exist in people as well, and that they could produce excesses of biological boys or girls at birth. But humans’ long generation times and low birth rates as well as ethical issues have made such genes — and other ‘selfish’ genetic elements , meaning that they bias their own transmission to future generations whether or not they improve an individual’s biological fitness — difficult to spot.

To overcome such issues, Phadnis and his colleagues looked to the Utah Population Database, which contains genealogical, health and other data for people from the late eighteenth century through to the present.

In humans, biological sex is determined by the sex chromosome that fathers pass onto their offspring: each sperm cell typically carries either a Y or an X chromosome, but not both. The mother’s egg cell, by contrast, usually carries a single X. Therefore, when sperm cells fertilize an egg cell, those with a Y chromosome give rise to biological male offspring (people who have both an X and a Y) and those with an X chromosome create biological female offspring (people with two Xs).

It’s likely that in this case the Y chromosome itself carries genes—although it carries few genes—that get it preferentially into a sperm or zygote, but there are several ways this can happen.  We don’t know which one, nor do we yet know the molecular mechanism of sex-ratio distortion. Experiments are hard because these are humans, and you can’t do crosses with them, or manipulate their genes as we can do it in mice or flies. One might wonder if this distortion, if continued, would eliminate females from the population, but there are at least two reasons that won’t happen. I’ll leave you to think of them.

*The WaPo reports that ICE may have misrepresented itself when it arrested a Columbia student (DHS denies that), but they let her go after Trump made that request to NYC’s new Islamist mayor, Zohran Mamdani:

The New York City mayor’s office confirmed her release, saying officials asked ICE not to move her from the city so that she could have her day in immigration court.

“ICE cooperated with the request,” city spokesman Sam Raskin said in an email. “Mayor Mamdani then raised the issue directly with the President at the White House, and shortly after their meeting, the President informed him over the phone that Aghayeva would be released.”

After her release, the university and federal officials gave starkly different accounts of the circumstances of her arrest.

Claire Shipman, the school’s acting president, released a video and statement Thursday evening saying officers had misrepresented themselves. She said surveillance cameras showed five federal agents enter the off-campus Columbia residential building where Aghayeva lived shortly after 6 a.m. After making their way to her apartment, they showed pictures of an alleged missing child.

“Once inside the apartment, it became clear they had misrepresented themselves,” Shipman said. “A public safety officer arrived, asked multiple times for a warrant, which was not produced, and asked for time to call his boss, which was not given.

“The agents took our student.”

Shipman called the incident “frightening” and “unacceptable.”

A spokesperson for the Department of Homeland Security said agents from ICE’s Homeland Security Investigations unit identified themselves verbally and displayed their badges. The department did not directly respond to allegations that the agents had entered student housing under false pretenses. Federal officials said the building manager and her roommate let them into the apartment.

This is why ICE agents should wear body cameras, as the Democrats have demanded (that standoff is still going on).  At any rate, this seems to be a tolerable outcome. She isn’t captive, but is awaiting her day in immigration court. I hope that won’t take too long. All immigrants suspected of illegal entry, unless they were convicted of crimes beyond that, should be afforded freedom before they appear before an immigration judge.

*Bill Clinton began his deposition before the Senate about his involvement with Jeffrey Epstein, and was less abrasive than Hillary. He was deposed not in Washington, but in an Arts center in New York.  He maintains his innocence, but I wonder about those 17 visits of Epstein to the White House (why so many?) and the photographs of Clinton with Epstein and women whose faces are redacted (you can see some at the Guardian). The Guardian notes this:

The former president has maintained that he was an acquaintance of Epstein’s but stopped communicating with him at least a decade before his arrest in 2019 on federal sex-trafficking charges. He flew on Epstein’s plane several times in the early 2000s after he left office and says he severed ties in the mid-2000s, several years before Epstein’s 2008 conviction of soliciting prostitution from a minor.

And from the NYT:

Former President Bill Clinton began what was expected to be hours of testimony as part of the House Oversight Committee’s investigation into the sex offender Jeffrey Epstein on Friday, striking a less defiant tone than Hillary Clinton did a day earlier.

In an opening statement posted online, Mr. Clinton acknowledged that he did have a connection with Mr. Epstein and that he was wiling to answer questions about it. But he insisted that he never knew about Mr. Epstein’s crimes and cut off his association with him long before his first guilty plea.

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili’s getting bathing advice from Andrzej:

Hili: What was I about to wash?
Andrzej: Your ear, I guess?
Hili: The right or the left?

In Polish:

Hili: Co ja miałam teraz umyć?
Ja: Pewnie ucho?
Hili:  Prawe, czy lewe?

*******************

From Stacy:

From Cats Doing Cat Stuff:

From Now That’s Wild:

From Masih, who calls out Ilhan Omar. I can’t embed the tweet but you can go to it by clicking on the screenshot I’ve posted:

From Luana, Britain’s forgotten role in ending slavery:

None of this was in the curriculum.

TikTok @proudofus.uk pic.twitter.com/1ePqu2KwNU

— WeGotitBack 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇬🇧🇺🇸 (@NotFarLeftAtAll) February 16, 2026

Two from my feed. First, one of my favorite subspecies: interspecific friendship:

Rooster and cat friendship💚💚💚 pic.twitter.com/HxJrAR5giv

— Enezator (@Enezator) February 27, 2026

Another act of empathy:

A Penguin jumped on this boat to escape a seal, so they took him to the iceberg where his friends were waiting for him.pic.twitter.com/wWeviv3OZf

— Massimo (@Rainmaker1973) February 27, 2026

One I reposted from The Auschwitz Memorial:

ONLINE LESSON | Roma in Auschwitz

At least 23,000 Roma and Sinti people – including 11 thousand children were deported by the Nazi German regime to Auschwitz. After the Jews and Poles, they are the third largest groups of the victims of the camp.

The vast majority lost their… pic.twitter.com/BY1pvbHa2H

— Auschwitz Memorial (@AuschwitzMuseum) February 27, 2026

Two from Dr. Cobb. First, one of his beloved illusions, and a paper about it:

Here's a striking visual illusion – the 9 purple dots.Focus your eyes on the top left dot. That one is more purple than the others, right? Now try another dot… that one becomes the purple one! pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41744429/

— Neuroskeptic (@neuroskeptic.bsky.social) 2026-02-27T17:36:31.143Z

I’ve posted this before in English, but the point is the same in French, and I love the video because it shows a savvy mallard. (“Cesars” are the French equivalent of Oscars.)

Et le César du meilleur acteur est attribué à

— Ornikkar (@ornikkar.bsky.social) 2026-02-26T21:23:23.091Z