New Zealand authors: using complexity theory is the only way to achieve equity

June 12, 2023 • 12:45 pm

Here we have another article in a science journal (Nature Human Behavior, which has published stuff like this before), which says almost nothing, but uses a lot of words to do so. I recognize some of the writers as New Zealand activists, including Priscilla Wehi, first author of a dreadful article in Journal Roy. Soc. New Zealand (JRSNZ) arguing that Polynesians made it to Antarctica in 700 A.D. This is, of course, a Māori-centered article, and Wehi was trying to “empower” her people by making a palpably false claim, one that was later refuted even by Māori scholars. (Note that a couple of authors work in other countries.)

Click to read, or see the pdf here.

I really don’t want to analyze this paper in detail (you can imagine how wearing it is to deal with this stuff for several hours a day), so I’ll sum it up in a few points.

1.) Structural racism has operated in science (indeed, is promoted) by science to keep minorities down. Here’s one sentence:

Science has been described as promoting exclusion and oppression by rewarding those who practice entrenched norms, including individualism, hypercompetition and productivism, and penalizing those who challenge them.

2.) Attempts to solve this problem by creating new organizations and dispensing grant money haven’t been successful.

3.) Of course we still need to keep boosting the Māori through affirmative action and dispensing more money,but the real solution to the problem requires “embracing complexity theory“.

The idea of interconnectedness is an important part of Māori “ways of knowing” (Mātauranga Māori, or MM), and article’s point is that making more connections between people and organizations will, in the end, bring equity.

H0w does that work? The authors give a helpful diagram, starting with the fact that birds do better when they fly in flocks than singly (this is “complexity”).The bird point is made in a) below:

(From paper): a, The ordering of birds into a flock is an example of a complex system. Triangles represent actors (for example, individuals, communities or institutions). The actors on the left are homogenous, disconnected and unable to effectively respond to interventions. The actors on the right are connected to one another; their ability to receive and respond to feedback enables rapid transitions to an ordered and collective state, such as birds flying in a shared direction of travel. In the flock example, regular switches between leading and trailing positions also share and reduce the overall energetic cost of flight. Image courtesy of Jo Bailey. b, An adaptation of the six conditions of systems change, translated into Māori by M. Kirby (Ngāti Whakaue) for Healthy Families Rotorua. This heuristic identifies six conditions required for sustained and equitable change in complex systems. Adapted from ‘The Water of Systems Change’ FSG, by John Kania, Mark Kramer, and Peter Senge, 2018.

The diagram at the bottom, which isn’t all that enlightening (and is also given in Māori, a language not customary in Nature) , argues that poor health outcomes for Māori (“health inequities”) can be solved by the complexity-theory solution diagrammed in (b) above:

In Aotearoa–New Zealand, our health system has also been unsuccessfully grappling with how to address long-standing and increasing inequities. Although these emergent outcomes have been known for decades, and despite targeted policy and resources, our underlying health systems — and thus trajectories of community health and well-being — remain largely unchanged12.

The whole-of-community systems approach (Fig. 1b) taken by Healthy Families NZ has been described as a game changer in its most recent evaluation report. The initiative makes a strategic move away from fragmented, small-scale and time-limited programmes by supporting existing local action on health, while influencing local and national funding and policies to be more responsive to communities and their diverse contexts (Box 1). Sharing success and failures across the community teams has been key to the initiative’s success, along with fostering a responsive, timely and trusting contractual relationship with the central agency funder.

If you can understand how this works (the caption supposedly will help enlighten you), please explain it in the comments.

At any rate, I’ll close giving the five lessons from “complexity theory” that, say the authors, will help bring equity:

How we act.  This is their explanation of necessary change:

We encourage scientific communities and organizations to identify their shared values and uphold contextually responsive ethical and professional principles. For instance, our approach to research at Te Pūnaha Matatini (a Centre of Research Excellence in Aotearoa–New Zealand) is guided by four principles, which are expressed through a Māori lens. Pono, or a commitment to truth and genuineness, provides the foundation principle to guide both the purpose and practice of our research, and thereby frames the following: tika is to undertake research in ways that are just or right for a given context; and tapu is to do so in ways that recognize the intrinsic value, and rights, of every person and thing. Manaakitanga is to do so in ways that enhance reciprocal relationships of care.

These are taken from MM, and include both moral and technical principles that are often fuzzy (what does it mean to undertake research “in ways that are just or right for a given context”?).

How we lead.  They call for more mentorship and respectful collaboration and trust. That’s fine, but is it either novel or an outcome of complexity theory?

How we resource. What they mean is to incorporate principles of Equity, Diversity, and Inclusion into giving money; in other words give more resources to Māori.

How we evaluate others.   The paragraph below suggests getting rid of traditional merit-based evaluation, replacing it with “community-driven approaches to research evaluation” and “narrative-style CVs”, which to me means obscuring traditional indices of scientific merit (scores, grants, publications) by telling a story. (Pardon me for being cynical):

Many institutions and funding schemes — even those designed to address complex intergenerational challenges — still rely on narrow market-based metrics such as publication productivity and journal impact factor to evaluate ‘excellence’. We support the San Francisco Declaration on Research Assessment (DORA), which promotes practical, robust and community-driven approaches to research evaluation. DORA’s recommendations have informed NSERC Canada’s recent guidelines and the widespread introduction of narrative-style CVs, including in Aotearoa–New Zealand. Initiatives such as these can be used to recognize and affirm diverse expertise, societal impact and care work (such as equity work, mentorship, teaching and peer support) in promotions, hiring and funding decisions.

How we evaluate ourselves. This seems to me to be a long-winded way of saying “adopt the principles of DEI”:

We encourage reflexivity when performing relational duties of care. We urge scientific communities, organizations and funding bodies to recognize diverse histories; to investigate how funding and authority are distributed; to attend to qualitative and quantitative data about why people enter, leave and remain in the science system; and to evaluate and adapt policies accordingly. In general, ongoing reflection on how we are situated in relation to others in the science community — including the purpose and consequences of our work — will help to navigate real-world complexity in ways that are consistent with our principles, and which support the messy work of ‘getting along’ in just ways.

When I got to this point I was getting burned out, for that paragraph (and the entire paper) looks to me like a lot of abstract language about justice and equity without any concrete proposals save “give more power to the indigenous people.”  And even if that were the solution to unequal representation, you don’t need “complexity theory” to implement it.  What the authors seem to have done is appropriate technical language as just a different way of indicting New Zealand for systemic racism, but beyond that add very little of substance. I’m again chagrined that a respectable journal would publish this stuff, but what editor would dare refuse it? What they would refuse to publish is a critique of the authors’ arguments. There is no social-justice paper about STEM so dreadful that a journal will refuse to publish it.

Oh, I forgot to put the authors’ closing challenge:

Our challenge:

Kia mau tau ki tēnā

Kia mau ki te kawau mārō

Whanake ake! Whanake ake!

Stick to that, the straight-flying cormorant!

–Maniapoto

The leading kawau (cormorant) extends its neck forward as it flies, knowing that when it tires another will move forward into its place. Maniapoto, ancestor of the people of Ngāti Maniapoto, translated this phenomenon into an effective military strategy based on coordinated, collective action: te kawau mārō.

To be responsive to the critical challenges of our time, the global science community needs to travel forward in a shared and purposeful direction — one that moves us closer to a better, more just society. We challenge the science community to harness the processes of complexity with intent and urgency to build a science system that is prepared to address the complex global challenges in which we all have a stake.

What is says to me is that “to progress we need to progress, but we should use complexity theory.”

17 thoughts on “New Zealand authors: using complexity theory is the only way to achieve equity

  1. “Science has been described as promoting exclusion and oppression by rewarding those who practice entrenched norms, including individualism, hypercompetition and productivism, and penalizing those who challenge them.”

    Notice that this assertion is in the passive tense. Just who has done the describing? I was curious. Sometimes it pays to check the footnotes. I was able to determine that the footnote referred to nothing more than a letter to Human Nature Behaviour by two writers: Susanne Tauber, Department of Human Resource Management & Organizational Behavior, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.and Matezma Mahmoudi,Department of Radiology and Precision Health Program, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA. These two authors do not appear to have any special expertise to make broad pronouncements on the current state of science. Moreover, this one page letter deals with alleged bullying in science. It is not a grand exposition on the evils of science. Thus, the only conclusion I can draw is that the authors of the article discussed are misleading their readers and making me skeptical of anything they say.

    To read the letter in its entirety go to this address and click on PDF on the right side of the screen.

    https://scholar.google.com/scholar_lookup?&title=&journal=Nat.%20Hum.%20Behav.&doi=10.1038%2Fs41562-022-01311-z&volume=6&pages=475-475&publication_year=2022&author=T%C3%A4uber%2CS&author=Mahmoudi%2CM

    1. I checked some of the other references, including some that purported to give data, and found them sorely disappointing and sometimes misleading. I just didn’t go into that because reading this thing burned me out.

    2. Thanks for the open reference, Historian. I could not find on first attempts from the paper itself. Generally, I find that references, when they are provided in these types of articles to be more anecdotal than actual controlled science. So I seldom take the time to run them down…this bullying letter is yet another example confirming my bias. In any case I see no real quantitative complexity theory addressed in the Rayne et al paper…simply qualitative analogies. I am at the age (75) and stage at which I am starting to doubt the continuing sharp health of my mental abilities, and think that maybe I no longer have the intellectual horsepower to understand what I am reading. But I am pretty sure that that is not the case with these papers which are simply bs. I thank Jerry for continuing to try to deal with them.

  2. Michael Faraday and James Clerk Maxwell presumably followed the principle of pono, but there is scant evidence in their work on electromagnetic induction of tika, tapu, or Manaakitanga. Therefore, alas, we must regretfully give up the use of electricity and electrical devices from now on.

  3. There ought to be some sort of academic rule that requires that authors provide at least two specific illustrative examples for every major general point they make. I’m thinking of science journals, but dare say it would be useful across the board.

  4. Claims of systemic racism is a dodge for not pointing to actual examples of people being racist. Everyone and his brother is bending over backwards to get diverse faculty and staff.

  5. So to sum up:
    – science is a bullshit detector.
    – the author peddles bullshit for a living.
    – ergo science must change.

  6. Thanks for bringing this up, PCC(E) So much of what comes out of NZ depresses me as I have such fond memories there.
    D.A.
    NYC

  7. One of the authors of this paper is Shaun Hendy, a New Zealand physicist/mathematician. He, together with an Englishwoman named Souxie Wiles are credited with being the authors of the open letter that led to the feral hounding of the NZ scientists known as the Listener seven.

    Link: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdRwHTSKURHaalXZSNo2oluN9OjuDxK6UDG4gb6t7NhAPO3Zg/viewform

    They both came to prominence within New Zealand as government experts during the Covid-19 epidemic. Both are remarkably self-confident in their scientific assertions, particularly Wiles who appears to revel in publicity.

    Neither shows, publicly at least, any hint of regret about their disgraceful behaviour towards scientists who disagree with them.

    1. And Hendy has been gunning to become NZ’s chief scientist for a long time. He probably thought he could get there by bashing the Listener 7 and pushing woke narratives. In many ways he’s another grifter, just inside the system.

  8. Where’s the complexity theory? It’s all very well to say that simplifying a complex situation sometimes makes it more tractable, but that’s not complexity theory.

    1. It would have been enlightening to see what people like Murray Gell-Mann and Phil Anderson, both of whom were interested in emergence and complexity, had to say about this sort of thing, but sadly they are no longer with us. Anderson suggested, in “More is Different” and other writings, that the concept of broken symmetry was key here. It would be entertaining to see what the devotees of MM would make of the idea.

  9. Those woke guys intentionally avoid talking about mental factors of career success in science: talent, intelligence, competence, diligence, ambition, passion, curiosity, creativity. Many people don’t “win this game” because they lack these traits, and not because they are victims of structural oppression.

  10. Complexity Theory was summarized definitively long ago, to wit:
    “I have yet to see any problem, however complicated, which, when you
    looked at it in the right way, did not become still more complicated.”
    — Science Fiction Writer Poul Anderson

  11. According to Google Translate ‘snake oil’ is ‘hinu nakahi’ in Maori.

    I doubt that the Maori translation carries the same English meaning of “a substance with no real medicinal value sold as a remedy for all diseases.”

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