You may remember the attack ads on Kamala Harris put out by Trump’s team during the last election. Some of them singled out her statement that the government should fund gender transitions for prison inmates, while others mentioned that Harris wants to “allow biological men to compete in womens sports” (see video in tweet at bottom). Most of these ads ended with the mantra: “Kamala is for they/them, President Trump is for you.” I have to admit that that’s a clever ending, though I dislike the general anti-trans tone of the ads. While I agree that trans-identified men (biological men) should not compete in women’s sports, these ads, aimed mostly at young men, rest heavily on a Republican foundation of anti-trans bigotry rather than on reasoned discussion of whether men should compete against women in athletics or whether taxpayers should fund gender changes.
Did the ads work? (There’s even a Wikipedia page on them.) Both that page and a HuffPo article show that the ads might have been effective in converting swing voters to Trump, but, on the other hand, might not have been. The evidence is mixed, though it’s pretty clear they didn’t clearly hurt Trump or help Harris.
From Wikipedia:
The ads, which had several different variations, aired more than 30,000 times in every swing state. The Trump campaign put the ads in heavy rotation during televised NFL and college football games and NASCAR Xfinity Series races. According to an analysis by Future Forward, a Democratic super PAC, “Kamala is for they/them” was one of Trump’s most effective 30-second attack ads, shifting the race 2.7 percentage points in favor of Trump after viewers watched it. Conversely, an RCT study by Ground Media released by GLAAD, an LGBTQ media monitoring organization, stated that the ad did not have an impact on who viewers intended to vote for.
HuffPo (the surveys are different from those given above):
Republican ads suggesting Vice President Kamala Harris cared more about promoting transgender rights than boosting the economy likely contributed to Donald Trump’s victory, according to a new survey conducted after Tuesday’s election.
Another poll released this week by a different Democratic firm found, however, that hardly any voters were motivated by opposition to transgender surgeries or what Republicans derisively call “boys in girls sports.”
Here’s a video from Reuters discussing these ads:
The video says that Trump’s ad campaign was “against transgender rights”, suggesting that it was about more than sports or funding gender change in prisons. But these are only two forms of “transgender rights”, and for nearly every other right, I’ve argued that transgender people should be treated the same way as everyone else. But because of the conflation of these different “rights,” and the fact that trans issues aren’t on most voters’ radar (voters care more about their own economic well being), it’s probably best for the Democrats not to pronounce on trans sports participation—or to proclaim that there are more than two sexes. And the number of biological sexes happens to be the subject of this post.
Some Democrats, it seems, just can’t seem to stay away from crazy pronouncements about sex and gender, and that could hurt us in the midterm elections. If I were a Republican, I would ask my opponent to tell me how many biological sexes there are. If they say anything other than two, they look mushy and woke, sort of like the Society for the Study of Evolution.
Reader Robert called my attention to the Substack post below by Josh Barro. reporting that the leading Democratic candidate for the upcoming Texas Senatorial election is saying things like “there are six sexes” (yes, six) and that “God is nonbinary”. Click the screenshot to read:
Who’s author Josh Barro? He’s described by Wikipedia this way:
Barro has expressed heterodox political views, and has criticized both major parties.
. . .On October 11, 2016, following the Republican Party’s nomination of Donald Trump for president, Barro said he had left the Republican Party and registered as a Democrat. Barro cited as reasons for his decision the “fact-free environment so many of its voters live in, and because of the anti-Democrat hysteria that had been willfully whipped up by so many of its politicians,” which created a “vulnerability in our democracy.”
In November 2024, after Democrat Kamala Harris was defeated by Trump in the 2024 United States presidential election, Barro published a column entitled “Trump Didn’t Deserve to Win, But We Deserved to Lose,” wherein he broadly criticized the Democratic Party, including Democratic governance of New York City, where he lives. Barro particularly criticized Democrats for ineffectively responding to issues such as inflation and immigration, adding, “I am unfortunately a Democrat.” In February 2025, he wrote that “[t]he woke brigades in the Democratic Party aren’t merely annoying. They have undermined Democrats’ appeal to the same minority communities they are supposedly so focused on ‘including.’ “
Barro, then, seems to be a moderate Democrat who shares some of my opinions on the election. And his column is largely about the Texas Senatorial candidate James Talarico, described this way:
. . . . an American politician, Presbyterian seminarian, and former public school teacher serving in the Texas House of Representatives since 2018. He is a member of the Democratic Party and has been called a “rising star” among Texas Democrats.
. . . .. In September 2025, Talarico announced his candidacy for the 2026 US Senate race in Texas.
In that election Talarico, should he win the Democratic primary, will face John Cornyn, a Republican who has held a Texas Senatorial seat since 2002, and is now senior Senator above Republican Ted Cruz. Given that no Democrat has won a U.S. Senate seat from Texas since 1990, Talarico, who won his state House seat handily, seems unlikely to repeat that win for a U.S. Senate seat. But we need all the seats we can get in the Senate, and Talarico isn’t helping himself, at least according to Barro:
. . . And yet the new hotness in Texas is James Talarico, a handsome 36-year-old Presbyterian seminarian who represents part of Austin in the state legislature. He’s undeniably charming, and he’s gotten a lot of mileage out of a recent appearance on The Joe Rogan Experience. But he’s a liberal’s idea of what a conservative might like: A clean-cut young man who’s adept at quoting scripture in support of a conventional set of liberal policy priorities.
As his primary opponent Terry Virts has pointed out in a short attack video, Talarico has one particular liability related to this that sticks out like a sore thumb. He made a bunch of out-there comments about sex and gender at a hearing where he argued against legislation that would have set a (widely popular) restriction limiting girls’ sports at schools in the state to female participants. At the 2021 hearing, Talarico offered a bunch of ideas about how both science and scripture cut against such a rule.
“Modern science obviously recognizes that there are many more than two biological sexes,” he declared. “In fact, there are six.”
“God is non-binary,” he said, with unintentionally comical gravity, in another speech about the bill. I really suggest watching the video to get a sense of how these quotes are going to be clipped into highly effective attack ads if Talarico becomes our nominee in this race.
(The video of Talarico’s remarks is below.) Shoot me now! What six biological sexes does Talarico favor? I want to know! And as for God being nonbinary, well, for an atheist like me that’s a non-starter, but even if you’re religious, how can you claim that God is “nonbinary”. The only evidence is against that: in the Bible where God is always referred to as “he”. Barro goes on:
Virts, a former fighter pilot and astronaut who once commanded the International Space Station, has a clear argument about what’s wrong here: These arguments are out of step with the vast majority of Texans. We saw with the “Kamala is for they/them” ad that attacks on this issue can be highly effective, even if the comments made on tape are a few years old, and even if Democrats think people really ought to pay more attention to Medicaid cuts. So Virts challenges Talarico: How will he respond to those attack ads that will inevitably come?
I asked the Talarico campaign that question, and they provided me a statement from the candidate that does not give me confidence that he’s prepared to go into a general election and neutralize this issue in a race against Paxton.
I reproduce it here in full:
As I’ve said before, there are two sexes and intersex people.
When it comes to trans student athletes, I believe sports need to be safe and fair. These decisions are best left up to sports leagues and local officials — not politicians — with sensible limitations on who plays in competitive leagues.
This quote — pulled out of context from a nuanced conversation about a bill that would impact Texas students — represents what our campaign is running against: the billionaires and their puppet politicians who divide the rest of us so we don’t notice they’re gutting our healthcare, defunding our schools, and cutting taxes for themselves and their rich friends.
We’ve noticed. And we’re done being divided.
The third paragraph is classic politics of evasion: a candidate responding to an attack on an issue where he is weak by saying the real issue is something else. This has not worked as a strategy for Democrats when theyhave taken unpopular stances on issues they’d rather not discuss, like crime, immigration, and what gender even is. The second paragraph, meanwhile, is an effort to fudge the question of girls’ sports by taking no position at all. This just isn’t going to be good enough to counter what voters will see in the ads: Talarico saying something bizarre, in support of an unpopular policy, in a way that shows he does not think like ordinary Texans.
It’s too late for Talarico, who is religious, to take back what he said, but his attempt to “clarify” it just muddled the issue. It’s clear that Talarico does indeed believe there are six biological sexes, but realized too late how dumb that looked to the public, and in his correction erased 67% of the sexes. The quote was not pulled out of context. See for yourself below:
Some early Dem skirmishing in this primary: @AstroTerry, a retired astronaut who has been running since June, warns that Talarico’s past statements about gender make him less electable.
Plays the 2024 anti-Harris ads and warns “the same ads will be played by Ken Paxton.” https://t.co/zCHjTAXUbu pic.twitter.com/FkaQQxL136
— David Weigel (@daveweigel) September 9, 2025
Barro goes into the intersex issue, something you can read for yourself, showing that Talarico has apparently been seduced by Anne Fausto-Sterling’s claim that 1.7% of people are intersex, a figure that’s a huge overestimate no matter what you define as “intersex”—or even if you want to use that term. Barro closes by returning to the number of sexes and sports again:
But to step back, the big political problem here is the emergent liberal instinct toward galaxy-brain, well-ackshually there are six sexes-style argumentation. We could call it the party’s John Oliver problem — some Democrats’ excessive interest in counterintuitive arguments that only impress people who start from strongly liberal preconceptions. Sex and gender are subjects that everyone has a lot of direct personal experience with. And we know, from life, that sex is by and large not a difficult concept — there are males and females and, if you look at their genitalia, it’s almost always quite easy to find out who’s what. Then, some liberal comes around and tells you he’s read The Science and everything you thought you knew about that is wrong. Sex is a spectrum and actually quite confusing and difficult to assess. In fact, there are four new sexes you hadn’t even heard of! Very complex, very complex, you see. This does not make the liberal sound smart. It makes him sound like an idiot who’s easily drawn to fashionable-but-silly ideas.
Or like Steve Novella or Agustín Fuentes or any number of misguided academics and physicians. Barro continues:
. . . .On girls’ sports specifically, Democrats’ problem is that they’ve gotten on the unpopular side of an issue by arguing for something that was never morally necessary. But more broadly, on some of these social issues, Democrats’ problem is that they have gotten attached to a way of thinking that makes them overly open to implausible claims and overly impressed by rhetorical flourishes. Addressing the problem requires pausing before one speaks to ask, “Will I sound normal if I say this? Will I sound like I’m using rhetoric to camouflage a weak idea? Will I sound like I spent too much time talking to graduate students?”
If you ask yourself those questions, you’ll never make the mistake of saying “God is non-binary” in front of a camera.
Note that Barro argues that one can recognize biological sex by genitalia, which isn’t precisely correct. It’s recognized by gamete type—large and small—and there’s a very high correlation between the gamete-producing apparatus of a person and the morphology of their genitals (doctors don’t look at gonads at birth). Beyond that, Barro is right. Democrats should not look like they just fell out of a coconut tree!






