Poll results prove Chris Stedman wrong

April 4, 2018 • 2:00 pm

Now I won’t pretend that the poll I put up yesterday—responding to Chris Stedman’s VICE article about how atheists are becoming alt-righters, ridden with misogyny, bigotry, homophobia, and racism—is in any way scientific. On the other hand, the answers were anonymous, and the responders, as I asked, were supposed to be atheists. So if atheists fail to decry these forms of alt-right behavior, it should show up as a big “meh” if I asked them to decry.

It didn’t. Here are the results in just a day:

In other words, 96% of atheists on this site decry. (And it’s possible that a few trolls tried to make us look bad by answering “no”.)

So I’ll tweet this to the Great Humanist just for fun. Of course he’ll say it’s bogus, and at any rate he doesn’t care about atheists in general, but about atheist LEADERS (who, of course, never asked to be leaders). So be it.

Trump’s getting scared

March 18, 2018 • 11:00 am

The Mueller investigation is drawing ever closer to Trump, whose administration is simply coming apart at the seams. It’s accomplished nothing save appointing a Supreme Court judge as right-wing as Scalia, and people are fleeing the government like rats from a sinking ship. We may live to see Trump impeached for obstruction of justice, something that (although it would make Pence President for three years), wouldn’t make me shed any tears.

And so, this morning, Trump lashed out at Mueller:

Mueller has already gotten four indictments and one guilty plea. And isn’t Trump aware that he’s a Republican?

So let’s have a poll. Are we in for another Saturday Night Massacre à la Nixon? Does Trump have the moxie to fire Mueller? I’m saying no, but you may feel differently. After all, if Trump is anything, he’s hot-headedly unpredictable.
Vote!

 

Okay, I have a poll for Matthew; no need to join Twitter

February 14, 2018 • 9:35 am

I didn’t realize that you had to actually JOIN Twitter to vote on Matthew’s poll about microbes. My apologies, and I’ll put Matthew’s poll here as well. PLEASE vote, and he’ll add our results to those on his poll from a few hours ago. Here it is, but you can vote here:

If you already voted on Twitter, please don’t do so here, as then the votes wouldn’t be independent.

 

A poll from Matthew: please vote

February 14, 2018 • 7:15 am

Matthew has asked me to request that readers here, which are numerous, give an answer his “quiz”. Please oblige him (and me) by simply clicking on his tweet below and giving your answer. You have less than a day.  I don’t often ask readers to do anything, but I’d appreciate this.

Thanks!

This year’s Edge question

February 5, 2018 • 8:45 am

Every year John Brockman, the literary agent for many scientists who write popular books (including me), asked all of us to answer a question as part of his online salon, Edge. Usually the questions involve writing short essays, maybe two hundred words or so, and I’ve contributed a few times. This year, however, will be the last such question, and it requires a single-sentence answer. Here it is:

For the 50th anniversary of “The World Question Center,” and for the finale to the twenty years of Edge Questions, I turned it over to the Edgies:

“Ask ‘The Last Question,’ your last question, the question for which you will be remembered.”

Click the screenshot for the answers, which are many, diverse, and in alphabetical order by respondent (go to the bottom of the linked page, where you’ll find 14 pages of answers—or rather, questions).

The questions I found most provocative and intriguing were those posed by Gregory Benford, Paul Bloom, Jimena Canales (I don’t quite get what she means), Oliver Curry, Dan Dennett, Keith Devlin, Neil Gershenfeld, Hans Halvorson, Marti Hearst, Bruce Hood, Dale Jamieson, Gordon Kane, Kai Krause, Janna Levin, Elaine Pagels (Ed Regis and Christopher Stringer’s questions resemble hers), William Press, Diana Reiss, Gino Segre, Dan Sperber, and Anton Zeilinger.

Several of us asked questions involving free will: along with me there’s Rebecca Goldstein and Robert Sapolsky, all of us assuming determinism is true and wondering about the consequences of accepting it.

The questions often fall into distinct areas, particularly the mechanism of cognition, how the laws of physics arise, what will happen to human evolution in the “Anthropocene” (Helena Cronin and David Buss have questions about sexual selection), the consequences of artificial intelligence, the problem of consciousness, and the limitations on our ability to know.  Brockman’s task was hard, and I’m not sure whether my question is a “Last Question,” but I do think it’s an important one.

If you’d like, take a crack at giving your own answer in the comments.

Al Franken and our poll

December 7, 2017 • 9:30 am

Here are the results of the poll I posted yesterday:

 

Given the number of subscribers, I’m a bit disappointed that there were relatively few votes (around 500 total, or roughly 1% of subscribers). That said, there were enough to show that more people want Al Franken to stay in the Senate than to resign, but it was a relatively even split.

I voted “no opinion”. I don’t think Franken should stay simply because he’s a good progressive Democrat, for people should be punished equally for equal misbehavior regardless of their ideology or politics. On the other hand, the latest accusation didn’t seem credible to me: although there was some corroboration, Franken denied it (the accusation that he claimed privileges because he was an “entertainer” didn’t seem in character to me), I don’t think people should be forced to resign on the basis of allegations alone—unless there are so many, and they are so consilient, that the person is surely a predator or a miscreant. There were, I believe, already five allegations against Franken, and others reported some verbal corroboration of the latest one, but that latest one seemed too dubious to me to constitute a definitive “breaking point” for Democrats. So I’m torn.

But it looks as if Franken is going to resign anyway: there are reports (e.g., this one), that Franken is going to make a statement in the Senate at 11:45 Eastern time: in about an hour and 15 minutes. I am pretty sure it’s going to be a resignation. We’ll lose a good Senator, but But at least the Democrats have taken a harder line on sexual harassment than have Republicans.

What bothers me about all of this, and by “this” I mean more than just Franken, is the current tendency to equate an accusation with a fact, which runs contrary to how the courts view someone—with the presumption of innocence. Now the court of public opinion doesn’t have to use that standard, but at least there should be more than a reasonable doubt to drive anybody out of their jobs. In my view, the latest accusation of Franken is not beyond reasonable doubt, but I also think it’s likely he did practice sexual misconduct. In view of all this, I voted “no opinion”. I do have opinions, but they haven’t swayed me strongly one way or the other.

 

Cato Institute releases survey on free speech and tolerance

November 1, 2017 • 9:00 am

The Cato Institute, as I mentioned yesterday, conducted a poll (along with YouGov) of 2300 Americans on their attitudes toward free speech and related issues. Their report, “The state of free speech and tolerance in America“, is now online, and it’s a gold mine of data, even if the sample size is a bit small. While I summarized the results (as published in The Atlantic) in two separate posts yesterday, there are some results I didn’t mention, and some graphs that might be useful to those who gives talks on this stuff. Here are a few results I didn’t mention yesterday; the Cato Institute’s words are indented:

65% Say Colleges Should Discipline Students Who Shut Down Invited Campus Speak

Two-thirds (65%) say colleges need to discipline students who disrupt invited speakers and prevent them from speaking. However, the public is divided on how: 46% want to give students a warning, 31% want the incident noted on the student’s academic record, 22% want students to pay a fine, 20% want students suspended, 19% favor arresting students, and 13% want students fully expelled.

Democrats take a softer while Republicans take a harder approach to handling disruptive college protestors.

This of course depends on the nature of the infraction and whether it’s repeated. I think students should always be removed when disrupting event, but only disciplined formally if it happens more than once.  Now, on to the Halloween costumes, about which I’ll post later today:

Americans Don’t Think Colleges Need to Advise Students on Halloween Costumes

Nearly two-thirds (65%) of the public say colleges shouldn’t advise students about offensive Halloween costumes and should instead let students work it out on their own. A third (33%) think it is the responsibility of the university to advise students not to wear costumes that stereotype racial or ethnic groups at off-campus parties.

A majority of African Americans (56%) believe universities should intervene and advise against offensive costumes. Conversely, a strong majority (71%) of white Americans and a majority of Latinos (56%) believe that college students should discuss offensive Halloween costumes among themselves without administrator involvement.

This is the general public, of course, but I’m heartened to see that most people save African-Americans think that colleges should stay out of the issue. Since I haven’t seen any costumes making fun of blacks, I attribute that difference to a heightened sensitivity among African -mericans, which is of course understandable.

I don’t think that, in general, people should be fired for expressing views on their own time that don’t affect their job. (There are exceptions, but I won’t detail them here.) In this case Republicans are more punitive, especially when the speech of a “business executive” impugns “American values”:

What Beliefs and Expression Should Get People Fired?

Americans tend to oppose firing people for their beliefs or expression. However, Democrats and Republicans differ on what beliefs or expressive acts they believe are fireable offenses:

  • Republicans (54%) are more likely than Democrats (38%) to say a business executive should be fired if she or he burned the American flag during a weekend political protest.

  • Republicans (65%) are far more likely than Democrats (19%) to say NFL players should be fired for refusing to stand for the national anthem before games.

  • Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say a business executive should be fired if he or she believes:

    • transgender people have a mental disorder (44% vs. 14%)

    • homosexuality is a sin (32% vs. 10%)

    • psychological differences help explain why there are more male than female engineers (34% vs. 14%)

The contentious issue of “Nazi punching” (realize that many people think “Nazis” are “any extreme right winger”):

Is Violence an Appropriate Response to Hate Speech?

51% of Strong Liberals Say It’s Morally Acceptable to Punch Nazis

Most Americans (68%) do not think it’s morally acceptable to use physical violence against Nazis, while 32% say it is morally acceptable.6

However, strong liberals stand out with a slim majority (51%) who say it’s moral to punch Nazis in the face. Only 21% of strong conservatives agree. The survey found liberals were more likely to consider upsetting and controversial ideas “hateful” rather than simply “offensive.” This may help partially explain why staunch liberals are more comfortable than the average American with using violence against Nazis.

Strong liberals’ approval of Nazi-punching is not representative of Democrats as a whole. A majority (56%) of Democrats believe it is not morally acceptable to punch a Nazi. Thus, tolerance of violence as a response to offensive speech and ideas is found primarily on the far Left of the Democratic Party.

This saddens me, even the 1/5 of “strong conservatives” who think physical violence is morally okay. “Strong liberals”, however, are beyond the pale:

This saddens me too; note that there’s not much of an effect of age, but a large effect of politics, as Republicans are less likely to consider hate speech as violence. So do blacks and Hispanics compared to whites. This is one of the few datasets they have that’s broken down by age.

Hate speech is not violence, and thinking it so gives you a lame excuse to both ban it and retaliate with physical violence when you hear speech you don’t like. Remember, “sticks and stones may break my bones, but names will never hurt me.” Well, they can hurt you emotionally, but there’s a big difference between offending someone and breaking their nose.

People who don’t understand the First Amendment:

Including many Democrats!

The red bars are the censors and minorities, but of course the question is a bit dicey, as what does “create a difficult learning environment” really mean?

More on Pecksniffery:

Bias Reporting System

51% Oppose Bias Reporting System; 68% of Current Students Support It

A slim majority (51%) of Americans oppose while nearly as many (48%) support the idea of a confidential reporting system at colleges through which students could report people who make offensive comments about a person’s race, gender, sexual orientation, age, or disability status.

This “bias reporting system,” as it’s often described, is highly popular among current students. More than two-thirds (68%) of current college students and graduate students support it while less than a third oppose (30%). However, 63% of those who have already graduated from college oppose a system to allow students to report bias on campus.

Lots of people support this, especially Democrats. Note, though, a bit of age-related data: current students are much more likely to support a bias reporting system than those who have already graduated from college:

You can get the whole report as a free pdf here. Sadly, I don’t see much of the data broken down by age save the “hate speech” table above, so our questions about age and attitudes toward free speech are generally unanswered. UPDATE: See the first comment below; there ARE tables that break down the data by age of respondent.