Welcome to a Hump Day (“Küürupäev” in Estonian): Wednesday, October 9, 2024. Foodwise, it’s Submarine-Hoagie-Hero-Grinder Day, all American regional linguistic descriptions of an overstuffed sandwich on a roll, here’s a sub from Wikipedia with Dijon mustard on the side:

It’s also National Moldy Cheese Day, National Pet Obesity Awareness Day, National Bring Your Teddy Bear to Work Day (see below), National Polenta Day (cultural appropriation), International Beer and Pizza Day, and National Pro-Life Cupcake Day (WHAT?).
My teddy bear, named Toasty, is always at work with me. Here he is with me in 2002 (I’ve aged more than he has!):
Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the October 9 Wikipedia page.
Da Nooz:
*The NYT columnist Kristen Soltis Anderson discusses “Why I can’t answer the two election questions I’m asked the most” (archived here). It’s a tantalizing headline but the answer is anodyne:
Our closely divided electorate leaves little room for big swings in public opinion, given how strongly views of Mr. Trump seem to be anchoring the state of the race. His floor is high, his ceiling is low and the race is being contested in the narrow turf in between. Meanwhile, as I wrote recently, the campaigns are competing to define Ms. Harris. Yet according to a recent YouGov/Economist poll, only 3 percent of Harris voters say they are even considering the possibility of voting for Mr. Trump, and only 3 percent of Trump voters say the same about Ms. Harris.
I raise this to pre-emptively address the two questions that I’m asked the most these days:
Who will win?
Will [this thing that just happened] change the race at all?
The only correct answers are: “Nobody should feel certain he knows” and “Almost certainly not.” The data we have, if correct, suggest a race too close to be truly knowable with any confidence. And that “if correct” is doing a lot of work, as my newsroom colleague Nate Cohn points out in his thoughtful report about poll weighting and this strange election. Even if the polls are accurate, we don’t know who’ll win. And if the polls are failing to capture something, then all bets are off.
With a victory by either candidate possible, no outcome should come as a big surprise. It isn’t likely that we’ll see huge swings in the polls between now and Election Day, either.
And indeed, the election is a squeaker, with not much movement in either direction since Trump’s disastrous performance in the debate gave Harris a slight edge, though not in the electoral vote. A new Times/Siena poll shows how close it is, but, like other polls, shows a thin lead by Harris:
Are we going to have another period where, if he loses, Trump will claim rigged voting, “the greatest fraud in the history of America”? I don’t think I could take that again.
*The Times of Israel documents the new wave of anti-Israeli demonstrations at Columbia as pro-Palestinian protestors celebrate October 7, the Day of Butchery.
Standing sentinel on the grassy lawn of Columbia University’s main quad on Monday were over a dozen 10-foot-tall milk cartons, each bearing the face of an American citizen kidnapped by Hamas terrorists exactly one year after the deadliest day for the Jewish people since the Holocaust.
Previously shown outside the Democratic National Convention, “Memory Lane: October 7th Art Installation,” was meant to be a contemplative experience, as many of the 251 people kidnapped and 1,200 murdered in southern Israel during the October 7, 2023, Hamas massacre include family members and friends of students.
But with metal barricades and dividers, scores of public safety officers and anti-Israel protesters chanting “The only solution is intifada revolution,” and “We will win,” the tension on campus was palpable.
. . . In the weeks leading up to the October 7 anniversary, Jewish student groups, including Students Supporting Israel, Columbia/Barnard Hillel, Chabad at Columbia University, and Aryeh at Columbia/Barnard Hillel, had asked the school’s interim president Katrina Armstrong to allow the Columbia Jewish community to mourn openly. While the installation was approved, several other events will be held indoors and closed to press, including the evening’s Columbia/Barnard Hillel program.
Because the Morningside Heights campus remains closed to outsiders through Wednesday, this reporter was required to have an escort from the university office of public affairs and was only permitted 30 minutes on campus.
. . . Earlier Monday morning, Columbia University Apartheid Divest (CUAD), an unrecognized campus group, staged a walkout as part of a citywide “Students Flood NYC for Gaza” initiative. The demonstration was organized by Within Our Lifetime, an openly pro-Hamas group that calls for Israel’s destruction.
In their call to action, CUAD urged protesters to mask their faces, wear all black, and conceal any identifying markings such as tattoos, birthmarks, and piercings, according to a Friday Instagram post.
These people are cowards who don’t want to be identified. If they’re proud of their cause, and exercising civil disobedience, why do they conceal themselves? Because, of course, they don’t want to be punished. Ergo, they’re avoiding the consequences of civil disobedience.
The Times of Israel asked several students wearing keffiyehs to comment on the morning’s events; all declined to speak with the press.
The demonstrators’ chanting was so loud that even when the teaching assistant in Lederman’s classroom shut the windows, the chants could still be heard, he said.
. . . Since October 7, CUAD has openly supported organizations such as Hamas and Hezbollah — recognized as terror groups by the US and other governments — and glorified terror attacks. “On October 1, in a significant act of resistance, a shooting took place in Tel Aviv, targeting Israeli security forces and settlers. This bold attack comes amid the ongoing escalation of violence in the region,” reads a CUAD Substack post referring to a shooting and stabbing attack in a Jaffa light rail station that killed seven people and wounded 17.
There’s no more pretense among these protestors of supporting Palestine in general, or of “we’re just criticizing Netanyahu”. Their goal is to support Hamas and Hezbollah and the aims of these terrorists: to kill Jews and eliminate the Jewish state. Here we have Americans, living in a land that prizes democracy, liberty, and equal rights, siding with terror groups that are murderous, misogynistic, and theocratic. It’s baffling.
*As any fool could predict, and the WSJ reports, Iran is close to having the ultimate deterrent of an attack: nuclear weapons:
Israel has shown Iran’s two most important deterrents against an attack—its ballistic missiles and allied militia Hezbollah—are less powerful than previously thought. Now attention is turning to whether Iran will accelerate its nuclear program to deter its biggest regional foe.
For months, Iranian officials have said that Tehran has accumulated most of the knowledge needed to build a weapon and that it might reconsider Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s two-decade-old pledge not to procure weapons of mass destruction.
In late September, a former head of Iran’s atomic agency, Fereydoun Abbasi, suggested that Tehran could start producing 90% enriched, weapons-grade uranium. U.S. officials have said it would take Iran less than two weeks to convert its current 60% nuclear-fuel stockpile into weapons-grade material.
The 2015 nuclear deal curbed Iran’s program in return for sanctions relief. In the years since the U.S. pulled out, Tehran has significantly advanced its program, leaving it on the cusp of being able to develop a nuclear weapon.
“The weakening of its capabilities versus Israel will force Tehran to develop new sources of deterrence, increasing pressure on expanding the nuclear program,” said Gregory Brew, senior analyst on Iran and energy at the Eurasia Group consulting firm. “What we’re likely to see is more pressure to advance the program and warnings that it may not stay ‘peaceful.’”
. . . While it claims its nuclear program is for purely peaceful purposes, Iran is the only nonnuclear weapons power that produces highly enriched uranium. It currently has enough near-weapons-grade fuel for almost four nuclear weapons, according to the most recent data from the International Atomic Energy Agency. Iran also has been conducting experiments with uranium metal, a key component of a nuclear weapon, and has cut back much of the international oversight granted by the nuclear deal.
U.S. intelligence officials and the IAEA no longer offer what were once standard assurances that Tehran isn’t working on a weapons program. U.S. officials said this summer that Tehran had begun activities to gain more of the knowledge needed to build a bomb. Iran’s weaponization work would be harder to swiftly detect. Some experts believe Iran could produce a crude nuclear device in a matter of months.
“Curbed Iran’s program in return for sanctions relief,” my tuches! That whole time Iran was developing nuclear weapons while first Obama and then Biden looked the other way while handing dollars to Iran. Now the only way to stop the program is through military force. And now Iran and Biden are in harmony in insisting that Israel cannot attack Iran’s nukes without crossing a red line. What that “red line” may be for Iran isn’t yet known, but for the U.S. it’s the threat to withhold financial and military aid. Thank easily duped Democratic Presidents for this situation.
*Oy, gewalt! Every time you think Trump can’t do something dumber, it appears in the next day’s news. Here’s a tidbit from a new book by Bob Woodward (archived here).
Putin, according to the book, told Trump, “I don’t want you to tell anybody because people will get mad at you, not me.”
Four years later, the personal relationship between the two men appears to have persisted, Woodward reports, as Trump campaigns to return to the White House and Putin orchestrates his bloody assault on Ukraine. In early 2024, the former president ordered an aide away from his office at Mar-a-Lago, his private club and residence in Florida, so he could conduct a private phone call with the Russian leader, according to Woodward’s account.
The book does not describe what the two men purportedly discussed, and it quotes a Trump campaign official casting doubt on the supposed contact. But the unnamed Trump aide cited in the book indicated that the GOP standard-bearer may have spoken to Putin as many as seven times since Trump left the White House in 2021.
These interactions between Trump and the authoritarian leader of a country at war with an American ally form the basis of Woodward’s conclusion that Trump is worse than Richard M. Nixon, whose presidency was undone by the Watergate scandal exposed a half-century ago by Woodward and his Washington Post colleague Carl Bernstein.
It would be one thing if the U.S. since covid test kits to the Russian people, which is of course a humanitarian gesture, but sending them specially for the personal use of Putin is like sending them to Yahya Sinwar. Trump clearly loves a fellow strongman, and continues to keep in touch with him. If Trump wins, it’s bye-bye, Ukraine.
*Finally, some good news for those who want more gun restrictions, like me. The NYT reports that the Supreme Court is looking askance at the legality of “ghost guns”—untraceable guns that can be put together from kits (article archived here).
A majority of the Supreme Court appeared sympathetic on Tuesday to the Biden administration’s restrictions on kits that allow people to make untraceable homemade guns.
The case centered on whether the federal agency responsible for regulating firearms had acted lawfully in enacting a rule to address a surge in “ghost guns,” weapons made from kits available for purchase online and heralded as easy enough to assemble in less than an hour.
Solicitor General Elizabeth B. Prelogar told the justices that the agency, the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, had responded to “an explosion in crimes” connected to ghost guns.
“The reason you want a ghost gun is specifically because it’s unserialized and can’t be traced,” Ms. Prelogar said.
Among the limits the agency imposed on the kits: requiring gun makers and sellers to be licensed to sell the kits, ensuring the products are marked with serial numbers so they can be traced and having would-be buyers pass a background check.
In recent years, the conservative wing of the court has proved skeptical of allowing federal administrative agencies too much leeway without specific authorization from Congress. Last term, it overturned a Trump-era ban on bump stocks, firearm attachments that enable semiautomatic weapons to fire at nearly the rate of a machine gun.
But at least five of the justices on Tuesday seemed to favor the limits imposed by the Biden administration, with at least two conservatives, Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. and Justice Amy Coney Barrett, showing skepticism toward by the plaintiffs, gun manufacturers and owners who argued they should be able to purchase ghost gun kits.
The gun people are like a pushy businessman: it’s not enough that they get to buy guns, often without background checks and few restrictions, and, in some places, get to carry them either openly or concealed. No, they want untraceable guns. Now why would anybody want one of those? I can’t imagine. . . . .
Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is concerned about the garden:
Hili: Something is eating this bush.A: Yes, reportedly all such bushes in the region are sick.
Hili: Coś ten krzak zżera.Ja: Tak, podobno wszystkie w okolicy chorują.
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From Jesus of the Day; the sign of a nice person:
From Richard:
From Godless Mom (h/t Stephan); a cat guru:
And a bonus photo (and text) by reader Chris:
I went to the Brandenburg Gate last night as I’d heard there was going to be a memorial for 7/10 and was very moved to see it lit up like this. There were a lot of people there and the atmosphere was completely calm and peaceful.
Masih hasn’t posted anything new in a while. So here’s a tweet from Gad Saad reprising the contents of his book The Parasitie Mind. Listen if you have 1.5 hours to spare, or sample it:
Today is the four-year anniversary of the release of The Parasitic Mind. I’m reposting my lecture covering key themes from my book that I delivered at my alma mater @Cornell. pic.twitter.com/ZdxS5AoSzF
— Gad Saad (@GadSaad) October 7, 2024
Two from my feed. There are no bad bears!!
Imagine having to explain this to your insurance with no video 🐻 pic.twitter.com/xxHYiZGZI1
— Nature is Amazing ☘️ (@AMAZlNGNATURE) October 7, 2024
And
As people sometimes say, “I can’t even. . . ” (SJP is “Students for Justice in Palestine”):
Boston University SJP today: pic.twitter.com/1H3RyH4yzA
— Steve McGuire (@sfmcguire79) October 7, 2024
From Simon (ref. Marjorie Taylor Greene): “Brent has a rant on weather control. I do love “storm the capitol Barbie” as a descriptor. Also – ‘it’s raining cats and dogs – they must be feeding the people in Springfield’.”
Their controlling the weather pic.twitter.com/pjpifF9Sk1
— Brent Terhune in Louisville 10-24 (@BrentTerhune) October 7, 2024
Goats!
Goats being goats.. 😅 pic.twitter.com/1ttwU9ZitJ
— Buitengebieden (@buitengebieden) October 7, 2024
From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I posted.
A 44-year old Czech woman was gassed to death upon arriving at Auschwitz. Note that she’s signed the photo. https://t.co/H8NFltQTox
— Jerry Coyne (@Evolutionistrue) October 9, 2024
Two tweets from Dr. Cobb. First, more brave people fly through a hurricane:
wow, really admire what these colleagues do for our nation https://t.co/cSax8BADRj
— Dr. Marshall Shepherd (@DrShepherd2013) October 8, 2024
Typed from life!
Typewriter artist James Cook depicts the Royal Albert Hallpic.twitter.com/bDQGuGK7UB
— 𝐒𝐭𝐞𝐚𝐦𝐩𝐮𝐧𝐤 𝐓𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐬 (@Steampunk_T) July 28, 2024








































