Welcome to sabbath for goyische cats: it’s Sunday, June 29, 2025, and National Waffle Iron Day.
It’s also National Almond Buttercrunch Day, National Camera Day, and Log Cabin Day..
When one thinks of log cabins, one thinks of Abe Lincoln, who actually wasn’t born in one, but there is a historic Lincoln-related site near Charleston, Illinois:
Abraham Lincoln never lived here and only occasionally visited, but he provided financial help to the household and, after [his father] Thomas died in 1851, Abraham owned and maintained the farm for his stepmother, Sarah Bush Lincoln. The farmstead is operated by the Illinois Historic Preservation Agency.
UPDATE: Reader Elsie sent me this correction, so I clearly didn’t dig deep enough:
Abraham Lincoln was apparently born in a log cabin. Here is what Wikipedia says:In the late fall of 1808, Thomas and Nancy Lincoln settled on Sinking Spring Farm. Two months later on February 12, 1809, Abraham Lincoln was born there in a one-room log cabin. Today this site bears the address of 2995 Lincoln Farm Road, Hodgenville, Kentucky. A cabin, symbolic of the one in which Lincoln was born, is preserved within a 1911 neoclassical memorial building at the site. On the site is a Visitor Center and the First Lincoln Memorial.
Sadly, even the Charleston cabin met a grim fate:
In 1893, the original Thomas Lincoln log cabin was disassembled and shipped northward to serve as an exhibit at the World’s Columbian Exposition in Chicago, Illinois. The original cabin was lost after the Exposition, and may have been used as firewood. However, the cabin had been photographed many times, and an exact replica was built from the photographs and from contemporary descriptions.
In 1907, Margaret Olivia Slocum Sage purchased the cabin for $25,000 ($740,000 in 2021) and intended to place it in a glass case to be preserved forever. [JAC: They don’t say where it is.]
The current Lincoln Log Cabin State Historic Site includes three houses on two sites:
- A reconstruction of the Thomas Lincoln log cabin, completed in 1934 as a project of the Civilian Conservation Corps. It is surrounded by a subsistence farmstead similar to the senior Lincoln’s actual farm, is the central feature of the main site. The farm includes heirloom crops and cattle breeds similar or identical to those used at the time.
FIREWOOD!
Here’s the reconstruction:

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the June 29 Wikipedia page. And remember, posting will be light this week as I prepare for my Arctic journey.
Da Nooz:
*Trump’s “Big Beautiful Budget Bill” was narrowly passed by the Senate,(archived here), but it still has to pass the House before it goes to Trump’s desk, and several House Republicans are waffling on their support.
The GOP-controlled Senate voted late Saturday to advance President Trump’s tax-and-spending megabill despite two Republican defections, narrowly clearing one procedural hurdle and offering a stark preview of the difficulties party leaders face in passing the sprawling measure.
The initial vote on the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was 51-49, with most Republicans in favor and all Democrats opposed, putting the Senate potentially on track to pass the bill by Monday after a day of debate and amendments. GOP Sens. Rand Paul (R., Ky.) and Thom Tillis (R., N.C.) broke with their party to vote against advancing the bill. The revised text of the 940-page Senate bill was released late Friday night and is likely to keep changing.
Trump wants the bill passed by the Senate and the House and on his desk by a self-imposed deadline of July 4.
Senators have been discussing the megabill for months, but the tense vote was the first real test of support. Republicans required more than three hours to wrangle all the votes to keep moving forward with the legislation, which carries the core of Trump’s agenda but also has provisions that irritate centrist and conservative GOP lawmakers.
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R., Alaska), who has called for protecting clean-energy tax credits, negotiated on the Senate floor with Finance Committee Chairman Mike Crapo (R., Idaho) before voting yes. The final holdouts were Sens. Rick Scott of Florida, Mike Lee of Utah, Ron Johnson of Wisconsin and Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming, who want deeper spending cuts.
Johnson, who had earlier voted against advancing the bill, switched his vote and joined the others in voting “yes” at about 11 p.m. ET.
He said afterward that GOP leaders and Trump will back Scott’s proposal to cut off new enrollment for the Medicaid expansion that was part of Obamacare, where the federal government pays 90% of the cost of health insurance for some adults. The idea has drawn opposition from GOP moderates, however, and may not pass.
If two Republican Senators had changed their minds, the bill would have died. And note the strict bipartisan nature of the vote. If five Republican House members change their minds, the bill is dead, but that seems unlikely, as I believe only two or three are waffling. The bill will pass.
*Speaking of the Big Beautiful Budget Bill, the NYT has an op-ed by Jacob S. Hacker and
1. It is epically regressive
To understand why the G.O.P. initiative is so upwardly skewed, it helps to think of it as combining the two most unpopular major bills since 1990 — both of which were pushed by Mr. Trump and congressional Republicans in 2017. Bill 1 (which passed) was the Trump tax cuts, which showered most of their largess on the superaffluent. Bill 2 (which failed) was Republicans’ Affordable Care Act “repeal and replace” drive, which would have slashed health care benefits received mostly by middle- and lower-income Americans.
The current bill is basically a mix tape of these 2017 tracks, with some bonus material thrown in, including the biggest retrenchment of SNAP, also known as food stamps, in its history, and big cuts to loans and Pell grants for nonaffluent college students. (In the Senate last week, the parliamentarian rejected the SNAP cuts.)
Sign up for the Opinion Today newsletter Get expert analysis of the news and a guide to the big ideas shaping the world every weekday morning.When you combine those two epically unpopular bills you get an epically regressive result — the only such bill since at least the mid-1980s (when distributional analyses became available) that reduces disposable income among the bottom 20 percent by the same magnitude as it raises it among the top 20 percent (by on average 4 percent of after-tax income, according to our colleagues at the Budget Lab at Yale University).
2. The hyper-regressive tax cuts you haven’t heard enough about
You might think Americans know that the tax cuts in the Republican bill are targeted at the top. But that’s not what our survey found. Voters had heard a lot about Mr. Trump’s “no tax on tips” and “no tax on overtime” ideas — provisions that Vice President JD Vance recently pointed to as proof of the party’s populist priorities.
But those tax cuts are a rounding error compared with the big-ticket tax cuts focused on the rich, about which voters have heard almost nothing.
3. A war on the I.R.S. could make the bill even more costly.
In parallel with targeted tax cuts for the rich, Republicans, led by Mr. Trump, have promised to gut the Internal Revenue Service. If they succeed, the deficits caused by the bill, as well as its tilt to the affluent, would dramatically increase.
The Budget Lab at Yale University estimates that if I.R.S. staffing is halved, as the president is seeking, the amount of unpaid taxes could increase by $2.4 trillion over the next 10 years. If that number sounds familiar, it’s how much the Republican bill is already estimated to increase the national debt (not counting interest) over the same period.
4. It is another “skinny” attempt to repeal Obamacare.
Voters have heard about the regressive spending cuts in the bill — particularly those to Medicaid. But Republicans have cloaked those cuts in so much duplicitous rhetoric about “deserving” beneficiaries that what they’re actually doing remains murky.
What they are not doing is encouraging people to work to get benefits. Congress’s own budget scorekeeper says the Medicaid provisions of the bill will have no effect on employment. Based on past experience with the types of work rules in the bill, two of three Americans denied Medicaid because of these new administrative burdens will, in fact, be working or would have a qualified exemption, such as having a disability.
Meanwhile, the bill will reduce the number of Americans with health insurance by 11 million — and 16 million if you take into account the fact that Republicans refuse to extend expanded tax credits for private health insurance in the Obamacare marketplaces.
I have heard several of these (there is much more in the article), but I’m no financial pundit. Still, the increase in the national debt alone is enough to make me oppose this bill, combined with the apparent desire to punish the poor by making them work to get medicaid and deprive them of healthcare, which are heinous provisions.
*An op-ed in the WaPo by military experts Dan Caldwell and Jennifer Kavanagh argues that “The Iran strike shows that we don’t need bases in the Middle East.”
Look closely, and you’ll notice something peculiar: Many of the aircraft involved in the operation do not appear to have taken off from the large U.S. air bases in the Middle East — or, if they did, that fact has been carefully concealed. Whether this reflects a choice made to spare gulf state partners’ ties with Iran or because these states denied the United States permission to use bases on their territory, the implication is the same. When the president decided it was time for the United States to act against Iran, the 40,000 troops and billions of dollars’ worth of military hardware that Washington keeps parked in the Middle East were of limited use.
Worse, these forces ultimately proved to be a vulnerability when, 36 hours later, Iran retaliated by launching missiles at al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar. While the incoming missiles were intercepted and no soldiers were harmed, most of the aircraft were moved out of al-Udeid, and ships stationed at the U.S. naval station in Bahrain were sent out to sea to keep them safe.
For the White House and the Pentagon, this reality should be a wake-up call. U.S. military forces in the Middle East bring more risks than benefits, and it’s time to get most of them out for good.
For decades, the United States has kept tens of thousands of military personnel in the Middle East, spread across bases in the Persian Gulf region and the Levant. The size of the U.S. military footprint has changed over time, swelling during the 1991 Gulf War and after the 2003 invasion of Iraq. There has never been a serious attempt to draw down, however. U.S. soldiers, aircraft and warships have become a regional fixture.
Proponents of keeping these forces in the Middle East argue that their presence provides the United States significant benefits in suppressing regional crises and bolstering our allies’ security. But realizing these benefits requires that the United States has liberal permissions from host countries to use bases on their territory to conduct offensive operations.
. . .Sustaining U.S. forces in the Middle East is costly, to the tune of tens of billions of dollars per year during peacetime. Some of these costs would be incurred even if the same forces were located in the United States. But not all. U.S. personnel in the Middle East require more extensive defenses than do those based at home, including hardened facilities and advanced air defenses, to protect them from drone and missile attacks.
Indeed, the biggest downside to having 40,000 U.S. forces in the region is that they end up being vulnerable targets for state and non-state adversaries. This was true well before the events of the past week. Both the 1983 Marine barracks bombing in Beirut or the 1996 attack on Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia left Americans dead.
I think they have a point. And here’s another advantage: we could cripple and then destroy Hamas if we threatened to pull the U.S.’s Al Udeid Air Base out of Qatar. As I’ve said, Qatar regards this base as crucial to protect its oil from incursions by countries like Saudi Arabia, and if we threatened to pull it out unless Qatar stopped housing Hamas officials and funneling money to their organization in Gaza, they might well fold. But we’d have to be serious about that threat, and willing to remove the base. I doubt this will ever happen, but Caldwell and Kavanaugh argue that we don’t really need that base, or others. Here’s a map from the Council of Foreign Relations showing all the bases or sites with a military presence; I bet you didn’t know we had so many!
*Another WSJ article describes how pro-Israeli hackers crippled Iran’s financial system and its pecuniary ties to the rest of the world. And it probably didn’t even involve Mossad!
While Israel and the U.S. were bombing Iran’s nuclear sites, another battlefield emerged behind the scenes: the financial infrastructure that keeps Tehran connected to the world.
Israeli authorities, and a pro-Israeli hacking group called Predatory Sparrow, targeted financial organizations that Iranians use to move money and sidestep the U.S.-led economic blockade, according to Israeli officials and other people familiar with the efforts. U.S. sanctions, imposed off-and-on for decades due to Tehran’s nuclear program and support for Islamist groups, have aimed to cut Iran off from the international financial system.
Predatory Sparrow, which operates anonymously and posts updates of its activities on X, said this past week that it crippled Iran’s state-owned Bank Sepah, which services Iran’s armed forces and helps them pay suppliers abroad, knocking out its online banking services and cash machines. Iranian state media acknowledged the damage.
The group also breached Nobitex, Iran’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, popular with locals for transferring money overseas. The hackers extracted about $100 million in funds and forced the platform to shut down, according to the exchange.
Iran’s government pulled the plug on much of the country’s online activities to prevent further attacks and keep a lid on dissent. Non-Iranian websites were blocked. Citizens were warned against using foreign phones or messaging platforms that it claimed could collect audio and location data for Israeli spies. Government officials were banned from using laptops and smartwatches.
Predatory Sparrow said the two hacks were directed against the “financial lifelines” of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the most powerful faction of Iran’s military that also controls swaths of the economy. “Noble people of Iran! Withdraw your funds before it is too late,” it tweeted.
Both targeted companies remain hobbled. Nobitex said it faced serious challenges in restoring services and was aiming to relaunch trading this coming week. Some Bank Sepah users say online they still aren’t receiving deposits.
I love this sentence: “Noble people of Iran! Withdraw your funds before it is too late.” But the NBC evening news last night showed a big demonstration in Iran against both Israel and the U.S. I am worried that the bombing will turn Iranians who wanted regime change back towards the regime again. The Administration says it doesn’t want regime change, but in truth that’s the only thing that will guarantee a measure of peace in the Middle East.
*On top of his other narcissism, now we learn (or already knew) that Trump wants his visage carved on Mount Rushmore.
President Trump has made no secret of his fondness for Mount Rushmore and his desire to join its rock-star lineup.
During his first term, Mr. Trump told Kristi Noem — then a U.S. representative from South Dakota, now Mr. Trump’s Secretary of Homeland Security — that his “dream” was to be on Mount Rushmore. She later gave Mr. Trump a model of Mount Rushmore with his face on it.
The idea has resurfaced since Mr. Trump returned to office. A congresswoman from Florida sponsored a bill in January to “direct the Secretary of the Interior to arrange for the carving of the figure of President Donald J. Trump on Mount Rushmore National Memorial.” It was referred to the House Committee on Natural Resources, which has yet to act on it.
In March, Interior Secretary Doug Burgum said in an interview with Lara Trump, Mr. Trump’s daughter-in-law, that “they definitely have room” for Mr. Trump’s face on Mount Rushmore.
Wait. Is this possible?
As with all things Trump, it can be hard to decipher the difference between everyday rhetoric and future action. But those in charge of the memorial are taking such overtures seriously.
The National Park Service, which oversees Mount Rushmore National Memorial, and which is currently led by Mr. Burgum, has cited two reasons that more faces cannot be added. First, it considers Mount Rushmore to be a completed work of art. Second, there is no room. “The carved portion of Mount Rushmore
As you probably know, the four Presidents on Mount Rushmore now are Jefferson, Washington, Teddy Roosevelt, and Lincoln. And doubt that Trump can issue an Executive Order demanding that his scowling visage be carved up there. Anyway, there is no space, and the sculptor, Gutzon Borglum, has been dead since 1941.
Here it is now. Where would you put Trump?

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili is once again frustrated by her ignorance.
Hili: Look, a plane.
Andrzej: I see it.
Hili: But we don’t know where it’s going.
Andrzej: Right, and we’re aware of our ignorance.
In Polish:
Hili: Patrz, samolot.
Ja: Widzę.
Hili: Ale my nie wiemy dokąd leci.
Ja: Tak i jesteśmy świadomi naszej ignorancji.
*******************
From Jesus of the Day:
From Things With Faces:
Anna Krylov sent me this from her Chemistry conference in Japan; it was apparently a slide in one of the talks. She couldn’t make the HxA conference but won its leadership award. Cats!:
From Masih: Iranian terrorists, each now with 72 virgins:
What a photo. Today in Iran:
These were the top IRGC commanders, men who spent their whole lives crushing dissent, torturing the innocent, silencing voices, and ruling through fear.
They lived above the law…Untouchable. Unquestioned.
And now?
Just boxes. No legacy. No honor. pic.twitter.com/xaxvoVA3xV— Masih Alinejad 🏳️ (@AlinejadMasih) June 28, 2025
Yes, it’s the demonized Rufo, but I believe this is accurate, showing absolute race-based hiring at Cornell, done knowing that it was illegal but trying to get around the rules. They should be sued (enlarge and read the text):
According to a whistleblower, Cornell University DEI administrators rigged the search process for a professor of evolutionary biology by deliberately excluding white men from consideration and hand-picking their “hoped-for diversity hire.”
This is racial discrimination. pic.twitter.com/UVJxa9f5XT
— Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️ (@realchrisrufo) June 26, 2025
From Malcolm; behavioral compensation for a partly maladaptive product of natural selection:
For obvious reasons, mating in hedgehogs is a delicate operation.
The female has to adopt a special body position with her spines flattened. On the bright side, newborn hoglets have no spikes.https://t.co/xnXXAVJVpa
— Massimo (@Rainmaker1973) June 19, 2025
Three from my feed. The first was the only thing I could find on my Bluesky feed that wasn’t either trite or “progressive”. I follow animal sites but there is a dearth of animals. But here are WOOD DUCKLINGS!
Ducklings! And lots of good summer stuff like milkweed, a muskrat and more!#birds 🌿 #mammals
— Get To Know Nature (@gettoknownature.bsky.social) 2025-06-28T13:12:30.289Z
Two from my X (Twitter) feed, which has a lot more good stuff. (I don’t follow anybody on X, either):
This is how a starfish walkspic.twitter.com/zX6dTEGRTX
— Potato (@MrLaalpotato) June 28, 2025
One I reposted form the Auschwitz Memorial:
A French Jewish boy was gassed immediately upon arriving at Auschwitz. He was just six, and would be 89 today had he lived.
— Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-06-29T10:02:20.341Z
And one reposted by Dr. Cobb, which I couldn’t embed:





Re the Cornell hiring issue, I note that the case was from 2020, and there is a good possibility that the preference for a ‘minority’ candidate was perfectly legal at that time, and was consistent with institutional values. Rufo is naive if he thinks that the Cornell case was not standard practice even that recently. My own university made numerous DEI hires up to that time, and so did virtually every R1 I know of.
Barbara, I strongly suspect that you are wrong in thinking that “the preference for a ‘minority’ candidate was perfectly legal at that time.” You seem to be mixing up “this practice is widespread” with “this is legal.” If the Republicans in Congress manage to significantly reduce the staff at the US Internal Revenu Service (as Jerry mentions in today’s news digest) and then tax fraud becomes more widespread, does this fraud then become legal?
Here’s Berkeley Law School dean Erwin Chemerinsky explaining how his institution secretly practices racial discrimination in faculty hiring. And the key point here obviously is him saying that racial discrimination has to be done secretly – presumably because it is illegal:
Matt Burgess: It’s Time to Stop the Double Talk about Diversity Hiring. Chronicle of Higher Education, May 31, 2024
First, let’s admit that it’s happening
https://archive.ph/EPUce
Excerpts:
By “diversity hiring,” I mean using demographic factors (usually race and gender, occasionally sexual orientation and gender identity) as pivotal criteria in hiring faculty members.
An honest conversation about diversity hiring must start by acknowledging the basic fact that, whether we like it or not, diversity hiring has been happening on a large scale for the past decade (the period in which colleges shifted sharply to the left by many measures), especially in the years since the summer of 2020.
When discussing this topic in academe or online, I often encounter people who will argue one minute that diversity hiring is good and we should do more of it, but who will the next minute angrily deny that it is happening. Colleges breed this kind of cognitive dissonance.
Why all this double talk? My best guess is it’s a combination of three things.
A second reason for all the double talk is that diversity hiring in the United States is often on shaky legal ground, and college leaders want to avoid calling attention to it. Today, critics of DEI statements think of the practice as a means of enforcing political orthodoxies and compelling speech. But DEI statements actually originated in the University of California system as a way to launder diversity hiring and get around antidiscrimination laws, by defining contributions to diversity as merit-based and thereby exempt them from Proposition 209 …
My old fried Dean Chemerinsky made that comment in 2023, in the context of the controversy over the charge of racial discrimination in college admissions and the extension of the Supreme Court decision to hiring. Prior to that, Affirmative Action was understood to allow race to be considered in hiring, and it was not illegal. Institutional policies all over academia promoted “diversity” and whole offices were dedicated to making sure that it was handled in ways that were within the law.
My point, which you have ignored, is that Rufo imagines that he has unearthed some shocking scheme to hire a ‘minority’ candidate for a faculty position, when this was commonplace in 2020. Indeed, the memo he quotes seems to me to be walking a tightrope between the APPEARANCE of racial discrimination and the FACT that the candidate in question was, as the original memo notes, the top choice among the candidates they had considered — at that time, the suggestion that she be the only candidate interviewed allowed the university to make an offer as a diversity hire, which I believe was perfectly legal at the time. The diversity office at my university certainly thought so.
It reminded me of a comment on an article in the WaPo this morning that referred to the 3 “liberal” Supreme Court justices as the DEI appointees. That kind of insulting comment highlights one of Rufo’s apparent biases: no ‘minority’ candidate (or woman) will ever be hired or appointed to a position without being considered some kind of DEI, poor quality, low merit choice. (Sorry to rant — summer is here, we just got back from the beach, and my relaxing week is disrupted by this kind of news….!)
Well, Justice Jackson did say she has no idea what a woman is, as she is not a biologist……
Hiring based on race has been illegal in the US since the 1964 Civil Rights Act. The fact that lots of institutions were doing that to boost “diversity” doesn’t change that.
Affirmative Action was hiring based on race, in practical terms, and was widespread up until the 2023 Supreme Court decision on college admissions — which many employers took to be a caution about continuing affirmative action hires. If a ‘majority’ candidate for a job in 2020 sued over the possibility that s/he had been subject to racial discrimination, they were free to do so, and might have prevailed — but there were few such actions.
The hiring of Swanne Gordon at Cornell might be illegal but it wasn’t egregiously bad. She has a great publication record before and after 2020. The problematic part perhaps is that many of her papers are coauthored with her husband, who was also hired by Cornell at the same time presumably in the same search. So it can be hard to disentangle her contributions to that research from his contributions.
The husband is a Latinx evolutionary ecologist. So it could be seen as a double diversity hire. Or maybe the husband counts as white, and thus the search eludes the criticism that it was conducted with racial animus. Hard to know. But whatever the criticisms of the process, one can’t really argue that Cornell was worse off for the outcome.
I don’t see how pulling our bases out of the Middle East is a good idea, on balance. It is at the very least a complex issue.
Our presence lowers the threshold for taking timely action against more minor skirmishes such as the Houthi attacks against shipping in the area. Are we going to project force from across the world in response to one or two of those? I doubt it. Our presence also embodies a relationship with the host countries that would be eagerly replaced by Russia and China, to the extent that they can do so. When we do wish to project force, now flying over from a great distance, we can find ourselves having to negotiate around their effective airspace. That will definitely be an issue!
From an operational standpoint, staging attacks out of the US is possible, but it a real war, it would dramatically limit the pace of attacks and increase the fatigue of aircrews (not to mention the fatigue of re-fueling plane crews). At the same time, although heavy bombers can do it, fighters and fighter-bombers cannot. Current US fighters have a range of only 800-900 miles (so 450 to the target and back). It would be impractical for many reasons to have air support for ground troops so far away. Not for nothing do we have large, expensive floating airbases that can travel around the world’s oceans. The reason that the Iran strike was so remarkable indicates why it is not a common practice in warfare.
I think there are (or were) far more reasons to keep military bases in the area than there are reasons not to, but the balance of factors is indeed complex. I’m sure a big factor is to secure arrangements for oil imports, and I’d hope the host countries want us there in at least most cases. But I just looked it up and the US currently gets only 10-12% of its oil from Persian Gulf countries. We used to get 20%, not too long ago, and I suspect it was much higher farther back. That is why we have historically built so many bases there. Before the military build up, I doubt we would have such a heavy footprint in the area if we were getting only 10-12%.
Besides entirely pulling out or staying in, we could consider if we can be just as effective in protecting our interests and those of our allies if we took out 20% of our presence, or 40% of our presence. But then again, what if our interests later increased? It would be much harder, politically and budget-wise, to build new bases than to maintain old ones. So I dunno.
Sort of agree Mark, esp with the idea of even MORE bases.
Can’t I disagree more with the whole “stop/quit the US overseas bases” argument.
We’re paying those military people anyway and there is a differential between them being abroad vs at home for sure, but that differential is the price of FREE NAVIGATION and footprint of American power. (Verses other powers who COULD be running the world and the sea lanes). Well worth the cost in my view.
A cop on the beat doesn’t prevent all crime but a lack of cops causes it.
Re Qatar and Hamas. It is probably better they’re “represented” by Qataris we can deal with – and muscle – both ourselves and our GCC allies there (see the last decade) than have Hamas run about in Syria (where they were before Qatar), Iran or Turkey which we can’t seem to budge. (B/c Turkey is eff’d by a Islamist backwards Caliph/Sultan.)
D.A.
NYC
Add that Trump apparently hates all colleges and universities, not just Harvard. That’s what the Pell Grant cut is about.
For sure. I presume it’s part of his goal of someday being thought the smartest guy in the roon.
As is well-known to every schoolboy, approximately half of all Americans pay no Federal taxes (pay none or have it all refunded). How on Earth could tax cuts not favor the wealthy? If we want to help the people who pay no taxes, we should eliminate withholding for people whose income history shows that they would wind up getting everything back.
Do you mean income tax? There are a lot of other federal taxes.
Yes, I meant income tax. Thanks.
A tax cut is not “showering largesse” on the cut-ees. The government isn’t “giving” them anything at all. It is just taking less from them than it did before. If someone is permitted by the grace and benevolence of the legislators merely to keep more of his own money, that’s not largesse at all.
“A tax cut is not “showering largesse” on the cut-ees.”
I beg to differ; it is, if the cut-ees are a select group(s).
If my paycheck has less money withheld for any reason, it will sure look like a pay raise to me.
If all your income is a paycheque you won’t see much effect from the tax cut. You aren’t meant to. Most of the income earned by taxpayers at the top is interest, dividends and, eventually, capital gains. The money comes to them directly and then every April 15 (or quarterly for instalments) they write a huge cheque to the IRS, bigger than most of us can even imagine. Under the tax cut, this cheque will be smaller. But there’s no money coming to them from the government. It just takes less.
But if you insist on seeing a tax cut as a raise, see it from the view of your employer, who had to meet payroll and write your paycheque. To him, you’re not getting a raise, because the gross amount of the paycheque that he has to have money in the bank to cover the full amount (remittance to the IRS and net to you) is the same. Since he didn’t have to find money to “give” you a raise you didn’t do anything to deserve anyway, perhaps at next salary negotiation time you might accept a smaller gross salary that, with the tax cut, might still give you more money in your pocket than before. Or he might say, “Sorry, times are tight. All non-union salaries are being reduced by $1000 a year to reflect the $1000 windfall you all got from the tax cut.” There goes your “raise.”
“…every April 15 (or quarterly for instalments) they write a huge cheque to the IRS, bigger than most of us can even imagine.”
Unless they are Donald Trump, who bragged about paying no income tax, arguing that this is a sign of his being smart.
https://www.propublica.org/article/the-secret-irs-files-trove-of-never-before-seen-records-reveal-how-the-wealthiest-avoid-income-tax
Well, he and the other smart people won’t benefit from a tax cut, then, will they? A truly altruistic gesture to those rich people of pedestrian intellects who pay most of the taxes in all countries with progressive income tax systems.
Q.E.D.
Oh yes, the stolen IRS files that ProPublic then used to redefine the American tax code so as to foment rebellion against the oligarchs. The following is from The Tax Foundation but perhaps others have more reliable numbers or alternative perspectives.
“The top 1% of income-tax filers provided 40.4% of the revenue in 2022, according to recently released IRS data. The top 10% of filers carried 72% of the tax burden. Self-styled progressives will never admit it, but U.S. income taxes are already highly progressive.
… The top 1%: This group includes 1.5 million tax returns with adjusted gross incomes (AGI) above $663,000. These people made up 22.4% of the country’s total reported earnings, yet their share of income taxes paid was nearly double that at 40.4%. Their average federal tax rate was 26.1%. …. Add all this up, and the top quarter of earners reported 69.9% of all income in 2022 but paid 87.2% of all income taxes.
… First, these figures overstate the actual income-tax burden shouldered by the bottom 50%, because “refundable” credits paid to those with no tax liability are treated as spending and aren’t reflected in the IRS numbers. This means tens of millions of Americans have income-tax rates that are effectively negative—that is, they get what amounts to a welfare check from the government.
I don’t disagree with anything that Leslie or Jackie writes here — my point was simply that the image of many wealthy people writing large checks to the IRS — bigger than most of us can even imagine — is not accurate for some wealthy people, and might not be accurate for most. But I will note that the argument that the wealthy pay a large percentage of the total tax revenues collected by the IRS, and therefore….. what?? — is not exactly a logical argument, but is simply one of several competing moral arguments. For much of the 20th century the wealthy paid an even greater percentage of their income in taxes, when a different moral calculus was used.
The flip side of an apparent raise from lowered taxes is that services previously funded by tax revenue (a) need to be paid by affected individuals out of their pocket (their goes your raise!), or (b) fall out of reach for said individuals, or (c) are being dropped entirely.
One might say (a) is “the American Way”, but consideration of e.g. European countries suggests that “socializing” the costs for government infrastructure and services leads to better outcomes societally in fields like health, crime, and education.
Tangent thought:
There’s a “meme” that goes:
“I’m ready to know the truth”
“Your house isn’t worth more – your money is worth less.”
“[crying]”
I had a conversation last week with a man whose niece is about to finish her philosophy dissertation, with a focus on ethics. The niece hopes to stay in academia, and I’m told is not overly concerned because, as a female, she is given extra consideration in her field.
This seems a ripe topic for an ethics philosopher.
Maybe they have a point on removing US bases from the Middle East. But that would create a power vacuum that would most likely be filled by Russia and China, which is not a good prospect.
Vinegaroon creepy crawly arachnid! I want one – or a tank full of them. I get all my exotic pet ideas at WEIT. Like that crazy anteater (the broom like one) a few months ago.
WEIT is a wild and wooly place!
D.A.
NYC
There’s a guy on X (I think Anthony Bonato) who either coined or relayed this :
“Everything in mathematics is trivial when you understand it.”
I give that a 🎯
The cliche diversity (DEI) hire was Claudine Gay at Harvard. Her resume was rather thin (to say the least). She has a total of 6 publications and 215 citations. By contrast, the same source (ResearchGate) lists Larry Summers as having 174 publications and 38,114 citations. Her only qualifications were her sex and race.
Where could Trump’s face go on Mt. Rushmore?
Well, I’m sure that there’s plenty of room on the other side of the peak. And he’d have it all to himself.
I’d recommend putting a toilet at the base of the monument
with Trump’s head sticking out.
America can give him his Mt Rushmore moment now. Project his face to an on-site weather proof canvas. That way, he can change/tweek his image each month. For, as we are reminded, no portrait has ever done proper justice to Himself. Hell, even add one to his trading card superhero collection.