Tuesday: Hili dialogue

January 28, 2025 • 6:45 am

Welcome to the Cruelest Day: Tuesday, January 28, 2025, and National Blueberry Pancake Day.  There is no chance that I will get any of these, but I do have a piece of shoofly pie (made by Pennsylvania Amish) for breakfast. It’s the perfect accompaniment to coffee.  Here from Wikipedia is the closest photo I have to celebrate the day—pancakes with blueberry sauce:

SpartacksCompatriot, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

It’s also Rattlesnake Roundup Day, a horrible day on which people collect gazillions of rattlesnakes and then KILL THEM.  This is not good. Here’s a video of the slaughter (warning: cruelty and rattlesnakes getting their heads chopped off. I don’t know how pcople can do this:

And it’s International Lego Day and National Kazoo Day , which has its uses according to Wikipedia:

The kazoo is played professionally in jug bands and comedy music, and by amateurs everywhere. It is among the acoustic instruments developed in the United States, and one of the easiest melodic instruments to play, requiring only the ability to vocalize in tune. In North East England and South Wales, kazoos play an important role in juvenile jazz bands. During Carnival, players use kazoos in the Carnival of Cádiz in Spain and in the corsos on the murgas in Uruguay.

In the Original Dixieland Jass Band 1921 recording of Crazy Blues, what the casual listener might mistake for a trombone solo is actually a kazoo solo by drummer Tony Sbarbaro

Here’s “Crazy Blues” by the Original Dixieland Jass Band from 1921 (yes, “Jass” is the spelling”, can you hear the kazoo solo? I think it starts about 1:10 and continues.

Readers are welcome to mark notable events, births, or deaths on this day by consulting the January 28 Wikipedia page.

Da Nooz:

Let me first retract something I posted the other day: a note that a sex-after-death law had been passed. In Egypt. (It was supposedly allowing a man to have sex with his dead wife for up to six hours after her demise.) The tweet I put up:

Egyptian members of Parliament have denied it, and this appears to have all emanated from a single source.  My bad.

*After Colombia refused to accept U.S. planeloads of deported Colombian migrants, Trump launched a trade war against them. But it never got off the ground before the situation was resolved. (Article is archived here.). Things got pretty hot!

Under threats from President Trump that included steep tariffs, President Gustavo Petro of Colombia has relented and will allow U.S. military planes to fly deportees into the country, after turning two transports back in response to what he called inhumane treatment.

The two leaders had engaged in a war of words on Sunday after Colombia’s move to block Mr. Trump’s use of military aircraft in deporting thousands of unauthorized immigrants.

But on Sunday night, the White House released a statement in which it said that because Mr. Petro had agreed to all of its terms, the tariffs and sanctions Mr. Trump had threatened would be “held in reserve.” Other penalties, such as visa sanctions, will remain in effect until the first planeload of deportees has arrived in Colombia, the statement said.

“Today’s events make clear to the world that America is respected again,” it added.

Colombia’s foreign ministry released a statement soon afterward that said “we have overcome the impasse with the United States government.” It said the government would accept all deportation flights and “guarantee dignified conditions” for those Colombians on board.

Mr. Petro began the day by announcing that he had turned back U.S. military planes carrying deported immigrants. This set off a furious back and forth with Mr. Trump, who in turn announced a barrage of tariffs and sanctions targeting the country, which has long been a top U.S. ally in Latin America.

Mr. Trump said on social media that the United States would immediately impose a 25 percent tariff on all Colombian imports and would raise them to 50 percent after a week. The Trump administration would also “fully impose” banking and financial sanctions on Colombia, apply a travel ban on Colombian government officials and their associates, and revoke their visas, the president said.

Mr. Petro hit back on social media. In one post, he announced retaliatory tariffs of 25 percent on U.S. imports to Colombia; in another, longer post, he said those tariffs would hit 50 percent.

Directly addressing Mr. Trump, Mr. Petro also questioned whether the American president was trying to topple him.

“You don’t like our freedom, fine,” Mr. Petro said. “I do not shake hands with white enslavers.”

Trump certainly is moving fast.  I agree with the deportation of those convicted of crimes, but haven’t yet decided how I feel about non-criminal immigrants who are here illegally in other circumstances. Those who have been here for a long time, and have made a life for themselves, surely should deserve a chance to stay (can this can be adjudicated on a case by case basis?), but deportation of very recent immigrants who are deliberately missing their court dates and avoiding the law doesn’t overly upset me. There is huge variation in how people feel about different cases, but clearly something has to be done, and so far Congress has avoided doing it (most likely because Democrats don’t want to do anything that doesn’t resemble an “open border” policy).

*A number of fiber-optic cables have been cut around Scandinavia, and people suspect (of course) Russia and Putin. (A similar breakage occurred off Taiwan, and perhaps China is responsible for that one.) NATO has now gotten involved in the investigation:

The North Atlantic Treaty Organization mounted its first coordinated response to the suspected sabotage campaign against critical infrastructure, after another underwater data cable was severed in the Baltic Sea.

NATO vessels raced to the site of a damaged fiber-optic cable in Swedish waters on Sunday morning, where a trio of ships carrying Russian cargo, including one recently sanctioned by the U.S., were nearby. All three vessels are now being investigated as part of a probe into suspected sabotage of the fiber optic cableaccording to several European officials. One ship was detained Sunday.

The incident is the latest in a string of alleged underwater attacks in the region that prompted NATO to announce earlier this month the formation of a surveillance mission called Baltic Sentry. It includes regular naval patrols, as well as enhanced drone, satellite and electronic surveillance of Baltic areas that are crisscrossed by critical infrastructure such as data and power cables, along with gas pipelines and offshore wind farms.

Western officials have said they suspect Russia is fighting a shadow war against the West. Russia has denied it is behind such an effort.

“We have seen elements of a campaign to destabilize our societies. Through cyberattacks, assassination attempts, and sabotage—including possible sabotage of undersea cables in the Baltic Sea,” NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte said earlier this month.

Evidence gathered so far in the Baltic investigations hasn’t been conclusive enough to result in prosecutions or arrests, officials familiar with the investigations said.

Latvia dispatched its navy to the site of the incident Sunday, while the Swedish coast guard detained one of the three ships within hours of the incident, according to Latvian and Swedish officials. A Dutch warship was also involved in the operation to combat alleged attacks on deep-sea assets.

I love the international cooperation, but how are they going to arrest Russia if they find out it’s responsible? Would they go to the ICC?

*As I mentioned earlier, the CIA has now joined the FBI and DOE in regarding the lab-leak theory as the most credible explanation for the Covid outbreak. Despite confidence in the lab theories being “low” in all cases, it is higher than confidence in the alternative wet-market theory, which was pushed by the Biden Administration, Anthony Fauci, and NIH director Francis Collins as being sacrosanct. Jonathan Turley describes how many people vigorously defended the wet-market theory, so vigorously that it became heresy to question it.

Every modern president seems to promise transparency during their campaigns, but few ever seem to get around to it. Once in power, the value of being opaque becomes evident. We will have to wait to see if President Donald Trump will fulfill his pledges, but so far this is proving the cellophane administration. Putting aside his constant press gaggles and conferences, the Administration has ordered wholesale disclosures of long-withheld files from everything from the JFK investigation to, most recently, the CIA COVID origins report. That report is particularly stinging for both the Biden Administration and its media allies, which treated the lab theory as a fringe, conspiratorial, or even racist theory.

Newly-confirmed CIA Director John Ratcliffe released the report, which details how it views the lab theory as the most likely explanation for the virus. Expressing “low confidence,” the agency did not reject the theory over the natural origins theory, which was treated as sacrosanct by the media and favored by figures like Anthony Fauci. (Other recent reports have contradicted the equally orthodox view on the closing of schools, showing no material benefit in terms of slowing the transmission of COVID).

The BBC reported that “the CIA on Saturday offered a new assessment on the origin of the Covid outbreak, saying the coronavirus is ‘more likely’ to have leaked from a Chinese lab than to have come from animals. But the intelligence agency cautioned it had ‘low confidence’ in this determination.”

The low confidence finding shows that the agency found the evidence fragmented and fluid. However, the point is that the natural origins theory and the lab theory were both viable theories. Neither was disproven or rejected. Other agencies like the FBI seemed to have a higher confidence in the lab theory over the natural origins theory.\

Turley then gives a bunch of examples of how the lab-leak theory was mocked (and, indeed, was deliberately denigrated by government officials who questioned the credentials of those who refused to rule it out.  Here are a few:

This follows a recent disclosure in the Wall Street Journal of a report on how the Biden administration may have suppressed dissenting views supporting the lab theory on the origin of the COVID-19 virus. Not only were the FBI and its top experts excluded from a critical briefing of President Biden, but government scientists were reportedly warned that they were “off the reservation” in supporting the lab theory.

As previously discussed, many journalists used the rejection of the lab theory to paint Trump as a bigot. By the time Biden became president, not only were certain government officials heavily invested in the zoonotic or natural origin theory, but so were many in the media.

Reporters used opposition to the lab theory as another opportunity to pound their chests and signal their virtue.

MSNBC’s Nicolle Wallace mocked Trump and others for spreading one of his favorite “conspiracy theories.” MSNBC’s Kasie Hunt insisted that “we know it’s been debunked that this virus was manmade or modified.”

MSNBC’s Joy Reid also called the lab leak theory “debunked bunkum,” while CNN reporter Drew Griffin criticized spreading the “widely debunked” theory. CNN host Fareed Zakaria told viewers that “the far right has now found its own virus conspiracy theory” in the lab leak.

NBC News’s Janis Mackey Frayer described it as the “heart of conspiracy theories.”

The Washington Post was particularly dogmatic. When Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark) raised the theory, he was chastised for “repeat[ing] a fringe theory suggesting that the ongoing spread of a coronavirus is connected to research in the disease-ravaged epicenter of Wuhan, China.”

I have no dog in this fight, and in fact used to find the lab-leak theory more credible. Now I’m leaning the other way but, like these agencies, don’t find the evidence dispositive. Still, the government behaved badly here, and it wasn’t because of fast-moving changes in scientific knowledge.

*The Free Press, which many dismiss as a “right wing site,” but one I see as classical liberal centrist, has reaffirmed its values in a new statement called “Our promise to you.” The promise, as I read it, is to maintain honesty and objectivity in the face of slanted news from the MSM. Readers can judge how successful Bari Weiss & Co have been. An excerpt:

The Free Press was started as an outlet by and for people who said: no. Who insisted: The old values still matter. In this way, it has always been a new publication doing a very old-fashioned thing.

Whereas many in the legacy press took the election of Trump itself as evidence that the media failed, we see our jobs differently. None of us got into journalism to work for political candidates. None of us became reporters, writers, or editors to be mouthpieces for a party. We became journalists to pursue the truth—and to tell it, plainly, when we discover it—knowing full well that tomorrow might bring new facts to light requiring revision and correction, because truth is not a fixed absolute. It cannot be distilled in a test tube, or replaced by a narrative, though many these days are trying to do just that.

There will be plenty of publications who will, once again, become #Resistance warriors under this new administration. Others who have promised independence are sounding more like MAGA cheerleaders. If that’s what you seek, there will be plenty of options.

We are promising something different.

From us, you can expect the same sharp, fierce, honest news and opinion that we have worked hard to deliver since the day we started. You’ll get deep investigations, gimlet-eyed humor columns, and erudite British Sundays. You’ll also get corrections, because we fully expect to make mistakes, and counterarguments, because if we knew the answers in advance, we wouldn’t be The Free Press.

And a bit some readers won’t like:

And as the legacy media is finding, once you’ve kicked over the guardrails, it’s very hard to ever go back. Case in point: PBS NewsHour.

The publicly funded network’s flagship news show sees itself as a paragon of journalistic sobriety. But on the very first day of the new administration, NewsHour reported that: “Billionaire Elon Musk gave what appeared to be a fascist salute Monday,” adding that he raised his hand “in a salute that appeared similar to the ‘Sieg Heil’ used by the Nazis at their victory rallies.”

Watch the video with audio. Musk says, “My heart goes out to you,” after he hits his chest and thrusts his arm out. It might be a little intense, a little awkward. (Not exactly out of character for Musk.) Trying to start an Elon Musk is a Nazi doing literal Nazi salutes panic demonstrates how little the media has changed—and why so few people trust it. Musk, a person with historic levels of power, is worthy of fierce and sustained scrutiny. But the legacy media continues to discredit itself with cheap shots, and continues to find itself defanged when it lands on something right, something people should really pay attention to. How seriously will anyone take PBS the next time it has a story about Musk? The logic here isn’t rocket science. When journalists ditch their old values, they lose their old credibility.

I subscribe to the Free Press and will continue to do so unless or until I see its news being slanted in a particular direction. Some people on social media already call it “alt-right.” I don’t agree.

*Just for fun (though the results were tragic), here’s a mislabeled video from HuffPo (I went over to HuffPo after reader Norm said he looked at it for the big red headlines). Is there any way the headline can make sense?

*From Merilee we have Mayor Pete’s (actually, Secretary of Transportation’s) “chilling farewell speech” as a cabinet member, summing up what his office accomplished. It’s 16.5 minutes long, and chilling only because this guy would have made a good President.  This was made before the Inauguration.  Buttigieg was my second most favorite candidate after Gretchen Whitmer. As one commenter said,

Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili isn’t keen on being groomed:

Hili: How much longer?
A: I have to comb you properly so you do not leave your hair in the bed.
Hili: And who cares?
In Polish:
Hili: Długo jeszcze?
Ja: Muszę cię porządnie wyczesać, żebyś nie zostawiała sierści w łóżku.
Hili: A komu to przeszkadza?

And a photo of Baby Kulka:

*******************

From I Love Cats:

From Things With Faces. Man, that cone looks human!

From Strange, Stupid, or Silly Signs. I suspect this is a real ad.

And from Facebook, a serious post:

From Masih, more Iranian women defying the regime, here in at least three ways (no headscarf, music, and dancing). Ceiling Cat bless them! (sound up)

From Luana. Oops, the ACLU didn’t do due diligence; I guess they were charged with vetting people to be pardoned.

From Malcolm; what I wouldn’t give to be that man! (sound up):

A heartbreaker from my feed:

This deserves to be watched on a regular basis by everybody. It always brings tears to my eyes:

From the Auschwitz Memorial, one that I reposted:

Died in the camp around 14 or 15. Look at that smile!

Jerry Coyne (@evolutionistrue.bsky.social) 2025-01-28T11:37:44.298Z

Two posts from Dr. Cobb. First, racing ducks:

#MosaicMonday #AncientBluesky #RomanHistoryFrom the Villa Romana del Casale, Sicily, some rather alarmingly sized chariot-racing ducks. They bred them big back then – had special calipers for it and everything!

James Coverley (@jamescoverley.com) 2025-01-27T16:28:04.069Z

Everything is the Big Bang’s fault:

This is really all the big bang's fault when you think about. Stupid big bang, causing existence and all.

Existential Comics (@existentialcomics.com) 2025-01-27T02:53:41.862Z

58 thoughts on “Tuesday: Hili dialogue

  1. Only one thing to say on kazoo day, you haven’t lived until you have experienced the Temple City Kazoo Orchestra, music starts about two minutes in.

  2. Already in 2015 scientists were concerned about the kind of research going on in Wuhan.

    https://www.nature.com/articles/nature.2015.18787

    An experiment that created a hybrid version of a bat coronavirus — one related to the virus that causes SARS (severe acute respiratory syndrome) — has triggered renewed debate over whether engineering lab variants of viruses with possible pandemic potential is worth the risks.

  3. THE ODJB was my first musical love. I wore out a set of LPs when I was in high-school. The ODJB was, of course, the first group to record jazz, with their February 1917 recordings of “Livery Stable Blues” and “Dixieland Jass Band One-Step”.

    While not exactly a kazoo, Red McKenzie played a hot comb and tissue paper:

    1. I used to play comb in the departmental orchestra that convened once annually to wander the halls playing Xmas carols. The most excellent paper for that was the very thin wax paper that separates layers of Parafilm.

    1. I can’t tell if I should be disappointed or not.

      Very convincing … though I skipped the fine print.

      MAD Magazine would run really “bad” but obvious parody ads, I wonder if this was found on the cutting room floor?

      1. After reading your comment, I went back and read the fine print. It’s obviously a fake, but still funny!

    1. Thank you; you beat me to it.

      Just the info that in 2024 Colombia accepted 124 flights with deportees shows how unnecessarily performative these Trump shenanigans are. And the scary thing is how China is standing there with a bouquet of flowers to soothe poor, jilted Colombia…

    2. I subscribed to Heather Cox Richardson recently but I’m disappointed in that piece. She says:

      “Over the past four years, Trump and MAGA Republicans repeatedly insisted that Biden had maintained “open borders,” while in fact, what the administration did was to try to address a situation made worse by the coronavirus pandemic.”

      She is completely wrong here. Biden opened the border on day 1, reversing Trump’s policy that migrants apply for asylum while in Mexico.

      Biden then did absolutely nothing as huge numbers crossed the border. It became the largest influx of migrants in recorded US history.

      Finally, toward the end, as it appeared to be helping Trump, he acted.

      NY Times article on this:

      Recent Immigration Surge Has Been Largest in U.S. History

      https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/11/briefing/us-immigration-surge.html

      If she can be this wrong, is she a trustworthy source?

      1. You’ve got it right, Frau. I live down here in a real border town. Biden administration repeatedly claimed there was “no problem at the border” while all sorts of unvetted people poured across. It was intentional as hell and, as you say, when they realized how it was playing out politically, they stopped it. Then they wanted credit for fixing what they claimed was never a problem. Complete bullshit. If I say this out loud here in Tucson I’m a “racist”. That, too, is complete bullshit. The jig is up. If families are separated and good, law abiding people are deported, the blame lies at Biden’s doorstep.

  4. Headline needs a semicolon.

    And with early jazz it’s unfortunate that little movie footage exists from the period preceding talkies. But for eclectic instruments, I like slide whistles a lot. There’s one in King Oliver’s Sobbin’ Blues, but I think even better is the (Danish) Peruna Jazzmen’s version and here you can see it in action.

  5. Meanwhile, Dept of That Didn’t Take Long, dateline Jasper Co. IN, late yesterday afternoon, there is one fewer of the 1500 MAGAts after one of them tangled with an officer there.

    And the hunt is on for another in TX that never should have been released because of other serious charges pending.

    1. Read about that other guy this morning. He is right here in Harris County (Houston) Texas. There is a warrant out for his arrest. The charges? Soliciting a minor. Nice guy

  6. On TFP: I think Bari started off very strong and I was excited to have her on the mission that she took on. She has grown the TFP enterprise incredibly fast. Some of her writers seem to be the careless word mongers that we see on the regular political press, but she also has some gems and good seems to strongly outweigh bad day to day.

    But this morning I read the transcript (admittedly edited from the full audio interview) of the moms for MAHA. What utter bullshit. I will now go listen to the tape as they say – its an hour….why can’t there be an unedited transcript…in the words of the great Bluto suggesting a beer at the Delta frat party: “it don’t cost nothin’”. But I wander: the couple of paragraphs on vaccines and rfk jr (affectionately referred to as “bobby” on the transcript) is just pap and dangerous and has no referenced basis in scientific findings as far as I can see. Why would bari bring us this without some hard questions or at least have a paul offit on the panel?

    While she has editorial control but does not write almost all of the other columns, she is the interviewer for this piece…a piece that belongs on the tv show The View rather than the TFP I signed onto at the beginning. I am off to spend an hour that I do not really have with the audio….

    1. Ok. I listened to much of the audio including the full vaccine discussion, though I use the word discussion in a most liberal sense because it was more an infomercial from this Fast talking Calley Means character and while Bari asked a question or two, those questions were not addressed. She said that she cannot fact check them in real time…true, but she could after the episode is in the can…but apparently did not. So all these assertions just fly out with the TFP hechsher on them…a very sorry commentary…Bar: I want better than this please!

      1. I’ve noticed that health issues are not left/right.

        It’s ignorance of science that lets people on both sides think RFK Jr is a fine selection for Dept of Health.

        TFP would be well advised to get some nonpartisan, scientific writers.

        1. And yet he has been endorsed by the former director of the CDC and by some Ivy League and similar caliber professors with training in medicine, health policy, and vaccine safety. (Obama also considered appointing him in 2008 to run the EPA.) Support of him is not a simplistic matter of scientific ignorance.

          The chief reason to oppose RFK Jr. is his penchant to run ahead of the evidence, generally because he sometimes places too much confidence in confounded observational studies when the conclusions match his prior beliefs. (This failing is shared by many Covid vaccine cheerleaders.) Chief reasons to support him include his indefatigability, his desired assault on the corporate capture of the regulatory apparatus as well as pharma capture of the media through its advertising dollars, and his preventive emphasis on obesity and childhood chronic disease.

          One can deny that any causal relationship exists between Congress granting legal immunity to vaccine manufacturers in 1986 and the vast expansion of mandatory childhood vaccines that then followed. But one is not a loon to question whether there is an undesirable connection and to wonder why vaccine schedules vary across the West. Moreover, one can also wave the “safe and effective” banners, but it doesn’t make one a conspiracy theorist to insist on properly-performed safety studies and government transparency when it comes to side effects. Nor does it make one anti-science to consider the desirability (or lack thereof) of each vaccine relative to the absolute risk of a disease, any demonstrated efficacy in morbidity and all-cause mortality, the known (and unknown or unstudied) side effects, and the age and health of the prospective recipient. One size-fits-all mandates or recommendations for young and old, healthy and unhealthy don’t shore up my confidence in “The Science”—especially when the practices of many of our advanced European partners diverge from our own.

          The Biden Administration making unjustified claims about Covid vaccine effectiveness (you can’t transmit the virus!); vastly exaggerating the danger the virus posed to young, healthy people; supporting unnecessary and prolonged school closures; pushing vaccine mandates on low-risk populations (and the hundreds of universities that did likewise); and then coercing social media to remove TRUE accounts of side effects lest it encourage “vaccine hesitancy” have done far more to encourage skepticism of government pronouncements and promote vaccine hesitancy than anything RFK Jr. has done. Many public health specialists warned about this at the time but the far-right was not the only group to politicize vaccines and health policy and react in herd fashion.

          RFK Jr. has enough baggage and merit that I could not fault senators no matter how they voted, but I can think of worse things than to have a vaccine skeptic running HHS and then have the safety studies he directs vindicate much of current practice. (BUT HE’LL HIDE THE SCIENCE! Really? Like whom?) Unfortunately, as with virtually all contentious topics over the last decade, both the traditional and the social media environments are polluted with hitjobs, wrong information, exaggerations, and distortions—all motivated by a combination of money, politics, and ideology. Anybody who thinks they know RFK Jr. who hasn’t listened to him directly and extensively—unedited and without commentary, is likely mistaken. Even if they are senators—or scientists.

          1. Do you have links to stories on this?

            A search on “scientists who have endorsed RFK Jr” just finds stories of scientists condemning him.

            Vaccines are tested before they’re released. I don’t buy your criticisms of the Covid vaccine.

            I agree RDK Jr is correct on poor eating habits but that alone is not much.

            He’s probably going to get the nod as Trump is threatening Republicans who don’t confirm his picks with being “primaried.”

          2. Frau K, I appreciate your reply and question, but since there is no “reply” button under your response, I provide my answers here.

            Here is former CDC director Robert Redfield’s endorsement: https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-has-plan-make-americas-children-healthy-again-its-good-one-opinion-1957026. There are also videos online of him discussing related issues.

            One needn’t get into the politicized media game of competing lists of “experts” who are “for” and “against” to dismiss the “scientific ignorance” assertion. Two men who would work for Kennedy—Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford, health policy) and Marty Makary (Johns Hopkins, medicine)—both support him, of course. Martin Kulldorff, formerly at Harvard and one of the world’s most cited vaccine safety experts, largely owing to his statistical work in the field, supports him. Only the most obtuse or partisan could dismiss these four men as scientifically ignorant. (Questioning their judgment is another matter, and that is fair game.) Here is Kulldorff’s case for Kennedy:
            https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2024/12/23/the_cure_for_vaccine_skepticism_152125.html

            Which of my Covid vaccine criticisms do you not “buy”? That the observational studies are confounded? (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jep.13839) That the Biden Administration made unjustified claims? CDC director Walensky said, without evidence, that “Vaccinated people do not carry the virus—they don’t get sick.” That’s “not just in the clinical trials, but it’s also in real-world data.” She also told Congress that infected people can’t transmit the virus if vaccinated. Leading politicians echoed these errors and enforced policies informed by them long after the evidence clearly showed otherwise.

            While on the topic, I am curious: Where is the evidence that initial and annual Covid vaccines are beneficial to infants? Why is the US an outlier in recommending this? Where are the RCTs demonstrating efficacy of the Covid boosters, particularly in the young and the healthy? You’ve mentioned Paul Offit before, as I recall. Is the 73-year-old still refusing to get boosted while recommending the US revisit its booster recommendations? Is he scientifically ignorant? We fired nurses, first responders, and military who had recovered from Covid and subsequently refused vaccination: where is the reliable evidence that shows a person recovered from Covid gains further protection from severe disease or death by being vaccinated? By what evidence, and using what moral determination and principles of autonomy, did university administrators threaten expulsion and declare that the risk of myocarditis for healthy young men was acceptable even given the extremely low incidence of Covid complications in this population? Are you aware that the top two career officials overseeing vaccine research and review at the US FDA were pressured out of their jobs by the Biden Administration because they didn’t believe the data supported authorization when the first booster was approved? In fall of 2024, there was still no such randomized data and we continue to approve the vaccine under emergency use authorization. Why?

            We need reliable data, not dogma, and the willingness to change our minds. Vaccine supporters—whatever that means—should welcome it. Here is one place Kennedy can start. Where are the randomized trials that compare the current US childhood vaccine schedule against countries (Denmark, for instance) that vary significantly from our own? What proof do we have that our schedule is more beneficial than others? Note: this would investigate not each vaccine individually for its efficacy, but the combination, frequency, and timing of multiple vaccines and any side effects and effects on all-cause mortality resulting from the administration schedule. Why would anyone other than the pharma industry oppose this? How did even asking such questions become politicized?

          3. Frau K, I appreciate your reply and question, but since there is no “reply” button under your response, I provide my answers here. I had to exclude the links to bypass moderation.

            Former CDC director Robert Redfield’s endorsement of RFK is titled “Donald Trump has a plan to make America’s children healthy again” and is at Newsweek. There are also videos online of him discussing related issues.

            One needn’t get into the politicized media game of competing lists of “experts” who are “for” and “against” to dismiss the “scientific ignorance” assertion. Two men who would work for Kennedy—Jay Bhattacharya (Stanford, health policy) and Marty Makary (Johns Hopkins, medicine)—both support him, of course. Martin Kulldorff, formerly at Harvard and one of the world’s most cited vaccine safety experts, largely owing to his statistical work in the field, supports him. Only the most obtuse or partisan could dismiss these four men as scientifically ignorant. (Questioning their judgment is another matter, and that is fair game.) Kulldorff’s case for Kennedy, The Cure for Vaccine Skepticism, is at Real Clear Politics.

            Which of my Covid vaccine criticisms do you not “buy”? That the observational studies are confounded? (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/jep.13839) That the Biden Administration made unjustified claims? CDC director Walensky said, without evidence, that “Vaccinated people do not carry the virus—they don’t get sick.” That’s “not just in the clinical trials, but it’s also in real-world data.” She also told Congress that infected people can’t transmit the virus if vaccinated. Leading politicians echoed these errors and enforced policies informed by them long after the evidence clearly showed otherwise.

            While on the topic, I am curious: Where is the evidence that initial and annual Covid vaccines are beneficial to infants? Why is the US an outlier in recommending this? Where are the RCTs demonstrating efficacy of the Covid boosters, particularly in the young and the healthy? You’ve mentioned Paul Offit before, as I recall. Is the 73-year-old still refusing to get boosted while recommending the US revisit its booster recommendations? Is he scientifically ignorant? We fired nurses, first responders, and military who had recovered from Covid and subsequently refused vaccination: where is the reliable evidence that shows a person recovered from Covid gains further protection from severe disease or death by being vaccinated? By what evidence, and using what moral determination and principles of autonomy, did university administrators threaten expulsion and declare that the risk of myocarditis for healthy young men was acceptable even given the extremely low incidence of Covid complications in this population? Are you aware that the top two career officials overseeing vaccine research and review at the US FDA were pressured out of their jobs by the Biden Administration because they didn’t believe the data supported authorization when the first booster was approved? In fall of 2024, there was still no such randomized data and we continue to approve the vaccine under emergency use authorization. Why?

            We need reliable data, not dogma, and the willingness to change our minds. Vaccine supporters—whatever that means—should welcome it. Here is one place Kennedy can start. Where are the randomized trials that compare the current US childhood vaccine schedule against countries (Denmark, for instance) that vary significantly from our own? What proof do we have that our schedule is more beneficial than others? Note: this would investigate not each vaccine individually for its efficacy, but the combination, frequency, and timing of multiple vaccines and any side effects and effects on all-cause mortality resulting from the administration schedule. Why would anyone other than the pharma industry oppose this? How did even asking such questions become politicized?

  7. Thanks for the correction on that gross fraudulent story.

    I highly recommend listening to Jon Stewart telling Stephen Colbert his lab leak case for covid-19 from 2021. Easy to find by searching YouTube.

    Stewart made me laugh in a very classic Stewart way!

    1. Stewart made all the sense of a crackhead. I’ve seen that stuff — I thought he was parodying the crank virus-ignorant crowd. Egad, there’s actually real science that has been done, but I have a rant below.

  8. Deportation isn’t a punishment. Anyone found to be in any country illegally can be administratively removed immediately to the country he is a citizen of without needing to have been misbehaving (like missing court dates or being just generally making himself undesirable.) The only exception would be those who made an asylum claim and are cooperating with the country’s efforts to determine if their claim is really based on a credible fear of state persecution in their home country …or is just a dodge. If a person with an asylum claim in play was missing court dates it could be taken as evidence that he was not a bona fide claimant and was seeking to disappear. If a person’s asylum claim is denied, he becomes just another illegal alien.

    If an illegal alien has no asylum claim in play, he does not have any court dates to miss and he can be removed as soon as he is apprehended. This is what would happen to me if I, a foreigner, was caught working in the U.S. without a visa, or came in as a visitor and simply stayed.

    I understand the reticence to remove people who have been in the country a long time and stayed out of trouble but this signals a reward for success in evading the authorities. These individuals would have to have been, on average, of large positive benefit to the country before they tipped the balance away from the reputational cost to confidence in the immigration system. And maybe they are so valuable, on average, that you should look the other way for fear of losing them or deterring their relatives back home from coming to help you, too. That’s a judgement call that reasonable people can disagree on. I just want to point out that it is not cost-free to let illegal aliens know that if they stay underground long enough they’ll get a pass. Who will provide for them when they become too old and too sick to work gainfully, even if they are doing important, unpopular work now?

  9. Let me recommend again the analysis from TWiV on the lab leak vs., we market. As opposed to a conclusion with low confidence, the TWiV scientists actually discuss the data and what it means. This episode aired after the New York Times Op Ed:

    https://www.microbe.tv/blog/2024/06/09/twiv-1121-sars-cov2-still-didnt-come-from-a-lab/

    The notes contain several previous episodes that also cover the origins.

    They discuss the data and the research that generated the data. As I have said before, I think there is a China coverup here, but the coverup is of the wet market origin. China was supposed to have stopped wet markets after SARS 1 was found to have started in one. The scandal is that the wet markets continued to operate and were the source of a second pandemic.

    1. Thank you, A Different Mike! Hopefully people will watch TWiV and even access primary source material discussed there.

      1. And TWiV brings us a mix of researchers, clinicians, PhD’s, MD’s, DO’s, and even a science writer with a PhD in microbiology on their regular shows with special guests who are leaders in the technical field.

    2. Thanks for all this, and especially for the Paul Offit summary. His Word continues to have a lot of weight with me.
      I don’t know why disparagement of lab leak conspiracists from researchers and government officials is supposed to be off the table. They are in positions of power and persuasion, but do a disservice when they ignore material evidence for a zoonotic origin that has been out for a while. This while leaping to innuendos – at least I know of no evidence for a lab leak other an innuendo. I fully understand why one would get exercised over that.

    3. Trying to carefully word this comment that may sit on the cliff edge of the rules “Roolz” but with my years of involvement my edge of the scientific community — I’m astonished and disappointed regarding our host’s comments regarding origin of SARS-CoV-2. Others above have left links motioning TWiV and the commentary and references therein. What concerns me is that origins of SARS-CoV-2 — and other pandemic viruses — are fundamentally an issue of ecology, evolution, and the circumstances of the human virus/interface. This had been an area of intense, high-level science for a long time, and has certainly accelerated in the past 3 decades. The lack of curiosity that I perceive from such a distinguished scientist — Those rigorous, dense papers, books, and the references therein. — Please reconsider this issue rather than snarking on the Biden administration.

      I came here to learn, drawn by a perceived theme of evolution and ecology, got my eyes opened to trans-gender nonsense & woke-ism, thank you very much, so here’s a reciprocal favor — in this case, please, please think it over. There’s a vast trove of intellectually rigorous work — the TWiV references a tip of iceberg. that might be interesting and enlightening. And guess what — important to the future of humans and the natural world.

      1. I agree. I think it is easy to mistake what is going on in the media for what is going on in science. The great thing about TWiV is that it gives non-scientists a good look into the science around vaccines, and specifically around the origins of covid. There are multiple lines of evidence leading to the market for the origin, but as stated above there is mostly innuendo for a lab leak. And there is no new data for lab leak, just a new report. The same when the Op-Ed came out. It was not reporting on new data, it was going over the old innuendos.

      2. Yep, and all we’ve heard in opposition to natural origins is “low confidence,” not why the FBI/CIA came to that opinion. In contrast, a number of us have posted science-based reasons both yesterday and today that point to natural origins.

        The FBI/CIA is in the business of ferreting out crooks. How does it go, “to a hammer, every problem is a nail,” or something like that. By their very nature they’d be expected to lean toward if conspiracy. Consequences of leaning that way and being wrong are far less than leaning away from it and later being found wrong. So “low confidence” may well be their way of rejecting it from a CYA standpoint.

        I think it’s very likely that the Biden admin also listened to the evidence from scientists and reached the conclusion of a natural origin and for that reason tried to tamp down the leak angle without spending time explaining details to a public largely unqualified to understand them. In contrast, LAB LEAK in flashing red neon is easy to grasp.

        1. I assume that the environmental samples used in the studies by Western virologists were all collected by Chinese researchers under the supervision of the Chinese government.

          The CIA probably assumes that these samples were tampered with. Why would a government that is engaged in forced organ harvesting hesitate to tamper with scientific samples?

          Please correct me if I am wrong. Does anybody know the custody chain of the samples used in the studies cited by the readers here?

          1. I think this is probably the paper you want for that. Thirty-five apparently Chinese authors, published in Nature. They began collecting samples on 1 Jan 2020. That would have been well before anyone in the West had any sense of the seriousness of the whole thing.

            To my thinking, the reaction was swift. Had it been anything orchestrated by bureaucracy, it would have taken much longer for the wheels to turn. And also, if a coverup was afoot, you wouldn’t want to have 35 people in on it. More than one, sure, for plausibility, but not 35.

  10. The Irish poet W.B. Yeats died on this day, 1939. He is probably best known for “The Second Coming” (Things fall apart; the centre cannot hold; / Mere anarchy is loosed upon the world…), one of the iconic poems of the 20th Century. Being that he lived in tumultuous times (WWI, Influenza Epidemic of 1917, Irish War of Independence, Irish Civil War), his poetry still resonates. He is the greatest artist of my own experience. What I’m copying here are the second and fourth stanzas of “Nineteen Hundred and Nineteen.” If you want lighter fare, look up “The Wild Swans at Coole,” my favorite of his poems.

    We too had many pretty toys when young:
    A law indifferent to blame or praise,
    To bribe or threat; habits that made old wrong
    Melt down, as it were wax in the sun’s rays;
    Public opinion ripening for so long
    We thought it would outlive all future days.
    O what fine thought we had because we thought
    That the worst rogues and rascals had died out.

    Now days are dragon-ridden, the nightmare
    Rides upon sleep: a drunken soldiery
    Can leave the mother, murdered at her door,
    To crawl in her own blood, and go scot-free;
    The night can sweat with terror as before
    We pieced our thoughts into philosophy,
    And planned to bring the world under a rule,
    Who are but weasels fighting in a hole.

    1. Thank you for this reminder. Those nine-and-fifty swans inhabit what is probably my favorite poem of his. (If only it were a mere nineteen autumns!) I’ll also revisit Auden’s tribute to Yeats. Both artists are a welcome retreat from the noises of our day.

  11. Saying “My heart goes out to you,” and offering a Nazi salute are not mutually exclusive.

    1. I think you are trying to preserve a hypothesis after its expiration date.
      According to Wikipedia:
      “The salute is performed by extending the right arm from the shoulder into the air with a straightened hand.” You can easily find footage. The elbow is not bent. The hand does not go to the heart.
      Clapping the hand to the heart (bent elbow) and then snapping the arm out is, at most, a very poorly done Nazi salute and more like other common salutes to a crowd.

      1. Are you really arguing about the biomechanics of the Nazi salute? I have asked several people how they would express “My heart goes out to you” as a hand gesture/salute. In all cases the palm faced outward, not downward.

        I am not willing to give Musk the benefit of the doubt given his strong support for the AfD.

          1. ‘Roman salute’ is just another way of saying fascist salute. It’s not really historically supported (I think the first example is the painting, The Oath of Horatio from 1784), and didn’t become prominent until the Italian fascists started using it. The Nazis then copied it from the Italians because they liked the look.

            Besides, do you really expect people to believe that Musk was performing one of the most widely recognized and taboo gestures in the western world in tribute to ancient Romans? Especially when the far more parsimonious explanation (given his recent support of AfD and the way he’s allowed and echoed alt-right content on Twitter) is that he actually intended a Nazi salute?

    2. Especially considering that immediately after his line about “My heart goes out to you”, he added, “It is thanks to you, that the future of civilization is assured.” I mean, it’s not a direct quote of any Nazi or neo Nazi expressions, but it’s certainly along the same sentiment as the 14 Words.

      After watching the video for myself, the way he carried out the gesture, and the expression on his face as he did so, I’m dumbfounded that anybody doubts it was a Nazi salute. I mean, I sort of understand the MAGA folks falling behind the party line. You could actually count it as an example of costly signaling, denying what’s so obvious to anyone with eyes. But non MAGA folks falling for the same apologetics? I just don’t get it.

    3. As far as I can tell, every public figure has at one time or other been photographed with their right arm outstretched.
      When the figure is a target of the woke, or poses some threat to DNC power, we are told it is a Nazi salute.
      When the person in the image is one of the woke or the DNC, it is explained as an inadvertent gesture or a wave taken out of context.

      I find it harder over time to take people seriously when their primary response to those they disagree with is to call them fascists.

  12. I do wish the media would let the whole flat Earth thing go with Mike Hughes. He was a daredevil who was determined to get into the record books for a steam powered rocket and was a pretty good engineer. Prior to a funding appeal failing miserably he never once mentioned the shape of the planet but within about four days of declaring his intention to show we live on a mystic pizza he was inundated with cash (flerfs are so gullible). He sadly died when his recovery parachute malfunctioned and deployed soon after an ascent being made solely for publicity on a TV show and this FE connection continues to tarnish his reputation. I fully expected him to return from a successful flight and declare to the waiting press that no-one was more surprised than he was to see a curve! RIP Mad Mike, the world needs more like you.

  13. Thank you for your coverage of International Holocaust Remembrance Day: the lives of Istvan Reiner and Marion Ehrlich lost, those touched by Sir Nicholas Winston saved.

  14. On the Columbian deportees:Trump squeezing the balls of Colombia for not accepting their criminal deportees back… is delicious.
    It is morally bankrupt to not accept your own rejected criminal citizens – take note Vietnam, Cuba and NK who also do this “refusal” trick – I noticed many years ago practicing a bit of immigration law. A few times I went to the Peruvian consulate to do paperwork for a (sad in that case, non criminal) deportation.

    I also noticed, happily, how quickly Colombia’s (socialist) president caved. 40 minutes. When you’re a superpower you can just do things.

    D.A.
    NYC

  15. Apropos the Big Bang joke tweet, Douglas Adams did it first, and better. “The Restaurant at the End of the Universe”, the sequel to “The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy”, opens with these lines:

    The story so far: In the beginning the Universe was created. This had made many people very angry and has been widely regarded as a bad move.

  16. This is actually interesting stuff. E.C. Holmes, M. Worobey, others here.
    https://www.cell.com/cell/fulltext/S0092-8674(24)00901-2

    This is the highest level science. People might be curious about this. This one open access. Don’t forget references therein. A lot of it is open access. Read — learn — TWiV and other good source on MicrobeTV & listen to the many hours of clear, careful consideration by scientists and physicians you should be proud to know. Look up the papers.

    Forget the tribalist politics. We need clear, careful thinking. Worobey in particular was happy to consider lane spillover origins, a weak hypothesis, now just political fodder. Go look up Holmes’ papers. Expand your knowledge. But you can start this one in Cell. Some of you may know of the this journal.

    I won’t pester you further on this. But it sort of blows my mind, it’s such an interesting world and we have to listen to Jon Stewart crawling out from under Colberts’ desk? And CIA man…always so accurate.

  17. I think that kazoo solo came in around the 1:55 mark, although I won’t bet money on it.

  18. Regarding the pardon of the drug lord. How can we be sure that was a mistake? I for one would not be confident in the ACLU’s determination in criminal matters.

  19. To me, America’s biggest missed opportunity is Mitt Romney. He considered Russia the serious threat it was even then, unlike the clueless Democrats (who mocked him for this and never apologized), and Putin’s fanboy Trump. Had Americans elected Romney, maybe hundreds of thousands of lives would have been spared.

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