Ben Carson admits climate change (i.e., it might be cooler tomorrow than today), and some “microevolution”

October 5, 2015 • 9:00 am

I am growing weary of pointing out the stupid things said by Republicans and creationists (there’s considerable overlap), which is like crying, “Look, that lion ate a gazelle!” One gets to a point where it’s neither new nor interesting. But in the interest of documenting the scientific missteps of Presidential candidates, especially when it comes to evolution, I submit for your disapproval this three-minute video of GOP candidate Ben Carson speaking on September 30 at the University of New Hampshire. There’s also a transcript below the video.

Carson’s comments are indented; my gloss flush left. Emphasis (bold) is mine.

Well first of all, you have to hear what I actually believe because the media distorts it enormously for their own purposes. Is there climate change? Of course there’s climate change. Any point in time temperatures are going up or temperatures are going down. When that stops happening, that’s when we’re in big trouble.

Ummm. . . can you get any dumber than that? In fact, we’re in big trouble when average temperatures keep going up, as we know is happening now.

What is important is that we recognize that we have an obligation to take care of our environment. I don’t care whether you are a Democrat or a Republican, a liberal or a conservative, if you have any thread of decency in you, you want to take care of the environment because you know you have to pass it on to the next generation.

I have to hand it to Carson: he’s said at least one or two good things about protecting the environment (see here, for instance). On the other hand, note his statement about “climate change” above; he also favors the Keystone Pipeline and has called for the government to urge the Environmental Protection Agency to cooperate with business and industy—something the government’s already done! 

There is no reason to make it into a political issue. As far as evolution is concerned I do believe in micro-evolution, or natural selection, but I believe that God gave the creatures he made the ability to adapt to their surroundings. Because he’s very smart he didn’t want to start over every fifty years.

Well, cut off my legs and call me Shorty: Carson’s admitting some (micro)evolution here! But once he does that, he’s given away the game, for there’s no essential difference between microevolution and macroevolution. If microevolution goes on long enough, it produces major evolutionary change: for existence, the transformation of ancestral, terrestrial artiodactyls into whales, or early amphibians into reptiles. There’s no given point, though creationists claim there is, where microevolution has to stop because otherwise the changes are trespassing into the bailiwick of macroevolution. And if you look at the fossil record of, say, the evolution of early mammals from reptiles, you see precisely that: there is a continuous and gradual change, with no one point at which you can say, “This is where mammals began.” We see, in fact, fossils that are so intermediate that they are classifiable only as “mammal-like reptiles.” (One could just as easily call them “reptilian mammals”.)

Now clearly Carson doesn’t believe this, because in an earlier speech he said evolution producing adapted organisms made as much sense as a tornado blowing through a junkyard producing some useful object.  But if you admit the possibility of microevolution, you admit of a gentle wind that, over time, has the same effects as that hurricane!

Carson further admitted in that talk that God produced organisms in one bout of creation, though he was unclear whether it took six literal days or six metaphorical days.  In either case he’s backtracking on what he said before. Now it’s up to reporters to ask Carson what he sees as the difference between microevolution and macroevolution, and why the former is possible but the latter is not.

And as for God being “very smart,” well, if he was really smart he wouldn’t use the tortuous process of evolution, which involves the suffering of millions of animals and the extinction of millions of species that die without leaving descendants. He’d just give organisms the ability to instantly change their morphology and physiology in response to environmental change, or make that change by waving his hand. After all, God can do anything, and it takes Him no effort.

Carson continues:

So I say people who want to believe other than that they are welcome to do that. I known there are some people who say “you know it all just happened.” Well where did it all come from in the first place? “I don’t know but it’s there somewhere.” So I give them that it’s there. They say there was a big explosion and it all became perfectly organized to the point where we can predict seventy years hence when a comet is coming. Um, that requires more faith than I have. You know, that’s a complex set of things. Just the way the earth rotates on its axis, how far away it is from the sun. These are all very complex things. Uh, gravity. Where did it come from? I mean, there are so many things. So I don’t denigrate the people who say “Eh, eh, whatever, somehow it happened.” I don’t denigrate them, I just don’t have that much faith. But they are welcome to believe whatever they want to believe. I’m welcome to believe what I want to believe. They say I can’t be a scientist and yet somehow I became a neurosurgeon and did pretty well.

Shades of Bill O’Reilly and the tides! The record of predicting the arrival of comets, and the occurrence of solar and lunar eclipses, is pretty close to perfect.  And we have plenty of evidence for the Big Bang, including the expanding universe and the microwave radiation that is the persisting echo of that bang. These are not matters of faith, but of fact.

Carson continues to insist that both science and religion are based on “faith,” playing on the different meanings that word has when applied to science (where it means “confidence based on observation, experiments, and experience”) versus religion (where it means something like “firm belief in something without the need for evidence strong enough to convince most rational people”). I recommend he read my piece in Slate on this difference.

As for gravity, it comes from the distortion of space-time by objects with mass.

Carson’s last statement, “They say I can’t be a scientist and yet somehow I became a neurosurgeon and did pretty well,” is telling.  It shows that one can indeed be a competent physician, applying principles of science to one’s work, as Carson surely did, without extending those same principles to one’s beliefs—or even to areas like cosmology and biology. Carson’s inability to distinguish faith from fact makes him completely unsuitable to be President of the United States. Finally, I think he’s beginning to recognize that his antiscientific stand on evolution makes him look pretty dumb, so he’s moving away from straight creationism to the intelligent-design variety (“microevolution but not macroevolution”).

Readers’ wildlife photos: Special lovers’ edition

October 5, 2015 • 7:20 am

If it were Valentine’s Day, this would serve as a special post, but I’ll just celebrate the Act of Love itself (taken from five orders of insects) with these photos from reader Jacques Hausser of Switzerland. His note was simply this: “I send you here some pictures of insects caught in the act or just before.”


Platystoma seminationis, Platystomatidae, Diptera:

Insectlove1
The white-legged damselfly, Platycnemis pennipes, Platycnemidae, Odonata:

insectlove2
The Green Mountain Grasshopper, Miramella alpina, Acrididae, Orthoptera:

insectlove3
The silver-washed fritillary, Argynnis paphia, Nymphalidae, Lepidoptera:

insectlove4
The 14-spotted ladybird, Propylea quatuordecimpunctata, Coccinellidae, Coleoptera:

insectlove5
Sicus ferrugineus, Conopidae, Diptera:

insectlove6

Nobel Prizes go to three for malaria and roundworm treatment

October 5, 2015 • 6:19 am

It’s Nobel season again, and I’ve again put the bottle of champagne to chill in my lab refrigerator (it’s now three decades old). But sadly, the Prize in Medicine or Physiology was just awarded to three people, none of them named Coyne. The Nobel website is short on details (and lacking photos), but the Guardian has more info and photos:

Nobel Site:

The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 2015 was divided, one half jointly to William C. Campbell and Satoshi Ōmura “for thier [sic] discoveries concerning a novel therapy against infections caused by roundworm parasites” and the other half to Youyou Tu “for her discoveries concerning a novel therapy against Malaria”.

Guardian:

Screen Shot 2015-10-05 at 1.08.50 PM

Tu gets half of the prize, while Campbell and Omura share the other half (total value about 1.2 million dollars US: less than a Templeton Prize! What kind of inequity is that?

Three scientists from Ireland, Japan and China have won the Nobel prize in medicine for discoveries that helped doctors fight malaria and infections caused by roundworm parasites.

The judges in Stockholm awarded the prize to William C Campbell, Satoshi Ōmura and Youyou Tu – the first ever Chinese medicine laureate.

Campbell and Ōmura were cited for discoveries concerning a novel therapy against infections caused by roundworm parasites, while Tu was rewarded for discoveries concerning a novel therapy against malaria.

“The two discoveries have provided humankind with powerful new means to combat these debilitating diseases that affect hundreds of millions of people annually,” the committee said. “The consequences in terms of improved human health and reduced suffering are immeasurable.”

Ōmura made his discovery after collecting soil samples from around Japan and isolating bacteria called Streptomyces. One of them was Streptomyces avermitilis, which became the source for the drug avermectin.

Ōmura’s work was taken up by Campbell, who showed that Streptomyces avermitilis was remarkably effective at killing off parasites in domestic and farm animals. The compound responsible, avermectin, was modified into a more effective substance called ivermectin. When tested in humans, the compound was found to have killed off parasite larvae.

Meanwhile, working in China, Tu was searching through herbal remedies in the hope of finding new leads for malaria treatments. She found that an extract from the plant Artemisia annua was sometimes effective, but the results were inconsistent. After more research, she hit on the active compound in the plant, a chemical that became known as artemisinin, a new class of antimalarials that kill malaria parasites at an early stage of development.

For more on Tu, go see the New Scientist profile here, and for more on the specific scientific discoveries lauded, go here.  There are two lessons from this award. First, it emphasizes the international character of science: a prize for combating internal parasites was shared by a Chinese woman, and Irishman now living in the U.S., and a Japanese man. Further, Tan’s discovery originated from an academy of “traditional Chinese medicine.” While some would dismiss that based on the name alone, remember that about 40% of the pharmaceuticals on U.S. shelves had their origin from plants. “Alternative medicine” of this sort is genuine medicine, and so those two words shouldn’t be dismissed out of hand.

Congrats to all three—true lifesavers, for there are nearly 600,000 deaths annually due to malaria, and about one-sixth of the world’s population, largely in sub-Saharan Africa, suffers from roundworm.

Monday: Hili dialogue

October 5, 2015 • 2:12 am

It’s my last Monday in Poland, as one week from today I’ll be in Uppsala, Sweden talking about my research on speciation in fruit flies. It will be fun—so long as my hosts don’t make me eat Surströmming! Today we’re all going to Włocławek for shopping and diverse tasks, so posting may be light. Meanwhile in Dobrzyn, Hili shows an unusual degree of empathy for a cat:

Jerry: Why are you sad?
Hili: Because you are going to travel somewhere and who will take care of you?

P1030426 (2)

In Polish:
Jerry: Czemu jesteś smutna?
Hili: Bo znowu gdzieś pojedziesz i kto się będzie tobą opiekował?

Bird flight records, with a plucky whimbrel flying through a hurricane

October 4, 2015 • 1:30 pm

It’s unimaginable to me how some migrating birds can remain airborne for so long. The record varies depending on time and distance.

National Geographic reports that a satellite-tagged female bar-tailed godwit (Limosa lapponica) migrated nonstop across the entire Pacific Ocean: some 7,145 miles from Alaska to New Zealand. That’s without a refueling stop, which means either that the bird didn’t sleep for nine days, or somehow slept on the wing. According to Wikipedia, that’s the longest nonstop flight by any bird, and the longest migration of any animal without pausing for food or drink. Let’s hear it for this intrepid godwit:

1200670Bar-tailedGodwitTW7_0458-1024web

Hummingbirds must eat nearly continuously when they’re awake, so it’s amazing that the ruby-throated hummer (Archilochus colubris), during its February migration to the U.S. from Central America, can cross the entire Gulf of Mexico in one go: a 500-mile journey taking 18-22 hours. During that flight, the bird loses 60% of its weight: from 6 grams to 2.5 grams.

Male_Ruby_Throated_Hummingbird_In_Green_Background_600
Male ruby-throated hummer, image from Fusion Theme

On the other hand, LiveScience gives another endurance “record”: “Swift record! Migrating birds fly nonstop for six months.” This refers to the Alpine Swift (Tachymarptis melba), which migrate between Europe/Asia and southern Africa. When I saw the title I was dubious, but the Nature Communications paper documenting it (reference and link at bottom) seems to show that at least one individual was continuously airborne for 200 days (the tagging showed wing flapping and pitch). Not all of that was during migration; the damn things just don’t like to land!

Tachymarptis_melba_-Barcelona,_Spain_-flying-8

Finally, the CBC reports that in August this year a tagged whimbrel (Numenius phaeopus) named Upinraaq flew four days nonstop, with part of it through a hurricane:

Upinraaq, which means summer in Inuvialuktun, surprised scientists this year when she got caught in Tropical Storm Erica, and survived. In the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, Upinraaq encountered 75 km/h winds.

“This bird flew from Newfoundland, had been flying for three days non-stop, when it hit the northeast quadrant of the storm and then powered through the storm and on to South America,” says Fletcher Smith, a research biologist with Virginia Commonwealth University.

The bird:

upinraaq-whimbrel
The plucky Upinraaq

and its path:

whimbrel-s-migration-route

Another distance record from EarthSky:

The bird that flies farthest is the Arctic Tern [Sterna paradisaea], an elegant white seabird. This bird also sees more daylight than any other.

The Arctic Tern breeds on the shores of the Arctic Ocean in northern hemisphere summer. And it feeds over the oceans of the southern hemisphere half a year later – in southern hemisphere summer. So, like many birds, this bird flies great distances every year to maintain its life of endless summertime.

North American Arctic Terns fly about 40,000 kilometers – or 24,000 miles – each year. That’s a distance about equal to the distance around the Earth.

The article adds that over its lifetime of 25 years or so, a tern can migrate over a million kilometers—three times the distance from the Earth to the Moon!

Sterna_paradisaea-pjt1
An Arctic tern (photo from Wikipedia)

Hats off to these amazing birds!

h/t: Diane G.

___________

Liechti, F. et al. 2013. First evidence of a 200-day non-stop flight in a bird. Nature Communications, doi:10.1038/ncomms3554

 

Feser to Krauss: Shut up because of the Uncaused Cause

October 4, 2015 • 10:45 am

I didn’t know anything about the Witherspoon institute, where Catholic religious philosopher Edward Feser has published a strident piece called “Scientists should tell Lawrence Krauss to shut up already“, but it appears to be a right-wing think tank. According to Wikipedia:

The Witherspoon Institute opposes abortion and same-sex marriage and deals with embryonic stem cell research, constitutional law, and globalization. In 2003, it organized a conference on religion in modern societies. In 2006,Republican Senator Sam Brownback cited a Witherspoon document called Marriage and the Public Good: Ten Principles in a debate over a constitutional amendment against same-sex marriage. It held a conference about pornography named The Social Costs of Pornography at Princeton University in December 2008.

Be that as it may, reader Candide called my attention to Feser’s piece, a critique of Krauss’s recent piece in The New Yorker, “All scientists should be militant atheists” (my take on it here). Feser argues that Krauss doesn’t given any reason for scientists to be atheists, but in fact he does, in the final paragraph of Krauss’s piece:

We owe it to ourselves and to our children not to give a free pass to governments—totalitarian, theocratic, or democratic—that endorse, encourage, enforce, or otherwise legitimize the suppression of open questioning in order to protect ideas that are considered “sacred.” Five hundred years of science have liberated humanity from the shackles of enforced ignorance. We should celebrate this openly and enthusiastically, regardless of whom it may offend.

That seems to me pretty clear: in science no values are sacred, and it’s abandoning the notion that any ideas are beyond question—the habit of doubt that is endemic and essential in science—that militates against religious authoritarianism, endemic to most faiths. Feser also argues, contra both Krauss and me, that the empirical propositions of religion, as opposed to its moral dicta, are not questions of science:

Krauss might reply that, unlike checkers, dentistry, or engineering, science covers all of reality; thus, if God exists, evidence for his existence ought to show up in scientific inquiry.

There are two problems with such a suggestion. First, it begs the question. Second, it isn’t true.

But if in fact one construes science broadly, as a combination of reason, empirical study, and verification, yes, existence of God should show up in “scientific” inquiry.  Since it doesn’t, religionists use the word “reason” to encompass a brew of dogma, scripture, and personal revelation. But these of course lead different people to different conceptions of god. So all the “evidence” adduced by different faiths is simply a confusing muddle of different “conclusions.”

Feser instead proposes philosophy as a way to demonstrate God, starting with the ineluctable proposition that reality is real:

[The claim that we should have empirical evidence for God] begs the question because whether science is the only rational means of investigating reality is precisely what is at issue between New Atheists like Krauss and their critics. Traditional philosophical arguments for God’s existence begin with what any possible scientific theory must take for granted—such as the thesis that there is a natural world to be studied, and that there are laws governing that world that we might uncover via scientific investigation.

To Feser, the existence of the natural world is itself evidence for God, for he keeps insisting that that world had to have a beginning, and if that beginning was the Big Bang, or even if the Big Bang had a natural origin and there are universes that spawn other universes, well, those, too must have a causal chain that, in the end terminates in God.

As far as “laws governing the world,” well, that’s a result of science, not an assumption. It’s entirely possible that some physical laws might not be constant (for example, the speed of light in a vacuum might vary throughout the universe), and if we found that out, well, that would become part of science too. Indeed, the speed of light is not a constant in other media like water or glass, so the “law” isn’t universal. Other physical laws, such as those governing molecular interactions, must exist lest we not be around to observe them. In Faith versus Fact I note that the human body depends on physical and chemical regularities to function. So yes, we’ve found regularities, but that is inevitable given that that finding itself depends on regularities in the brain: a sort of Anthropic Principle of our Body.

Imputing such regularities to a divine being, much less Feser’s Catholic and beneficent God, is no explanation at all. It’s merely saying, “We will call God the reason for the constancy of nature.” Where from these regularities can one derive a Beneficent Person without Substance—one who not only loves us all, but demands worship under threat of immolation, and opposes abortion as well?

And so Feser proves the existence of God from his usual claim: the Uncaused Cause:

The arguments claim that, whatever the specific empirical details turn out to be, the facts that there is a world at all and that there are any laws governing it cannot be made sense of unless there is an uncaused cause sustaining that world in being, a cause that exists of absolute necessity rather than merely contingently (as the world itself and the laws that govern it are merely contingent).

. . . Similarly, what science uncovers are, in effect, the “rules” that govern the “game” that is the natural world. Its domain of study is what is internal to the natural order of things. It presupposes that there is such an order, just as the rules of checkers presuppose that there are such things as checkers boards and game pieces. For that very reason, though, science has nothing to say about why there is any natural order or laws in the first place, any more than the rules of checkers tell you why there are any checkers boards or checkers rules in the first place.

Thus, science cannot answer the question why there is any world at all, or any laws at all. To answer those questions, or even to understand them properly, you must take an intellectual vantage point from outside the world and its laws, and thus outside of science. You need to look to philosophical argument, which goes deeper than anything mere physics can uncover.

For a response to the “Uncaused Cause” argument, and the outmoded notion of Aristotelian causality in modern physics, I refer you to the writings of Sean Carroll (for example here and here, especially the section called “accounting for the world”), and Carroll’s debate with Feser William Lane Craig here.

No, science cannot yet answer the question why there is any world at all, or why the laws are as they are (though the latter question might someday find an answer), but neither can religion. As Caroll notes, the answer to these questions may ultimately be this:

“. .. . the ultimate answer to “We need to understand why the universe exists/continues to exist/exhibits regularities/came to be” is essentially ‘No we don’t.’

. . . Granted, it is always nice to be able to provide reasons why something is the case.  Most scientists, however, suspect that the search for ultimate explanations eventually terminates in some final theory of the world, along with the phrase “and that’s just how it is.”  It is certainly conceivable that the ultimate explanation is to be found in God; but a compelling argument to that effect would consist of a demonstration that God provides a better explanation (for whatever reason) than a purely materialist picture, not an a priori insistence that a purely materialist picture is unsatisfying.”

Indeed, theists like Feser face their own Ultimate Questions: Why is there a God rather than no God? How did God come into being, and what was He doing before he created Something out of Nothing? To answer those, some people might point to scripture or revelation, but that’s unsatisfying, for different scriptures and different revelations say different things. In the end, Feser must resort to the same answer physicists give. When told by rationalists that we need to understand where God Himself came from, Feser would have to respond, “No we don’t. He was just There.” What I don’t understand is how God can just be there, but the universe and its antecedents, or the laws of physics, cannot just be there.

Nor do I understand how an empirical proposition–the idea that there’s a supernatural being who affects the universe–can be demonstrated by philosophy alone, without any appeal to empiricism.